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Dear CCP - EvE-sourced dollars and potential Dust failcascade

First post
Author
Ranger 1
Ranger Corp
Vae. Victis.
#121 - 2012-08-10 17:55:28 UTC  |  Edited by: Ranger 1
Gillia Winddancer wrote:
Well, isn't this amusement at a high level?

A crusader who thinks he can decide what a business may or may not spend/invest in simply cause he's a customer of one of it's products.


Didn't you know?

Your $15 a month automatically makes you and expert in game design, gaming industry demographics, and business investment counciling.

It apparenly also allows you to make broad projections based on either no data or data that contradicts the point you are trying to make, pretend you have studied the issue more extensively than the folks planning this project for the last several years, and pretend you have any sort of experience in the related fields what so ever.

It is truly amazing what $15 and "hey, I played a console game once" qualify you to do now.

View the latest EVE Online developments and other game related news and gameplay by visiting Ranger 1 Presents: Virtual Realms.

arcca jeth
Dark Alliance
#122 - 2012-08-10 17:58:30 UTC
Khergit Deserters wrote:
Whut the...? 15 bucks a month makes somebody think they have an opinion on how a company runs its business? Gawd, I feel sorry for CCP forum mods, having to read stuff like this and keep their mouths shut.


try $15/month spread across 5 accounts over 6 years, +$400-600 spent on PLEX (can't remember how much exactly at this point). So yea, if CCP is going to run surveys and ask me my opinion, + the amount of RL money I have spent on this company over the years + the amount of money spent upgrading to a decent PC that can keep up with the future of technology for the next 5 years. YAH, I think that I do have a right to an opinion on how they run their business. At this point, I'm no longer a scrub 1 sub 6 month player. I consider myself a MuthaFuggin investor Shocked
arcca jeth
Dark Alliance
#123 - 2012-08-10 18:01:46 UTC
Ranger 1 wrote:
Gillia Winddancer wrote:
Well, isn't this amusement at a high level?

A crusader who thinks he can decide what a business may or may not spend/invest in simply cause he's a customer of one of it's products.


Didn't you know?

Your $15 a month automatically makes you and expert in game design, gaming industry demographics, and business investment counciling.

It apparenly also allows you to make broad projections based on either no data or data that contradicts the point you are trying to make, pretend you have studied the issue more extensively than the folks planning this project for the last several years, and pretend you have any sort of experience in the related fields what so ever.

It is truly amazing what $15 and "hey, I played a console game once" qualify you to do now.


Didn't you know, that this is why WIS has been on slow development because players got all up in arms about DUST and WOD and INCARNA failing to deliver?! where the hell have you 2 been for the past year? didn't you know that players can sway the development plans of this company by voting with their dollars?! you 2 must be new around here
Ranger 1
Ranger Corp
Vae. Victis.
#124 - 2012-08-10 18:02:49 UTC
arcca jeth wrote:
Khergit Deserters wrote:
Whut the...? 15 bucks a month makes somebody think they have an opinion on how a company runs its business? Gawd, I feel sorry for CCP forum mods, having to read stuff like this and keep their mouths shut.


try $15/month spread across 5 accounts over 6 years, +$400-600 spent on PLEX (can't remember how much exactly at this point). So yea, if CCP is going to run surveys and ask me my opinion, + the amount of RL money I have spent on this company over the years + the amount of money spent upgrading to a decent PC that can keep up with the future of technology for the next 5 years. YAH, I think that I do have a right to an opinion on how they run their business. At this point, I'm no longer a scrub 1 sub 6 month player. I consider myself a MuthaFuggin investor Shocked


You have a perfect right to express your opinion, just like the person that started yesterday... just as long as your realize that the money you have spent doesn't lend any weight or validity to your opinion what so ever. Blink

View the latest EVE Online developments and other game related news and gameplay by visiting Ranger 1 Presents: Virtual Realms.

Syler Puuntai
Nomadic Asylum
#125 - 2012-08-10 18:04:09 UTC
Ranger 1 wrote:
Gillia Winddancer wrote:
Well, isn't this amusement at a high level?

A crusader who thinks he can decide what a business may or may not spend/invest in simply cause he's a customer of one of it's products.


Didn't you know?

Your $15 a month automatically makes you and expert in gaming design, gaming industry demographics, and business investment counciling.

It apparenly also allows you to make broad projections based on either no data or data that contradicts the point you are trying to make, pretend you have studied the issue more extensively than the folks planning this project for the last several years, and pretend you have any sort of experience in the related fields what so ever.

