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[ARC] Press Release: Zero Casualty Hive Op

Author
Nevyn Auscent
Broke Sauce
#61 - 2016-08-05 12:28:36 UTC  |  Edited by: Nevyn Auscent
Vollhov Jr wrote:

Due to the negligence of the military leadership of the Empire.

If you can do better against an enemy with superior technology, no strategic vulnerabilities at the time to pin them against, and superior mobility who can hit wherever you happen to be weak and ignore your strongest points in order to whittle down your capabilities, please feel free to demonstrate.

While with proper intel and the right force mix capsuleers can engage in relative 'safety' such safety lies on carefully controlling the battlefield and only engaging very specific drifter forces. Outright open conflict doesn't allow for such control even if the majority of the Amarr navy were capsuleer forces, and were fielding the extremely advanced and rare modules & implants needed for such combat. But it's simply not possible to put the kind of forces used to engage them safely in every single system, even the largest capsuleer alliances wouldn't be able to field that sort of fleet in every single system, let alone in the six or so locations that often got struck simultaneously per system. And baseliner ships are going to get caught in the firing line often as a result.

So..... while I may not always directly agree with .... as much aggression as Alizabeth puts forward, don't go trash talking someone until you've actually been in their position, rather than sitting in the cheap seats with no investment and no risk.
TomHorn
Horn Brothers Holdings Inc.
#62 - 2016-08-05 15:08:42 UTC
Id like to ask what is the End Game for the ARC regarding the Drifter's?

At the moment you are entering these hives killing all that is there and looting , whatever is there to be taken.

You see them as a threat to all the empires, is the genocide of the drifter race your end goal? That would eliminate any threat they posed.

On average how much is the value of the loot you recover from these hives?

The Drifters could retaliate for the attacks on these hives by capsuleers , maybe with the end result being high security space , becoming alot less secure and being downgraded to low security space. Or maybe small fleet random attacks on capsuleers in high security space. Attacking anything that appears in view from freightors and transport ships to frigates and battleships. Your actions could lead to much more serious problems in the future, you must see that as possibility.
Makoto Priano
Kirkinen-Arataka Transhuman Zenith Consulting Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#63 - 2016-08-05 16:11:05 UTC  |  Edited by: Makoto Priano
Mr. Horn, from my prior comment:

Makoto Priano wrote:
First, let me say this. The Arataka Research Consortium is not by design a war-fighting organization. Our purpose is in the name. That we have indeed engaged in defensive actions on behalf of the Amarr Empire, and that we penetrate Drifter Hive systems regularly, is a product of our unique positioning. We need to develop methods of defense and to understand the frankly remarkable technology the Drifters bring to bear. This is to say that while some of our associates and staff have deeply-held beliefs on the matter of the Vigilant Tyrannos, ARC is more an enemy by circumstance than by design.

Of course, were we in a position where the Drifters could safely be ignored as a benign presence in New Eden, then we would likely cease operating against the Hives. In the past, we’ve announced a temporary stay of operations when the Society implied that peace might be possible. Of course, the Society never elaborated, and the necessary preconditions for peace are considerable, so that is a discussion for another time.


Genocide is not on the table as an option, unless a state of total war exists and the Drifters would be an existential threat merely by continuing to exist. I say this only as a 'never say never' approach to the situation. Genocide is not ARC's intention, and I very much doubt it will ever be.

My criteria for a draw-down is as follows:

  1. Development of a means to prevent the stabilization of Drifter wormholes, to prevent Drifters' penetration of secure space at will.
  2. Deployment of systems that disrupt or prevent the use of Drifter Doomsday weapons, to ensure they do not have the first strike capability that was demonstrated on Empress Jamyl I.
  3. Diplomatic communications such as to allow the Concord signatories knowledge of Drifter plans and intentions, so that we may engage in a productive peace.

There are likely more elements that would result from the third of those items, and other finer points as well.

For instance, given the deployment of Drifter response battleships to core wormhole systems, it is possible that the Drifters' strategic objective at this time is to push Capsuleers completely from W-space. That is likely an unenforceable position for Concord, given that Capsuleers have already colonized hundreds if not thousands of systems, and even considering that it would not be a desirable point to cede to the Drifters. It would be unsound unless or until we develop the ability to construct advanced technology vessels on par with the Sleepers', as we would then be ceding the only existent means to produce the most advanced vessels currently available to us.

