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[April] Ore, Mineral and Nullsec Mining Anomaly Revamp

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Sizeof Void
Ninja Suicide Squadron
#661 - 2015-04-24 03:24:02 UTC
Anhenka wrote:
Do you really suggest we just say nothing to responses like these and through silence, endorse them?

Pretty much, yes.

The forums really cease to be useful feedback, when CCP devs stop reading them and stop responding, due to the needless trolling.

Sure, some of it is fun, but many people either tend to lose perspective (ie. this is a game) or get too caught up in role playing (ie. hi, I'm a digital mother****ing bad***).

Make your point, once, clearly and succinctly, then let the others have their say. Trying to force your opinion by ridiculing others, cutting down what they are saying, erecting walls of text, etc. is a typical ploy of idiots like Bill O'Reilly and the blonde bimbo, Megan what's her face - who are just trying to garner ratings for Fox. I'd like to think that we're all better than that. :)

Ok, getting off the soapbox now.... need another beer...
Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#662 - 2015-04-24 05:25:57 UTC  |  Edited by: Teckos Pech
Sizeof Void wrote:
Anhenka wrote:
Do you really suggest we just say nothing to responses like these and through silence, endorse them?

Pretty much, yes.

The forums really cease to be useful feedback, when CCP devs stop reading them and stop responding, due to the needless trolling.

Sure, some of it is fun, but many people either tend to lose perspective (ie. this is a game) or get too caught up in role playing (ie. hi, I'm a digital mother****ing bad***).


Dude, maybe then you should stop commenting.

Sizeof Void wrote:
Make your point, once, clearly and succinctly, then let the others have their say. Trying to force your opinion by ridiculing others, cutting down what they are saying, erecting walls of text, etc. is a typical ploy of idiots like Bill O'Reilly and the blonde bimbo, Megan what's her face - who are just trying to garner ratings for Fox. I'd like to think that we're all better than that. :)

Ok, getting off the soapbox now.... need another beer...


Wow...the irony, it is killing me. Roll

Edit:
Oh, and I don't know if this is your main or not, but if it is...I probably have more time in HS than you do. Roll

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

Fzhal
#663 - 2015-04-24 13:49:12 UTC
Wow, what a bunch of whining and trolling... CCP Fozzie, just remove 80%-90% of the roids in game everywhere, then put a bunch of Anoms (that respawn elsewhere immediately and # are tied to people in system) in Thera that can spawn more than 14 AU from celestials. Much popcorn would be had!
Haffsol
#664 - 2015-04-24 14:16:31 UTC  |  Edited by: Haffsol
EDIT: gotit
GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#665 - 2015-04-24 15:05:26 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile
Frostys Virpio
State War Academy
Caldari State
#666 - 2015-04-24 15:24:14 UTC
GankYou wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile


Did battleship really need a cost increase tho?
GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#667 - 2015-04-24 15:39:27 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
As I've mentioned, it will rebalance with the prices of Lowends going lower and spreading their share to Highends in a few months time. Blink

Tritanium alone going from 5.5 to 4.5 would shave 14 mil off the cost. Mexallon at 42-43 ISK p/u is also nice.

Oooh, and Pyerite at 9.35, and Isogen at 105 p/u... And...

Pirate
Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#668 - 2015-04-24 16:42:35 UTC
GankYou wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile


Just curious when you say net supply/demand being positive do you mean that there is an excess supply--i.e. more on the market than is being bought?

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#669 - 2015-04-24 16:43:42 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile


Just curious when you say net supply/demand being positive do you mean that there is an excess supply--i.e. more on the market than is being bought?


Of course. Smile

Enter 1800 there and see the its dynamics for the last 5 years. Price history for long-er periods can also be obtained the same way - on the History tab.
Mario Putzo
#670 - 2015-04-24 16:49:49 UTC  |  Edited by: Mario Putzo
Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile


Just curious when you say net supply/demand being positive do you mean that there is an excess supply--i.e. more on the market than is being bought?


More or less ya, it seems that the consumers of the bulk low ends (capital/supercapital producers) have begun pulling buy orders, supply is also likely up as folks are trying to dump their stocks before the market for low ends implodes on itself, since the majority of low end miners just dump their **** into the buy orders, filthy casuals tanking the market faster than any NS cartel ever could...hear that Dinsdale.

Highends still seem to be under represented though on the whole. Which is probably because folks in NS are collectively sitting on their hands waiting for the changes to process.