It is truly amazing what $15 and "hey, I played a console game once" qualify you to do now.


Its CCP do you honestly think they do much research and planning long term wise. If they did they wouldn't have ran into the issue they did earlier with trying to develop 2 separate MMOs while maintaining another on only one income source. Which btw the fallout was seen by many in the player base long before it happened. Shocking that some players MIGHT actually know somethings about finances, gaming, and business.
Denidil
Cascades Mountain Operatives
#126 - 2012-08-10 18:04:17 UTC  |  Edited by: Denidil
Oh there go idiots assuming they know something about me in real life again so they can say what i do and do not know. please continue to embarrass yourselves with your stupid assumptions.

Syler Puuntai wrote:
Shocking that some players MIGHT actually know somethings about finances, gaming, and business.


INCONCEIVABLE! :P

Tedium and difficulty are not the same thing, if you don't realize this then STFU about game design.

Ranger 1
Ranger Corp
Vae. Victis.
#127 - 2012-08-10 18:05:31 UTC  |  Edited by: Ranger 1
arcca jeth wrote:
Ranger 1 wrote:
Gillia Winddancer wrote:
Well, isn't this amusement at a high level?

A crusader who thinks he can decide what a business may or may not spend/invest in simply cause he's a customer of one of it's products.


Didn't you know?

Your $15 a month automatically makes you and expert in game design, gaming industry demographics, and business investment counciling.

It apparenly also allows you to make broad projections based on either no data or data that contradicts the point you are trying to make, pretend you have studied the issue more extensively than the folks planning this project for the last several years, and pretend you have any sort of experience in the related fields what so ever.

It is truly amazing what $15 and "hey, I played a console game once" qualify you to do now.


Didn't you know, that this is why WIS has been on slow development because players got all up in arms about DUST and WOD and INCARNA failing to deliver?! where the hell have you 2 been for the past year? didn't you know that players can sway the development plans of this company by voting with their dollars?! you 2 must be new around here

LolLolLolLolLol

I applaud your attempt to make those past events support your argument concerning DUST. Unfortunately too many of us know exactly what was up for it to be very successful. Blink

View the latest EVE Online developments and other game related news and gameplay by visiting Ranger 1 Presents: Virtual Realms.

Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#128 - 2012-08-10 18:07:12 UTC
I've bought holly ranchers all my life because I love hard candy. Now they used my holly rancer sourced dollars to make chewy holly ranchers? WTF? We must protest!

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"

Josef Djugashvilis
#129 - 2012-08-10 18:08:41 UTC
Ranger 1 wrote:
arcca jeth wrote:
Khergit Deserters wrote:
Whut the...? 15 bucks a month makes somebody think they have an opinion on how a company runs its business? Gawd, I feel sorry for CCP forum mods, having to read stuff like this and keep their mouths shut.


try $15/month spread across 5 accounts over 6 years, +$400-600 spent on PLEX (can't remember how much exactly at this point). So yea, if CCP is going to run surveys and ask me my opinion, + the amount of RL money I have spent on this company over the years + the amount of money spent upgrading to a decent PC that can keep up with the future of technology for the next 5 years. YAH, I think that I do have a right to an opinion on how they run their business. At this point, I'm no longer a scrub 1 sub 6 month player. I consider myself a MuthaFuggin investor Shocked


You have a perfect right to express your opinion, just like the person that started yesterday... just as long as your realize that the money you have spent doesn't lend any weight or validity to your opinion what so ever. Blink


As I pay for two accounts by annual subscription, I firmly believe that CCP should not make any decisions without getting my input first.

My ability to spend my money as I see fit obviously entitles me to tell CCP how they should spend their money.

This is not a signature.

Ranger 1
Ranger Corp
Vae. Victis.
#130 - 2012-08-10 18:09:09 UTC
Denidil wrote:
Oh there go idiots assuming they know something about me in real life again so they can say what i do and do not know. please continue to embarrass yourselves with your stupid assumptions.

Syler Puuntai wrote:
Shocking that some players MIGHT actually know somethings about finances, gaming, and business.


INCONCEIVABLE! :P


It's a pretty easy assumption to make based on the half baked conclusions you have made in your posts. Smile

View the latest EVE Online developments and other game related news and gameplay by visiting Ranger 1 Presents: Virtual Realms.