So, that's a discussion of our general objectives, a notional situation where peace may be possible, and one of the potentially many complications from such a negotiation.

That said, while you seem concerned about potential reprisal, please do note that the Drifters have already demonstrated that they have the will and the means to wage war, and they did this not against Capsuleers generally, or even against ARC or its various affiliate groups, but against the Amarr Empire. The Vigilant Tyrannos have already demonstrated that they are a threat. As I've said before, given this demonstration, I'd prefer to be prepared than rely on wishful thinking in the case of future militancy by the Drifters.

Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries: exploring the edge of the known, advancing the state of the art. Would you like to know more?

Arrendis
TK Corp
#64 - 2016-08-05 17:34:16 UTC
Nevyn Auscent wrote:

If you can do better against an enemy with superior technology, no strategic vulnerabilities at the time to pin them against, and superior mobility who can hit wherever you happen to be weak and ignore your strongest points in order to whittle down your capabilities, please feel free to demonstrate.


Had the Empire and the Khanid kingdom been willing to intervene with CONCORD in order to relax the weapons restrictions to current levels for low-security space, capsuleer forces could have responded to the initial Drifter incursions with appropriate levels of force to meet the limited firepower available.

And considering the understandable, but decidedly sub-standard fitting the TES Seraph was equipped with at the time, and the far smaller numbers of Drifter battleships engaging in each skirmish, it's very likely the capsuleers would have been able to engage without significant loss of life.
Che Biko
Alexylva Paradox
#65 - 2016-08-05 21:44:59 UTC
Morwen Lagann wrote:
You two are more than welcome to go flying into a Hive blabbering on about how you want to be friends with a bunch of reanimated corpses.
You must really think I'm an idiot if you thought that I would think it would be this easy, and that something like this, which has likely been tried at least a few times, would work just because I'd think I'm so awesome.

No, establishing communication with the Drifters (or more accurately, the Drifter power), will likely be a long term project, and I would need to do some research before I could even think about making a serious attempt.
Which is why I am grateful for Mr. Victorian sharing his experiences, and for Ms. Priano for asking him some of the questions I've had the last day. I need to know what has been done before. I'll likely be in touch with more questions.
Alizabeth Vea wrote:
Drifters don't have humanity.
Keeping in mind this may very well be the true is something that may be useful in developing new methods in order to try establish communication with Drifters.

Miss Priano, like Ms. Noduri, I am grateful for your extended posts about the motivations, reasoning, goals and capabilities of ARC. While I can agree that using the same methods to try to establish communication over and over again is likely to be unproductive (I still would not call it a waste of time), I do not think we should stop to think about other methods that have not been tried yet.
I do wish to get clarification on wether or not you have an actual report on the "diplomatic shuttle" being a CONCORD shuttle, as the one in the incident mentioned by Victorian was a standard Gallente shuttle, but in the interest of returning this thread to the original topic, you may respond by mail.

While I am uncertain that you are not making a bad situation worse with your expeditions into the hives and development of defensive strategies etc., I can not deny the possibility that you may, by decreasing the offensive capabilities of the Drifters, provide a reason for them to communicate with us. On the other hand though, by becoming a serious threat, you may also provide a reason for them to get rid of us entirely. Time will tell.

In case I need to say so...I am glad that losses in your engagements with the Drifters have reduced considerably, and applaud your success in that regard. I just wish that there weren't any (reasons for those) engagements in the first place.

Peace,

-Ché Biko
Vollhov Jr
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#66 - 2016-08-05 23:30:01 UTC  |  Edited by: Vollhov Jr
Nevyn Auscent wrote:
Vollhov Jr wrote:

Due to the negligence of the military leadership of the Empire.

If you can do better against an enemy with superior technology, no strategic vulnerabilities at the time to pin them against, and superior mobility who can hit wherever you happen to be weak and ignore your strongest points in order to whittle down your capabilities, please feel free to demonstrate.

