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Xenuria: CSM 10

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Xenuria
#21 - 2014-09-14 15:41:13 UTC
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Uh... What?

CCP are using a Wright single transferable vote system. The position of people on a ballot has no effect on any other ballot. Votes cascade down at a percentage of the voting power for a candidate which exceeds the number needed. It doesn't matter where someone else's vote puts a candidate.


If you need 250 votes to be elected, and you get 1000, all active ballots with you on them cascade down to the next candidate at 75% efficiency.



At the risk of sounding rude, I don't think you understand what I am saying. Unless CCP changed something since last election the problem I describe still exists.
Steve Ronuken
Fuzzwork Enterprises
Vote Steve Ronuken for CSM
#22 - 2014-09-14 15:44:06 UTC
Xenuria wrote:
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Uh... What?

CCP are using a Wright single transferable vote system. The position of people on a ballot has no effect on any other ballot. Votes cascade down at a percentage of the voting power for a candidate which exceeds the number needed. It doesn't matter where someone else's vote puts a candidate.


If you need 250 votes to be elected, and you get 1000, all active ballots with you on them cascade down to the next candidate at 75% efficiency.



At the risk of sounding rude, I don't think you understand what I am saying.



Then explain it. Because you're claiming that someone else can affect the value of my vote in a negative fashion.

Either that, or you're being disingenuous in your wording of 'Whaaa, the CFC can get more people to vote, which means the people who voted for me have their votes be a smaller percentage of the total'

Woo! CSM XI!

Fuzzwork Enterprises

Twitter: @fuzzysteve on Twitter

Xenuria
#23 - 2014-09-17 00:01:20 UTC  |  Edited by: Xenuria
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Xenuria wrote:
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Uh... What?

CCP are using a Wright single transferable vote system. The position of people on a ballot has no effect on any other ballot. Votes cascade down at a percentage of the voting power for a candidate which exceeds the number needed. It doesn't matter where someone else's vote puts a candidate.


If you need 250 votes to be elected, and you get 1000, all active ballots with you on them cascade down to the next candidate at 75% efficiency.



At the risk of sounding rude, I don't think you understand what I am saying.



Then explain it. Because you're claiming that someone else can affect the value of my vote in a negative fashion.

Either that, or you're being disingenuous in your wording of 'Whaaa, the CFC can get more people to vote, which means the people who voted for me have their votes be a smaller percentage of the total'


I assumed wrongly that the wikipedia article on the specific voting method would explain it.

No voting system is perfect but obviously some are more prone to abuse in certain situations.

The vote power can be affected in a negative way mathematically by manipulating ballot positions to "counter" common ballots of other blocs.

Example:


CFC ballot: A B C D L K M

Bloc 1 ballot: M U I W D L P


Even though "M" is the first choice on a "common ballot" or "ballot configuration" if another alliance or entity wants to make sure that person gets less of a vote they can put that person on the tail end of their ballot. If CFC ballot had no M on it then M would have MORE VOTE POWER.


That is how you do it.
mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#24 - 2014-09-18 20:00:20 UTC
...the wiki article didn't explain it because STV doesn't work that way, or at the very least Wright STV doesn't work that way. So here's what happens in your mock election, assuming 2000 "common ballot" and 1000 CFC votes, with a quota of 1000 (which means two seats - quota = votes/[seats + 1]). First-choice appearances are tallied, which gives us M and then A as meeting the quota and...that's it. They get elected, election over.

2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots ends the same way in the above example.

If it's a three seat election then quota = 3000/4 = 750 votes for election. As with above, first choice votes are tallied, M has 2000 votes, A has 1000 votes, both are provisionally elected. Excess votes on the Bloc 1 ballot are calculated first, as they have more votes. There are 1250 excess votes, 2000 total votes were cast on that line, so 1250/2000 = .625 votes per ballot in the line passes to the second place candidate on the list, or .625 * 2000 = 1250 (obviously the math is easy with such a simple set of ballots, it gets much messier and complicated when you have more variety). Anyway, U has more than 750 votes, so U is elected, and the election is done - all three seats have been filled.

Flip that around, 2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots and it works the same way, except A & M are elected and CFC excess elects B. Bloc 1 ballots have excess as well, which they never get a change to distribute, though it doesn't actually matter as 250 votes won't elect anyone anyway.

