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Is Eve experiencing a general inflationary trend?

Author
Dinsdale Pirannha
Pirannha Corp
#1 - 2011-11-11 14:53:18 UTC
There are clearly specific areas under inflationary pressure.
Clearly Plexes and PI materials are under pressure, and the reasons for those have been discussed ad nauseum.

Bur overall, are prices going up in Eve? Is the money supply outstripping the ISK sinks?

I really don't know one way or the other, but am curious what people think.
I do know that in my myopic view of Eve, the stuff I focus on has been looking at runaway inflation, but that is a small, small part of the Eve economy, so I am not qualified to discuss the economy overall.

Hence my question.
Jenn Makanen
Doomheim
#2 - 2011-11-11 15:20:34 UTC
Dinsdale Pirannha
Pirannha Corp
#3 - 2011-11-11 15:31:53 UTC
Jenn Makanen wrote:
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=25902


Yes, if we are indeed experiencing general inflation, I am sure that is one of the contributors.
But my initial question stands: are we in the midst of general inflation?
Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
#4 - 2011-11-11 15:48:54 UTC
More and more "bling" ships being seen - T3s, Pirate Faction battleships, Empire Faction battleships, etc.

Hi-sec incursions that produce 50-60-80M ISK/hr are probably fueling the fire (it would be better if more payouts were made in LP rather then ISK).

Not enough ISK faucets (maybe the NPC corp taxes need to be raised, maybe additional taxes and fees need to be added).
Jenn Makanen
Doomheim
#5 - 2011-11-11 15:56:36 UTC
Scrapyard Bob wrote:
Not enough ISK faucets


Brain fart detected Big smile

Bob means sinks.
Dinsdale Pirannha
Pirannha Corp
#6 - 2011-11-11 16:19:33 UTC
But what is the consensus?

Are we experiencing general inflation?
Do people see it?

Like I said, in my small view of the Eve economic universe I see it, but that alone does not make it so.
Tekota
The Freighter Factory
#7 - 2011-11-11 16:59:14 UTC
Ariane VoxDei
#8 - 2011-11-11 18:22:09 UTC
TLDR;

No. Supply, meet demand.
Zions Child
Higashikata Industries
#9 - 2011-11-11 20:34:20 UTC
Actually if you look at those market indices, there isn't that much inflation. EVE's economy is actually quite stable for an MMO, and by the by, PLEX do nothing to the value of isk, they are merely a method of transfer. Every year people ask if isk is suffering from inflation, the truth is that it fluctuates a good deal around a particular value.
Adunh Slavy
#10 - 2011-11-12 05:26:33 UTC
Yes, the monetary base is inflating. Additionaly, the velocity of the monetary base has increased. All the data is not a matter of public record, so don't go looking for numbers. Best we can do is make assumptions based on past official data we have been given and keeping an eye on the markets with constricted supplies. Prices tend to increase the most, in an inflationary environment, where supply is most constricted.

Predicting precisely where and when monetary inflation will manifest, is very difficult.

Is inflation something to worry about in Eve? Only in so much as one should always keep an eye out for something at low relative value and attempt to make a profit from it. But Eve can not suffer from a hyperbolic inflationary event like the real world, the nature of the money in Eve is different. In Eve, money is just another commodity, it just happens to be the commodity that is most easily sold.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#11 - 2011-11-12 06:55:18 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:

Predicting precisely where and when monetary inflation will manifest, is very difficult.


Twaddle.

Inflation by definition is "a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time."

So it's pretty easy to predict that it will manifest everywhere, and continuously.

What we are seeing in Eve is not inflation, and the general over the last few years has been deflation. Some items are rising in price, many others are falling. That's not inflation.
Florestan Bronstein
Ministry of War
Amarr Empire
#12 - 2011-11-12 09:36:20 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Additionaly, the velocity of the monetary base has increased.

why do you think that this is the case?

I would have assumed that the loss in subscribers (isk trapped on inactive accounts) and reduction in general activity since early summer would have decreased the velocity of money substantially.
Kara Books
Deal with IT.
#13 - 2011-11-12 11:07:38 UTC
Dinsdale Pirannha wrote:
There are clearly specific areas under inflationary pressure.
Clearly Plexes and PI materials are under pressure, and the reasons for those have been discussed ad nauseum.

Bur overall, are prices going up in Eve? Is the money supply outstripping the ISK sinks?

I really don't know one way or the other, but am curious what people think.
I do know that in my myopic view of Eve, the stuff I focus on has been looking at runaway inflation, but that is a small, small part of the Eve economy, so I am not qualified to discuss the economy overall.

Hence my question.



Nope, its bin like this from the very start, remember, you can never fully control the real market value of the item, sooner or later it will go back to, well to actual market value.

If I had 6 trillion ISK, and I focused all of that ISK onto just 1 or maybe a few items in general, the price WILL go up, and I will sell off my wares at the inflated price there after, up until the price of the item falls back to actual market value.

