These forums have been archived and are now read-only.

The new forums are live and can be found at https://forums.eveonline.com/

Market Discussions

 
  • Topic is locked indefinitely.
Previous page123Next page
 

Why Accept Bonds/Give Loans?

Author
Jake Andarius
Andarius Trading Corp.
#21 - 2012-03-23 00:01:16 UTC  |  Edited by: Jake Andarius
Shar Tegral wrote:
Darth is one of those people on my ignore list so I'm usually quite happy to not see his comments. However, in this case his comments do not deserve the characterizing you have given them. In fact, I find nothing wrong with what he is saying. It is a fair critical assessment, albeit pessimistic, of the overall situation.


I actually agree with a lot of his skepticism. I just think that characterizing investors as "trying [to] sucker more fresh meat in to feed the scammers" is a bit harsh. I do not mean to make an issue out of it. I was more trying to playfully represent the other side. I think there are several trustworthy members of MD, yourself definitely included. I believe there is a middle ground between being too trusting and too skeptical. When MD did not give my first bond a chance, I did not have any interest in participating in the community. Now that I have successfully secured public investments, I feel I have a vested stake in the community and so I have tried to contribute as much as I can. Essentially, I think there are some well intentioned people that, given a chance, would not only make investors a profit, but also become invested in the community.
Shar Tegral
#22 - 2012-03-23 00:11:59 UTC
Jake Andarius wrote:
stuffs

Fair enough.
flakeys
Doomheim
#23 - 2012-03-23 01:26:09 UTC
Darth Tickles wrote:
Kara Roideater wrote:
Accurately judging risk


See, framing it in those terms suggests a certain universality to it that just doesn't exist. The knowledge needed to succeed is so esoteric and unintuitive that to use a common investing term like that is really disingenuous. It gives the illusion of normalcy to the whole perverted practice; where using actual standards of "judging risk" you would just laugh at the very concept and walk away.

Then again, I wouldn't expect an honest representation from the person who has extracted the most isk of anyone off the backs of the misinformed and uninitiated.


So you said with your other toon 6/11/2011 when spewing the same old yadda yadda :



Elise DarkStar wrote:
flakeys wrote:
Instead of spewing the same line you pull out of your arse how i am only loaning isk till point X after wich i let the suckers loose their isk.Show me one thread/loan , just one , where i invested isk into a person who then at any point in his eve time scammed on a loan/ipo/bond without me having isk tied into it.



Ok. I do have a lot on my plate Eve-wise right now, and I dislike going over my roughly allotted playing time, but I will get around to it in a reasonable timeframe.



So thats over 4 months ago , what would you call a reasonable timeframe?

We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid.

Sevastian Liao
DreamWeaver Inc.
#24 - 2012-03-23 05:56:30 UTC  |  Edited by: Sevastian Liao
To answer the question of why someone who's smart enough would still ask for a loan/bond/IPO - Besides the points already given I'd also put in that while a smart person would definitely be able to earn the capital he needs for his investment venture, he may:

1) Not have the time to grind up his own starting capital slowly from more conventional means. If he only has time to play for a few hours per week, for instance. In that case logging in for a few moments daily to update his buy/sell orders offers a good income stream for minimal work, so he can enjoy using the ISK remaining after paying the interest for other things during the weekend, for instance.
2) Not have the inclination to grind up his own ISK slowly from conventional means. If you find the process of building up your own investment capital boring and just want to get straight to the point (Them ISKies), then leverage offers a good way of getting the max amount of returns for least pain (For people for whom it's the results rather than the process that's fun)
3) Have a rare opportunity they want to go all in ASAP. You'd usually be advised to take this claim with a good heaping of salt though.

Most of the time I'd rather enjoy the process of earning ISK myself. Bootstrapping is challenging. Ergo, more fun playing the game. Some people find that the stuff they can do with the ISKies is where the real entertainment for them is, and find the process itself boring, something to get over with in the shortest time possible by making full use of leverage. All cool.
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#25 - 2012-03-23 08:02:29 UTC
I dare say people give / get bonds / IPOs for the same reasons they do in RL plus roleplaying RL (both legitimate in a game mimicking RL mechanics and being a RPG).


