Market Discussions

Tc's been sticking at 100K for awhile now.

Breakout to happen soon (within a week or two) - Is my purely guesstimated err.. guess.

Based on my thoughts of buying 1m Tech tomorrow... or soon!

As said, it's a guess (on the timeframe)

That it *will* happen I have no doubt about, baring any CCP intervention.

The upwards pressure on Tc hasn't changed - Read the original forum thread for the reasons why.

As such, prices will go up again (now that the first scare is over) - Just a matter of when - Not "if".

I don't think it's an _exaggerated_ seasonal slump - But just the usual seasonal slump *combined* with the lack of new content in the Incarna expansion to draw in new/old players (thus making it look like an exaggerated slump)

Regardless - The numbers would have to further fall catastrophically before the Tc bottleneck would become a paper bottleneck only.

Why did tech drop 6k in a day or two after staying at about 100k for weeks....? Any reason?

The funny part is that most of the other moonmins don't seem to be picking up the slack in price, the technetium traded volume is not spiking, the corresponding advanced materials have been slowly drifting downwards for weeks or even months earlier, and quite a few T2 ships have been trending downwards too (with the noteworthy exception of the Hulk, which is surprisingly strong on an upwards trajectory lately).

To me, all of that spells a significant demand drop for T2 ships in general...
...which would be understandable given the user count drop EVE has been experiencing lately (and for those still around, a general "shooty" activity level drop).
I can't say I understand what the deal with Hulks might be though. Then again, haven't been around that much for the past 3 months or so.

I fully expect most of the other moon minerals to start drifting downwards sooner or later too.
Too bad for trader wallets that you can't short in EVE, eh ?

I recall reading a post from a former NC higher level mucky-muck (or perhaps it was Mittani, cbb to go find it again) that the DRF has been flooding the market with tech, which would exert a downward pressure on price. But since I don't usually watch moongoo, I could be wrong on the effect.

Either way, they [DRF] is eager to cash in on the moongoo tech *****.

This seems surreal. I mean, tech has a 7% margin on the market since one or two days.
It would seem like some people have a lot (Not necessarily a lot for an alliance, since they harvest it at a 100/hour rate but a lot ISK-wise) of tech to sell at once, but the quantity traded doesn't tell us about it, except that there is a small increase in quantity.
So, I told myself, whatever, let's take those billions from the market. Let's just hope it doesn't collapse on me... again.

Also you might have seen those buy orders for 1 unit increasing the buy price artificially, all that leads me to think some guys have tech to sell, and that manufacturers also try to buy from the buy orders now, since the selling price is staying about the same.

I never remember, but with the end of summer, we should be seeing an increasing in player activity with the return of students to school, right?

So from what I gather, there's no big changes on the horizon unless more people come in, CCP adds content, or someone big gets greedy and/or organized in the northwest.

Thanks for the info Elise.