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Kinakka Falls To Gallente - What Happened To Caldari Resistance?

Author
Epikurus
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#21 - 2015-01-27 16:15:30 UTC  |  Edited by: Epikurus
Yuri Antollare wrote:

http://evf-eve.com/services/brcat/?s=2806,2806,2806,2806,2806,2806,2806,2806&b=6311520,6314400,6317280,6320160,6323040,6325920,6328800,6331680&e=2879,2879,2879,2879,2879,2879,2879,1439&t=bOwzGOkAHgHPybaiaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaq&r=1

I'll show you mine if you show me yours?

Scrolling through the class summary page there's a fairly heavy pattern of some very unfavourable head to head loss matchups, a few fun facts.

200+ Galmill sniper corms were lost, in exchange over 400 Calmill sniper corms were destroyed.

For the loss of 49 of our proud Vexors, and 14 T1 logi that bravely followed them, Calmill lost in excess of 140 T1 cruisers.

In total, Galmill put 2280 ships on to the field, 1650 of those never came home. In comparison Calmill managed an impressive 2942 ships, 2365 of which were destroyed (holy jump freighter!)

The numbers alone are impressive, then you have to consider you were on the defensive, with a two jump buffer, and with slightly more people than the attackers Roll




Edit - the BR I'm using is the one provided by Andre Vauban in the comments here: http://www.factionwarfare.com/the-battle-for-hasmijaala-rages-on/#comment-781. It seems to be the same as the one you link.

First step is to correct the report by removing RAZOR, Doomguards, State War Academy and UCF from the Caldari column and Vikings of Valhalla from the Gallente column.

Next step is to ignore the inaccurate headline figures and look in the class summary. There we see that Gallente losses were 27.25 bil to Caldari losses of 34.66, which amounts to roughly 44% of the losses on the Gallente side and 56% on the Caldari side. So, yes, you can (cherry-) pick out individual ship classes and talk about the number of ships if you like, but that ignores the value of the ships and their comparative power. While that level of efficiency shows a definite qualitative advantage, it is a small one and hardly sufficient to make up for the loss of the strategic objective.

Quote:

slightly more people than the attackers Roll


The numbers were pretty much perfectly even once the BR is corrected: 423 vs 437
Christine Peeveepeeski
Low Sec Concepts
#22 - 2015-01-27 17:48:55 UTC
/Munches popcorn

From up here on my unassailable logic perch it looks like caldari win because they aren't gallente. Furthermore those stats clearly back up the view that if caldari were so bad, why are the gals so average in defeating them?

I can only assume its in the spirit of fw love amiright?

Ps. Loving the warzone right now btw guys (both sides are being awesome) and only 2 awox attempts! Ludicrous. i will say though that the constant stream of defensive stabbed plexers is INSANE. I honestly dont get how you guys stay chill about it If its been like this for months.

X Gallentius
Black Eagle1
#23 - 2015-01-27 17:57:05 UTC
Christine Peeveepeeski wrote:

Ps. Loving the warzone right now btw guys (both sides are being awesome) and only 2 awox attempts! Ludicrous. i will say though that the constant stream of defensive stabbed plexers is INSANE. I honestly dont get how you guys stay chill about it If its been like this for months.
The trick is to remember that, win or lose, you're in it for the pvp. Front lines are fun, and everybody knows where to go to get fights. That's all that matters.


Degnar Oskold
Moira.
#24 - 2015-01-27 18:00:01 UTC
Christine Peeveepeeski wrote:
i will say though that the constant stream of defensive stabbed plexers is INSANE.


I love those guys. They give honourable solo duels without calling in a blob once you use an Astero with multiple points to catch them. They help me to get my L337 solo PVP on.
Moglarr
Operation Meatshield
#25 - 2015-01-27 19:40:45 UTC
Christine Peeveepeeski wrote:
/Munches popcorn

From up here on my unassailable logic perch it looks like caldari win because they aren't gallente. Furthermore those stats clearly back up the view that if caldari were so bad, why are the gals so average in defeating them?

I can only assume its in the spirit of fw love amiright?

Ps. Loving the warzone right now btw guys (both sides are being awesome) and only 2 awox attempts! Ludicrous. i will say though that the constant stream of defensive stabbed plexers is INSANE. I honestly dont get how you guys stay chill about it If its been like this for months.



Real dplexers don't use stabs. Those cost ISK. Why bother fitting a ship of it is dplexing?