Four seat? Quota of 600 votes. Back to the original example, A & M are elected, U is elected from 1400 spill-over votes, his spill-over is then calculated, 800 votes pass to I. Likewise, 2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots elects A and M and then B & C.

etc

So let's take the extreme example. 2000 CFC votes and 1000 Bloc 1 votes, but the election is for 8 seats, so a quota of 334 votes. The earlier mentioned simplistic nature of the ballots makes calculating this really easy - take 2000 and subtract 334 votes, pass to the next in line. So A is elected with 2000 votes, passes 1667 to B, who passes 1332 to C, who passes 998 to D, who passes 664 to L, who passes 330 to K. Well, crap, still not enough seats to prove my point, really... we wind up wiith A, M, B, C, D, and L elected, then it distributes excess on the Bloc 1 ballot and we pick up U and I as well.

Huh. Not enough to prove my point. What about a 10 seat election? I can't hardly go any higher than that, you've only got 12 candidates listed. So now we've got 273 votes as a quota, 2000 votes for the CFC ballot, 1000 for the bloc 1. And now we're talking. Candidates A & M are elected, the line with A on it has the most votes, so their excess is distributed. And wouldn't you know it, it trickles down to 362 votes passing along their line to Candidate M, who according to you now loses the election, or something.

Well no, not really. He's already elected, so those votes skip him, try to go to the next person, which doesn't exist, and so just fizzle out and do nothing. We've only got 8 people elected and need 10, so we move on to count the excess on the Bloc 1 ballot, and enough votes cascade down to elect U and I as well.

Works the same way in reverse if we say Bloc 1 has 2000 votes and the CFC ballot has 1000. M and A are elected, then U, I, W, D, L and P make it in on M's spillover, B and C make it on A's spillover.

At no point in this process does it matter at all that M was listed on the tail end of the CFC ballot, and I'm not sure there's any STV system where just listing someone on the end of your ballot is a route to ****ing them over, just because it's such a blindingly obvious hole in these voting systems, which believe it or not, were crafted by their designers to be fair.

So yeah. There's that.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Xenuria
#25 - 2014-09-18 23:57:38 UTC  |  Edited by: Xenuria
mynnna wrote:
...the wiki article didn't explain it because STV doesn't work that way, or at the very least Wright STV doesn't work that way. So here's what happens in your mock election, assuming 2000 "common ballot" and 1000 CFC votes, with a quota of 1000 (which means two seats - quota = votes/[seats + 1]). First-choice appearances are tallied, which gives us M and then A as meeting the quota and...that's it. They get elected, election over.

2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots ends the same way in the above example.

If it's a three seat election then quota = 3000/4 = 750 votes for election. As with above, first choice votes are tallied, M has 2000 votes, A has 1000 votes, both are provisionally elected. Excess votes on the Bloc 1 ballot are calculated first, as they have more votes. There are 1250 excess votes, 2000 total votes were cast on that line, so 1250/2000 = .625 votes per ballot in the line passes to the second place candidate on the list, or .625 * 2000 = 1250 (obviously the math is easy with such a simple set of ballots, it gets much messier and complicated when you have more variety). Anyway, U has more than 750 votes, so U is elected, and the election is done - all three seats have been filled.

Flip that around, 2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots and it works the same way, except A & M are elected and CFC excess elects B. Bloc 1 ballots have excess as well, which they never get a change to distribute, though it doesn't actually matter as 250 votes won't elect anyone anyway.

Four seat? Quota of 600 votes. Back to the original example, A & M are elected, U is elected from 1400 spill-over votes, his spill-over is then calculated, 800 votes pass to I. Likewise, 2000 CFC ballots and 1000 Bloc 1 ballots elects A and M and then B & C.

etc

So let's take the extreme example. 2000 CFC votes and 1000 Bloc 1 votes, but the election is for 8 seats, so a quota of 334 votes. The earlier mentioned simplistic nature of the ballots makes calculating this really easy - take 2000 and subtract 334 votes, pass to the next in line. So A is elected with 2000 votes, passes 1667 to B, who passes 1332 to C, who passes 998 to D, who passes 664 to L, who passes 330 to K. Well, crap, still not enough seats to prove my point, really... we wind up wiith A, M, B, C, D, and L elected, then it distributes excess on the Bloc 1 ballot and we pick up U and I as well.

Huh. Not enough to prove my point. What about a 10 seat election? I can't hardly go any higher than that, you've only got 12 candidates listed. So now we've got 273 votes as a quota, 2000 votes for the CFC ballot, 1000 for the bloc 1. And now we're talking. Candidates A & M are elected, the line with A on it has the most votes, so their excess is distributed. And wouldn't you know it, it trickles down to 362 votes passing along their line to Candidate M, who according to you now loses the election, or something.