It should be good couple months for the asset junkies to stock up on cheaper stuff, before the market balances back out and production becomes more expensive though, especially on the lower end. (probably won't see the price effectively rise until mid june/july depending on what Sov changes Fozzie has in store for us.)
Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#671 - 2015-04-24 16:54:20 UTC
GankYou wrote:
As I've mentioned, it will rebalance with the prices of Lowends going lower and spreading their share to Highends in a few months time. Blink

Tritanium alone going from 5.5 to 4.5 would shave 14 mil off the cost. Mexallon at 42-43 ISK p/u is also nice.

Oooh, and Pyerite at 9.35, and Isogen at 105 p/u... And...

Pirate


I think this is correct. We haven't seen all the dust settle on this yet.

Heck I'm not even entirely convinced that the market for low end minerals will change all that much since about the same amount will essentially be used. What will change is who gets "paid" for those low ends which is why many HS miners are complaining. If null miners start soaking up lots more low ends and then either selling to the builders (also) or building with it themselves then I'm not sure the prices will be impacted that much.

And then there will be avoided transport costs as well. Instead of having to move disgusting amounts of low ends and spend millions on JF Fuel.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#672 - 2015-04-24 16:55:41 UTC  |  Edited by: Teckos Pech
GankYou wrote:
Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=417056&find=unread

Lowend Mineral Price Tracking [2015] stated on April 6th - for those of you interested. Smile

Both Mexallon & Tritanium net supply/demand has gone positive for the first time since 2013. Then - it may have been decreased demand in times of peace, this time it is a structural and fundamental move:

http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=34#supply
http://eve-markets.net/detail?typeid=36#supply

I welcome the coming reasonable T1 cost rebalance, courtesy of the Eternal Market Forces, in light of the doubling of Mega & Zyd inputs in manufacturing. Battleship cost will go up by mere 13-17 mil following these changes, while still not even being close to the share taken by Tritanium, Pyerite and Mexallon.

Tritanium alone accounts for 73 mil in the case of the Abaddon battleship, for an example. Smile


Just curious when you say net supply/demand being positive do you mean that there is an excess supply--i.e. more on the market than is being bought?


Of course. Smile

Enter 1800 there and see the its dynamics for the last 5 years. Price history for long-er periods can also be obtained the same way - on the History tab.


Ahhh....1800...awesome did not know that. Duh.

Was just thinking having a nice longer history would be nice. Thanks.

Edit 1:

Just looked at the 5 year history of pyerite and I have to say, the market for pyerite seems rather unperturbed by the proposed changes. Back in 2013 there was quite a stretch where pyerite prices were well under 12 ISK (sell order price). And there does not seem to be a sudden drop in pyerite prices in the last 60 days. There has been a slight decrease in price, but we are talking from a sell order price high of 12.83 to 12.1. That is is well above where it was in 2013.

Edit 2:

Just looked at trit prices as well and saw nothing shocking there either. Yes trit is trending down, but has been for quite sometime. This change seems to have had little impact on low ends at this point. And if it were we'd probably have seen it already. Markets and market participants are forward looking in nature. In RL take a gasoline refinery off line unexpectedly and prices at the pump go up. Why? Because everyone knows supply just became tighter and the gasoline in the tanks at the station became just that much more valuable...so prices rise. Almost immediately.

We aren't seeing that with tritanium or pyerite. Could it be "its just a game"? Maybe, but when we look at zydrine and megacyte we see market patterns that fit with actual markets...so I'm doubtful on this one.

In terms of prices for low ends, not much may happen...what may happen is where it is bought and sold...instead of Jita 4-4 it will be more distributed around null...and IMO that is a good thing. I get that those players who just never want to set foot in null may be negatively impacted, but you had a good run...might be time to look at a new career in New Eden.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

Mario Putzo
#673 - 2015-04-24 17:04:27 UTC  |  Edited by: Mario Putzo
Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
As I've mentioned, it will rebalance with the prices of Lowends going lower and spreading their share to Highends in a few months time. Blink

Tritanium alone going from 5.5 to 4.5 would shave 14 mil off the cost. Mexallon at 42-43 ISK p/u is also nice.

Oooh, and Pyerite at 9.35, and Isogen at 105 p/u... And...

Pirate


I think this is correct. We haven't seen all the dust settle on this yet.

Heck I'm not even entirely convinced that the market for low end minerals will change all that much since about the same amount will essentially be used. What will change is who gets "paid" for those low ends which is why many HS miners are complaining. If null miners start soaking up lots more low ends and then either selling to the builders (also) or building with it themselves then I'm not sure the prices will be impacted that much.

