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Subscriber Cash Down the Drain

First post First post
Author
Mr Epeen
It's All About Me
#61 - 2013-11-08 05:51:04 UTC
Captain Tardbar wrote:
Brad314 wrote:



http://eve-offline.net/?server=dust

Seem people are still logging in to me. So stop.


1. Just because people are logging in doesn't mean they are spending any money on a F2P game.

2. The numbers you are showing show an all time low.

3. In order to recoup $12,000,000 in marketing, 240,000 players would have to spend $50 or more. If only 5,000 players at a max compared to EVE's 40,000 then do they have the numbers to support it? 5,000 players doesn't seem like 200,000 in Equivalent terms of EVE. If they had 20,000 concurrent players that would be the same ratio of having 200,000 players.

That is if every single player spends $50 on a F2P game which they don't.


If that had been the attitude in EVE's first few months we'd not be having this discussion since the game would not even be here. They were losing money hand over fist in the early days. Now they are not.

CCP are visionary in the MMO business and don't buckle to the status quo.

I would be disappointed if they buried DUST in the first year. It may well end up that DUST revenue is what carries EVE forward in the future.

Players that are not complete morons should be encouraging CCP to diversify since they understand the advantages of multiple income streams.

Mr Epeen Cool
Captain Tardbar
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#62 - 2013-11-08 06:02:45 UTC
Here is some more math for Dust...

So lets say Dust has 5,000 max players per day at a single time (which it doesn't have number that high).

And players only played 2 hours a day...

Than at max there would be:

24*2=48

48*5000=24000 exactly.

Then all those players will have to spend $50 or more dollars to make a proft for at least the marketing costs of Dust.

But here is the problem...

1. Dust max players currently is not 5,000
2. Not every concurrent player only plays 2 hours a day.
3. The majority of players in a F2P game do not spend money.

Therefore it is impossible that Dust is making enough money to cover the advertising campaign.

Some people on google threw out that only 5-10% of players spend money on F2P games.

Therefore in order to make marketing money Dust would need at least 2,400,000 players with 50,000 player per day.

Hell in order to make as much as EVE which makes 400,000x15=$6,000,000 per month it would need at least 25,000 players concurrently per day with the 10% of players spending $50 or more. That scenario is unlikley because F2P players do not pay like subscription based models.

So no. Dust is not successful as EVE nor will it be able to support CCP if EVE fails.

Looking to talk on VOIP with other EVE players? Are you new and need help with EVE (welfare) or looking for advice? Looking for adversarial debate with angry people?

Captain Tardbar's Voice Discord Server

Captain Tardbar
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#63 - 2013-11-08 06:04:08 UTC
Mr Epeen wrote:
Captain Tardbar wrote:
Brad314 wrote:



http://eve-offline.net/?server=dust

Seem people are still logging in to me. So stop.


1. Just because people are logging in doesn't mean they are spending any money on a F2P game.

2. The numbers you are showing show an all time low.

3. In order to recoup $12,000,000 in marketing, 240,000 players would have to spend $50 or more. If only 5,000 players at a max compared to EVE's 40,000 then do they have the numbers to support it? 5,000 players doesn't seem like 200,000 in Equivalent terms of EVE. If they had 20,000 concurrent players that would be the same ratio of having 200,000 players.

That is if every single player spends $50 on a F2P game which they don't.


If that had been the attitude in EVE's first few months we'd not be having this discussion since the game would not even be here. They were losing money hand over fist in the early days. Now they are not.

CCP are visionary in the MMO business and don't buckle to the status quo.

I would be disappointed if they buried DUST in the first year. It may well end up that DUST revenue is what carries EVE forward in the future.

Players that are not complete morons should be encouraging CCP to diversify since they understand the advantages of multiple income streams.

Mr Epeen Cool


Has anyone mentioned that DUST is a dead end product on the PS3. Everyone is buying PS4 now and turning their PS3 in at gamestop so unless CCP wants to pour more money into porting it to the PS4 or PC then the player numbers will not incease.

Looking to talk on VOIP with other EVE players? Are you new and need help with EVE (welfare) or looking for advice? Looking for adversarial debate with angry people?

Captain Tardbar's Voice Discord Server

Kaarous Aldurald
Black Hydra Consortium.
#64 - 2013-11-08 06:05:00 UTC  |  Edited by: Kaarous Aldurald
Quote:
So no. Dust is not successful as EVE nor will it be able to support CCP if EVE fails.


Nor will it ever be. Next generation consoles will bury it.

[Edit: Which is why it should have been a PC exclusive in the first place.

"Verily, I have often laughed at the weaklings who thought themselves good because they had no claws."

One of ours, ten of theirs.

Best Meltdown Ever.

