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Out of Pod Experience

 
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If Infinite Monkey Were Typing On A Computer…

Author
Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
#121 - 2012-04-29 09:07:57 UTC
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
So what your saying is, everyone here was more or less in agreement the entire time? Awesome!

Everybody except you anyway, until very close to the end, when you partially understood what we kept saying all along P

Note that "almost surely" means a probability so close to 100% that it's nearly indistinguishable from it, and that formulation is only required because technically, one can not actually reach infinity, so there's always a nearly completely negligible chance (but still not quite absolutely zero) of something weird happening up to any given point in the series of tries.

Or, in different words, the probability to roll 50 consecutive heads in the very first 50 tries, while already minuscule, it's still much higher than the probability to NOT have rolled 10,000,000,000 consecutive heads when "approaching" an infinite number of flips.
Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#122 - 2012-07-24 22:28:10 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
a finite number of monkeys...

"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s""

And no amount of math scribbled onto a page can ever prove that this process would not repeat itself indefinitely. It is very likely that Infinite monkeys given infinity tires will result in an infinite amount of this. That my friends, is just basic sensibility. Try not to lose sight of common sensibility during your divinations of the universe.





That's right...
I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right?

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Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#123 - 2012-07-24 22:37:19 UTC
I think *somebody* wants to train monkeys to make eve-bots.... just saying.

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"

Micheal Dietrich
Kings Gambit Black
#124 - 2012-07-24 22:45:01 UTC
They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it

*puts on sunglasses

The walking thread

Out of Pod is getting In the Pod - Join in game channel **IG OOPE **

Jim Era
#125 - 2012-07-24 22:47:57 UTC
wat

Wat™

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#126 - 2012-07-24 23:13:22 UTC
Jim Era wrote:
wat



I am sorry, I exist on a level that is beyond you. I don't have time to explain further atm. Have a nice day.

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Jim Era
#127 - 2012-07-24 23:15:59 UTC
lol egos.

Wat™

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
#128 - 2012-07-25 00:53:11 UTC  |  Edited by: Akita T
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right?

Too bad you switched the discussion from "monkeys on a typewriter" to "computer throwing out randoms 0s and 1s" in your very own OP, and then only went further and further away from actual monkeys...

Also, holy necro, Batman !

Micheal Dietrich wrote:
They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it
*puts on sunglasses
The walking thread

X
...
Twisted
...
LolLolLol

Nice one.
stoicfaux
#129 - 2012-07-25 01:33:34 UTC  |  Edited by: stoicfaux
I think people are forgetting that after a few million years of pounding away on typewriters, the monkeys would evolve into something with enough mental capacity to understand how typewriters work, develop archaeology, discover Shakespeare works (or Eve Online) and then some (nerd) grad student post-evolved-monkey would translate the ancient English text (code) into whatever languages that the post-evolved monkeys would speak or run Eve Online in an emulator on the Banana-tosh.

edit: Also, there's nothing holy about thread necromancy.

Pon Farr Memorial: once every 7 years, all the carebears in high-sec must PvP or they will be temp-banned.

Surfin's PlunderBunny
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#130 - 2012-07-25 01:40:56 UTC
stoicfaux wrote:
I think people are forgetting that after a few million years of pounding away on typewriters, the monkeys would evolve into something with enough mental capacity to understand how typewriters work, develop archaeology, discover Shakespeare works (or Eve Online) and then some (nerd) grad student post-evolved-monkey would translate the ancient English text (code) into whatever languages that the post-evolved monkeys would speak or run Eve Online in an emulator on the Banana-tosh.

edit: Also, there's nothing holy about thread necromancy.


http://youtu.be/JcSUWP0QNeY

"Little ginger moron" ~David Hasselhoff 

Want to see what Surf is training or how little isk Surf has?  http://eveboard.com/pilot/Surfin%27s_PlunderBunny

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#131 - 2012-07-25 11:19:54 UTC
Akita T wrote:
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
I am still here asserting sanity over all of you wikiwarrior madmen. Monkeys don't make hamlet... there is a shocker right?

