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Goons 4x4ing through the Sandbox - Market Manipulation on a Grand Scale

First post First post First post
Author
Xython
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#2661 - 2012-06-23 17:38:36 UTC
Ariel Marquette wrote:
Xython wrote:
This whole thing is a win win for anyone who likes good fourm rage. Either CCP is going to let this go (and the pubbies will EXPLODE), or they're not (and everyone who values the sandbox will EXPLODE). There may be a 3rd option, but I certainly ain't seeing it.


Goons are "everyone who values the sandbox"? You really do think too much of yourselves. No one other than Goons and Goon cronies (looking at you, TEST) are going to be upset about anything bad happening to Goons.


I know this is going to be hard for a sockpuppet to understand, but not everyone who supports us are actually Goons.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#2662 - 2012-06-23 17:38:37 UTC
Cygnet Lythanea wrote:
Xython wrote:
This whole thing is a win win for anyone who likes good fourm rage. Either CCP is going to let this go (and the pubbies will EXPLODE), or they're not (and everyone who values the sandbox will EXPLODE). There may be a 3rd option, but I certainly ain't seeing it.



Erase all the toons, close the server, put the game through 8 months development and open it as EvE II and force everyone to start over.

Then everyone explodes.

This would own. In a world where frigates are top dog, goons rule the universe. Cool

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Cygnet Lythanea
World Welfare Works Association
#2663 - 2012-06-23 17:38:57 UTC
Minerva Seraph wrote:
But when things happen within the given rules of play - and it's reasonable to push things to their limits (have you seen warhammer tournaments?) - you've got to let it go and move on. Wizards of the Coast didn't invalidate Skullclamp wins (it's a Magic the Gathering thing). Fancy the Famous Bard didn't have his massacre overturned on an Everquest Server, but instead had the first real game play rule established.



I'll counter those with a Warhammer one: Empire In Flames. Also the shenanigans surrounding 13th Black Crusade for 40k, where non-chaos wins were magically counted several times in the BFG portion of the campaign to prevent a total shut out by Chaos.
Cygnet Lythanea
World Welfare Works Association
#2664 - 2012-06-23 17:41:30 UTC
corestwo wrote:

This would own. In a world where frigates are top dog, goons rule the universe. Cool


Don't know the swarms own history then? Goons used to do exactly that against BoB with newb ships. There is the problem though of no one actually having the isk to start an alliance, however...
Ariel Marquette
Doomheim
#2665 - 2012-06-23 17:43:07 UTC
Perhaps the investigation should last until the winter expansion is due. CCP could then launch the "No More Goons" expansion. It would really be the greatest release in years.
Tear Miner
Doomheim
#2666 - 2012-06-23 17:45:03 UTC  |  Edited by: ISD Dorrim Barstorlode
I've clicked the blue dev button so many times. The rest of us should just stop posting. Sreegs pretty much /thread'd this forum thread like 50x.

I find it hilarious there's this much butthurt over this problem. It seems pretty simple at this point, if you don't understand, maybe you should just log off. Evil
Antisocial Malkavian
Antisocial Malkavians
#2667 - 2012-06-23 17:45:28 UTC
Holander Switzerland wrote:
CCP Sreegs wrote:


I already addressed that. Please do not twist my statements. I'm not part of your propaganda campaign and won't allow it to interfere with our official communications to our customers.


Alright, I will not "twist" your words any longer, I will just state that they are nothing but words on a forum.


I think you just made his point for him actually

And, isn't sanity really just a one-trick pony anyway? I mean all you get is one trick, rational thinking, but when you're good and crazy, oooh, oooh, oooh, the sky is the limit.

Nakkano
Microsoft Excel Club
#2668 - 2012-06-23 17:46:46 UTC
Well done Goons. This game needs you for exactly this reason.. pushing the boundary of the sandbox environment. Breaking all the things that were never considered. So in a way this is a good deed, although there will be a penalty most likely, you must carry on and continue doing what you do.