Frankly, I don't encounter stabbed dplexers often. Usually just Gallente either looking for a fight or looking for LP. Either way I try and chase them out of their plex and run their timer. Spite is a powerful motivational tool, and then they know where to find me if they want to be shot at.
Veskrashen
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#26 - 2015-01-27 23:31:41 UTC
Epikurus wrote:
Next step is to ignore the inaccurate headline figures and look in the class summary. There we see that Gallente losses were 27.25 bil to Caldari losses of 34.66, which amounts to roughly 44% of the losses on the Gallente side and 56% on the Caldari side. So, yes, you can (cherry-) pick out individual ship classes and talk about the number of ships if you like, but that ignores the value of the ships and their comparative power. While that level of efficiency shows a definite qualitative advantage, it is a small one and hardly sufficient to make up for the loss of the strategic objective.

Your numbers are more accurate, and you're right that you need to correct the reports that get linked. It's the annoying part of doing this analysis, and a lot of people screw that up.

Thing is, both you and Yuri are correct in your analysis.

1. GalMil failed to take Hasmijaala. We didn't expect you to stick it out as long as you did, and weren't properly set up for our initial pushes. That gave you all time to restock and reinforce, which you took great advantage of. Well done, and noone on the Gallente side should say otherwise.

2. That said, GalMil continued to inflict much higher losses than we sustained when engaging in plex warfare to achieve the strategic objective. We clearly murdered more of your frigates, destroyers, and cruisers than we lost in return, both in absolute numbers and percentage of hulls fielded.

3. It's very difficult to parse out the impact of neutrals on the main push for plex control. Both CalMil and GalMil total isk killed was inflated by mobbing the neutrals, and several pricey GalMil boats would never have been on field were it not for that kind of bait. There was nothing that CalMil fielded that required GalMil BS and Carriers to come on field. Similarly, not entirely sure why that Caldari carrier was derped...

4. It's also hard to discount the impact of having major neutral crews nearby - Snuff in Sujarento, for example - had on the campaign as a whole. Not only did they impact plex turnover, but they also significantly impacted reshipping - which hampered us more than you, for obvious reasons.

So... the traditional 65/35 or even 70/30 split in isk efficiency we've seen in past campaigns wasn't in evidence here. And yet, our traditional efficiency in numbers killed vs. numbers lost was pretty much in line with past experience. This campaign was more poorly planned and executed than our past endeavors, and you all absolutely capitalized on that. This campaign also had a number of other factors that were in play that weren't in previous campaigns, and I think you don't give those enough credit in your own analysis. Various GalMil groups were more comfortable fielding expensive ships, which were the natural prey of the very capable neutral third parties that lived nearby.

We look at the numbers we killed and lost, and the total price you paid to hold the system, and are content enough with our performance while acknowledging the mistakes we made from a planning perspective. You see the narrowed isk efficiency and the fact that you held against a major assault, and are pleased with your performance - as well you should. But to look at having held the system and then crowing that we somehow now suck is... disingenuous at best.

We Gallente have a saying: "CCP created the Gallente Militia to train the Fighters..."

Yuri Antollare
Moira.
#27 - 2015-01-28 02:08:50 UTC
It helps to remember that the main issue is the weblink the page provides struggles to update after you fiddle with the teams. The corrections you helpfully suggested had already been done with the page I pulled those stats from. But thank you for the presumptions.

The final numbers once you thoroughly check every entity and put them on the right team is 449 calmill v 423 galmill. 27.2b v 37.1b, and if we're analysing plex warfare, the largest contributor to our losses was an out of plex warfare capital derp to mixed squid/snuff by a gall corp not pushing Hasmij, but feel free to keep those in there when judging the efficiency of your plexing doctrines :)

^ Thats why its interesting to ignore some of the headline numbers (even though the headlines imply an extremely rough time for the defenders.)

Cruisers tend to fight cruisers, sniper corms tend to fight sniper corms, as such these stats can be very illuminating. Its not 'cherry picking', feel free to scour the pages and show me the ship class that Calmill dominated in, either in raw number of ships killed or isk lost, you can have your pick of metric. I mean 400 corms lost to kill 200 might be okay if you're flying derp corms, but then you see that you lost 4b in corms versus our 1.93b, thats pretty astounding given the stand and deliver tit for tat trading style of combat corm v corm leads to. In the end though, if you want to see the stats as a positive, I should really get out of the way and let you continue doing that Blink

The percentage difference may be 'smaller,' but the absolute numbers are also higher, for instance it may be cold comfort to JF pilots that the percentage difference was so "small" when it reality it results in them having to bring in a thousand more ships than the Gallente to remain competitive.