I give loans / bonds etc. for a very trivial reason: make money. I have dealth with RL finance long enough to know that EvE is *less* risky than RL investing. Not everybody live in the USA, in some countries if you get scammed or just not paid, you won't see your money back nor the scammer will be punished before 20 years (that is, well past any retribution lost any meaning) if punished at all.

The reason for people to ask for loans etc is also simple: if not for scamming, they want it to cut time, aka the highest priced commodity. It's not a new concept either, there have been brilliant traders in the past who started small and some fat Scrooge gave them 250k to bootstrap them quicker and make them money grinding machines for them.
Otherwise, sure, the same traders could have spent their 5-7 years building a 250k account for themselves but that'd been a waste considering they could build 5M if helped with 250k boostrap capital.
Emma d'Acques
Doomheim
#26 - 2012-03-23 08:15:36 UTC
Well, being a person requesting a loan myself, I might give you a possible answer here.

I put up a (small) loan request to be able to trade more, with which I should be able to turn a higher profit faster.
And if it gets another person more money, then why not?
I call it helping each other out, but also being a lazy git Lol .

Yes, there are scams out there with these things, as there are scams with practically every other thing in Eve Online, it's just a part of the game.

Another point here, and that has already been raised, is the RPG aspect of it.
Some people have fun with this, be it loaning the money, or be it lending it out.
Myself, I enjoy the challenge of meeting expectations, and I appreciate the trust that is put in me.

As a last point, I think Bonds/Loans are an integral part of the market side of Eve Online, and can somehow help to define the MD community as a whole.

I'm not totally useless, I can be used as a bad example.

Florestan Bronstein
Ministry of War
Amarr Empire
#27 - 2012-03-23 09:01:03 UTC  |  Edited by: Florestan Bronstein
forums ate my post (which was pretty good) and the auto-save feature didn't rescue it, so you'll have to do with a slightly annoyed tl;dr

Cut out all the high finance crap which only gives a false illusion of accountability and professionalism. Call a spade a spade and a personal loan a personal loan - don't call it a bond, a share issue or a securitized whathaveyou.
Treat loans the way you would treat personal loans that you give as a private person irl and MD will be a better place for all of us.

If some person walks up to you and asks for a loan (which you have the means to provide) what qualities should he/she possess to make you give them the money?

If your first considerations are not "do I want to help this person?" and "how well do i know this person?" but some garbage about risk assessments, interest rates, business plans, credit scores, ... you are doing it wrong.

The formal stuff has to be worked out at some later point to make sure both parties don't commit to anything they're likely to regret later on but it should not be your first consideration.

There is no arcane knowledge to be had about "investing" in eve - just stay away from people using fancy words and remember that personal relations come first.

edit: as setrak and raw are both reasonable people they will agree to the core principles expressed in this post and live happily ever after.
Kara Roideater
#28 - 2012-03-23 10:04:07 UTC  |  Edited by: Kara Roideater
Florestan Bronstein wrote:


Cut out all the high finance crap which only gives a false illusion of accountability and professionalism. Call a spade a spade and a personal loan a personal loan - don't call it a bond, a share issue or a securitized whathaveyou.

Anyone falling for that illusion deserves to lose everything. Why must we cater for the lowest common denominator? Why should this be the one area of eve where people are not held responsible for their own mistakes but the system is blamed instead?

I agree it would be easier to just call everything a loan (esp. now that IPOs have died out). But is using the language of bonds an actual problem. Nah.

Quote:

Treat loans the way you would treat personal loans that you give as a private person irl and MD will be a better place for all of us.

Why? Loans given via MD have very few of the characteristics of private loans I would give in RL and differ entirely in motivation.

Quote:

If some person walks up to you and asks for a loan (which you have the means to provide) what qualities should he/she possess to make you give them the money?

If your first considerations are not "do I want to help this person?" and "how well do i know this person?" but some garbage about risk assessments, interest rates, business plans, credit scores, ... you are doing it wrong.

This simply assumes that investing for financial profit isn't viable and that loans should not be motivated by a desire for personal gain. I see no reason to accept that underlying assumption and while no one has been willing to expend the effort required to come to a definitive answer, my personal experience, as well as my intuition, run counter to your assumption.

Quote:

There is no arcane knowledge to be had about "investing" in eve - just stay away from people using fancy words and remember that personal relations come first.