And then there will be avoided transport costs as well. Instead of having to move disgusting amounts of low ends and spend millions on JF Fuel.



Im not entirely sure why the miners would be complaining, their product is still going to be consumed at the same rate, and its still going to be more time efficient for the producers of "big stuff" to pull low ends from HS, at least until JFs get hit with a 5ly Jump Range. They might lose a bit of income to NS for smaller scale module producers though who can more easily source production from their own backyards (but really for module and most ship production this has always been the case anyway). I personally do not see NS becoming a bastion of mining fleets, then again, tweaks to the industrial bonuses from Fozziesov have yet to be fully ironed out by CCP so there may yet be even more incentive coming to miners in NS.

The only folks who have a legit gripe are T1 producers in HS, and even then, its only the entry level to mid skilled producers that will get hit, anyone who can produce T2 in HS will just be able to roll the costs over.
GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#674 - 2015-04-24 17:05:01 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Teckos Pech wrote:
Just looked at the 5 year history of pyerite and I have to say, the market for pyerite seems rather unperturbed by the proposed changes. Back in 2013 there was quite a stretch where pyerite prices were well under 12 ISK (sell order price). And there does not seem to be a sudden drop in pyerite prices in the last 60 days. There has been a slight decrease in price, but we are talking from a sell order price high of 12.83 to 12.1. That is is well above where it was in 2013.


No major price moves will happen until either the demand shifts from Highsec to Null, or till the newly-generated supply in Nullsec starts to leave the one in HS high and dry, or both. Blink Such fundamental changes happen gradually and can not be forced by the market due the nature of these very resources.

A 14% drop in the price of Mexallon since Feb is a notable start.

As it stands right now, smart people are disposing of liabilities, i.e. capital ships, lowend mineral stocks etc. I myself have quite a few Lowends locked in SKINed Battleship hulls right now. P
Mario Putzo
#675 - 2015-04-24 17:07:14 UTC
GankYou wrote:
No major price moves will happen until either the demand shifts from Highsec to Null, or till the newly-generated supply in Nullsec starts to leave the one in HS high and dry, or both. Blink

As it stands right now, smart people are disposing of liabilities, i.e. capital ships, lowend mineral stocks, battleships, etc. I myself have quite a few Lowends locked in SKINed Battleship hulls right now. P


Hell ya, its a good time to be an asset junkie that is for sure.
Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#676 - 2015-04-24 17:17:26 UTC
GankYou wrote:
Teckos Pech wrote:


Just looked at the 5 year history of pyerite and I have to say, the market for pyerite seems rather unperturbed by the proposed changes. Back in 2013 there was quite a stretch where pyerite prices were well under 12 ISK (sell order price). And there does not seem to be a sudden drop in pyerite prices in the last 60 days. There has been a slight decrease in price, but we are talking from a sell order price high of 12.83 to 12.1. That is is well above where it was in 2013.


No major price moves will happen until either the demand shifts from Highsec to Null, or till the newly-generated supply in Nullsec starts to leave the one in HS high and dry, or both. Blink Such fundamental changes happen gradually and can not be forced by the market due the nature of the resources.

A 14% drop in the price of Mexallon since Feb is a notable start.

As it stands right now, smart people are disposing of liabilities, i.e. capital ships, lowend mineral stocks, etc. I myself have quite a few Lowends locked in SKINed Battleship hulls right now. P


I'm not totally convinced we'll see a price move even then. After all trit is the same no matter where you are. Of course we have a global market right now in game with a big chunk of it moving through Jita 4-4 and Amarr...if the market becomes more distributed and less transportation costs...v0v.

At any rate, I'm very curious to see how things play out.

My guess is we have yet to see the price of zydrine hit its peak. Same for megacyte.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#677 - 2015-04-24 17:17:27 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Mario Putzo wrote:

The only folks who have a legit gripe are T1 producers in HS, and even then, its only the entry level to mid skilled producers that will get hit, anyone who can produce T2 in HS will just be able to roll the costs over.


Why would producers be discontent? They should be delighted. Smile

Lower input costs, means lower prices for the customer, which in turns means more inventory gets moved - you can even retain the same profit margins.

Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
Teckos Pech wrote:


Just looked at the 5 year history of pyerite and I have to say, the market for pyerite seems rather unperturbed by the proposed changes. Back in 2013 there was quite a stretch where pyerite prices were well under 12 ISK (sell order price). And there does not seem to be a sudden drop in pyerite prices in the last 60 days. There has been a slight decrease in price, but we are talking from a sell order price high of 12.83 to 12.1. That is is well above where it was in 2013.


