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(EVE PAPER) Life May Not Be As Common In The Universe As You Think

Author
Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#1 - 2013-01-05 23:57:58 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
When people say "duh if you think we are alone in the universe you are stupid" it irks me. These people have spent to much time watching TV and not enough time educating themselves on what exactly it takes to generate intelligent life forms. The amount of time and the unique aligning of countless variables that make the earth as we know it possible.


They also do not seem to understand the difference between a "universe teaming with life" as in non intelligent life, and a "star trek universe" where thinking beings come a dime dozen. It is just as likely that the universe could be teaming with non-intelligent life, and there is no reason to simply presume otherwise absent of all evidence.

So here is a short list of variables that the average nerd, educated or not, does not consider when they blah blah about how stupid people are if they don't think they way that they do.




BEWARE THE WALL OF TEXT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1Big smileBig smileBig smileBig smile
ZOMGZOMGZOMG!!!ROLFWAFFLES!!!11111111111111111



1. Star Distribution Within Galaxies

There are stars that contain metals and heavy elements and there are stars that don’t so much. To make a long story short, galaxies seem to have “regions” where the metal baring stars seem to gather farther out (in the arms) and no so much inward (near the bulge)

Ironically, the earth is in this zone… hmm.

Metal rich stars are younger because they are born of older stars that have died. Supernova is what is thought to make every element bigger then helium, from carbon, to iron and uranium. All of which is needed for you to exist…yes, even uranium but we will get to that later.



ArrowSo: the chances of generating a life baring planet is not spread uniformly throughout all stars in a galaxy. The likelihood varies widely between regions and ages of stars.



2. Lets Say You Get A Metal Rich Star


The accretion disk must generate a planet within the habitable zone of that star. But that is not the end of the story by far.



I. The Planet Must Have Uranium (and other radio active elements) In It’s Core

Radioactivity is what keeps the planets core hot. Without enough of it it will cool like it did in mars and the moon. No heated core and you get no Volcanoes, and no Volcanoes means no atmosphere.


II. The Planet Has To Spin Fast Enough To Create A Magnetic Field

Without a core containing adequate molten iron, and without a fast enough planetary spin you will get no magnetic field. A magnetic field acts like a force field that protects a planet from the solar wind. Without it, a world can lose it’s atmosphere like mars or it can lose it’s light elements like on Venus, leaving only greenhouse gases (generated from Volcanoes) in it’s place.

Mars died because it does not have enough radioactive elements in it’s core to stay warm
Venus “died” because a day lasts a year, and there is no magnetic shield from the solar wind.

ArrowSo: Even if you do get a world in the habitable zone around the right kind of star by sheer random chance, that planet must also have A. the correct composition in it’s core and B. The proper rate of rotation.



Oxygen Does Not Occur Naturally

Whether you realize it or not, the Oxygen that you breath is what makes your complex thoughts possible. It is a highly reactive gas and that translates to packets of free energy. Without it you would be limited to alternative forms of energy consumption that are no where near as efficient and that could not support you, as you are.

Do you see how mars is red? That is because of oxygen. Oxygen is so reactive that it will be absorbed by everything. A planet cannot develop an oxygen rich atmosphere naturally, life has to generate it though photosynthesis.


You Need Big Bodies Of Water

This has nothing to do with evolving life, this has to do with the carbon cycle. Rain strips the atmosphere of carbon dioxide and turns it into calcium carbonate. It also hides the carbon inside of the surfaces of rocks. Without the “Atmosphere Scrubbing Rain” we would be looking at a planet, oxygen atmosphere or no, that would have a runaway greenhouse climate. Photosynthesis cannot do the job alone. There must be rain and lots of it.

If the world is to hot, no oceans. If it is to cold, no oceans.



You Are Also Going To Need A Moon

Without a moon the earth would flip on it’s side as it spins like Mars does. There would be nothing resembling a stable climate and even the length of the days would change without our moon. There would be no hope for a civilization on a planet where the equator became the north pole and visa versa regularly. The climate shifts would be extreme and extreme heat and cold would visit every continent. This wobble would alter the flow of oceans, such as the Gulf Stream, that act as climate control conveyer belts that keep the planets climate in check.


The Moon Can’t Be To Close Or To Far

To close and the earth becomes a molten planet like Io, do to the heat generated by gravitational tides. To far away and it would not stabilize the earths rotation.


Our Moon Has Not Always Been That Far Away

Our moon used to be allot closer, and yes it is though to have heated the earth in such a way long before the dinosaurs existed. Since that time it has been steadily moving way, and eventually it will move so far away that it’s pull on our earth will lessen and the stabilization that it brings will lessen with it.

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Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#2 - 2013-01-05 23:58:10 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Using Earth As A Model, Life Tends To Get Big Not Intelligent At First

It took a multitude of mass extinctions to bring about us. After each mass extinction event life once again became huge eating machines, be it plant eaters or predators. On earth at least, life has exhibited a strong tendency towards being big and hungry, not small and intelligent. So in theory, this could be repeated over and over again on planets stable enough to bear life for a period of billions of years. It never needs to yield an intelligent life form. It is not a given that it should.


