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Can't believe I am saying this but...
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Khanh'rhh
Sparkle Motion.
#21 - 2012-07-12 12:46:02 UTC
Vlodovich wrote:
Khanh'rhh wrote:
1) Random is random. If you think you see a pattern in something random, you're seeing observational bias

2) If a mod DID start dropping half as often, then it's price would inflate 2x and you'd be earning the same


Id actually rather the high end mods dropped rarely for us so they remain expensive. Its the getting nothing form any site of any kind thing thats annoying.

I think im probably just in a bad luck streak, any time these threads appear around patch times im always saying to the people invloved 'random is random'.

The drop rates are low, so getting nothing for a decent amount of time is a very possible result.

For instance, if the drop rate were 5% (one in 20) then not getting anything in 100 sites wouldn't be unusual. AFAIK most drop rates are single digit percentages.

On the other hand, EXPECTING to get nothing in 100 sites would be unlikely Blink

"Do not touch anything unnecessarily. Beware of pretty girls in dance halls and parks who may be spies, as well as bicycles, revolvers, uniforms, arms, dead horses, and men lying on roads -- they are not there accidentally." -Soviet infantry manual,

Jenn aSide
Worthless Carebears
The Initiative.
#22 - 2012-07-12 12:59:19 UTC
Vlodovich wrote:
I have seen posts about this around many patch days, minor and major updates and expansions. I always read them and think 'silly poster you got it all wrong', but unfortunately I am about to say the same.

Am I on a terrible bad luck streak with the loot fairy or has something actually changed this time? Myself and a couple friends run sites to fund our PvP activities and used to make a decent living. Not mega rich or anything but a couple hundred mil drop here and there, occasional larger A-type drop.

In the last 2 months we have run over 100 sites and have received the escalations and faction spawns from these as regularly as before. Yet in these 2 months no escalation or faction spawn has dropped a single faction or deadspace item. We have made no money whatsoever during this time and our PvP is making it run a little low. We run sites in sansha, bloods, and serpentis space.

Even the 7/10's and such that the wiki says guarantee faction or B/A type loot have dropped us nothing. Our last site we ran was a 6/10 in bloods space that spawned a named overseers battlecruiser in the last pocket and all he dropped was a faint warp disruptor.

Any input?

TL:DR 2 months running over 100 DED sites and not a single drop from all the faction rats we got.


I got 2.5 bil worth of loot from a 10/10 (the Guristas one) last week, best single drop I've ever had (large booster, xl booster, shield boost amp, em hardner and OPE), this week I've done a bunch of nullsec plexes and made 200 mil tops. Before last week I went 3 weeks without anything really note worthy.

Random is Random.
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