No major price moves will happen until either the demand shifts from Highsec to Null, or till the newly-generated supply in Nullsec starts to leave the one in HS high and dry, or both. Blink Such fundamental changes happen gradually and can not be forced by the market due the nature of the resources.

A 14% drop in the price of Mexallon since Feb is a notable start.

As it stands right now, smart people are disposing of liabilities, i.e. capital ships, lowend mineral stocks, etc. I myself have quite a few Lowends locked in SKINed Battleship hulls right now. P


I'm not totally convinced we'll see a price move even then. After all trit is the same no matter where you are. Of course we have a global market right now in game with a big chunk of it moving through Jita 4-4 and Amarr...if the market becomes more distributed and less transportation costs...v0v.

At any rate, I'm very curious to see how things play out.

My guess is we have yet to see the price of zydrine hit its peak. Same for megacyte.


Like I said, this is only the beginning - new supply coming online and demand shifting elsewhere is an irresistible Force and can not be reasoned with. Smile

As for Mega/Zyd - I see them going back to the good old days, well, perhaps not 5600/4000 ISK p/u respectively, but closer to 4500/3100, maybe spiking even more, courtesy of the Sov system shake up and ensuing wars. Blink
Mario Putzo
#678 - 2015-04-24 17:28:25 UTC
GankYou wrote:
Mario Putzo wrote:

The only folks who have a legit gripe are T1 producers in HS, and even then, its only the entry level to mid skilled producers that will get hit, anyone who can produce T2 in HS will just be able to roll the costs over.


Why would producers be discontent? They should be delighted. Smile

Lower input costs, means lower prices for the customer, which in turns means more inventory gets moved - you can even retain the same profit margins.


For entry level production and mid skilled production this won't be the case though. Market availability for the High Ends is going to be diminished, the severity of course depends on how much folks take to NS production revamps. either way it is bad for entry level producers and guys who can't roll costs into T2 production. For folks who are already invested into production (skill wise/BP research wise) it won't be as big an issue.

CCP seems to be taking with one hand and giving with the other. For folks coming into the game production is being pushed a little more out of their reach, same applies to folks already in game looking for something to do.

I mean for me this is all gravy, and on a personal level I can't complain really either way. But as a fan of EVE and its many professions, this is going to impact folks new to production (all be it existing players will have the capital to support this, despite having lacking skills I am sure.)
Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#679 - 2015-04-24 17:32:14 UTC
GankYou wrote:
Mario Putzo wrote:

The only folks who have a legit gripe are T1 producers in HS, and even then, its only the entry level to mid skilled producers that will get hit, anyone who can produce T2 in HS will just be able to roll the costs over.


Why would producers be discontent? They should be delighted. Smile

Lower input costs, means lower prices for the customer, which in turns means more inventory gets moved - you can even retain the same profit margins.


Maybe. Lower input costs change the variable cost portion of manufacturing. That is not a huge thing, IMO. What is bigger are fixed costs. High fixed costs can act as a barrier to entry. A barrier to entry favors current market participants--i.e. they have more market power than they otherwise would have--i.e. higher prices and profit margins.

What would be a barrier in HS? Back before the changes to industry it was a POS which had fairly significant HS costs. You needed standings which you either had to grind or pay someone. Now that is gone. I don't recall much hand wringing and protesting during those changes, but then I wasn't watching the forums like now.

I can't but think that most of the sturm und drang in this thread is due to rent seeking. Many HS players are seeing things change possibly negatively for them and so they come here and complain. Perfect example, was that poster a few pages back demanding that HS mining income be maintained at its current level no matter what.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#680 - 2015-04-24 17:34:19 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Mario Putzo wrote:
GankYou wrote:
Mario Putzo wrote:

The only folks who have a legit gripe are T1 producers in HS, and even then, its only the entry level to mid skilled producers that will get hit, anyone who can produce T2 in HS will just be able to roll the costs over.


Why would producers be discontent? They should be delighted. Smile

Lower input costs, means lower prices for the customer, which in turns means more inventory gets moved - you can even retain the same profit margins.


For entry level production and mid skilled production this won't be the case though.


Give a few examples with Blueprint Bill of Materials and we will see whether that is the case. Blink

Yes, overnight costs on products involving Zydr & Megacyte on April 28th will go up, but over time the net will either stay the same or even decrease due to lowends returning to their historical mean prices.