These forums have been archived and are now read-only.

The new forums are live and can be found at https://forums.eveonline.com/

EVE Information Portal

 
  • Topic is locked indefinitely.
 

New dev blog: The FW Exploit 2012 (or: How I learned about FOREX)

First post
Author
Haifisch Zahne
Hraka Manufacture GmbH
#261 - 2012-06-29 05:15:34 UTC
Wow, a personal attack? Amazing argument.


None ofthe Above wrote:
Mechaet wrote:
Haifisch Zahne wrote:
I see only two reasons given by CCP Sreegs, speaking for CCP, why this "event" (Goon 4x4? GoonGate? Goon FW Crisis 2012?) has been classified as an exploit:

1) "Because of the volumes and disparity involved we've had to take action to fix this particular system."

2) "Because this was essentially a system where you could print LP, even if ISK was provided as an input, it is classified as an exploit."


But, 1) only speaks to the surprising SUCCESS of the Goons. It does not speak to it being an exploit. For example, that Bill Gates (and Microsoft) have made a giganormous fortune is not reason to say Microsoft Windows is an "exploit". (It is for other reasons.)

And, 2) contains an enormous IF clause: "even if ISK was provided as an input". The Goons did not buy an LP printing press, with ISK. This was not the "input" of ISK. They gamed the system, and it required purchases necessarily to function. Had they blown up stuff "from thin air", then, yes, they would have successfully printed LP.

CCP needs to explain WHY this classifies as an exploit, rather than an enormously successful method of multiplying an investment.

CCP has not done this.

And they never will.


Its been explained over and over again and its doubtful that saying it one more time would influence those who would seem to lack one or more of: the patience to read it, will to accept it, or the capacity to understand it.

Perhaps it would suffice for you that those most effected are willing to accept the ruling?

Honestly I think most folk think they got off a little light.

Haifisch Zahne
Hraka Manufacture GmbH
#262 - 2012-06-29 05:16:36 UTC
Sorry, when I saw the Comments button, I thought I was allowed to comment. My mistake.


CCP Sreegs wrote:
Haifisch Zahne wrote:
I see only two reasons given by CCP Sreegs, speaking for CCP, why this "event" (Goon 4x4? GoonGate? Goon FW Crisis 2012?) has been classified as an exploit:

1) "Because of the volumes and disparity involved we've had to take action to fix this particular system."

2) "Because this was essentially a system where you could print LP, even if ISK was provided as an input, it is classified as an exploit."


But, 1) only speaks to the surprising SUCCESS of the Goons. It does not speak to it being an exploit. For example, that Bill Gates (and Microsoft) have made a giganormous fortune is not reason to say Microsoft Windows is an "exploit". (It is for other reasons.)

And, 2) contains an enormous IF clause: "even if ISK was provided as an input". The Goons did not buy an LP printing press, with ISK. This was not the "input" of ISK. They gamed the system, and it required purchases necessarily to function. Had they blown up stuff "from thin air", then, yes, they would have successfully printed LP.

CCP needs to explain WHY this classifies as an exploit, rather than an enormously successful method of multiplying an investment.

CCP has not done this.


We classified it as an exploit and gave the explanation. That you were not satisfied with that explanation is unfortunate but it's the only one we're giving.

Steve Thomas
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#263 - 2012-06-29 05:18:22 UTC
Kismeteer wrote:
What sort of metrics does CCP watch for to catch these kinds of exploits? And what sort of systems can be put in place to understand why LP is coming from nothing, similar to how tech was coming from nothing under the previous silo duplication exploit?


Back then some of the comunity (AkitaT and some others) were more or less wondering what the hell was going on with T2.

