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What we grrrrgoons going to do?

First post
Author
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#221 - 2016-04-08 13:34:34 UTC
Trudeaux Margaret wrote:
Who will take the space in the wake of the war? Not the remnants of SMA, that's for sure, because SMA of all alliances absolutely can't hold sov on their own -- not without Goon intervention.
We only can't hold (some of our) sov when a coalition larger than the Imperium is attacking it, so if you aren't blue to each other after the war and such a coalition no longer exists, why do you suddenly think we'd not be able to hold. Bear in mind that most of the timers we won early on against fleets outnumbering us 2:1 were done with very little coalition support.

Trudeaux Margaret wrote:
This has been amply demonstrated. 1000 people online; 50 of them turn out for fleets. That's not going to work out for you. Roll
If those were really the figures, you'd be absolutely correct, but since they are actually a complete fabrication they don't actually mean anything.

Eli Apol wrote:
The 'propaganda' on reddit...is leaked logs from your own alliance chat. We don't even need to make gifs anymore.

e: For your edification:

http://pastebin.com/gj9RHP7u < Goons skymarshals discussing their linemembers.
http://pastebin.com/cv88r5VL < SMA alliance chat discussing the loss of leadership.
The propaganda is the part where people assume the loss of the players and the existence of people sad about it to mean the alliance is dead. The issue is the false conclusions you're pulling from the chatlogs rather than their content. I'm not disputing that some leadership have left, neither am I disputing that some people are annoyed at it, I'm not even disputing that Imperium leadership have some issues with that too, but what I am disputing is any notion that them leaving means we're already dead.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

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Barrogh Habalu
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#222 - 2016-04-08 13:34:53 UTC  |  Edited by: Barrogh Habalu
Poopicus Butts wrote:
Lucas Kell wrote:

And honestly, if and when we move back to fade, I don't expect you to still be there. Your alliance really is a renamed BNI, and if you weren't blue to groups like NC and TEST, they'd rip you to pieces in seconds. I fully expect to be fighting one of them, not steamrolling you.



Are you honestly using the "I...if you weren't b...blue with that big alliance we'd crush y...you!" argument while being in the clusterfuck coalition?

From the "Nerf diplomacy lol" guy, no less.

Ladies and gentlemen, we have come full circle. Or is it 180 degrees? I am confused.
Eli Apol
Definitely a nullsec alt
#223 - 2016-04-08 13:36:10 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
You're not suffering ISK losses? Someone let sKB know their killboard is broken.
I personally could have SRP'd all of Test alliances losses yesterday - and I'm really really not space rich - but sure, take me literally if you want.

TBH the amount of deadspace goodies on all the dead supers we killed would probably have cancelled out all our losses as well...so yeah isk positive just from PvP.

but what would I know, I'm just a salvager

Trudeaux Margaret
University of Caille
#224 - 2016-04-08 13:41:38 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:

Trudeaux Margaret wrote:
This has been amply demonstrated. 1000 people online; 50 of them turn out for fleets. That's not going to work out for you. Roll
If those were really the figures, you'd be absolutely correct, but since they are actually a complete fabrication they don't actually mean anything.


It was hyperbole, yes. But not far off. I remember sitting in P-2 while FCs spammed the chat channels in frustration trying to get numbers for fleets. I remember fleets being cancelled for lack of numbers.

Lucas, you are clearly very committed to SMA and for that, I commend you. That is sincere. I hope, for your sake and for others like you, that it survives and that you guys can rebuild into something stronger.

I wish you'd stop demonizing those who left, though. It doesn't reflect well on you.

> anyone willing to give me like a 5 min politics crash course?

> grr goons, lowsec is full of elitist sh*s, all roads lead to the bittervet pl

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#225 - 2016-04-08 13:46:06 UTC
Eli Apol wrote:
I personally could have SRP'd all of Test alliances losses yesterday - and I'm really really not space rich - but sure, take me literally if you want.
What were their losses yesterday? So far in April as far as killboards are concerned, TEST have lost more ISK than SMA.

Eli Apol wrote:
TBH the amount of deadspace goodies on all the dead supers we killed would probably have cancelled out all our losses as well...so yeah isk positive just from PvP.
Yeah us too. We also can't provide anything remotely backing this up, but it's still about as true.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

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Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#226 - 2016-04-08 13:51:22 UTC
Trudeaux Margaret wrote:
It was hyperbole, yes. But not far off. I remember sitting in P-2 while FCs spammed the chat channels in frustration trying to get numbers for fleets. I remember fleets being cancelled for lack of numbers.

Lucas, you are clearly very committed to SMA and for that, I commend you. That is sincere. I hope, for your sake and for others like you, that it survives and that you guys can rebuild into something stronger.