If we are treating 'risk assessment', 'interest rate' and 'business plan' as fancy words are we assuming that the basic level of intellect we're dealing with is that of some subterranean mole-people. I would certainly agree that anyone impressed by these 'high finance' terms should steer well clear of investing but anyone who has ever read a newspaper or so much as thought about a business in RL should be ok. I would agree that 'credit scores' are to be avoided though.

Btw, is 'risk assessment' a financial term? In the UK it's more associated with the nefarious Health and Safety Executive who make you go round the workplace to identify things like: 'heavy door - could cause crushing or death if someone fell asleep in doorway and had door repeatedly slammed on them'.

Quote:

edit: as setrak and raw are both reasonable people they will agree to the core principles expressed in this post and live happily ever after.

Martha! Fetch my shotgun!
Kara Roideater
#29 - 2012-03-23 10:48:05 UTC
Jake Andarius wrote:


I actually agree with a lot of his skepticism. I just think that characterizing investors as "trying [to] sucker more fresh meat in to feed the scammers" is a bit harsh.


Don't take this particular claim too seriously. Some of Darth's points have some degree of validity but this one is just nonsense. He has never even attempted to explain how successful investors require that unsuccessful investors lose isk. I would be perfectly happy if everyone else stopped investing in an individual when they start looking like too much of a risk. The fact that other people continue to do so after I have pulled out doesn't really benefit me. In any case, if memory serves only a couple of the people I have invested in and then stopped investing in have gone on to scam. Certainly not enough for it to be reasonably claimed that such investments provided the core of my investment activity.

I guess it can be argued that successful investors profit from marginally higher interest rates but this really only applies to the small, early bonds, which proportionally form a tiny part of the investment market. Grendell running a 350bil bond for 12 months of the year accounts for the same amount of activity as over a thousand 2bil bonds that run for two months each. So, across the market as a whole I doubt there is a particularly significant effect, certainly not a big enough one to determine the discourse such that the aim of any succesful investor should be to 'sucker in fresh meat'.


Liberty Eternal
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#30 - 2012-03-23 10:57:37 UTC  |  Edited by: Liberty Eternal
In answer to the OP, some of us realise that MMORPG actually means massively multiplayer online ROLE-PLAYING game! P

I enjoy role-playing and had a lot of fun when I was raising investments, putting audits together and tinkering with the mechanics of internet-spaceships trading. The main reason to do this is that it's fun. If you don't think it's fun, no-one will hold a gun to your head and make you do it [unless you're a Chinese prison inmate].

Also, I'm now much more alert to how many people there are who might scam me in real life - and that's thanks to MD I must say Big smile
Florestan Bronstein
Ministry of War
Amarr Empire
#31 - 2012-03-23 11:23:39 UTC  |  Edited by: Florestan Bronstein
Kara Roideater wrote:

Quote:

If some person walks up to you and asks for a loan (which you have the means to provide) what qualities should he/she possess to make you give them the money?

If your first considerations are not "do I want to help this person?" and "how well do i know this person?" but some garbage about risk assessments, interest rates, business plans, credit scores, ... you are doing it wrong.

This simply assumes that investing for financial profit isn't viable and that loans should not be motivated by a desire for personal gain. I see no reason to accept that underlying assumption and while no one has been willing to expend the effort required to come to a definitive answer, my personal experience, as well as my intuition, run counter to your assumption.

I cannot know what business deals you make in private - but from what I have observed on MD my impression is that you make a financial profit by following the principles I laid out above.

If I buy bonds in real-life I buy them from a corporation which is separate from any individual employed by it. Liability is usually limited to the company's equity and my investment decision is made based on "hard" data such as financial reports, possible guarantees and other legal obligations.
I have watchdogs such as rating agencies and gov. regulation agencies that look out for risks which are harder to quantify or require insider information to be recognized (e.g. Bafin just told Deutsche Bank that the bank's favorite candidate for chief risk officer is not deemed suitable for that role - but I as investor would not be required to judge some executive's professional qualifications or character).

If I buy bonds in EVE I usually buy them from a character/person - liability is by default expected to be unlimited and companies are not conceived as entities in their own right. Also most companies are very small or one-man ventures.
De facto I end up giving some guy who styles himself as business manager a personal loan - I expect him to guarantee the loan with his personal assets and I have no recourse if he doesn't use the ISK for the company but blows it on exotic dancers to decorate his personal hangar.