In terms of was it worth the "loss" of a strategic objective. Well first off, you are on defense, so us not taking your home is not a 'loss' for us aside from the material losses in ships. Secondly, but perhaps more importantly, is that I hope you know what our objective was before trying to determine if we failed to achieve it Blink

Perhaps the objective for corps/alliances that live nowhere near Hasmijala (cause you know, ass end of the map and all that,) and have no interaction with Templis day to day, was to kick Templis out of the WZ. It could also be the case that at a time where the farmers (Amarr) were on your side and our systems being plexed heavily, we decided to attack a Calmill center of gravity in the hopes of concentrating their forces (say 37b worth?) and obliterating them. This could leave Calmill unable to strike a Gall home system during their time with the pendulum and leaving them in a poor state to deploy quickly to somewhere say Kinakka.

Seeing as I won't repost alliance forums for you, you may just have to be stuck with never knowing Smile
Silverbackyererse
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#28 - 2015-01-28 07:04:22 UTC
Yuri Antollare wrote:
Seeing as I won't repost alliance forums for you, you may just have to be stuck with never knowing Smile


Muhahahahahahaha. Hahahahahahaha. Muhahahahahahah.

/me slaps myself..........

Muhahahahahahaha. Hahahahahahaha. Muhahahahahahaha.

Slapping didn't appear to work. Lol
Epikurus
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#29 - 2015-01-28 10:10:52 UTC  |  Edited by: Epikurus
Veskrashen wrote:
But to look at having held the system and then crowing that we somehow now suck is... disingenuous at best.


You've got it slightly backwards here. My point was that no-one in the Caldari Militia felt the need to post a brag thread about holding Hasmijala, to which Yuri replied that this was because CalMil sucks and got slaughtered in Hasmijala. My post was meant to refute that claim, not to crow (I have the utmost respect for the Gallente militia). By contrast, this thread is clearly meant to crow about something far less significant - taking an unoccupied system.

Veskrashen wrote:

We clearly murdered more of your frigates, destroyers, and cruisers than we lost in return, both in absolute numbers and percentage of hulls fielded.


In terms of numbers, you are right that more Caldari ships died than Gallente but we also know that isk value is a far better way of seeing how the various sides were doing (losing one Garmur to two atrons in obviously not a win). And when we look at that the picture is rather different. At the frigate level losses were almost exactly equal at just over 6bil each. At the dessie/AF level there is a narrow gap in your favour (4.7bil vs 5.8bil). It's only really at the cruiser level that you were as dominant as you imply (3.3bil vs 5bil).


Yuri wrote:

It could also be the case that at a time where the farmers (Amarr) were on your side and our systems being plexed heavily, we decided to attack a Calmill center of gravity in the hopes of concentrating their forces (say 37b worth?) and obliterating them. This could leave Calmill unable to strike a Gall home system during their time with the pendulum and leaving them in a poor state to deploy quickly to somewhere say Kinakka.


I'd like to think that our opponents have more brains than this. There was no 'being in a poor state to deploy quickly to ... Kinakka'. There was just no-one actively living in that system so you were never going to get the kind of fight you would over somewhere significant.
Arla Sarain
#30 - 2015-01-28 10:20:39 UTC
Yuri Antollare wrote:
It could also be the case that at a time where the farmers (Amarr) were on your side and our systems being plexed heavily, we decided to attack a Calmill center of gravity in the hopes of concentrating their forces (say 37b worth?) and obliterating them. This could leave Calmill unable to strike a Gall home system during their time with the pendulum and leaving them in a poor state to deploy quickly to somewhere say Kinakka.


Its like tinfoil-hatting yourself.
Rinai Vero
Blades of Liberty
#31 - 2015-01-29 07:52:32 UTC
Epikurus wrote:
Veskrashen wrote:

We clearly murdered more of your frigates, destroyers, and cruisers than we lost in return, both in absolute numbers and percentage of hulls fielded.


In terms of numbers, you are right that more Caldari ships died than Gallente but we also know that isk value is a far better way of seeing how the various sides were doing (losing one Garmur to two atrons in obviously not a win). And when we look at that the picture is rather different. At the frigate level losses were almost exactly equal at just over 6bil each. At the dessie/AF level there is a narrow gap in your favour (4.7bil vs 5.8bil). It's only really at the cruiser level that you were as dominant as you imply (3.3bil vs 5bil).