Captain Tardbar
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#65 - 2013-11-08 06:13:01 UTC
Kaarous Aldurald wrote:
Quote:
So no. Dust is not successful as EVE nor will it be able to support CCP if EVE fails.


Nor will it ever be. Next generation consoles will bury it.

[Edit: Which is why it should have been a PC exclusive in the first place.


I'll make one concession... If CCP in their infinite wisdom decides to port Dust to PC, then it has a chance of being at least as successful as Planetside 2.

Deciding to release the game on a console in the end of its product cycle was a bad decision. The number of people who play a PS3 will only go down from here on out. Its numbers will never increase simply because people will stop playing their PS3 because they have a brand new PS4 or Xbox One.

Looking to talk on VOIP with other EVE players? Are you new and need help with EVE (welfare) or looking for advice? Looking for adversarial debate with angry people?

Captain Tardbar's Voice Discord Server

Kaarous Aldurald
Black Hydra Consortium.
#66 - 2013-11-08 06:19:52 UTC
Captain Tardbar wrote:
Kaarous Aldurald wrote:
Quote:
So no. Dust is not successful as EVE nor will it be able to support CCP if EVE fails.


Nor will it ever be. Next generation consoles will bury it.

[Edit: Which is why it should have been a PC exclusive in the first place.


I'll make one concession... If CCP in their infinite wisdom decides to port Dust to PC, then it has a chance of being at least as successful as Planetside 2.

Deciding to release the game on a console in the end of its product cycle was a bad decision. The number of people who play a PS3 will only go down from here on out. Its numbers will never increase simply because people will stop playing their PS3 because they have a brand new PS4 or Xbox One.


I agree. As far as marketing and development decisions go, Dust ranks up there with New Coke.

Particularly given that, with the extra 18+ months of development time if they had waited for the next console generation, it may not have released a buggy, awful mess.

I still say PC is their only hope, particularly given that the fanbase they were hoping to draw from (EVE players) are guaranteed to own a computer since they play EVE in the first place. But if they make it the typical crappy console port with the effed up UI, fps cap, and other kinds of bullshit that comes from the awfulness of consoles(seriously, **** you consoles, you ruined gaming), it dies nonetheless.

"Verily, I have often laughed at the weaklings who thought themselves good because they had no claws."

One of ours, ten of theirs.

Best Meltdown Ever.

Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#67 - 2013-11-08 06:31:32 UTC
Still waiiting on a reply to my OP.

But yeah, Dust is great isn't it?

Just imagaine if all our eve sub money was put back into eve development and not dust and vampires..........

If only CCP were Carlsberg
Captain Tardbar
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#68 - 2013-11-08 06:36:02 UTC
Praise the Yeti wrote:
Still waiiting on a reply to my OP.

But yeah, Dust is great isn't it?

Just imagaine if all our eve sub money was put back into eve development and not dust and vampires..........

If only CCP were Carlsberg


"How better might todays eve have been if CCP had not over streched."

Well if that is the question you were asking.... I guess $12 million would have gone a lot towards making WiS more than it is now.

If not that, budget for new ships.

Looking to talk on VOIP with other EVE players? Are you new and need help with EVE (welfare) or looking for advice? Looking for adversarial debate with angry people?

Captain Tardbar's Voice Discord Server

Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#69 - 2013-11-08 06:44:54 UTC
Captain Tardbar wrote:
Praise the Yeti wrote:
Still waiiting on a reply to my OP.

But yeah, Dust is great isn't it?

Just imagaine if all our eve sub money was put back into eve development and not dust and vampires..........

If only CCP were Carlsberg


"How better might todays eve have been if CCP had not over streched."

Well if that is the question you were asking.... I guess $12 million would have gone a lot towards making WiS more than it is now.

If not that, budget for new ships.

CCP could be like Calrslberg maybe.

The adverts look good but when it come to taste, Stella Artois at least salvates the palate moar ?
Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#70 - 2013-11-08 06:57:14 UTC
to cut through the original mustard - ccp used eve sub money to fund risky projects which on paper at the minute are failing and / or might neverbe released.

my original point remains in that so much might have been better in eve if ccp had not devaited resources from their coreproduct.

all i ask is how much was wasted on dust and vampires and how might that cash invested into eve have resulted in a better live event experience for the players
James Amril-Kesh
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#71 - 2013-11-08 07:03:45 UTC
Praise the Yeti wrote:
i can only but ask how eve might have been better today if CCP had not chanelled so much into speculative projects.

EVE wouldn't exist. Some might consider that "better."

Enjoying the rain today? ;)

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
#72 - 2013-11-08 07:05:46 UTC
It stopped being “subscriber cash” the moment the transaction went through.