And to be fair, punishing the goons wallet will hurt them yes, but they are not the only ones who have benefited here. Everyone with buy orders of minmatar FW items soaking up these item dumps has benefited greatly as well with the price rebound after this event. So really the ones hurt are those that were competing to sell items while Goons crashed the markets, while buyers made bank. A mixed bag of casualties and winners.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#2669 - 2012-06-23 17:47:03 UTC
Cygnet Lythanea wrote:
corestwo wrote:

This would own. In a world where frigates are top dog, goons rule the universe. Cool


Don't know the swarms own history then? Goons used to do exactly that against BoB with newb ships. There is the problem though of no one actually having the isk to start an alliance, however...


No, I don't just happen to be a goon who's played since 2006, including during the period when BoB thought invading syndicate was significant, so I'm totally unfamiliar with our tactics at the time.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Cygnet Lythanea
World Welfare Works Association
#2670 - 2012-06-23 17:48:04 UTC
Ariel Marquette wrote:
Perhaps the investigation should last until the winter expansion is due. CCP could then launch the "No More Goons" expansion. It would really be the greatest release in years.


Only if they did away with alliances all together and gave corps a hard limit of 50 players. That would be fun to watch.
Geoscape
Imperial Academy
Amarr Empire
#2671 - 2012-06-23 17:49:54 UTC
Wow what a shitstorm.
Xython
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#2672 - 2012-06-23 17:51:00 UTC
One thing to take from this is to make sure if you do something like this to prove a point, make sure you do it on an alt, or at the very least keep good accounting notes.
Victoria Sin
Doomheim
#2673 - 2012-06-23 17:54:19 UTC
What I take away from this is that some people spend too much time playing Eve, and that as soon as you start breaking out the spreadsheet to work out how best to take advantage of an exploit, you might as well go and shoot yourself.
Powers Sa
#2674 - 2012-06-23 17:57:58 UTC
Kazanir wrote:
Kazanir wrote:
CCP Sreegs wrote:
When do we get to the part where we stop pretending that a gap in the timing of value calculation (programming) wasn't what was being taken advantage of here? This wasn't just market manipulation it was taking advantage of a flaw in the code.


That is absolutely not true, and to people who DO understand the mechanic it kind of calls into question whether you understand what you are talking about. The mechanic involved has nothing to do with timing or a "flaw" in the code. The system worked precisely as it was designed to. I'll make a larger post explaining it, but I wanted to put this out there first.


To expand on this:

The problem here had nothing to do with timing. It had to do with items that have no market volume, because they are useless, and yet are available from the Faction Warfare store. For example:

Let's say there is an item, which I'll call 'Faction Warfare Boondoggle 44-z0r' for the sake of simplicity. This item has literally no use in the game except allowing the pilot who has it fitted to always efficiently complete every z0r chain he sees. Because few people care about this ability, the market price of this item languishes around 5 million ISK, with about 100 of them actually being traded per month.

The Faction Warfare Boondoggle 44-z0r, meanwhile, is available from LP stores for 5 million ISK and 5000 LP. This makes it extremely unprofitable to buy with LP.

But, now let's say that I take advantage of the item's low market volume to increase its average price. I do this by buying 5,000 of the 44-z0r Boondoggle (from the LP store, naturally), putting them on the market for 500M ISK apiece, and then buying out my own sell order. This costs me a tiny amount of ISK in the form of broker fees, as well as 25B ISK to get the material initially. But now the average price of that item is just under 500M ISK, since my own sales (to myself) utterly dominate the normal market volume of the Boondoggle in question.

Now all of a sudden the worth of this item is 500M ISK. That means that for each Boondoggle I blow up, I get 50,000 LP. Basically I can now buy 50,000 LP for the cost of 5M ISK and 5,000 LP invested. (This is 111.11 ISK per LP, right around the actual value cited in Aryth's article.)

Now then, what is the takeaway from my explanation? The takeaway is that there is no timing issue like Sreegs is saying. The market value of that item isn't affected by me repeatedly blowing it up for profit. It still has no use and it still isn't being sold on the market. I couldn't do this to a normal item, because the sales volume on the normal market would make my attempt at manipulation invisible.