Sooo... what you're saying is that terms of both numbers and ISK GalMil came out ahead. Vesk's statement is accurate. Moving on...
Epikurus
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#32 - 2015-01-29 11:09:09 UTC
Rinai Vero wrote:
Epikurus wrote:
Veskrashen wrote:

We clearly murdered more of your frigates, destroyers, and cruisers than we lost in return, both in absolute numbers and percentage of hulls fielded.


In terms of numbers, you are right that more Caldari ships died than Gallente but we also know that isk value is a far better way of seeing how the various sides were doing (losing one Garmur to two atrons in obviously not a win). And when we look at that the picture is rather different. At the frigate level losses were almost exactly equal at just over 6bil each. At the dessie/AF level there is a narrow gap in your favour (4.7bil vs 5.8bil). It's only really at the cruiser level that you were as dominant as you imply (3.3bil vs 5bil).


Sooo... what you're saying is that terms of both numbers and ISK GalMil came out ahead. Vesk's statement is accurate. Moving on...


Yes - I don't think there has been any dispute about that. The questions were 'how far ahead' and 'does that margin turn the strategic failure into a victory'? The answers are 'not very far ahead (and considerably less than in the past)' and 'hardly'.
X Gallentius
Black Eagle1
#33 - 2015-01-29 18:00:56 UTC  |  Edited by: X Gallentius
Epikurus wrote:
Yes - I don't think there has been any dispute about that. The questions were 'how far ahead' and 'does that margin turn the strategic failure into a victory'? The answers are 'not very far ahead (and considerably less than in the past)' and 'hardly'.
Depends on what you mean by "strategic failure", doesn't it?

Taking Hasmijaala had a potentially huge payoff for our side because it would have demoralized your side yet again.
Not taking Hasmijaala had a potentially huge payoff for your side because it would build tons of momentum for your side.
(the pew was great while it lasted...)


Neither happened. We got some great fights that weekend in Innia, and then not much after that. Now the Occupancy War is quieting down, and the plexing pendulum seems to be slowly moving our way again.

All the speculation, probably on both sides, about what was going to happen after we failed in Hasmijaala was pretty much wrong (as it always is).
Crosi Wesdo
War and Order
#34 - 2015-01-29 23:10:29 UTC  |  Edited by: Crosi Wesdo
In pendulum news.

Seems the biggest development is that the russians have finally reached their end game nirvana. All the less busy systems are populated with both stabbed caldari and stabbed gallente farmers tit for tat plexing.

This has been an isolated practice for quite some time but it seems they have expanded in the last couple of weeks.

It really is time the russians got their own server imo.
Christine Peeveepeeski
Low Sec Concepts
#35 - 2015-01-30 08:31:15 UTC
They are like mosquitoes, no matter how many you squish they just keep coming.
Shaun Iwaira
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#36 - 2015-01-30 11:01:12 UTC
Crosi Wesdo wrote:
In pendulum news.

Seems the biggest development is that the russians have finally reached their end game nirvana. All the less busy systems are populated with both stabbed caldari and stabbed gallente farmers tit for tat plexing.

This has been an isolated practice for quite some time but it seems they have expanded in the last couple of weeks.

It really is time the russians got their own server imo.


Are you seriously suggesting segregation based on race? You have fallen to a new low Crosi.
Epikurus
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#37 - 2015-01-30 11:06:22 UTC
X Gallentius wrote:
We got some great fights that weekend in Innia, and then not much after that. Now the Occupancy War is quieting down, and the plexing pendulum seems to be slowly moving our way again.



While there haven't been any big fights since then, the volume of solo and small gang opportunities in west Black Rise is great at the moment.
Crosi Wesdo
War and Order
#38 - 2015-01-30 11:20:51 UTC  |  Edited by: Crosi Wesdo
Shaun Iwaira wrote:
Crosi Weso wrote:

It really is time the russians got their own server imo.


Are you seriously suggesting segregation based on race? You have fallen to a new low Crosi.


Oh, i get it! Because 'russian' is a race? lol
Lexiana Del'Amore
Nouvelle Rouvenor
#39 - 2015-01-30 12:47:55 UTC
truth is both militias suck, the quality and intensity of PVP has been abismal for 6 months now...
Crosi Wesdo
War and Order
#40 - 2015-01-30 13:23:35 UTC  |  Edited by: Crosi Wesdo
Lexiana Del'Amore wrote:
truth is both militias suck, the quality and intensity of PVP other people look for and provide for me has been abismal for 6 months now...


FTFY :)

Snuff box --->