(I was not tracking anything Tec 2 related at the time because I was shiping T1 mat between 2 regions while trying to keep up with my build orders in a third, when I looked at the numbers where I was my initial reaction (based on the region I was in at the time) at first was that it was the normal reaction to a hord-manipulate-dump cycle) the developers aparently were thinking at first along the lines of meh just the usual price dive because someone came back into the game or dumped inventory at first, but some of the market people were noteing some odd things (who and where selling was happening)(that and for some reason some of the developers were thinking there was more Alchemy going on than was actualy going on, I suspect they may have had an Idea as to how many setups existed but not how many were actualy running, I know I saw several defacto abandoed setups at the time from some of the fuel runs I was doing)

Frankly back then they did not develop the kind of tracking tools for all of this that they have nowdays. in part because frankly they did not think they needed them.
Steve Thomas
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#264 - 2012-06-29 05:34:05 UTC
Rented wrote:
Querns wrote:
Spaja Saist wrote:

This just doesn't make any sense to me. A group of people exploited a game mechanic to make ungodly amounts of LP and ISK and you are rewarding them for it? I guarantee if this was anyone else but Goons they would have been banned.

CCP your favoritism is showing and not in a good way.

did you miss the part where we had our LP and assets (including a goodly portion of non-involved assets) seized pending investigation

because that was a thing that did and is still happening


Clearly CCP hires exclusively from Goons and there's some extremely vague grand conspiracy which may involve aliens, butterscotch, a toaster, at least 17 deimos', and masking tape.

you forgot the cattleprod.
Steve Thomas
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#265 - 2012-06-29 05:36:41 UTC
corestwo wrote:


I can't speak for CCP, but that is what, but that's what the interior of the Goonwaffe Economic Cabal looks like.

you should see what my spreadsheets look like. they do trend analysis and projections.
Peter Tjordenskiold
#266 - 2012-06-29 06:31:13 UTC  |  Edited by: Peter Tjordenskiold
CCP Sreegs wrote:
I think it certainly has an impact on EVE as you stated, but that impact is something new. To make a statement of USING THE MARKET TO GAIN MONEY IS OVER EVE IS DYING, is a bit silly. (Not you specifically but others in this thread) This isn't a legacy problem and has no impact on how you deal with existing systems. It only impacts your interaction with FW.

What we need to do is take a good long hard look at how to deal with items that have disparate values in what are essentially two currencies. I'm pretty sure that is the pivot point in this scenario and from that perspective I'm just Winston Wolf. I don't design these systems.

As it stands today our stance is that buying something and purposely blowing it up to generate value in another currency is exploiting. It was clearly not our intent in creating the system for that to occur. The system was meant to encourage PVP not wanton suicidal destruction to print money.


In the end we will be denied to use the mechanics. That is wrong and will be the death for the sandbox, which is more important for the fun in this game than sanity. When something is going wrong CCP has to change the mechanics. Making the players responsible for using bad designed mechanics is hillarious stupid, because the sandbox with it's implemented boundaries makes the fun in the game. This newly created morality is the opposite of CCP makes advertizing for.

CCP has to decide either to repair bad mechanics or push gamers out of the game. Morality in this game like someone could destroy the game is a really bad idea.
Benny Ohu
Royal Amarr Institute
Amarr Empire
#267 - 2012-06-29 06:55:22 UTC
Inferno 1.1.5 patch notes:

- A new collectable item has been gifted to some players: The Jar of Jovian Tears is in the redeeming system for five player accounts.

It's a bit of a shame these guys won't get anything out of their efforts, but this result is probably the best anyone could have reasonably expected. Leaving that much potential ISK in the hands of these rascals would've been disastrous.

I'm glad they're not getting bans.
Mechael
Tribal Liberation Distribution and Retail
#268 - 2012-06-29 07:05:13 UTC  |  Edited by: Mechael
Hakaru Ishiwara wrote:
The cost of EVE was made against the growing number of F2P titles where you can get a fairly robust amount of entertainment for the cost of space on your HD and bandwidth used. Even buying gold in those services to gain advantage doesn't even come close to the amount of cash spent on an EVE subscription let alone the 2, 3, 4 or more subs for which most hard core players pay or buy PLEX.