Denidil
Cascades Mountain Operatives
#131 - 2012-08-10 18:12:48 UTC
Ranger 1 wrote:


It's a pretty easy assumption to make based on the half baked conclusions you have made in your posts. Smile


yeah.. because the observed player retention patterns of past console FPS games, and the observed % of players who actually spend in a cash store are "half baked conclusions".


i certainly don't know everything about the gaming world, which is why i hope i am wrong and they have a good reason to think they'll buck the trend.

but if you absolutely have no ******* idea what you're talking about. shut up, adults are talking.

Tedium and difficulty are not the same thing, if you don't realize this then STFU about game design.

Ranger 1
Ranger Corp
Vae. Victis.
#132 - 2012-08-10 18:52:54 UTC  |  Edited by: Ranger 1
Denidil wrote:
Ranger 1 wrote:


It's a pretty easy assumption to make based on the half baked conclusions you have made in your posts. Smile


yeah.. because the observed player retention patterns of past console FPS games, and the observed % of players who actually spend in a cash store are "half baked conclusions".


i certainly don't know everything about the gaming world, which is why i hope i am wrong and they have a good reason to think they'll buck the trend.

but if you absolutely have no ******* idea what you're talking about. shut up, adults are talking.


You should already realize why "observed player retention" metrics of your typical FPS game has little or no bearing on the target audience for DUST, the underlying architecture and design principals are radically different from the titles you are (supposedly) drawing your assumptions from.

There is a huge amount of information becoming available for DUST and it's design model, with analysis being done by a number of noteworthy entities in the gaming industry... many of whom are coming up with similar prototypes that we will llikely see released over the next couple of years.

Is this something of a gamble?

Yes, radical advances in an established industry are always a gamble.

Are the odds for success good?

Considering the gameplay available in the Beta, DUSTS persistent nature, free to play with frequent free downloadable updates, and the huge groundswell of excitement and interest among the leaders of the gaming industry... I'd say the odds are better than average. Smile

View the latest EVE Online developments and other game related news and gameplay by visiting Ranger 1 Presents: Virtual Realms.

IGNATIUS HOOD
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#133 - 2012-08-10 19:03:22 UTC
Denidil wrote:
So CCP, you've used our subscription money to siphon away to create dust. A free to play shooter with a cash store that you hope will pay for itself and become a meaningful part of the EvE Universe. This is a laudable goal - creating a more complete game ecosystem. Fleet (EvE) does the flying and MI (Dust) does the dying and all that. It even sounds like fun. If it were a done right I wouldn't even begrudge you using our subscription dollars from EvE to do it - if it would eventually pay for itself. If it did eventually pay for itself EvE would get that money back, and that money would get spent improving EvE in the long run.

However you made a grave mistake in your demographics and market research and the conclusions you have drawn from it.

You went to consoles. You're trying to setup a game that is only long-term profitable via a cash store on the console platform. In the FPS Genre. Did you even read reports of how long console gamers stick to a single shooter? 3 months after you release Dust 514 you will have 90% less people playing it than on day 1.

There were only 64 million play stations shipped - let's assume an EXTREMELY GENEROUS 10% (6.4mil - note: the best selling PS3 game is Gran Turismo 5 at 7.43mil units) give Dust a try at launch. 90% attrition within three months you'll have 640k players. Sounds good right? waay more than eve, right? Wrong. Because they're not paying subscription fees. What percentage of them are going to buy things from the cash shop? How many much do you think you will bring in, per month, from Dust's cash shop.

How many years until Dust pays for itself and we EvE players see the money come back to EvE? How many subscriptions to EvE could you have gained instead had you invested that money into improving EvE and marketing it?

What are you going to do when a more likely less than 1million players even try Dust 514? What happens when your 90% attrition takes you down to 100k, what happens where a mere 10% of them spend money in the cash store EVER? Where is the Beef, CCP? What are you going to do to make Dust at least break even. When it INEVITABLY fails on the Console are you going to fast-port it to the PC and see if you can try to not completely loose your ass on it? On PC it might have a chance since PC FPS players have a longer attention span for a single game - they stick around longer if it is good. However even that might save it.

What happens to EvE and CCP if Dust fails? What happens to the subscription dollars that were diverted from iterating on EvE and were instead spent on dust? What awesome features did we miss out on because of Dust, and when will we see them?

CCP - you used your existing game to bankroll your new one. That in and of itself is not an issue, but when that game has a high chance of failcascading and said investment diverted from making our main game more awesome then you have some responsibility to the players of your main game.