The reason I can do this is well, you see I have a BIG NOSE, and I can smell ISK and gold from miles away, now I just need to figure out how to acquire 6 trillion ISK....
Kagan Storm
Doomheim
#14 - 2011-11-12 14:10:56 UTC
Please shut up.

Inflation in product A and B does not mean the whole market is inflated.

Look at the price of trit. When trit jumps to 10 isk a unit we can talk about inflation.

Till then you are talking about localized phenomenon.


I also dont like like price of plex. But that means only 2 things
1) need more people to sell plex
2) need more people to stop buying plex

Price of plex does not effect price of Remote gravimetric ECCM, or exotic dancers.

Main issue in eve is people are outsourcing. 95% of stuff in eve is 1 and the same item that is beeing resold 300 times. Trading is good for the health of the market but when you have a ration 10 traders : 1 manufacturer you get inflated prices.


Little Economic lesson 1:
Me and my friends are making lemonade. I bring water, and my other 2 friends each bring lemons and sugar. if ratio is 1:1:1 and my friend is first at the sceen and squizes and makes 10l of lemon juice but i brought only 5l of water we need to add a lot of sugar.

Economics and market is like a system of X equasions with x+1 variables. you cannot solve this.
A+B+C=1
A+B+C=2

You need 1 more equasion....

If you aske me you need to stop talking so general about "eve" and "market" and start talking about specific situation/item. The more specific and detail you go higher chances you have of solving your problem. You are generalizing and theorizing so much no wonder nobody cares or wants to talk about it.

My ego is the the size of my carriers jump range.

Adunh Slavy
#15 - 2011-11-12 14:38:38 UTC  |  Edited by: Adunh Slavy
Anya Ohaya wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:

Predicting precisely where and when monetary inflation will manifest, is very difficult.


Twaddle.



Ok, let us know where the next bubble is. thanks.

P. S. Since you missed it, I wrote "monetary inflation". Go look it up.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Adunh Slavy
#16 - 2011-11-12 15:11:41 UTC
Florestan Bronstein wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Additionaly, the velocity of the monetary base has increased.

why do you think that this is the case?

I would have assumed that the loss in subscribers (isk trapped on inactive accounts) and reduction in general activity since early summer would have decreased the velocity of money substantially.




First, trapped ISK in accounts - If it is an alt, that ISK is going to be moved to the Main's wallet. What we find is more ISK in a live wallet while at the same time reduced productive capacity in the game as a whole - that is to say, less stuff being produced. The ratio of ISK to Stuff changes. Same amount of ISK, less stuff being produced.

What we can't know is what does the main do with the extra ISK from the alt(s) and the stuff the alt(s) had. Do they sit on some, all of it? What is the rational decision people make? It may be rational to sit on the alt(s) stuff in the expectation they may return, and not sell the alt(s) stuff. It may be rational for others to sell the alt(s) stuff. This question can't be answered with any level of certainty, we do know that those alts will not be producing new things.

What is the rational thing to do with all that ISK? Sit on it or invest it? Buy PLEX to pay for game time? Invest in the market? The least rational thing to do is sit on the ISK and do nothing with it, at least in my opinion.

If it is a main that leaves, then productive capacity is reduced and the money supply is reduced, it is something of a wash.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Barakach
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#17 - 2011-11-12 17:03:33 UTC
"inflation" that happens in only one items isn't "inflation", it's called supply and demand.

Inflation can only be calculated when you take in consideration of all items/services in Eve.
Fravas Malkavian
Native Freshfood
Minmatar Republic
#18 - 2011-11-12 17:30:15 UTC
There is no real inflation in EVE at this time, as there have been no massive and immediate increases in currency. The ammount of currency is steadily increasing, and that can be tracked by viewing the trend in prices for basic items (ores/minerals).

Price is meeting demand, things are fine.

What a strange game. The only winning move is not to play.

Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#19 - 2011-11-13 19:24:09 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Anya Ohaya wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:

Predicting precisely where and when monetary inflation will manifest, is very difficult.


Twaddle.



Ok, let us know where the next bubble is. thanks.

P. S. Since you missed it, I wrote "monetary inflation". Go look it up.


That sound you heard was clearly my point warping fast and high over your skull.

Bubbles are not inflation. Bubbles happen in one good.

Inflation happens in all goods. That's what inflation means. Ergo, by definition, predicting the results of inflation is very easy.
Adunh Slavy
#20 - 2011-11-13 20:29:11 UTC
Anya Ohaya wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Anya Ohaya wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:

Predicting precisely where and when monetary inflation will manifest, is very difficult.


Twaddle.



Ok, let us know where the next bubble is. thanks.

P. S. Since you missed it, I wrote "monetary inflation". Go look it up.


That sound you heard was clearly my point warping fast and high over your skull.

Bubbles are not inflation. Bubbles happen in one good.

Inflation happens in all goods. That's what inflation means. Ergo, by definition, predicting the results of inflation is very easy.



And you clearly have no clue as to the meaning of monetary inflation, thanks for playing.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

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