While with proper intel and the right force mix capsuleers can engage in relative 'safety' such safety lies on carefully controlling the battlefield and only engaging very specific drifter forces. Outright open conflict doesn't allow for such control even if the majority of the Amarr navy were capsuleer forces, and were fielding the extremely advanced and rare modules & implants needed for such combat. But it's simply not possible to put the kind of forces used to engage them safely in every single system, even the largest capsuleer alliances wouldn't be able to field that sort of fleet in every single system, let alone in the six or so locations that often got struck simultaneously per system. And baseliner ships are going to get caught in the firing line often as a result.

So..... while I may not always directly agree with .... as much aggression as Alizabeth puts forward, don't go trash talking someone until you've actually been in their position, rather than sitting in the cheap seats with no investment and no risk.


I'm talking about leadership the Amarr Empire. (Namely, the military council)
My brother and take more more risks. So do not tell me about the risks.
You can not even imagine than he had risked (throughout its life)

Do Not Stir Up A Hornet's Nest(с)

P.s

I have nothing against to Alizabeth.
Morwen Lagann
Tyrathlion Interstellar
#67 - 2016-08-07 02:26:30 UTC
Our operations in Vidette tonight were also similarly lossless from start to finish.

We had a close call when a Drifter patrol landed on and tackled a pilot in the room behind the rest of the fleet while the fleet was engaging another Drifter, but managed to backtrack to the previous room in time to save the pilot and his crew.

Morwen Lagann

CEO, Tyrathlion Interstellar

Coordinator, Arataka Research Consortium

Owner, The Golden Masque

Makoto Priano
Kirkinen-Arataka Transhuman Zenith Consulting Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#68 - 2016-08-07 05:19:02 UTC
It's almost like we're good at this or something.

Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries: exploring the edge of the known, advancing the state of the art. Would you like to know more?

Alizabeth Vea
Doomheim
#69 - 2016-08-07 05:32:14 UTC
Eleven Drifters; no losses. I say we're pretty good, indeed.

Retainer of Lady Newelle and House Sarum.

"Those who step into the light shall be redeemed, the sins of their past cleansed, so that they may know salvation." -Empress Jamyl Sarum I

Virtue. Valor. Victory.

Makoto Priano
Kirkinen-Arataka Transhuman Zenith Consulting Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#70 - 2016-08-07 05:35:10 UTC
Until they adapt. But then, we will in turn.

Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries: exploring the edge of the known, advancing the state of the art. Would you like to know more?

Slayer Liberator
Fusion Enterprises Ltd
Pandemic Horde
#71 - 2016-08-07 06:10:52 UTC
Makoto Priano wrote:
Until they adapt. But then, we will in turn.

You better hope they don't start adapting faster than you are
Alizabeth Vea
Doomheim
#72 - 2016-08-07 06:22:53 UTC
Actually, I think we're inside their OODA loop, now.

Retainer of Lady Newelle and House Sarum.

"Those who step into the light shall be redeemed, the sins of their past cleansed, so that they may know salvation." -Empress Jamyl Sarum I

Virtue. Valor. Victory.

Ibrahim Tash-Murkon
Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#73 - 2016-08-07 06:54:00 UTC
I think the Evocatus is right. Technological superiority might have easily made the Drifters so complacent as to think that they could eschew tactical thinking. Brute force and ignorance can be very successful, to the point of seeming unbeatable, until a dash of cleverness and a pinch of resolve presents a novel response and the whole facade comes tumbling down.

The Drifters will lose. They know more than we do. But we are smarter. And in that difference is our victory.

"I give you the destiny of Faith, and you will bring its message to every planet of every star in the heavens: Go forth, conquer in my Name, and reclaim that which I have given." - Book of Reclaiming 22:13

Arrendis
TK Corp
#74 - 2016-08-07 16:19:41 UTC  |  Edited by: Arrendis
Ibrahim Tash-Murkon wrote:
They know more than we do. But we are smarter.


This is a very dangerous line of thinking. These have been very successful forays, and eleven dead Drifters with no losses is definitely an accomplishment to be proud of. However, eleven dead Drifters is roughly 1/10th of the forces they brought to bear in a single attack a year ago, and these eleven were encountered singly or in pairs. Were the expeditionary group to encounter Drifter battleships in larger simultaneous numbers, the results might be significantly different. Even as few as four or five would likely present a significant increase in the odds of catastrophic failure.