This is the key point. This doesn't depend on timing -- it doesn't matter when CCP updates their internal price index, because the average market price of this item is going to remain around 500M ISK. The market won't bring it back down because the market has no use for it. What we are looking at here is not a bug or a programming issue or an abuse of a timing problem.

It is a design flaw.

Using an average market index is a design flaw because it can be manipulated by players in the case of items that have no market volume. And I'm pretty sure that all of the players of EVE see a large difference between taking advantage of a design flaw and exploiting a programming bug (like the Ferrogel dupe.)


Game. Set.

z
0
r
z
0
r
z
0
r
Match.

Do you like winning t2 frigs and dictors for Dirt Cheap?https://eveninggames.net/register/ref/dQddmNgyLhFBqNJk

Remeber: Gambling addiction is no laughing matter unless you've lost a vast space fortune on the internet.

Fix Lag
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#2675 - 2012-06-23 18:00:58 UTC
I don't get which part was against the rules, Sreegs, so maybe you can point it out for me: was it the part where they bought and sold things on the market or the part where they blew it up?

CCP mostly sucks at their job, but Veritas is a pretty cool dude.

Alain Kinsella
#2676 - 2012-06-23 18:01:18 UTC
Cygnet Lythanea wrote:
Vera Algaert wrote:

if you ask CCP first, they will either say "no" or they will say "yes" and change their mind retroactively.

alliance tournament drama demonstrated the value & reliability of GM answers quite well.


Always get it by email, rather than in game. If CCP punishes you too harshly for following the GM's decision, there is, actually, precedent for legal action against CCP, regardless of the EULA, at that point.

It hasn't been done specifically with video games, yet, but it has been done with aerospace contracts.


Braggs v. Linden Lab

Player discovers he can bid on land before it comes up in auction (manipulating a web page argument), gains several islands without bid fighting (timer started when he bid, expired and won before listed). LL bans, he sues (they are not cheap).

I believe they settled after a couple years, not sure of the outcome. The land was worthless by then anyway.

"The Meta Game does not stop at the game. Ever."

Currently Retired / Semi-Casual (pending changes to RL concerns).

Cygnet Lythanea
World Welfare Works Association
#2677 - 2012-06-23 18:04:41 UTC
Alain Kinsella wrote:


Braggs v. Linden Lab

Player discovers he can bid on land before it comes up in auction (manipulating a web page argument), gains several islands without bid fighting (timer started when he bid, expired and won before listed). LL bans, he sues (they are not cheap).

I believe they settled after a couple years, not sure of the outcome. The land was worthless by then anyway.



Was not aware of that one. Kudos.

MeBiatch
GRR GOONS
#2678 - 2012-06-23 18:12:24 UTC
CCP Sreegs wrote:
Ok I'm going to go watch The Footy. It's been a gas folks.


go spain!

but we all know de Germans will win in the end...

There are no stupid Questions... just stupid people... CCP Goliath wrote:

Ugh ti-di pooping makes me sad.

MeBiatch
GRR GOONS
#2679 - 2012-06-23 18:13:02 UTC
Fix Lag wrote:
I don't get which part was against the rules, Sreegs, so maybe you can point it out for me: was it the part where they bought and sold things on the market or the part where they blew it up?


dont worry your pretty little head you dont have to understand... its not a rule for gameplay...

There are no stupid Questions... just stupid people... CCP Goliath wrote:

Ugh ti-di pooping makes me sad.

Andrea Roche
State War Academy
Caldari State
#2680 - 2012-06-23 18:13:40 UTC  |  Edited by: Andrea Roche
MeBiatch wrote:
CCP Sreegs wrote:
Ok I'm going to go watch The Footy. It's been a gas folks.


go spain!

but we all know de Germans will win in the end...


i want spain to win but i must admit the germans are very likelly to win at the end Roll. 5 stars?