And there are more factors involved but this post is getting to long…







ArrowArrowTo say that “it is obvious that intelligent life exists out there” and even that “it is abundant” may be true, but it also, equally, may not be true at all. As the variables necessary for the creation of intelligent life increase though galactic location, age of the host star, position, core composition, carbon cycle, spin, moon, moon size, inevitable extinction events and many more…the statistical odds become smaller as the necessary target variables increase. Variables that are not being taken into account when people (PHD's included) go blah blah the odds are like this therefore aliens!

Although it is apparent that life has a tendency to spontaneously occur under the right conditions, it is not so obvious that life must yield large quantities of intelligent life and civilizations throughout the universe, given the universes presumed age and presumed size. The one thing does not follow the other as it has been made popular by modern day Sci-Fi literature and movies.


The universe does not have to be teaming with intelligent life at all. It is equally as possible, from our vantage point, that we are a rarity. Not necessarily unique in the universe, but rare in the universe still.



Both is equally as possible from our vantage point and one is NOT more likely then the other. Welcome to real science.

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Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#3 - 2013-01-05 23:58:21 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Flamers unite!
Gather your pitchforks!!!11111111




They chant "hey wait! he does not believe in intellegent life on other planets get him!!! Kill him! kill him! kill him! rablrablrablrabl!!!!"

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Kitty Bear
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#4 - 2013-01-06 00:25:29 UTC
Life as it exists on earth today is a result of geophysical, astrological, chemical and several other different types of natural science "luck"

There is no proof of anything I believe, as that proof is currently unobtainable.

There are Billions of galaxies within the visible universe
Each galaxy has billions to trillions of stars
each star has the potential to support a planetary system.

Even using conservative laws of average and estimation, you are going to get the possiblility, of the correct conditions for life in more than 1 solar system, get enough of those and you increase the chance of intelligent life developing.

I think basic life will be far more pervasive than people currently consider it to be.
Hydrothermic Vents fly in the face of a soler-driven macroverse, but at one time the sun was considered the ONLY source of energy to drive life, there is no sunshine on the ocean seabeds where the hydrothermal vents are, but theres still life there.





TL, DR
We don't know **** & need to learn moar!
Ion Crux
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#5 - 2013-01-06 01:27:48 UTC
I do believe there is more life out there. Yes i get what you're saying but how unlike the it would be there is still a chance that there is something\some one out there......We made it.
AlleyKat
The Unwanted.
#6 - 2013-01-06 01:40:38 UTC  |  Edited by: AlleyKat
There is also the incredibly high possibility that intelligent life once existed on other planets in our galaxy that came together to form a magnificent Empire which killed each other off several billion years before you were winked into existence behind the waste bins of the local niteclub.

Roll the dice.

This space for rent.

AlleyKat
The Unwanted.
#7 - 2013-01-06 01:41:33 UTC
dupe

This space for rent.

Surfin's PlunderBunny
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#8 - 2013-01-06 02:48:04 UTC
Image from the Hubble

that was aiming in 1 spot in the sky (a tiny spot between some stars that appeared to be blank). They saw 10,000 galaxies... each shiny spot is a galaxy, each galaxy contains about 10 billion stars, each star has the potential to have a solar system.

I'd say probability is working against the op on this one Blink

"Little ginger moron" ~David Hasselhoff 

Want to see what Surf is training or how little isk Surf has?  http://eveboard.com/pilot/Surfin%27s_PlunderBunny

Alice Klein
#9 - 2013-01-06 03:15:45 UTC
last time i checked our galaxy had 100 to 150 billion stars.

i dunno what other galaxies contain but obviously your 10 billion and some other post mentioning trillions is completely made up!
Surfin's PlunderBunny
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#10 - 2013-01-06 03:29:32 UTC
Alice Klein wrote:
last time i checked our galaxy had 100 to 150 billion stars.

i dunno what other galaxies contain but obviously your 10 billion and some other post mentioning trillions is completely made up!


LIES! I read it somewhere on the interwebs, that means it's automatically true Straight

"Little ginger moron" ~David Hasselhoff 

Want to see what Surf is training or how little isk Surf has?  http://eveboard.com/pilot/Surfin%27s_PlunderBunny

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#11 - 2013-01-06 15:07:23 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
AlleyKat wrote:
There is also the incredibly high possibility that intelligent life once existed on other planets in our galaxy that came together to form a magnificent Empire which killed each other off several billion years before you were winked into existence behind the waste bins of the local niteclub.

Roll the dice.




It is also possible that Aurthur C Clark had a vision like the ancient Hindu Yogi's who claimed to have seen Vishnu during deep meditation, and Mr. Clark caught onto the real truth that a geometric monolith is the preferred form of god. He then made 2001 the space odyssey.


Roll the dice.
Dup.

Imagination outside of any evidence can be fun!

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Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#12 - 2013-01-06 15:11:47 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Surfin's PlunderBunny wrote:
Image from the Hubble

that was aiming in 1 spot in the sky (a tiny spot between some stars that appeared to be blank). They saw 10,000 galaxies... each shiny spot is a galaxy, each galaxy contains about 10 billion stars, each star has the potential to have a solar system.

