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The High-sec vote is not split too much; most of High-sec just doesn't vote at all!

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Author
Ka P'lah
Doomheim
#1 - 2012-03-09 08:18:35 UTC  |  Edited by: Ka P'lah
Get out the virtual space-vote

Let's make sure EVE voter turnout for the CSM7 election is high. Voting is easy, just sign in to CCP's candidate / voting page http://community.eveonline.com/news.asp?a=single&nid=4913&tid=1 and vote for the candidate of your choice. EVE is a fun game and I hope it's players like it enough to give a few clicks to it's direction




This is a short-but-interesting article (by Tzuzeku de'Tirisfal of The White Rose Conveticle blog [most of it, I cut some statistics and two sentences out]) about how the breakdown of the CSM6 votes played out and, really, the importance of voting at all


If one is concerned by the the poor representation of High and Low Sec interests on the CSM, the first necessary order of business ought to be to dispose, once and for all, of the myth that Empire Space is poorly represented "because Empire votes are divided among too many High and Low Sec candidates

A simple, open-eyed look at the voter turnout and results from the last CSM election suggests, to the contrary, that the truth is more that there are barely any Empire Votes to divide, unless you are moonstruck enough to believe there's any circumstance in which the diverse interests of Empire citizens -- High and Low; Miner, Mission Runner, Faction Warrior; Ganker and Gankee -- and transitive Wormholers could be somehow magically united behind one candidac

For CSM6, 49,096 votes were cast by 14.25% of the approximately 344,533 eligible votes.

Aside from what must be called a low overall participation rate given how long-advertised is the annual polling, the most telling fact, here, is that the winning delegates and alternates received a whopping 68.5% of the votes actually cas

Basically, if your character(s) voted at all, the odds are 2 to 1 you were more or less happy with the outcome. The top four winning candidates, by themselves, received a combined vote total greater than all the disappointed votes combine

As the 15461 disappointed votes doubtless include a good number of votes for lesser 0.0 vanity candidates, just as the happily rewarded 33625 votes doubtless include a good number of Empire votes for winning Nullsec candidates, it is simply, by the numbers, unreasonable to expect Empire candidacies to pull enough votes to win out of what is objectively a rather small pool of participating dissatisfied Empire voter

The rude rough truth, statistically speaking, may well be this: Nullsec votes; Few else bothe


So, participate, Empire voters! If you like this game we play, give it a couple easy clicks


btw : There are 40 candidates standing for CSM7, the top 7 will get a full place on the Council, with the next 7 top-vote-getters being the alternates. Players can vote in the CSM election until March 21. There are a lot (most, unfortunately) of eligible EVE voters who don't vote at all...so please encourage others to vote, no matter who it is they choose to vote for.
Grumpy Owly
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#2 - 2012-03-09 09:23:40 UTC  |  Edited by: Grumpy Owly
Ka P'lah wrote:

For CSM6, 49,096 votes were cast by 14.25 percent of the approximately 344,533 eligible votes.


Quote:
Aside from what must be called a low overall participation rate given how long-advertised is the annual polling, the most telling fact, here, is that the winning delegates and alternates received a whopping 68.5 percent of the votes actually cast.


This is simply drawing a conclusion that the most popular candidates won in a voting process and that 12 of the highest constintuted the highest proportion of votes. Why should we be suprised by this, would we seriously expect the proportion of votes to be comprised of the candidates who weren't elected? Roll

Quote:
Basically, if your character(s) voted at all, the odds are 2 to 1 you were more or less happy with the outcome. The top four winning candidates, by themselves, received a combined vote total greater than all the disappointed votes combined.


Which also mean 1 in 3 who voted didnt get the representation they wanted.

Quote:
As the 15461 disappointed votes doubtless include a good number of votes for lesser 0.0 vanity candidates, just as the happily rewarded 33625 votes doubtless include a good number of Empire votes for winning Nullsec candidates, it is simply, by the numbers, unreasonable to expect Empire candidacies to pull enough votes to win out of what is objectively a rather small pool of participating dissatisfied Empire voters.


There is no evidence to support your claims here. Citation needed to support them please, otherwise its mere speculation.


The conclusions drawn however cannot be supported simply by population distributions although there will likley be some bias here with associated interests. But its uncertain how the division of alts and other interests vary with regional preferences. So whilst it is probabale based on this understanding it is no way clear to draw area distinctions with behaviour of voting. If you think it is, then please provided the numbers to support the claims of how the allocation of each voter's area is attributed accordingly from general numbers.