Too bad you switched the discussion from "monkeys on a typewriter" to "computer throwing out randoms 0s and 1s" in your very own OP, and then only went further and further away from actual monkeys...

Also, holy necro, Batman !

Micheal Dietrich wrote:
They should make a tv series about people who necro on the forums. They could call it
*puts on sunglasses
The walking thread

X
...
Twisted
...
LolLolLol

Nice one.



The monkey thing, the coin thing and the 1010101 thing were all up for debate... you are just angry that an actual experiment came along and proved how stupid the idea of infinite monkeys writing hamlet truly is. To bad indeed Big smile



When I saw this little gem of a experiment, I was happy that this thread was still bounceable!

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FloppieTheBanjoClown
Arcana Imperii Ltd.
#132 - 2012-07-25 15:25:09 UTC
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s""


So six monkeys with a computer suddenly dropped into their enclosure and no coaching at all is a definitive study? That was an "art" project, nothing more.

Infinite monkeys each on their own typewriter probably would not produce Shakespeare because of the way they use their hands and their tendency to repeat the same action over and over. However if you were to isolate the monkeys (because they tend to copy one another) and feed all the keystrokes sequentially into a single text, you might get far more interesting results. Of course, you'd need a monkey-proof keyboard.

Founding member of the Belligerent Undesirables movement.

Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#133 - 2012-07-25 15:33:06 UTC
Is there anything in the EULA against making accounts for monkeys. I think that as long as you don't share the account with the monkey you should be OK. With an infinite number of monkeys, at some point, one of them is gonna make a trillion and give it to you.

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#134 - 2012-07-25 18:57:28 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
FloppieTheBanjoClown wrote:
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
"But after a month, the Sulawesi crested macaques had only succeeded in partially destroying the machine, using it as a lavatory, and mostly typing the letter "s""


So six monkeys with a computer suddenly dropped into their enclosure and no coaching at all is a definitive study? That was an "art" project, nothing more.

Infinite monkeys each on their own typewriter probably would not produce Shakespeare because of the way they use their hands and their tendency to repeat the same action over and over. However if you were to isolate the monkeys (because they tend to copy one another) and feed all the keystrokes sequentially into a single text, you might get far more interesting results. Of course, you'd need a monkey-proof keyboard.



The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys?



Now... alternatively... the math
Ah yes...
The math!


The math INSISTS that we must get it eventually, or at the very least, it says that it is extremely likely that we will get it eventually. It says this because although math itself is perfect the actual equation is flawed. The equation cannot calculate whether or not a monkey has a predisposition to type a single set of keys over and over again. It can not take into account a pile of poop enveloping the keyboard and urine rusting it from the inside out. It cannot express mathematically what a real monkey's behavior would be. Thus, trying to say that, or mathematically prove that, we must get Hamlet eventually is just stupid. You cannot prove it with any single equation scribbled onto a pad of paper. There are far to many variables to account for, and you the simple human cannot hope to anticipate or fully understand them all. So the best thing to do is take your equation saying that monkeys could accidentally create hamlet, write it on a piece of paper and then use that paper as a personal cleaning apparatus for your lavatory after you poop. Because that is all that it is worth.


He shoots! He scores!

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FloppieTheBanjoClown
Arcana Imperii Ltd.
#135 - 2012-07-25 20:46:58 UTC
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys?

The "infinite monkeys" idea assumes that the monkeys know what they typewriter does. Maybe they've seen a person use it and are trying to mimic, or maybe they're just tapping away at the keyboard because they like the noise or motion. It doesn't matter. There's a condition to the scenario that you're deliberately ignoring.

Don't thinking apes could learn to use a typewriter?

You must not have heard of Michael and Koko.

http://www.artistsezine.com/WhyGorilla.htm

Founding member of the Belligerent Undesirables movement.

Micheal Dietrich
Kings Gambit Black
#136 - 2012-07-25 21:11:58 UTC
Eternum Praetorian wrote:


The "art project" demonstrates a flaw in the very idea of infinite monkeys creating Hamlet. Whatever genius came up with that idea failed to realize that a monkey chained to a keyboard might just type the same key, or that it might take multiple craps in the typewriter in question. How long can a typewriter type with so much monkey poop eroding it's keys?