Well no, not really. He's already elected, so those votes skip him, try to go to the next person, which doesn't exist, and so just fizzle out and do nothing. We've only got 8 people elected and need 10, so we move on to count the excess on the Bloc 1 ballot, and enough votes cascade down to elect U and I as well.

Works the same way in reverse if we say Bloc 1 has 2000 votes and the CFC ballot has 1000. M and A are elected, then U, I, W, D, L and P make it in on M's spillover, B and C make it on A's spillover.

At no point in this process does it matter at all that M was listed on the tail end of the CFC ballot, and I'm not sure there's any STV system where just listing someone on the end of your ballot is a route to ****ing them over, just because it's such a blindingly obvious hole in these voting systems, which believe it or not, were crafted by their designers to be fair.

So yeah. There's that.


Funny how we keep bumping into each other.
I am not very good with numbers so I am not in a good position to refute your essay on the subject matter.
Maybe I missed something or overlooked something, it's very likely any time numbers are involved.
Even conceding that particular point the fact that The Mittani can buy up thousands of accounts just months before the deadline and use them for votes is something I think should at the very least be discussed internally by the CSM.

CCP has maintained that scamming or coercing votes out of people is perfectly legitimate, just as is paying people isk for votes.

However I feel that the ~meta~ of having enough money in real life or in plex to farm accounts for the sole purpose of voting is unfair. I have said it before and I will say it again. EvE is a microcosm of a social civilization. As such the same ills of any real world system of voting or governance can be seen here in new eden. The CSM being stacked with CFC members is not in dispute at this point, rather what is a subject of discussion is should anything be done about it.


Is this echo chamber "working as intended" or are external factors being used unfairly. If you wanted to spear head that line of discussion you would save me having to run for CSM.
mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#26 - 2014-09-19 01:11:08 UTC  |  Edited by: mynnna
Steve mentioned the discussion in the thread to me, so I swung by to take a look. Seeing as I wrote an extensively read blog post on the topic back when CCP swapped to Wright, misunderstandings of the system are at least of casual understanding to me, regardless of who is making them. In any case, use that as a starter, read the wiki etc if you're worried I may have distorted it in my blog, and take the the time to educate yourself on how the system actually works, then perhaps we can have a discussion about the system without resorting to things that neither side can satisfactorily prove or disprove like "buying thousands of accounts to vote with."


As to the CSM being "stacked" with CFC numbers, I can pretty much assure you that the number of CFC members on the CSM is more or less exactly commensurate with the total proportion of votes cast, plus or minus the granularity brought on by "thousands of votes" as compared to "fourteen slots". I did however just return from a night of drinking in Iceland, so **** if I can go back and dig into the ballot right now to demonstrate this.

However, if you agree that Two Step is probably a neutral, uninterested party, you can use his numbers here. We put two definitively CFC candidates on the council, by which I mean we had two people - myself and Sion - in our top slot of the recommended ballot. Ancillary candidates included Angry Moustache, Jayne Fillion and Xander Phoena, who made it in. Technically you can call Ali Aras a CFC candidate as well - she was featured prominently on the ballot - but while Two Step's analysis doesn't show this, a cursory examination of the results file will show you that she made it in entirely on the strength of her own support, and ours didn't actually do anything for her.

Anyway.

Based on Two Step's analysis, we cast anywhere from 14% to 26% of the votes, depending on whether you count full votes only, or full votes and partial votes, or somewhere in between. See his thread for definitions of that. STV is supposed to produce a result proportional to the voting population (that's important and we'll come back to it). So, 14% times 14 seats - that's 1.96 candidates on the council, more or less exactly equal to Sion and I. At 26%, it'd be 3.64 candidates on the council. As Xander very likely had a decent chunk of his own support in addition to whatever votes cascaded down to him, plus whatever portion of GENTS (at the time) listed him in first place, I think it's pretty safe to say that the CFC is in fact represented exactly as we should be given the turnout for this year.


Which brings me back to that important phrase "the voting population." Whether you believe or not that the votes are "real" or are just dummy accounts...doesn't matter, really. No election system in the world can claim to accurately represent a population where a portion of the population does not vote, and frankly the EVE population is put to shame by approximately "every democratic country on the planet" when it comes to turnout. And again being perfectly frank, there are two kinds of people in EVE: Those who, to be charitable, do not like you, and those who have not heard of you. The latter probably also fall into the category of "do not vote." If you want to do something to diminish the CFC's presence on the CFC, my recommendation would be to try to reach out to those people and get them voting, rather than try to run yourself. Good luck - many others have tried.