The only valuable statistic provided was that less than 15 percent voted. Which shows a poor turn out and a poor representation mandate for the CSM. So yes Apathy can be seen as a problem for the CSM6. If you base it on RL political elections associated with politics the electorate is in the 60 percent margin (US & UK), so 4 times as proportionate. Would expect similar figures with other "stable" democracies (apologies if I missed a anyone here, limited time to research everyone). Moreso in mandatory electorate systems like Australia where you are required by law to vote.

How this will turn out for CSM7 is uncertain. And although voting seems to be more active than the previous CSM6 which maybe encouraging to see, it is also too early to draw a conclusion that apathy has been removed. As people may simply be voting earlier rather than more people voting. We obviously need to wait to see the figures as they surpass previous years voting total or as the voting period grows closer to completion to be able to draw any certain conclusion of an increased electorate. I hope it does however.

CCP Diagoras wrote:
I'll just post a few stats showing an overview of the number of votes cast this election compared to the same point in the CSM6 election. Nothing too in depth. The total numbers include abstains.

7th March, 16:00: 19,519. CSM6: 8,740 - CSM5: 2,331
7th March, 22:00: 26,351. CSM6: 14,966 - CSM5: 4,047
8th March, 13:00: 31,933. CSM6: 21,056 - CSM5: 5,347
8th March, 21:00: 33,854. CSM6: 23,385 - CSM5: 8,583


So yes, things do look more effective that more interest may be apparent to the process. But like I said it may be due to voting habits that people are voting earlier, not that there are more of them.

Early graph (so pretty inconclusive): CSM7 Votes graph so far

Since 33,854 as the last reported figure of this years voting is still 68 percent of the last years 49,096 CSM6 voting number.

So although voting appears to be more active, and I really hope it is, since I have personally invested time into this as you can see from my sig. It is still too early to draw any certain conclusions that there is more "total" electorate this year.

One interesting thing also to remember about these numbers is that it also includes abstentions.

I would get on a soap box and say "Vote EvE community!", but seeing as this is being posted in the CSM forum seems largley pointless, as people interested in topics here I would suggest already have a vested interest in EvE politics?

Be interesting to see how the weekend influences the figures.
Ka P'lah
Doomheim
#3 - 2012-03-09 11:22:31 UTC
Grumpy Owly wrote:
Ka P'lah wrote:

For CSM6, 49,096 votes were cast by 14.25 percent of the approximately 344,533 eligible votes.


Quote:
Aside from what must be called a low overall participation rate given how long-advertised is the annual polling, the most telling fact, here, is that the winning delegates and alternates received a whopping 68.5 percent of the votes actually cast.


This is simply drawing a conclusion that the most popular candidates won in a voting process and that 12 of the highest constintuted the highest proportion of votes. Why should we be suprised by this, would we seriously expect the proportion of votes to be comprised of the candidates who weren't elected? Roll
[[[Well of course the candidates with the most votes won...I doubt anybody would be surprised with that...I think that might have been pointed out as kinda supporting the point of the article - that the vote wasn't really split all that much... ]]]



Quote:
Basically, if your character(s) voted at all, the odds are 2 to 1 you were more or less happy with the outcome. The top four winning candidates, by themselves, received a combined vote total greater than all the disappointed votes combined.


Which also mean 1 in 3 who voted didnt get the representation they wanted.
[[[ Yep, good point... and that's just the people that voted, of course ]]]



[quote]As the 15461 disappointed votes doubtless include a good number of votes for lesser 0.0 vanity candidates, just as the happily rewarded 33625 votes doubtless include a good number of Empire votes for winning Nullsec candidates, it is simply, by the numbers, unreasonable to expect Empire candidacies to pull enough votes to win out of what is objectively a rather small pool of participating dissatisfied Empire voters.


There is no evidence to support your claims here. Citation needed to support them please, otherwise its mere speculation.
[[[ Well...I guess it IS speculation, of a sort...if you want to call trying to logically figure out how the main figure of less than 15% voting fits into the picture "mere speculation". ]]]




The conclusions drawn however cannot be supported simply by population distributions although there will likley be some bias here with associated interests. But its uncertain how the division of alts and other interests vary with regional preferences. So whilst it is probabale based on this understanding it is no way clear to draw area distinctions with behaviour of voting. If you think it is, then please provided the numbers to support the claims of how the allocation of each voter's area is attributed accordingly from general numbers.
[[[ Frankly, I don't think it really matters to the overall point of low voter turnout how what little turnout there was breaks down by region/alts. CCP has those figures, I'm sure...but would they be particularly important? ]]]




