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CSM Results Predictions

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Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#1 - 2012-03-21 15:34:04 UTC  |  Edited by: Vaurion Infara
After consulting with top voodoo campaign PR spinmasters, I decided I'll just do it the easy way and count things. This is a list of candidates in order of likes on their original campaign post, as of this thread's posting time.

Primary CSM

The Mittani - 1436
Dovinian - 750
two step - 683
Meissa Anunthiel - 636
Seleene - 622
Hans Jagerblitzen - 620
Elise Randolph - 566

Alternate CSM

Greene Lee - 557
Riverini - 549
UAxDEATH - 542
Kelduum Revaan - 436
Voloses - 388
Fon Revedhort - 343
Trebor Daehdoow - 303

Honorable Mentions

Korvin - 275
Alekseyev Karrde - 263
Prometheus Exenthal - 256
Mintrolio - 226
Issler Dainze - 199
Darius III - 196
T'amber Anomandari Demaleon - 195
Xenuria - 161


No surprise, Mittens takes almost double any other candidate's likes. Dovinian, an equally unsurprising second place. Two step handily takes third place, with an impressive showing by two step for a non-bloc candidate, well done sir. The real fight is for fourth place, which at the moment is a toss-up between Meissa, Seleene, and Hans. (Go Hans.) Greene Lee snaps up the last primary CSM seat.


UAx, Greene, and Riverini are all close to the last primary slot, so any of them could knock Elise to the secondary. And it would seem that Trebor's mass mailing gamble either backfired, or at least didn't help him here. I am a bit surprised that the late-game Issler debacle didn't influence things more in a positive direction for her, though I can't say I'm too beaten up about it.


I'm as curious as anyone to see how these numbers play into the actual results, and if I forgot anyone from the list... well, you should've bumped your post more.


Vaurion

this is it
Bristaco
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#2 - 2012-03-21 15:38:38 UTC
hey nerd

Elise Randolph- 698 likes
Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#3 - 2012-03-21 15:40:01 UTC
Bristaco wrote:
hey nerd

Elise Randolph- 698 likes


D'oh. The first of many, I'm sure. Fixed.

this is it
Andski
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#4 - 2012-03-21 16:44:44 UTC
Bristaco wrote:
hey nerd

Elise Randolph- 698 likes


Funny, I see 566.

Also http://toshimo.com/csm.html

Twitter: @EVEAndski

"It's easy to speak for the silent majority. They rarely object to what you put into their mouths."    - Abrazzar
Karadion
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#5 - 2012-03-21 17:00:10 UTC
How much time did you spend on this when Toshimo did this WEEKS ago?
Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#6 - 2012-03-21 17:05:32 UTC  |  Edited by: Vaurion Infara
Karadion wrote:
How much time did you spend on this when Toshimo did this WEEKS ago?



About 10-15 minutes. And no, I hadn't seen that. But, now that I'm looking over it, he's missing several key candidates that I have, namely UAxDeath.

this is it
knobber Jobbler
State War Academy
Caldari State
#7 - 2012-03-21 17:08:15 UTC
UAxDeath will get in. Votes from his organic automatons, renters, pets and bots probably accounts for half of EVE. Shocked
Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#8 - 2012-03-21 17:11:50 UTC  |  Edited by: Vaurion Infara
Andski wrote:
Bristaco wrote:
hey nerd

Elise Randolph- 698 likes


Funny, I see 566.

Also http://toshimo.com/csm.html



That'll teach me to take someone's word for it. And did you notice that UAx is on my list, and not on toshimo's? Curious.

this is it
Andski
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#9 - 2012-03-21 17:20:18 UTC
Vaurion Infara wrote:
That'll teach me to take someone's word for it. And did you notice that UAx is on my list, and not on toshimo's? Curious.


Death hadn't announced his candidacy until after that page was put up. Toshimo probably hasn't bothered to keep it up to date since then, it just scrapes the number of likes from the individual thread OPs.

Twitter: @EVEAndski

"It's easy to speak for the silent majority. They rarely object to what you put into their mouths."    - Abrazzar
Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#10 - 2012-03-21 17:21:15 UTC  |  Edited by: Vaurion Infara
Vaurion Infara wrote:
After consulting with top voodoo campaign PR spinmasters, I decided I'll just do it the easy way and count things. This is a list of candidates in order of likes on their original campaign post, as of this thread's posting time.