With that said, I'm drunk and tired, and my bed is calling. I'm out - peace.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Xenuria
#27 - 2014-09-19 13:30:43 UTC
I understand what you are saying I just don't agree with all of it.


You say that if the number of CFC candidates is proportional to the voting bloc than no problem exists.


I simply disagree.
EvE is not perfect, it's just as crooked and messy as anything in the real world. That said I think that all players are stakeholders in eve as a product, as such rules should exist to limit or at the very least shine light on the presence of an echo chamber.



Even if you aren't willing to entertain the idea that your master buys accounts for voting you can at least accept the plausibility of such a tactic. Money/Isk should not equal votes/delegates at least not at a 1 to 1 relation. Right now it does. I see this as a structural problem with the CSM.

Hypothetically a single player can change an entire election simply by being inordinately wealthy and committed to doing so.
mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#28 - 2014-09-20 21:04:48 UTC
You're essentially engaging a question that's been around for as long as the idea of voting has been; namely do those that do not engage deserve a voice. You may not be asking it directly, but what you are putting forward is just another angle, another side of the question.

The voting system in EVE is wide open. There's nothing about the system itself that prevents or prohibits someone from voting . So with that in mind, let me pose to you the counter question: how does any course of action, any change to the voting system itself produce a better outcome for those that do not make their voice heard than ensuring they are aware that they have the choice in the first place is something they are aware of? How does punishing those who do make their voice known, loudly and effectively, improve things for those who don't speak up at all? Or to pose this a third way, if a notional "silent majority" exists, how do you claim to know what they want, that the beliefs you propose are in their best interests or in their interests at all? After all, they're silent.


As to the notional buying of votes, I'm well aware that it's plausible, as I studied the plausibility myself...and concluded its a hilarious waste of a LOT of isk in light of the fact that we've demonstrated the ability to capture two seats with straight vote power since well before we were ever wealthy enough to consider buying them.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Xenuria
#29 - 2014-09-21 02:27:05 UTC  |  Edited by: Xenuria
mynnna wrote:
You're essentially engaging a question that's been around for as long as the idea of voting has been; namely do those that do not engage deserve a voice. You may not be asking it directly, but what you are putting forward is just another angle, another side of the question.

The voting system in EVE is wide open. There's nothing about the system itself that prevents or prohibits someone from voting . So with that in mind, let me pose to you the counter question: how does any course of action, any change to the voting system itself produce a better outcome for those that do not make their voice heard than ensuring they are aware that they have the choice in the first place is something they are aware of? How does punishing those who do make their voice known, loudly and effectively, improve things for those who don't speak up at all? Or to pose this a third way, if a notional "silent majority" exists, how do you claim to know what they want, that the beliefs you propose are in their best interests or in their interests at all? After all, they're silent.


As to the notional buying of votes, I'm well aware that it's plausible, as I studied the plausibility myself...and concluded its a hilarious waste of a LOT of isk in light of the fact that we've demonstrated the ability to capture two seats with straight vote power since well before we were ever wealthy enough to consider buying them.



I understand your argument and concede that it has merit. You have information that I simply do not and my perception is such that because the CSM has become a CFC echo chamber there must be something wrong. The reality it seems is that nothing is "wrong". That said I disagree with you on some fundamentals.

Just because the CFC has the largest bloc does not mean it needs a proportional amount of delegates.
As it stands I think only one delegate should be allowed for each bloc.
This way others who have less of a voice can get a chance to have their interests voiced.


Each spot should be for a single delegates from a specific demographic.
Steve Ronuken
Fuzzwork Enterprises
Vote Steve Ronuken for CSM
#30 - 2014-09-21 11:47:11 UTC
Xenuria wrote:

Each spot should be for a single delegates from a specific demographic.



The problem is defining the demographics.

Are incursions a demographic? Because a lot of incursion runners are alts of people who do other things, like wormholes and nullsec. How about 'industrialists' because they're smeared over the whole of new eden.

It's a nice sound bite, but it doesn't translate well to reality.

Woo! CSM XI!

Fuzzwork Enterprises

Twitter: @fuzzysteve on Twitter

Mike Azariah
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#31 - 2014-09-21 13:30:27 UTC
Yeah, the system in place right now has the perks of being transparent, representative of the Voters but not of the population . Which is pretty much as it should be.

If you want things to change then get the people to vote, not complain that those who did failed to vote for you.

Going back to the original concept that being at the bottom of a power block ballot would somehow ruin the candidates chances please re examine the last election and the cfc ballot.

m

Mike Azariah  ┬──┬ ¯|(ツ)

Xenuria
#32 - 2014-09-21 23:31:38 UTC
Mike Azariah wrote:
Yeah, the system in place right now has the perks of being transparent, representative of the Voters but not of the population . Which is pretty much as it should be.