This makes no sense. "fairly robust amount of entertainment" ... right ... I've played quite a few of those F2P mmos and on a scale of 1-10 they've all been at about a 2 as far as entertainment value goes. If you want to buy the advantage then you're going to spend way more for pure **** than you ever will on EVE. EVE is cheap, and easily the best MMO to date (nothing else so far even comes close.)

Hakaru Ishiwara wrote:
I think that it is important that people understand that they are indeed paying for the twice yearly "expansions" with their subscription fees and purchased PLEX. It is simply a business lesson. No more.

And there is no denying that EVE is a neat and unique entertainment service.


This, however, makes total sense. It's why the $15 a month is both justified and competitive. It's the equivalent of buying a newly released AAA title every 4 months (and everyone knows that a AAA title is not going to entertain for 4 months like EVE will, most of those are only slightly less garbage than F2P mmos.)

Whether or not you win the game matters not.  It's if you bought it.

Mechael
Tribal Liberation Distribution and Retail
#269 - 2012-06-29 07:15:09 UTC
Haifisch Zahne wrote:
I don't see this situation as one of Foreign Exchange markets. The situation is not that the Amarr have one currency, the Minmatar another, and that the Minmatar were destroying Amarrian shipping while hedging against Amarrian currency... etc.

"Not that there is anything wrong with that."

The situation is one of a "complex" derivative product-- albeit not very "complex" as it was based on a simple formula tied to the moving average of market prices. FW LP points became a derivative product, tied to the market with hokum pokum.

Everyone today knows that derivative products are a terrible RISK. That CCP sold this risky derivative product in its thoroughly unbaked Inferno release, and as a result there was a spectacular financial crisis, should come as no surprise. To ANYONE.

An exploit? No. It should have been a no-brainer: CCP tried to cash in on a catchy, new feature for Inferno, but failed to do its research-- in spite of having an in-house Ph.D. economist. And now, YET AGAIN, CCP hides its mistake without admitting it, a reminder of how the Bankers themselves all got rich and none went to jail in the financial crisis.


Honestly, I'd like to see LP go. It never made any real sense anyway. If you have to reward people for doing missions purely for a certain faction, just make the tax breaks and reprocessing yields (etc, etc) more appealing. A phoney Walmart-dollar esque currency is just silly.

Whether or not you win the game matters not.  It's if you bought it.

Abdiel Kavash
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#270 - 2012-06-29 08:41:22 UTC  |  Edited by: Abdiel Kavash
I look at it in terms of abusing the information the EVE simulation has to your advantage, versus trying to fake the information to the EVE system. An exploit is somehow convincing the simulation to think that something is true, when it isn't.

The moongoo duping was an exploit. Players managed to convince the system that a silo was connected, when it in fact wasn't.

The FW ISK to LP conversion was an exploit. Players managed to convince the system that destroying a freighter full of crappy widgets was worth praise, glory, and one's weight in LP. Note that this is different from market manipulation. Market manipulation is trying to convince other players to pay more for the item than it's "worth" (however we define worth of an item). Intentionally trying to manipulate the CCP-determined market value of an item should, in my opinion, always be classified as an exploit.

(Worth noting though, in my opinion CCP shouldn't try to guestimate item values based off of anything. The value of an item is not a single number constant across the entire universe. Any attempts to assign a single number only screw with the market - making people think something is worth more or less than it actually is. Basing game mechanics on such a number is completely stupid.)

Insurance fraud was not an exploit. To my knowledge nobody ever intentionally faked mineral prices to the EVE system to make it profitable. People simply discovered that the existing prices and insurance values make it profitable, and took advantage of it.



As far as punishment handed out, Sreegs explained it well enough in the blog. The perpetrators of the moongoo duping exploit ran it quietly for nearly a year without saying anything. The exploit was revealed by a third party. This time the five people did it just to see if it could be done. If money was ever the incentive, you'd see way more tears and accusations. Once they saw they could, they promptly reported the exploit. I would argue that maybe a temporary ban would be acceptable - seeing as someone can be tempbanned for saying :words: outside of the game - but it's not my decision to make.