I wish you'd stop demonizing those who left, though. It doesn't reflect well on you.
Yep, fleets aren't always possible, depending on a number of factors - time, location, fleet composition, enemy fleet size, to name a few.

Thanks, I hope we do too.

I don't demonize them and I wish them all the best, but that won't change my opinion that if you are leaving when a war turns and you suffer losses, that's very much a non-EVE player thing. That's not just leadership, that's literally any player. If you quit because the going gets tough then you really don't get EVE.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Eli Apol
Definitely a nullsec alt
#227 - 2016-04-08 14:05:27 UTC  |  Edited by: Eli Apol
Lucas Kell wrote:
What were their losses yesterday? So far in April as far as killboards are concerned, TEST have lost more ISK than SMA.


Around 10-15b for the one day afaik, closer to 10b. Easily affordable for any long term eve player (as a one-off ofc, not suggesting I could do this every day!) let alone an alliance wallet. It's pretty much a certainty that we really don't need the IWI income anymore.

The reason we've lost more than SMA this month is probably because we've been undocking and fighting ~ also we have nearly double the number of members of SMA now.

but what would I know, I'm just a salvager

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#228 - 2016-04-08 14:17:26 UTC  |  Edited by: Lucas Kell
Eli Apol wrote:
Around 10-15b for the one day afaik, closer to 10b. Easily affordable for any long term eve player let alone an alliance wallet. It's pretty much a certainty that we really don't need the IWI income anymore.

The reason we've lost more than SMA this month is probably because we've been undocking and fighting ~ also we have nearly double the number of members of SMA now.
You're right, we've totally not been undocking at all... We've totally been losing our ships inside stations which is why our losses aren't zero.

You say it's a certainty that you don't need IWI income, but then you claim that your losses are low because you're fighting unopposed. That leads me to believe you think that for the remainder of this war you will fight unopposed. Good luck with that.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Eli Apol
Definitely a nullsec alt
#229 - 2016-04-08 14:20:27 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Eli Apol wrote:
Around 10-15b for the one day afaik, closer to 10b. Easily affordable for any long term eve player let alone an alliance wallet. It's pretty much a certainty that we really don't need the IWI income anymore.

The reason we've lost more than SMA this month is probably because we've been undocking and fighting ~ also we have nearly double the number of members of SMA now.
You're right, we've totally not been undocking at all... We've totally been losing our ships inside stations which is why our losses aren't zero.

You say it's a certainty that you don't need IWI income, but then you claim that your losses are low because you're fighting unopposed. That leads me to believe you think that for the remainder of this war you will fight unopposed. Good luck with that.



http://i.imgur.com/G2D8dsh.png

Can't wait for April's figures.

but what would I know, I'm just a salvager

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#230 - 2016-04-08 14:38:39 UTC
Eli Apol wrote:
http://i.imgur.com/G2D8dsh.png

Can't wait for April's figures.
Not really sure where those figures are from. I mean let's for simplicity just take the highball figure of 40b from Tribute as caused by Imperium and pretend all Imperium damage bars are the same height so I'm massively overstating the Imperium damage done for a moment. So across 10 regions their massively inflated march damage would be 400b. The coalition against the Imperium is pretty much "the rest of EVE". So since zkillboard shows most kills and things that on an alliance level Goonswarm alone did 3.36t damage in march, where and against whom did Goonswarm do the other 2.96t of damage? I imagine that these stats aren't so much March figures as "part of March" figures, and they were likely sourced by someone within MBC. Though if it's accurate it amuses me that I personally made more than we lost in fade in March.

TBH though, I won't even dispute the idea that we've lost more than we've killed, it would surprise me at this point if that weren't the case, but I find it funny that you think nothing will change or that it means anything in itself. MoA have spent the past 2 years chirping on about how isk positive they are too.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Aineko Macx
#231 - 2016-04-08 14:40:47 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Aineko Macx wrote:
A dynamic 0.0 certainly is better than the static and stagnant bloc the CFC is and the blocs before it were.
I agree, but the current mechanics won't generate that.