The only valuable statistic provided was that less than 15 percent voted. [[[ Uh-huh...since that is pretty much the main point, I'm glad it stands out...so, cool... ]]] Which shows a poor turn out and a poor representation mandate for the CSM. So yes Apathy can be seen as a problem for the CSM6. [[[ You sure got that right. Well said. ]]]
Weaselior
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#4 - 2012-03-09 15:12:59 UTC  |  Edited by: CCP Phantom
Grumpy Owly wrote:

Which also mean 1 in 3 who voted didnt get the representation they wanted.

welcome to democracy

Edit: Inappropriate comment removed, CCP Phantom

Head of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal Pubbie Management and Exploitation Division.

Vile rat
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#5 - 2012-03-09 15:34:22 UTC
You young people might outnumber us but us old people ALWAYS vote.
Grumpy Owly
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#6 - 2012-03-09 15:46:18 UTC  |  Edited by: Grumpy Owly
Weaselior wrote:
Grumpy Owly wrote:

Which also mean 1 in 3 who voted didnt get the representation they wanted.

welcome to democracy

Edit: Inappropriate comment removed, CCP Phantom


How can you draw the conclusion that I'm not a promoter of democracy for the CSM elections from that? Other than you don't simply like my personal view concerning Mittens, which could account for the missguided hostility. Though that can be simply interpreted as idiot Goon troll also. Especially when I was talking about and trying to promote voting as per my obvious view of stopping apathy? Roll

I'm not a politician my interest in the stats here is mainly from an academic point of view of the use of interpretaion with statistics. I'll leave it to the politicians to twist the meaning as to how it relates to them. But at the end of the day a fact is a fact. The above example being an emotive contra interpretation from the view presented using the same figure.

But just to correct the view about how I do in fact support CSM democracy.
Ka P'lah
Doomheim
#7 - 2012-03-09 21:56:21 UTC
Your attention to the democratic process is admirable, Weaselior.
Skye Aurorae
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#8 - 2012-03-09 23:58:00 UTC
It's clear that Hi-Sec pilots need a candidate to rally around, someone who is recognisable, someone who stands out from the crowd.

Like this cute little girl who makes youtube videos of Eve, that's pretty distinctive.

Skye Aurora is a 7 year old Girl Who Wants to be on the CSM! Unfortunately, the Lawyers say you have to be 21 - oh well.

Issler Dainze
Tadakastu-Obata Corporation
The Honda Accord
#9 - 2012-03-10 00:48:03 UTC
Skye Aurorae wrote:
It's clear that Hi-Sec pilots need a candidate to rally around, someone who is recognisable, someone who stands out from the crowd.

Like this cute little girl who makes youtube videos of Eve, that's pretty distinctive.


Or the proven CSM veteran with 8 years of Eve experience that has always supported the need for high sec representation. That believes the leaders work for the people and not the other way around!

I do like cute little girls but not sure I can support them as a real candidate. Smile

I have also made a video for a previous CSM effort!


Issler Dainze
The Miner's Friend
CSM 7 Candidate
Will Never Flood the Stations with Deadly Nerotoxin!



Snow Axe
Republic Military School
Minmatar Republic
#10 - 2012-03-10 00:59:03 UTC
Issler Dainze wrote:
I have also made a video for a previous CSM effort!


Is that video supposed to simulate the migraine anyone who tries to take your ideas seriously will get?

"Look any reason why you need to talk like that? I have now reported you. I dont need to listen to your bad tone. If you cant have a grown up conversation then leave the thread["

Issler Dainze
Tadakastu-Obata Corporation
The Honda Accord
#11 - 2012-03-10 01:03:47 UTC
Snow Axe wrote:
Issler Dainze wrote:
I have also made a video for a previous CSM effort!


Is that video supposed to simulate the migraine anyone who tries to take your ideas seriously will get?


Well, it is a parody based on a very obscure game called Portal. But you wouldn't know anything about the game because you have to use ambulation to play it.

Issler Dainze
8 Years of Industry and mining
Full time supporter of high sec
CSM 7 Candidate
Ambulator in many other games
The Mittani
State War Academy
Caldari State
#12 - 2012-03-10 03:24:43 UTC
Most of the extra votes in the initial 3 days of voting seem to have come from blocs, who are even more engaged this time than they were in CSM6. We're seeing 30% more voting from GSF alone. The rest of EVE hasn't woken up to the importance of the CSM; their loss.