And last, all the lolgoons omgmysandbox EVEisdying posts are hilarious. Keep them coming, I need a good laugh!
Freelancer117
So you want to be a Hero
#271 - 2012-06-29 09:48:41 UTC
Introducing a LP payout system thats based on market prices for dropped items and stuff.

WHO knew that the market pricing can be manipulated.

OMG does that mean this also happens in the real world ?!


CCP acting like a Competition regulator in an unfair game, you're killing me Bear

Eve online is :

A) mining simulator B) glorified chatroom C) spreadsheets online

D) CCP Games Pay to Win at skill leveling, with instant gratification

http://eve-radio.com//images/photos/3419/223/34afa0d7998f0a9a86f737d6.jpg

http://bit.ly/1egr4mF

Varg Krugar
Republic Military School
Minmatar Republic
#272 - 2012-06-29 10:29:17 UTC
i like the proposition of a logarithmic scale for the "ISK value to LP reward" translation, coupled with a basket price baseline.

a linear multiplier like the proposed 4.5x may work, but it does not make the system more resilient, it just fixes this one instance where we know the exact numbers.

i'm not sure whether putting a logarithmic basket tether into the avg. price formula would make too much sense. some items are just priced higher because the player base as a whole deems them more useful, e.g. 1% tracking implant vs 1% defender missile implant. and if the avg. price does not reflect this, players just start ignoring it for everyday use.

but once the avg price display is used to calculate payouts of any kind, it becomes exploitable, so much is clear now. in this particular case, i don't think it would shave off too much LP if outliers were dampened when calculating LP rewards from these average prices. and the way i would do this is to create basket prices, and tether the individual constituent prices to the basket by a log scale[1]. as stated before, this only applies for items not made from minerals. it may lead to a situation where you kill an officer fit ship and you only get rewarded like it was deadspace fit, but... who cares? the payout is still nice, just not uber-nice. and you aren't exactly entitled to it in the first place.

[1] payout for item = min (item price, basket price + log( abs(item price - basket price)))
items currently cheaper than the basket are priced at their price (e.g. you cant blow up unmanipulated 1% defender implants and get paid like they were a basket of average 1% implants that are more expensive), items above the basket price are priced with the basket price + the logarithm of the difference between their price and the basket price. that way, you still get a little more than the average basket price when you blow up 1% tracking implants, but you get less than they're worth).


on the way CCP handled this, i have to say the punishment does have a whiff of the SEC or CFTC on it. if you cannot make sense of the acronyms, i encourage you to use your internet powers and read some Matt Taibbi. what basically happens is the following: a complex system is gamed, the regulator is not able to police the system fully by itself due to the complexity and requires the exploiters to come forward to fix things. this requires leniency on the regulators part, or no-one would snitch. and from there on out it is very hard to keep the moral hazard in check. once you're able to broker "no-one got hurt" deals with your regulator, you start to get creative with your concept of the law because you know you can always negotiate. win some, loose some... but never loose all. not good for a culture in the long run. given capsuleers are the "1%" of the eve universe, this might be in keeping with the lore, but i advise caution.
Reaper gI
Me Wanna Machariel
#273 - 2012-06-29 12:44:56 UTC
My solution to this:
Minimize the FOREX (with isk) aspect.

  • Pay out LP based on destroyed LP cost of items (such that it's at best close to 100% conversion assuming tier 5 prices).

  • Use the isk value only for items that cannot be purchased from any LP shop.

  • Use base price for t1 modules/ships, limits price manipulation


This lets you convert 1 factions LP to another (with loss + isk input to LP store lost), by the goon's method. So lets you make money by FOREX between different factions LP (if one side's LP ends up worth much more than another).
Sure this will make pirate faction ship kills worth much less, but puts it in line with insurance fraud.

Not sure about other exclusions for certain useless "trade goods".

What other isk price manipulation holes have I missed??
Vokanic
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#274 - 2012-06-29 12:48:01 UTC
The morale of this story is: Dont be the ones doing the risky stuff (the 5 goons), be the coward making a smaller amount of isk by living off the secondary effects.