As the total number of unsecured offerings of a reasonable quality in MD is extremely low the law of large numbers which allows rl financial institutions to operate by following relatively simple guidelines (instead of constantly having to make judgement calls with possibly disastrous consequences) does not really help.

I cannot pretend to be some RL banking institution in EVE and base my investment decisions on the same rules that a bank which loans to thousands of customers within a well established legal framework follows.
I cannot pretend to loan to a company when in reality that company is synonymous with the one person managing it.

At the heart of the matter I am a private person giving a loan to another private person and the deciding factor in whether to grant this loan or not is my subjective judgement of his character.

Only once this relation is clearly understood you can tack on all the RP cruft and consider details like interest rates, maturities, ...

The one exception to the rule is to profit by helping someone to build up his scam and then get out in time. But this requires other people to lose money (otherwise there is no reason for the scammer to build reputation by paying high interest rates on several small offerings) and is not a viable strategy for the community as a whole.
Kara Roideater
#32 - 2012-03-23 11:57:48 UTC
Florestan Bronstein wrote:

I cannot know what business deals you make in private - but from what I have observed on MD my impression is that you make a financial profit by following the principles I laid out above.


Ah. Ok, that was my initial interpretation of your post, to which I was going to respond by saying that what you are talking about is just risk assessment by any other name, so I see no need to dumb down the language of risk assessment when it captures accurately what I base my decisions on (along with 'business plans' and 'interest rates'). In the end I plumped for the second interpretation because I thought that was more charitable Blink



Quote:

At the heart of the matter I am a private person giving a loan to another private person and the deciding factor in whether to grant this loan or not is my subjective judgement of his character.

Only once this relation is clearly understood you can tack on all the RP cruft and consider details like interest rates, maturities, ...



Sure, to an extent. But allowing that I acknowledge the fallibility of my subjective character judgement from the start, I don't treat this as a two phase process as you appear to imply. I do form a subjective character judgement first but this is not what determines whether I invest (which is why I might invest in an individual in one bond but not in another). The interest rate, the size of the bond and the character's borrowing history all have a direct impact on the decision to invest or not and are not just tacked onto the end. Now, you can bundle this up into the subjective character judgement if you like under the heading of ongoing 'behaviour'. But then the character judgement is just identical to a risk assessment.

It seems that your problem with the language is that it implies a degree of objectivity that is not valid because it is not statistically grounded. But it seems plain to me that it is not 'merely' subjective either, otherwise I wouldn't expect it to have any correspondence with actual behaviour. Now, again, if anyone does mistake the language of 'risk assessment' for some kind of objective and statistically grounded gauge of risk then, well, they are idiots. As far as I am aware no one has ever made such a claim on MD and no one who talks about them talks about them in such a way. 'Risk assessment' just doesn't seem to me to have the technical overtones that you suggest, it just is what it says, as assessment of the risks involved. Credit ratings, on the other hand, do imply a greater degree of formalism and parallelism to RL finance but, generally, no one who has advanced a 'credit rating' system on MD has really got anywhere with it precisely because people are aware of the differences between what you can do in eve and the situation in real life.


I should note that I have kind of abandoned all my risk assessment principles in the last month or so and have invested 115bil unsecured in ventures that don't match up to my earlier more demanding standards. But this is because I have largely lost interest in securing and growing my pool of isk. I still think that a medium sized pool of investment cash can bring in decent returns through public investing with minimum effort if investors do not act like fools.

Darth Tickles
Doomheim
#33 - 2012-03-23 12:54:44 UTC
The problem is that the practice hides under the an admittedly self-imposed veneer that people bring in from their real-life experiences.

Now, when someone actually realizes that what goes on here is a little "weird" and publicly questions it, the last 3 holdouts who still believe in "investing" make some comment about how successful they've been, but you conveniently fail to mention the enormous amount of time and effort involved in becoming acquainted with how things work here.

If you qualified your statement, I really wouldn't have anything to take issue with, but you don't. Given the choice between confirming people's gut reaction that what goes on here is more or less total horseshit and your insistence that it wasn't or isn't horseshit for you, I still think my oversimplified answer is more accurate than yours, and a better answer for the one who asked.