CCP can and should do whatever they want with their money, and trying to expand the product catalogue is pretty much a necessity. Without separate products such as Dust or WOD, there would be no additional funding, so in terms of money flow, little would change for EVE.
Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#73 - 2013-11-08 07:09:23 UTC
Tippia wrote:
It stopped being “subscriber cash” the moment the transaction went through.

CCP can and should do whatever they want with their money, and trying to expand the product catalogue is pretty much a necessity. Without separate products such as Dust or WOD, there would be no additional funding, so in terms of money flow, little would change for EVE.

That is not in doubt.

Companies should make profit rite ?

I can still call you out out on not answering my OP.

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
#74 - 2013-11-08 07:23:44 UTC
Praise the Yeti wrote:
I can still call you out out on not answering my OP.
Not really no, since I answered your OP: your premise is fundamentally flawed.
Infinity Ziona
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#75 - 2013-11-08 07:26:09 UTC
A company that relies purely on its current product to keep it alive is a company looking to go broke. Even power petroleum and similiar companies that have a captive customer base still look for alternative income streams. Who know if some genius will invent a perpetual motion machine or something right. Flight used to be pure fantasy too.

As for WIS I think that would have made EvE very popular and attracted lots more income for CCP. Monocles prove there is a market for non pvp stuff like WIS and vanity items.

Greed IS good. You just don't want you're customers reading leaked emails that outright state that.

CCP Fozzie “We can see how much money people are making in nullsec and it is, a gigantic amount, a shit-ton… in null sec anomalies. “*

Kaalrus pwned..... :)

Kaarous Aldurald
Black Hydra Consortium.
#76 - 2013-11-08 07:29:18 UTC
Tippia wrote:
It stopped being “subscriber cash” the moment the transaction went through.

CCP can and should do whatever they want with their money, and trying to expand the product catalogue is pretty much a necessity. Without separate products such as Dust or WOD, there would be no additional funding, so in terms of money flow, little would change for EVE.


True, they do need to diversify.

But it must be acknowledged that Dust was pretty much the worst possible outcome they could have had, between both implementation and overall quality of the product. They took a pretty big PR hit with it too.

"Verily, I have often laughed at the weaklings who thought themselves good because they had no claws."

One of ours, ten of theirs.

Best Meltdown Ever.

Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#77 - 2013-11-08 07:33:20 UTC  |  Edited by: Praise the Yeti
Tippia wrote:
Praise the Yeti wrote:
I can still call you out out on not answering my OP.
Not really no, since I answered your OP: your premise is fundamentally flawed.

Enlighten me where the flaw is?

I poised the question that if ccp had not thrown eve subscription profits at other ventures yet to yield any form of returns, and instead focussed that capital on the game we pay for, how things might have been different.

Are you suggesting otherwise ?
Frying Doom
#78 - 2013-11-08 07:33:34 UTC
Tippia wrote:
It stopped being “subscriber cash” the moment the transaction went through.

CCP can and should do whatever they want with their money, and trying to expand the product catalogue is pretty much a necessity. Without separate products such as Dust or WOD, there would be no additional funding, so in terms of money flow, little would change for EVE.

Strange that people did not view it that way in the aftermath of Incarna.Lol

Any spelling, grammatical and punctuation errors are because frankly, I don't care!!

Shalua Rui
Rui Freelance Mining
#79 - 2013-11-08 07:36:32 UTC
Tippia wrote:
Not really no, since I answered your OP: your premise is fundamentally flawed.

As is everything YOU didn't come up with, Tippa, we all know that...

Still, the OP has a point. CCP diverted their attention (and thus their money) on other projects, while their prime source of income still lies "unfinished"... yes, I know a MMO is never truely finished. Further, that lack of focus hindered EVE's development and resulted in questionable and lacking content.

The logical conlusion is: EVE would, most likely be a better game today, if it wouldn't be for DUST, WoD (which I'm really looking forward too) and, now Valkyrie.

"ginger forum goddess, space gypsy and stone nibbler extraordinaire!" Shalua Rui - CEO and founder of Rui Freelance Mining (RFLM)

Praise the Yeti
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#80 - 2013-11-08 07:45:10 UTC  |  Edited by: Praise the Yeti
Shalua Rui wrote:
Tippia wrote:
Not really no, since I answered your OP: your premise is fundamentally flawed.

As is everything YOU didn't come up with, Tippa, we all know that...

Still, the OP has a point. CCP diverted their attention (and thus their money) on other projects, while their prime source of income still lies "unfinished"... yes, I know a MMO is never truely finished. Further, that lack of focus hindered EVE's development and resulted in questionable and lacking content.

The logical conlusion is: EVE would, most likely be a better game today, if it wouldn't be for DUST, WoD (which I'm really looking forward too) and, now Valkyrie.


I enjoy logic.

Who is Tippia btw ?

I still ask the question, if ccp had not diverted the profitts from their core game player base towards other ventures how might that live event have gone last night?