The monkey is metaphorical. The theory that is being given is that if enough time is given with a random sequencer, then something credible like the works of Shakespeare can be created. The genius failed nothing because repeated key sequences are just as random as multiple key sequences. The works that you are looking for aren't suddenly created in sequence after X amount typing but by a word being created here or there. Take a crossword puzzle for example, how many times have you found words in the puzzle that aren't on the list. So given enough time, any random sequencer can create the works of Shakespeare, and it will probably have several other books/manuals created at the same time as well. The rest of that is just silliness, because there is no monkey.

Out of Pod is getting In the Pod - Join in game channel **IG OOPE **

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#137 - 2012-07-25 21:52:30 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Not everyone gets the metaphore part, more people think that it is really a theory about monkeys and typewriters because of the wording and how the idea is conveyed. Half the people who support it think that it is really real.





Just as the genius in question failed to mention that there are far to many variables with regards to monkey behavior to calculate, he also failed to postulate that the very idea of randomization may have far more factors involved in it's ultimate output then people realize. That in itself could forbid certain things from happening in the real world, regardless of what the "math" says.



So monkeys have greater complexity.
The universe just might too.



And to quote my favorite debate team champion axiom, the burden of proof is on you. But since it would take infinity to prove your hypothesis, I guess your insane proposition is "safe" and thus cannot be refuted until infinity finally arrives. Kind of like string theory really...



Also
How can you be completely certain that no additional factors come into play with regards to the outcome of a random sequence? Is their any known mechanism that could truly represent a completely random output of values? Has anyone ever seen them repeat to the level of replicating a large literary work or a complex binary code that is so many digits long? ?


If it takes more time for hamlet or the code to world of warcraft to appear then there are years in the universe, how can you really know?


You can’t, and because you can’t it is just a theory waiting to be proven. Except in this case you cannot prove your theory. At least not in the sense that matters--in the form of a physical observation. In any science it is the physical that has the final say and until that happens it remains only theoretical.

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Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
#138 - 2012-07-25 22:40:36 UTC  |  Edited by: Akita T
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
you are just angry that an actual experiment came along and proved how stupid the idea of infinite monkeys writing hamlet truly is. To bad indeed Big smile
When I saw this little gem of a experiment, I was happy that this thread was still bounceable!

Too bad that I was quite aware of that particular funny bit since before you even posted this thread in the first place.
Also, that does not make it completely impossible, just increasingly unlikely. The unlikelyhood was already higher than the whole age of the universe for even a shred of possibility, so, no big deal.
YOU have shifted the talk from actual monkeys on actual typewriters into true binary randomness in your own OP, rendering that particular thing meaningless.
Also, monkeys can be trained, selected and bred to actually use typewriters more like a human would.
In fact, it would be far more likely to actually end up (after a long, long time and many generations) breeding a "Shakespeare-like ex-monkey race" that could consistently type shakespeare-like text than it would be for a computer throwing up random 0s and 1s to even start showing a shred of shakespeare-like prose when decoded as text.

Quote:
If it takes more time for hamlet or the code to world of warcraft to appear then there are years in the universe, how can you really know?

Math. Pure and simple math. Math which you willingly choose to ignore. Math proven to be sufficiently accurate on measurable scales, with no reason to believe it would not keep scaling just as well when the scope is magnified. Math which forms the basis of all technology we employ today.
Black Panpher
CastleKickers
Rote Kapelle
#139 - 2012-07-25 22:48:03 UTC
I like monkeys.
Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#140 - 2012-07-26 02:04:33 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Akita T wrote:
Puts her faith in something that can never be observed in tangible reality



Sounds a little too much like blind religious faith miss Akita... so sad.

Quote:

YOU have shifted the talk from actual monkeys on actual typewriters into true binary randomness in your own OP, rendering that particular thing meaningless.



Nice try with the usage of capital letters and everything, but I believe I was covering monkeys, coin tosses and random numbers generator all at once. So yea... wat?

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