~hi~

Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#13 - 2012-03-10 05:16:34 UTC
The Mittani wrote:
Most of the extra votes in the initial 3 days of voting seem to have come from blocs, who are even more engaged this time than they were in CSM6. We're seeing 30% more voting from GSF alone. The rest of EVE hasn't woken up to the importance of the CSM; their loss.



Which explains why you're so secure you're chestbeating in silly threads like this.

this is it

Vladimir Pulin
Remanaquie Federation
#14 - 2012-03-10 05:30:31 UTC  |  Edited by: Vladimir Pulin
CSM elections should be turned into isk sinks. If CSM candidates had to pay a few billions of isk to run, I'm sure you'd see less candidates but better ones and with more structured programs and ideas. The way things are now less than a handful can write in full sentences.

And if voters had to pay themselves to vote too, I think more people would actually vote. Like it or not, people love paying for stuff a lot more than getting it for free. Maybe even more so if by taking advantage of the vanity items you could get a shirt with "vote *insert cadidate name here*" once you voted for someone.
The Mittani
State War Academy
Caldari State
#15 - 2012-03-10 06:13:43 UTC
Vaurion Infara wrote:
The Mittani wrote:
Most of the extra votes in the initial 3 days of voting seem to have come from blocs, who are even more engaged this time than they were in CSM6. We're seeing 30% more voting from GSF alone. The rest of EVE hasn't woken up to the importance of the CSM; their loss.



Which explains why you're so secure you're chestbeating in silly threads like this.


Chestbeating includes tildes.

~hi~

Ka P'lah
Doomheim
#16 - 2012-03-11 21:06:13 UTC
The Mittani wrote:
Most of the extra votes in the initial 3 days of voting seem to have come from blocs, who are even more engaged this time than they were in CSM6. We're seeing 30% more voting from GSF alone. The rest of EVE hasn't woken up to the importance of the CSM; their loss.


Roll The smug rolls in pretty thick around here sometimes, dunnit?
Indahmawar Fazmarai
#17 - 2012-03-11 22:03:40 UTC
After thinking long and seriously about it, I thnk i got a plan so that Mittens is not elected never again.

Step 1: discover Mittens' secret passion, still unknown even to him
Step 2: allow Mittens meet & develop such passion
Step 3: Mittens gets so engaged with his secret passion that he completely leaves EVE
Step 4: Success!

I am amazed at my own shrewd cleverness!

Sethur Blackcoat
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#18 - 2012-03-11 22:10:52 UTC
Vladimir Vladimirovitch Putain wrote:
CSM elections should be turned into isk sinks. If CSM candidates had to pay a few billions of isk to run, I'm sure you'd see less candidates but better ones and with more structured programs and ideas. The way things are now less than a handful can write in full sentences.

And if voters had to pay themselves to vote too, I think more people would actually vote. Like it or not, people love paying for stuff a lot more than getting it for free. Maybe even more so if by taking advantage of the vanity items you could get a shirt with "vote *insert cadidate name here*" once you voted for someone.

Plutocracy is by far the fairest form of government.
Scatim Helicon
State War Academy
Caldari State
#19 - 2012-03-11 22:27:12 UTC
Indahmawar Fazmarai wrote:
After thinking long and seriously about it, I thnk i got a plan so that Mittens is not elected never again.

Step 1: discover Mittens' secret passion, still unknown even to him
Step 2: allow Mittens meet & develop such passion
Step 3: Mittens gets so engaged with his secret passion that he completely leaves EVE
Step 4: Success!


Mittens has been pretty open about his passion in these very forums.

(its making terrible pubbies make angry posts about him)

Every time you post a WiS thread, Hilmar strangles a kitten.

Pheusia
Vanishing Point.
The Initiative.
#20 - 2012-03-11 22:42:32 UTC
The Mittani wrote:
Most of the extra votes in the initial 3 days of voting seem to have come from blocs, who are even more engaged this time than they were in CSM6. We're seeing 30% more voting from GSF alone. The rest of EVE hasn't woken up to the importance of the CSM; their loss.


And its not as if people (including me) haven't gone to a lot of trouble to drum up higher participation and encouraged hisecers to vote. After spending most of last year seeing an average of one new thread a day whining that empire doesn't get represented, I thinkwe're entitled to ask where all those unrepresented hi secers are now its voting time.

Here's hoping that at least Hans gets in. The fw guys seem more organised at least.
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