RIGHT NOW the mechanics are doing just that, providing a dynamic 0.0 with lot's of action, taking space from entities unable to hold it, breaking apart moribund blocs. Eve is still a n+1 game, but I'll reserve judgement over the current mechanics to when the dust settles, say 6 months from now
Eli Apol
Definitely a nullsec alt
#232 - 2016-04-08 14:48:25 UTC
Those figures were from CCP's data dump: https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=6428000

Lots of redditors have made a variety of graphs in this thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/Eve/comments/4dty65/ccp_quant_releases_treasure_trove_of_kill_data/

Some of the others I particularly liked:

http://i.imgur.com/dgxGSod
http://imgur.com/xfJdqLW

but what would I know, I'm just a salvager

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#233 - 2016-04-08 15:00:47 UTC  |  Edited by: Lucas Kell
Aineko Macx wrote:
RIGHT NOW the mechanics are doing just that, providing a dynamic 0.0 with lot's of action, taking space from entities unable to hold it, breaking apart moribund blocs. Eve is still a n+1 game, but I'll reserve judgement over the current mechanics to when the dust settles, say 6 months from now
What game are you playing? RIGHT NOW the mechanics are pitting one giant coalition against another giant coalition in exactly the same way that wars have ever gone down. Following this there will still be big groups who get to decide who they let have sov, just now it takes less time and less commitment to boot someone out of their space.

Eli Apol wrote:
Those figures were from CCP's data dump: https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=6428000

Lots of redditors have made a variety of graphs in this thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/Eve/comments/4dty65/ccp_quant_releases_treasure_trove_of_kill_data/

Some of the others I particularly liked:

http://i.imgur.com/dgxGSod
http://imgur.com/xfJdqLW
OK, so the graph you posted, what breakdown of those figures are being used and what grouping? Because if that's supposed to be the whole of march, then zkillboard is completely wrong (or more likely the graph is wrong as I believe the Imperium lost significantly more than 400b in March).

Ed: To be honest a lot of those graphs look off so maybe it's the figures. How accurate are the isk estimations in that data?

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Eli Apol
Definitely a nullsec alt
#234 - 2016-04-08 15:11:16 UTC
It's CCP's own data dump. I'd guess pretty accurate.

No idea on the groupings people are using, I just picked the ones that I felt illustrated interesting things - feel free to make your own graphs from it, I'm sure that's why CCP published the data.

I haven't started breaking it down in my own spreadsheets yet, I want to do cumulative losses of MBC vs CFC over time - although from what I've read there's an issue with splitting the CO2 data correctly for that.

but what would I know, I'm just a salvager

Sister MaryElephant
Stellar Conundrum
#235 - 2016-04-08 15:21:35 UTC
Look at me I'm Mittlukasler:

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Lol~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Amyclas Amatin
SUNDERING
Goonswarm Federation
#236 - 2016-04-08 15:25:23 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Aineko Macx wrote:
RIGHT NOW the mechanics are doing just that, providing a dynamic 0.0 with lot's of action, taking space from entities unable to hold it, breaking apart moribund blocs. Eve is still a n+1 game, but I'll reserve judgement over the current mechanics to when the dust settles, say 6 months from now
What game are you playing? RIGHT NOW the mechanics are pitting one giant coalition against another giant coalition in exactly the same way that wars have ever gone down. Following this there will still be big groups who get to decide who they let have sov, just now it takes less time and less commitment to boot someone out of their space.

Eli Apol wrote:
Those figures were from CCP's data dump: https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=6428000

Lots of redditors have made a variety of graphs in this thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/Eve/comments/4dty65/ccp_quant_releases_treasure_trove_of_kill_data/

Some of the others I particularly liked:

http://i.imgur.com/dgxGSod
http://imgur.com/xfJdqLW
OK, so the graph you posted, what breakdown of those figures are being used and what grouping? Because if that's supposed to be the whole of march, then zkillboard is completely wrong (or more likely the graph is wrong as I believe the Imperium lost significantly more than 400b in March).

Ed: To be honest a lot of those graphs look off so maybe it's the figures. How accurate are the isk estimations in that data?


:CCP:

For more information on the New Order of High-Sec, please visit: http://www.minerbumping.com/

Remember that whenever you have a bad day in EVE, the correct reponse is "Thank you CCP, may I please have another?"

Aineko Macx
#237 - 2016-04-08 16:02:59 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Aineko Macx wrote:
RIGHT NOW the mechanics are doing just that, providing a dynamic 0.0 with lot's of action, taking space from entities unable to hold it, breaking apart moribund blocs. Eve is still a n+1 game, but I'll reserve judgement over the current mechanics to when the dust settles, say 6 months from now
What game are you playing? RIGHT NOW the mechanics are pitting one giant coalition against another giant coalition in exactly the same way that wars have ever gone down. Following this there will still be big groups who get to decide who they let have sov, just now it takes less time and less commitment to boot someone out of their space.

Your coalition is an anachronistic relic of game mechanics that do not exist anymore, and you are slowly realizing it. The new sov mechanics together with jump changes means that having lots of allies distributed over large swathes of space is pointless because they won't be able to help you hold your space. N3 realized this, that's why they reset and sold off their renting empire. CFC continued to exist until now simply because no one really put pressure on them after the changes.