If you want things to change then get the people to vote, not complain that those who did failed to vote for you.

Going back to the original concept that being at the bottom of a power block ballot would somehow ruin the candidates chances please re examine the last election and the cfc ballot.

m


I have and I am the last person on the ballot.
mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#33 - 2014-09-23 19:06:56 UTC
Xenuria wrote:
Mike Azariah wrote:
Yeah, the system in place right now has the perks of being transparent, representative of the Voters but not of the population . Which is pretty much as it should be.

If you want things to change then get the people to vote, not complain that those who did failed to vote for you.

Going back to the original concept that being at the bottom of a power block ballot would somehow ruin the candidates chances please re examine the last election and the cfc ballot.

m


I have and I am the last person on the ballot.


You didn't appear on any official CFC ballot anywhere, not even last, and you just quoted the person who did. I've no doubt our ballot is floating around the wild for you to check again.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Xenuria
#34 - 2014-09-23 20:37:19 UTC
mynnna wrote:
Xenuria wrote:
Mike Azariah wrote:
Yeah, the system in place right now has the perks of being transparent, representative of the Voters but not of the population . Which is pretty much as it should be.

If you want things to change then get the people to vote, not complain that those who did failed to vote for you.

Going back to the original concept that being at the bottom of a power block ballot would somehow ruin the candidates chances please re examine the last election and the cfc ballot.

m


I have and I am the last person on the ballot.


You didn't appear on any official CFC ballot anywhere, not even last, and you just quoted the person who did. I've no doubt our ballot is floating around the wild for you to check again.


I am not going to argue this with you. It would be against your function to admit anything.
mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#35 - 2014-09-23 21:33:44 UTC
Please let me know when you have things that are factually and demonstrably true, and perhaps I'll admit them. However, sulking off because you've been shown to be wrong - intentionally or otherwise - in virtually every facet of this discussion isn't going to make that any more likely to happen.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

KuroVolt
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#36 - 2014-09-23 22:08:09 UTC
On the other hand: Your topic is the only unlocked topic in this entire forum.

That has got to count for a win somehow, right?




....right?

BoBwins Law: As a discussion/war between two large nullsec entities grows longer, the probability of one comparing the other to BoB aproaches near certainty.

Xenuria
#37 - 2014-09-23 23:50:19 UTC
mynnna wrote:
Please let me know when you have things that are factually and demonstrably true, and perhaps I'll admit them. However, sulking off because you've been shown to be wrong - intentionally or otherwise - in virtually every facet of this discussion isn't going to make that any more likely to happen.


Please keep this kind of stuff on twitter or whatever.
I don't care if you wanna le epic troll there but this is a formal setting for my CSM candidacy.
Mallak Azaria
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#38 - 2014-09-25 04:23:52 UTC
Xenuria wrote:
mynnna wrote:
Please let me know when you have things that are factually and demonstrably true, and perhaps I'll admit them. However, sulking off because you've been shown to be wrong - intentionally or otherwise - in virtually every facet of this discussion isn't going to make that any more likely to happen.


Please keep this kind of stuff on twitter or whatever.
I don't care if you wanna le epic troll there but this is a formal setting for my CSM candidacy.


I'd personally be more concerned about your ability to differentiate plain fact from trolling. That is, if I was you.

This post was lovingly crafted by a member of the Goonwaffe Posting Cabal, proud member of the popular gay hookup site somethingawful.com, Spelling Bee, Grammar Gestapo & #1 Official Gevlon Goblin Fanclub member.

Rob Cobb
Probe Patrol
#39 - 2014-09-30 12:28:39 UTC
congratulations xenuria, best troll thread of 2014. managed to get 4 of the csm to respond even!

setting the bar high for next year :)
Xenuria
#40 - 2014-09-30 14:00:39 UTC
Rob Cobb wrote:
congratulations xenuria, best troll thread of 2014. managed to get 4 of the csm to respond even!

setting the bar high for next year :)


This is not a troll thread.

I have every intention of running and hopefully winning election.
Only by challenging myself do I become stronger.

Winning the CSM will be very difficult but once I have the rest will be cake.
The workload described by csm members past and present seems like a dream to me. I did an 800+~ page independent study on system analysis and design when I was 16. I think I can handle whatever CCP throws at me.

Frankly my plan to build rapport with the other members was to take on far more than my fair share of work and duties.
This is less about proving myself to my peers and more about my own learning and growth through the helping of others.

I have only ever truly triumphed in the service of others.