Primary CSM

The Mittani - 1436
Dovinian - 750
two step - 683
Meissa Anunthiel - 636
Seleene - 622
Hans Jagerblitzen - 620
Elise Randolph - 566

Alternate CSM

Greene Lee - 557
Riverini - 549
UAxDEATH - 542
Kelduum Revaan - 436
Voloses - 388
Fon Revedhort - 343
Trebor Daehdoow - 303

Honorable Mentions

Korvin - 275
Alekseyev Karrde - 263
Prometheus Exenthal - 256
Mintrolio - 226
Issler Dainze - 199
Darius III - 196
T'amber Anomandari Demaleon - 195
Xenuria - 161


No surprise, Mittens takes almost double any other candidate's likes. Dovinian, an equally unsurprising second place. Two step handily takes third place, with an impressive showing by two step for a non-bloc candidate, well done sir. The real fight is for fourth place, which at the moment is a toss-up between Meissa, Seleene, and Hans. (Go Hans.) Greene Lee snaps up the last primary CSM seat.


UAx, Greene, and Riverini are all close to the last primary slot, so any of them could knock Elise to the secondary. And it would seem that Trebor's mass mailing gamble either backfired, or at least didn't help him here. I am a bit surprised that the late-game Issler debacle didn't influence things more in a positive direction for her, though I can't say I'm too beaten up about it.


I'm as curious as anyone to see how these numbers play into the actual results, and if I forgot anyone from the list... well, you should've bumped your post more.


Vaurion


Yeah... cool guys push reply instead of edit.

this is it
Lyris Nairn
Perkone
Caldari State
#11 - 2012-03-21 18:59:18 UTC
I have 221 likes on my page, so I should be firmly in the middle of the honourable mentions.

Sky Captain of Your Heart

Reddit: lyris_nairn Skype: lyris.nairn Twitter: @lyris_nairn
Issler Dainze
Tadakastu-Obata Corporation
The Honda Accord
#12 - 2012-03-21 19:35:14 UTC
So the problem I've found with this idea is that a lot of folks will like posts in the thread but not the original post. I ran into this with the ambulation threadnaught in general.

Should be interesting to see how this tracks with the results.

Issler
Darius III
Interstellar eXodus
The Initiative.
#13 - 2012-03-21 19:42:04 UTC
I'll do far better on the votes than the likes and my totals will be the abberation

Hmmm
Weaselior
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#14 - 2012-03-21 20:09:52 UTC
Issler Dainze wrote:
So the problem I've found with this idea is that a lot of folks will like posts in the thread but not the original post. I ran into this with the ambulation threadnaught in general.

Should be interesting to see how this tracks with the results.

Issler

yes but since i'm not running all my likes don't translate into votes

Head of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal Pubbie Management and Exploitation Division.
Vaurion Infara
Doomheim
#15 - 2012-03-21 21:51:00 UTC
Darius III wrote:
I'll do far better on the votes than the likes and my totals will be the abberation


No doubt. I will be very interested to see just how much the likes and votes are off.

this is it
Pelador Rova
No Luck Corp
Kenshin Shogunate.
#16 - 2012-03-21 21:53:24 UTC
My crystal ball is at least 100% accurate and worthy of use.

It says I won't be on the CSM7 council. Blink
Jade Scytale
Okami Syndicate
#17 - 2012-03-21 21:59:07 UTC
Because clearly, there were no groups liking people for the sole purpose of crowding the ballot. Roll
Aryndel Vyst
Imperial Academy
Amarr Empire
#18 - 2012-03-22 02:01:20 UTC
Darius III wrote:
I'll do far better on the votes than the likes and my totals will be the abberation


lol.
WarFireV
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#19 - 2012-03-22 03:50:31 UTC
I have the real CSM7 predictions.

1) Greene Lee
2) Hans Jagerblitzen
3) Riverini
4) Issler Dainze
5) Mintrolio
6) Darius III
7) Xenuria

It will go down as the greatest CSM ever, so much so, that it will be delcared CSM for Life.
Lyris Nairn
Perkone
Caldari State
#20 - 2012-03-22 04:02:34 UTC
Vaurion Infara wrote:
Darius III wrote:
I'll do far better on the votes than the likes and my totals will be the abberation


No doubt. I will be very interested to see just how much the likes and votes are off.

In the case of The Mittani, it will be by an order of magnitude.

Sky Captain of Your Heart

Reddit: lyris_nairn Skype: lyris.nairn Twitter: @lyris_nairn
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