We also have no reason to believe they have not been producing additional battleships at a decent pace in the meantime. Their absolute production capabilities remain unknown to us. For that matter, their absolute numbers remain unknown. The systems capsuleers have seen to this point do not account for even those ships that struck Seraph.

For all we know, they have been producing ships we would consider titans. We know they have significantly more advanced military technology. We have no reason to believe they do not have similarly advanced production capabilities. It took approximately half a year for all parties to replace the losses of B-R5RB, in terms of ship count and type. Eleven battleships a week wouldn't make most of the lesser null powers notice.

As Alizabeth says, the expeditionary group appears to be inside the enemy's OODA loop right now - appears. This is an achievement to be proud of, and one to continue to build upon, and I know she is committed to doing these things. That does not mean this is a time to begin making assumptions about being smarter than an enemy about which we still know next to nothing. For all we know, they are letting the expeditionary group inflict what they consider to be acceptable losses, while massing for a saturation-level assault on an entire region.

Be optimistic. Be hopeful. Do not get cocky.
Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#75 - 2016-08-07 17:39:41 UTC  |  Edited by: Aria Jenneth
My main concern is that the Drifters' actual game plan might involve something entirely other than defeating us in the field. In terms of strategies for fighting capsuleers, that's exactly the wrong way to do it: hitting us where we're strongest. Considering how much intel the Drifters probably have on us, it would be strange if that was truly their intent.

You've seen a Nexus, now, Ms. Arrendis. Bearing in mind that there are four others just like that one and we still don't know what they're for (even if we have some idea what they are, at least in part), I'd be interested in your thoughts about it.
Arrendis
TK Corp
#76 - 2016-08-07 18:22:28 UTC
I'm not even sure I'd risk speculating. The electrical discharges might be indicative of internal power still working, or it might be a static result of the motion of ferrous material through a still-fluctuating magnetic field. Unfortunately, my Scythe wasn't at all equipped to study the phenomena. For that I'd probably want to extensively modify a larger, dedicated scientific platform, like a Nestor-class Fleet Service Ship. (Let's face it, CONCORD's insistence that large-class hulls using only basic production tech other than the Orca are all 'battleships' is just ridiculous. The Nestor is clearly designed to function as a fleet service vessel for an expeditionary group of Stratios- or Astero-class vessels.)

Unfortunately, I'd also want to spend a few months cloaked up over the Nexus, collecting data that way, and right now, I have other obligations that I cannot abandon.
Ibrahim Tash-Murkon
Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#77 - 2016-08-07 18:28:20 UTC
Arrendis wrote:
Be optimistic. Be hopeful. Do not get cocky.


I state fact. Cockiness is for elsewhere.


"I give you the destiny of Faith, and you will bring its message to every planet of every star in the heavens: Go forth, conquer in my Name, and reclaim that which I have given." - Book of Reclaiming 22:13

Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#78 - 2016-08-07 18:49:58 UTC
Arrendis wrote:
Unfortunately, I'd also want to spend a few months cloaked up over the Nexus, collecting data that way, and right now, I have other obligations that I cannot abandon.


Well-- we can hope that the SOE have the same idea. They certainly have research fleets in-system; it would be very strange if the Nexus weren't one of their subjects of study.

We can also hope that if they get results, they'll share them.
Arrendis
TK Corp
#79 - 2016-08-07 19:03:30 UTC
Ibrahim Tash-Murkon wrote:


I state fact. Cockiness is for elsewhere.



You assert opinion, bereft of any empirical evidence.
Ibrahim Tash-Murkon
Itsukame-Zainou Hyperspatial Inquiries Ltd.
Arataka Research Consortium
#80 - 2016-08-07 19:58:30 UTC
Arrendis wrote:
You assert opinion, bereft of any empirical evidence.

If I recall correctly the last thing we argued about was your claim that the Bee Empire rivaled the true empires in size and permanence so, you know, maybe don't too eagerly swing for another miss.

"I give you the destiny of Faith, and you will bring its message to every planet of every star in the heavens: Go forth, conquer in my Name, and reclaim that which I have given." - Book of Reclaiming 22:13