The coalition that is dismantling yours formed for that specific purpose. As you mentioned yourself, MBC entities won't remain blue after the war. The spoils of war will of course be divided among the winners, but there won't be another super-bloc afterwards. That prospect looks pretty good to me.
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#238 - 2016-04-08 16:17:06 UTC
Aineko Macx wrote:
Your coalition is an anachronistic relic of game mechanics that do not exist anymore, and you are slowly realizing it. The new sov mechanics together with jump changes means that having lots of allies distributed over large swathes of space is pointless because they won't be able to help you hold your space. N3 realized this, that's why they reset and sold off their renting empire. CFC continued to exist until now simply because no one really put pressure on them after the changes.
Well no, it's simply that when you aren't at war you can protect more space that when you are. With the new mechanics there's no commitment needed to assault each area so players are able to assault huge amounts of space in one go, meaning that when at war a defender needs to shrink. Once the war is over they can grow back out again. Sov is a lot more fluid now, and yes there's certainly a learning process for just how fluid it is, but we'll find the balance.

What N3 realised is they were incapable of defending their renters and had no interest in integrating them. The fact that renting still exists and rusblock are spread to 13 players per system shows that the concept is not gone.

Aineko Macx wrote:
The coalition that is dismantling yours formed for that specific purpose. As you mentioned yourself, MBC entities won't remain blue after the war. The spoils of war will of course be divided among the winners, but there won't be another super-bloc afterwards. That prospect looks pretty good to me.
You're completely insane if you think no super-bloc will exist afterwards. For starters, even if we do lose the war (which is in no way already decided like some of you seem to believe) the Imperium won't be gone. Even if we end up entirely in lowsec for a bit, the bulk of the Imperium will remain and will push back out eventually, so either BoB will have to remain a loose coalition anyway or the Imperium will reclaim their space. Outside of that there's already other super-blocs and have been others in the past so I'm not really sure why you think that basic human behaviour will change.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Aineko Macx
#239 - 2016-04-08 16:41:29 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
You're completely insane if you think no super-bloc will exist afterwards. For starters, even if we do lose the war (which is in no way already decided like some of you seem to believe) the Imperium won't be gone. Even if we end up entirely in lowsec for a bit, the bulk of the Imperium will remain and will push back out eventually, so either BoB will have to remain a loose coalition anyway or the Imperium will reclaim their space. Outside of that there's already other super-blocs and have been others in the past so I'm not really sure why you think that basic human behaviour will change.

You misunderstood. Even if CFC (or what is left of it) win the war, they will never hold as much space again as they did at their peak.

If the CFC lose the war and move to low sec, the CFC also dies, because goons weaker, dependent buffer alliances will crumble without holding space to rat in. In the end probably only Goons and RZR survive to restart anew.

I agree that ad hoc coalitions might continue to form for aggression purposes, but the large static, defensive blocs like the old NC or CFC are a thing of the past because they are ineffective under the new mechanics.
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#240 - 2016-04-08 16:51:42 UTC  |  Edited by: Lucas Kell
Aineko Macx wrote:
You misunderstood. Even if CFC (or what is left of it) win the war, they will never hold as much space again as they did at their peak.
We never would have anyway, since we already downsized for fozziesov. Take 5 minutes of your life to stop reading reddit propaganda and look these things up for yourself and you'll see what already threw away loads of space to compact down our borders. I imagine if we win the war, our characters:system ratio will return to roughly what it was pre-war, we'll just have a better idea of what space will be scrapped in the event of a large scale war.

Aineko Macx wrote:
If the CFC lose the war and move to low sec, the CFC also dies, because goons weaker, dependent buffer alliances will crumble without holding space to rat in. In the end probably only Goons and RZR survive to restart anew.
You overestimate how much those "dependent" alliances depend on the Imperium, and how important ratting is to be honest. Personally I don't rat so I'm now making more since we've been at war as I build and trade a lot of the goods both sides are using. Amusingly it seems that 1ronbank may have just made one of my alt corps stinkin rich for when I get home as well.

Aineko Macx wrote:
I agree that ad hoc coalitions might continue to form for aggression purposes, but the large static, defensive blocs like the old NC or CFC are a thing of the past because they are ineffective under the new mechanics.
Except they're not, just their methods of defense are different. If anything it's now more important to have more players for defense, as you have to keep ADMs up as well as fight the front lines. This is why I'm convinced you are playing a completely different game. Smaller alliances are dead the moment a larger alliance or coalition chooses to kill them. Their continued existence is at the whim of the larger alliances around them.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.