Note: for comparison - Wii 96.56 million units shipped, Xbox 360 is 67.2 million units shipped

[edit]
I dropped this post then didn't get a change to respond to the thread for a while. for the record I HOPE I AM WRONG and that Dust bucks the console FPS player count trends.

[edit2]
Changed the title.. title was really more negative than i meant it to be.


Nice wall of stupid. Roll
"Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats."   --H.L. Mencken
Denidil
Cascades Mountain Operatives
#134 - 2012-08-10 19:03:56 UTC
Ranger 1 wrote:
Denidil wrote:
Ranger 1 wrote:


It's a pretty easy assumption to make based on the half baked conclusions you have made in your posts. Smile


yeah.. because the observed player retention patterns of past console FPS games, and the observed % of players who actually spend in a cash store are "half baked conclusions".


i certainly don't know everything about the gaming world, which is why i hope i am wrong and they have a good reason to think they'll buck the trend.

but if you absolutely have no ******* idea what you're talking about. shut up, adults are talking.


You should already realize why "observed player retention" metrics of your typical FPS game has little or no bearing on the target audience for DUST, the underlying architecture and design principals are radically different from the titles you are (supposedly) drawing your assumptions from.

There is a huge amount of information becoming available for DUST and it's design model, with analysis being done by a number of noteworthy entities in the gaming industry... many of whom are coming up with similar prototypes that we will llikely see released over the next couple of years.

Is this something of a gamble?

Yes, radical advances in an established industry are always a gamble.

Are the odds for success good?

Considering the gameplay available in the Beta, DUSTS persistent nature, free to play with frequent free downloadable updates, and the huge groundswell of excitement and interest among the leaders of the gaming industry... I'd say the odds are better than average. Smile


dust is more similar to all previous FPSes than it is different. asserting that previous FPS's player retention is irrelevant is simply bullshit.

and i have seen no huge outswell of enthusiasm from anyone but insiders. at the local game store nobody there had even heard of EvE or Dust - and i live in the greater seattle area!

Tedium and difficulty are not the same thing, if you don't realize this then STFU about game design.

IGNATIUS HOOD
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#135 - 2012-08-10 19:05:53 UTC
Belshazzar Babylon wrote:
Why do you care what CCP does with their money? As long as they keep the servers on for EVE and continue to update it what difference does it make? Seriously this is like buying a Bigmac and then complaining that McDonalds is working on a new burger.



Most of the threads in General Discussion can be successfully countered with this direct line of thinking.
"Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats."   --H.L. Mencken
Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#136 - 2012-08-10 19:07:49 UTC
Denidil wrote:
... at the local game store nobody there had even heard of EvE or Dust


Nobody? How do you know? Where you there? If you were there, and you *know* about EVE and DUST, then the word "nobody" is incorrect.

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"

Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#137 - 2012-08-10 19:08:45 UTC
IGNATIUS HOOD wrote:
Belshazzar Babylon wrote:
Why do you care what CCP does with their money? As long as they keep the servers on for EVE and continue to update it what difference does it make? Seriously this is like buying a Bigmac and then complaining that McDonalds is working on a new burger.



Most of the threads in General Discussion can be successfully countered with this direct line of thinking.


No they can't... just the Dust ones... and maybe the IPO ones.

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"

Denidil
Cascades Mountain Operatives
#138 - 2012-08-10 19:13:16 UTC
Shameless Avenger wrote:
Denidil wrote:
... at the local game store nobody there had even heard of EvE or Dust


Nobody? How do you know? Where you there? If you were there, and you *know* about EVE and DUST, then the word "nobody" is incorrect.


pedantic **** :P nobody but me. i brought them up.

Tedium and difficulty are not the same thing, if you don't realize this then STFU about game design.

Syler Puuntai
Nomadic Asylum
#139 - 2012-08-10 19:13:51 UTC
When will people learn not to use generalizations like nobody, everybody, everyone, all, etc when trying to prove a point. Considering it ruins your argument from the beginning since such a generalization is always wrong.
Shameless Avenger
Can Preachers of Kador
#140 - 2012-08-10 19:21:06 UTC
Denidil wrote:
Shameless Avenger wrote:
Denidil wrote:
... at the local game store nobody there had even heard of EvE or Dust


Nobody? How do you know? Where you there? If you were there, and you *know* about EVE and DUST, then the word "nobody" is incorrect.


pedantic **** :P nobody but me. i brought them up.


You bought them up? So now they *do* know. Probably everybody knows by now.

"This is the Ninja. He will scan you down; he will salvage your wrecks and there shall be no aggro"