I'd say probability is working against the op on this one Blink




And....



That is variable 1 being calculated. That is the entire point of my op. 1 requirement vs that amount of stars in 14b years of time is easy enough to come by, but now do the rest of the math for us!





Akita taught me that if you flipped a coin every second it would take far longer then the entire age of the universe to become reasonably certain of flipping 100 heads in a row. 2-3 times the age of the universe in fact, if memory serves. How do you think that compares to all of the variables needed to randomly generate the DNA of an intelligent life form?

You better start flipping!

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Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#13 - 2013-01-06 15:38:29 UTC
Kitty Bear wrote:


There is no proof of anything I believe, as that proof is currently unobtainable.




This. Also, OP argument is flawed from the outset with determining what is meant exactly by 'common' ?

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#14 - 2013-01-06 15:48:21 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:
Kitty Bear wrote:


There is no proof of anything I believe, as that proof is currently unobtainable.




This. Also, OP argument is flawed from the outset with determining what is meant exactly by 'common' ?



Awesome, now we get to do some classical philosophical nit picking with regards to definitions of commonly understood words. Do tell dear Krixtal, what alternate definition of the word "common" shall we entertain? I will be happy to better define the commonsense usage of such a term, following your elaboration. Afterward, maybe we will determine once and for all the meaning of "truth" Big smile

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Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#15 - 2013-01-06 16:10:40 UTC
Chances of organic life are very high. We find organic compounds almost everywhere we seem to look out there.

Chances of intelligent life, much less so.

Also, there is the chance that in some cases we may not even recognize it for what it is.


Although I personally believe we will eventually find some life out there at least, whether or not it is found period is the important question that must be pursued before we get to the discussion of it's commonality.

That's all I meant, and no harshing implied.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

Eternum Praetorian
Doomheim
#16 - 2013-01-06 16:12:15 UTC  |  Edited by: Eternum Praetorian
understood... and agreed Big smile


My bad.

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stoicfaux
#17 - 2013-01-06 16:52:18 UTC
FTL Travel. If practical FTL travel existed, it would only take one civilization to spam itself across the stars. (Imagine if Humanity had "warp engines" for a million years.) Since we don't see other civilizations, practical FTL travel isn't possible, thus Humanity is limited to our solar system and will eventually go extinct here.


/deep_thoughts

Pon Farr Memorial: once every 7 years, all the carebears in high-sec must PvP or they will be temp-banned.

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#18 - 2013-01-06 16:57:18 UTC  |  Edited by: Krixtal Icefluxor
stoicfaux wrote:
FTL Travel. If practical FTL travel existed, it would only take one civilization to spam itself across the stars. (Imagine if Humanity had "warp engines" for a million years.) Since we don't see other civilizations, practical FTL travel isn't possible, thus Humanity is limited to our solar system and will eventually go extinct here.


/deep_thoughts



Wormholes could work if we have the technology to somehow control them. It's pretty far off in the future but personally I cannot discount the possibility.

Also, many things like neutrinos and tachyons go faster than light, so it is possible.



edit: there may be a method of instantaneous travel we have not even conceived of yet. "Travel" may not even need to be involved.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

AlleyKat
The Unwanted.
#19 - 2013-01-06 17:44:17 UTC
Eternum Praetorian wrote:
He then made 2001 the space odyssey.


No; he then wrote a short story called 'The Sentinel'.

My point stands - intelligent Empires could have risen and fallen through self-destruction across the entire cosmos long before our existence and looking for intelligent life is just as futile because of this.

I do not believe in space exploration, I believe in self-exploration.

Without an understanding of who we are, we have no place to visit someone else's house and bestow wisdom we do not posses. No more than we have the right to disturb an ancient tribe living in the amazon basin and tell them we are superior when we resolve differences through war and oppression.

If aliens do exist, and I suspect they do or have, the reason we haven't seen them on a global 'Hello' scale is because we are child-like savages to them.

Our descendants are going to mock us and call us pathetic losers that nearly wiped ourselves out multiple times and practically destroyed the planet from all recognition.

That is, if we have descendants of course.

So yes, I agree with you - things like space exploration should be left to the imagination as sci-fi writers should be the only ones looking in that direction, all other thoughts should be towards making the world better. This means that when sci-fi is no longer sci-fi, perhaps we will be ready.

AK

This space for rent.

Alpheias
Tactical Farmers.
Pandemic Horde
#20 - 2013-01-06 18:07:40 UTC
I find the whole model laughable because OP only establishes what we already know what conditions were required to give carbon based life, as we currently know it, a chance on this planet.

Looking to establish some kind of universal model for alien worlds with different conditions for extraterrestrial life is frankly deluded. Star Trek much OP? :p

While we are on the subject; define intelligent life for me? Because I see signs of intelligence in nature, like chimps using tools or dolphins using ingenious ways of catching fish and plenty of people displaying nothing that could be ever defined as intelligent.

Agent of Chaos, Sower of Discord.

Don't talk to me unless you are IQ verified and certified with three references from non-family members. Please have your certificate of authenticity on hand.

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