Hi Jade, hows that 8 bil?


Aryth
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#275 - 2012-06-29 14:24:36 UTC
The line is here!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyDbfCbQnH8

Hey CCP, can I have some complementary fanfest tickets for next year? A little love for the 5T that coulda been.

Leader of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal.

Creator of Burn Jita

Vile Rat: You're the greatest sociopath that has ever played eve.

Ethilia
Freelance Excavation and Resistance
#276 - 2012-06-29 15:10:42 UTC
Aryth wrote:
The line is here!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyDbfCbQnH8

Hey CCP, can I have some complementary fanfest tickets for next year? A little love for the 5T that coulda been.


Out of curiosity, how many PLEX did they give you guys (or just you?) for finding / reporting this whole deal?
Aryth
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#277 - 2012-06-29 15:32:45 UTC
Ethilia wrote:
Aryth wrote:
The line is here!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyDbfCbQnH8

Hey CCP, can I have some complementary fanfest tickets for next year? A little love for the 5T that coulda been.


Out of curiosity, how many PLEX did they give you guys (or just you?) for finding / reporting this whole deal?


None so far. We haven't gotten our capital back yet either. Waiting with baited breath on this so we can get busy on the next zany endevour. aka, Delve

Leader of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal.

Creator of Burn Jita

Vile Rat: You're the greatest sociopath that has ever played eve.

Kayrl Bheskagor
Hedion University
Amarr Empire
#278 - 2012-06-29 16:10:53 UTC  |  Edited by: ISD Stensson
So, to get this straight, they exploited a huge hole created by CCP, they did this for 2 weeks, them and lots of their little buddies profited from this, not to mention the trickle down effect that affected positively and negatively many other players and the whole market in general, and instead of a ban, which is what the EULA says (CCP really needs to read it sometime), you're actually going to "award" Them multiple PLEX for exploiting the game? Wow. ------- Cut by ISD Stensson ------- CCP seems determined to make 2012 more of an epic fail than last year, and the players numbers still haven't rebounded from last year. Well done. Another lost opportunity to show the player base that you know what you're doing, but all it really did was make CCP, what, 0 for 5 on major issues so far this year?

Edit: Rumors removed - ISD Stensson
Vokanic
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#279 - 2012-06-29 16:39:44 UTC  |  Edited by: ISD Stensson
Kayrl Bheskagor wrote:
So, to get this straight, they exploited a huge hole created by CCP, they did this for 2 weeks, them and lots of their little buddies profited from this, not to mention the trickle down effect that affected positively and negatively many other players and the whole market in general, and instead of a ban, which is what the EULA says (CCP really needs to read it sometime), you're actually going to "award" Them multiple PLEX for exploiting the game? Wow. ------- Cut by ISD Stensson ------- CCP seems determined to make 2012 more of an epic fail than last year, and the players numbers still haven't rebounded from last year. Well done. Another lost opportunity to show the player base that you know what you're doing, but all it really did was make CCP, what, 0 for 5 on major issues so far this year?



since when did 5 people = lots?

in the words of goons.. you mad bro?
(in case you cant tell, I'm mocking you for being .. shall we say.. not the 1%?)

Edit: Quote is edited to reflect original post change - ISD Stensson
Ethilia
Freelance Excavation and Resistance
#280 - 2012-06-29 16:50:14 UTC
Aryth wrote:
Ethilia wrote:
Aryth wrote:
The line is here!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyDbfCbQnH8

Hey CCP, can I have some complementary fanfest tickets for next year? A little love for the 5T that coulda been.


Out of curiosity, how many PLEX did they give you guys (or just you?) for finding / reporting this whole deal?


None so far. We haven't gotten our capital back yet either. Waiting with baited breath on this so we can get busy on the next zany endevour. aka, Delve

Usually, hostile take overs by banks are done with $$$ and lawyers and not guns. Are you suggesting there will be a significant financial assault on Delve residents? If so I'd love to see a detailed post on how it was done and what impact it had.