Flor's approach is something I can agree with. What people are really questioning is the deceptive sense of order that the discourse here takes on, the "horseshit" if you will. If people openly said "ya, that's all bullshit. it's basically the wild west out here", there really wouldn't be much grounds for complaint. However, as long as you and a handful of others continue to promote this false image of orderliness that anyone can hop right in to, I'll keep pounding my equally oversimplified objections to it.
Kara Roideater
#34 - 2012-03-23 13:25:39 UTC
Darth Tickles wrote:
However, as long as you and a handful of others continue to promote this false image of orderliness that anyone can hop right in to, I'll keep pounding my equally oversimplified objections to it.


If anyone chooses to read my comments as implying that anyone can hop straight in, then more fool them. Given the venue I am obviously not addressing people in Jita local, nor trying to drag anyone into MD. I am only talking to people who already follow MD and thus have the resources they need in order to make reasonable decisions at hand if they put in a bit of work. I keep banging on about the importance of risk assessments and it just seems obvious to me that you can't carry out a reasonable assessment without doing adequate research, so as far as I'm concerned the idea that you can't hop straight in is implicit in most of what I say.

As to a 'false image of orderliness', well, I suppose that some such might arise from any ongoing conversation but only for such people as don't have eyes to look outside the window. In general, the people who have lost billions in the past are those who ignore the available tools so, if they are sucked into investing by mistaking talk about the importance of those tools for an ordered system then they are just fools twice over (or perhaps squared - in any case, they are VERY foolish), who manage to ignore the very things that they thought made the investment market attractive in the first place.

Perhaps the rhetoric that investing is bad full stop (period for the yanks) may save some of these people from themselves, since it is unlikely they will be able to reason to more accurate conclusions and, if they can't, they shouldn't be investing (or using metal cutlery) in any case. I'm just not as kind hearted as you and would rather have a discussion that has as much relation to reality as we can manage rather than ditching the possibility of useful (to me) human interaction in order to save the wallets of people who will just find other ways of throwing their isk down the drain.
Darth Tickles
Doomheim
#35 - 2012-03-23 13:40:40 UTC
I guess I'm just not as ruthless and self-serving as you.

I know this is supposed to be a harsh game...I guess I'm just weak like that.
Emma d'Acques
Doomheim
#36 - 2012-03-23 13:43:11 UTC
Actually, I think I can answer that questions:
Internet Spaceships is Serious Business Oops

I'm not totally useless, I can be used as a bad example.

Kara Roideater
#37 - 2012-03-23 13:48:34 UTC
Darth Tickles wrote:
I guess I'm just not as ruthless and self-serving as you.

I know this is supposed to be a harsh game...I guess I'm just weak like that.


Freedom is a harsh mistress.


Fake edit
I was going to say 'Liberty is a harsh mistress'. But then I looked at his portrait Ugh
Liberty Eternal
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#38 - 2012-03-23 13:50:52 UTC  |  Edited by: Liberty Eternal
Darth Tickles wrote:
I guess I'm just not as ruthless and self-serving as you.

I know this is supposed to be a harsh game...I guess I'm just weak like that.


I agree with a lot of what you post but not this. All kara/RAW has shown is that the system can be worked ethically and profitably by those intelligent enough to do so, which is a good thing. Now, does that make him responsible for the mistakes and imperfections of others? Absolutely not - why should he shoulder an unearned guilt?

Edit: @Kara - lol, I told you that's only on Friday nights Blink
Darth Tickles
Doomheim
#39 - 2012-03-23 13:57:58 UTC
You guys are right. We shouldn't use our knowledge and experience to help others avoid pitfalls...not without getting paid anyway.

I've learned a valuable lesson here today.
Kara Roideater
#40 - 2012-03-23 14:02:00 UTC
Liberty Eternal wrote:

I agree with a lot of what you post but not this. All kara/RAW has shown is that the system can be worked ethically and profitably by those intelligent enough to do so, which is a good thing. Now, does that make him responsible for the mistakes and imperfections of others? Absolutely not - why should he shoulder an unearned guilt?



More than this, I don't want to join Darth in his club of intellectual elites who think it is their role to manipulate and control the masses by spreading misinformation because the public can't handle truth in a responsible and reasonable way. I much prefer to live in an open yet dangerous society than a closed and controlled state where public discourse has to be deliberately misinformed in the name of security.
Previous page123Next page