These forums have been archived and are now read-only.

The new forums are live and can be found at https://forums.eveonline.com/

Market Discussions

 
  • Topic is locked indefinitely.
 

The Joy Of Plex

Author
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#101 - 2012-02-23 23:16:53 UTC
Riley Moore wrote:
Should see plex go back up to previous levels over the next few days. Will be cool.



I'd say higher than that.

http://community.eveonline.com/news.asp?a=single&nid=4906&tid=1

Power of two is back. Clearly ccp doesn't really care about plex prices anymore.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Johnny Frecko
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#102 - 2012-02-23 23:58:27 UTC  |  Edited by: Johnny Frecko
after reading on and off, most of the commentors and the OP have very bad understanding of market mechanics.
What you are seeing is "PLEX", just one item seperated from the market.

Now, let's play real economics:

in real life, currency is degraded by what you may know as inflation.
That means prices rise when demand exceeds supply, this happens to enable the market to heal itself.
A healed market means that the amount of items being put up for sale and the amount of items people want to buy are the same.

Ignoring the reason as to why prices have risen(Many factors at that), Here's a short price list

Prices are 1/10/11 and 1/02/12 essence market, averages.

Tritanium : 3.3 to 3.81 15% increase
Catalysts : 625K to 947K 51% increase
PLEX : 383.7M to 482.2M 25% increase
Veldspar : 9.38 to 11.02 17% increase
Hulk : 197.5M to 195.7M 1% decrease
Thorax : 5.9M to 6.83M 15% increase
Megathron : 77.7M to 93.8M 20% increase

I can go on, but there's no reason to.
For the average miner, plex is barely 10% more expensive.
For the new miner isk is easier to come by(due to ore/mineral prices), hulks are the same price; plexes are easier to get.
Basically, if you're a manufacturer, prices have increased with the production costs, same net profit. plex is 10% more expensive.

Mission runners : The eve algorithem changes mission prices as far as i know to comply with the demand for missions. a mission that isn't being done alot, or that people are constantly failing, will get more isk in it(Varify me on that).

We can safely assume that more people are mining now than they were 4 months ago due to the price rise, meaning that the actual mineral price rise should've been steeper, but more miners are trying to fill in the market gaps.

Where does that leave us?
plex prices have hiccuped 5-15% up depending on your profession.
The nominal price has gone up, but the real price is safe.
For example, let's pin the plex price to tritanium.

1 plex cost 116M tritanium in 1/10/11
1 plex cost 126M tritanium in 1/02/12

a rise of 8%. all this fuss for 8%, really?

Final note on missions, the more prices rise, the less missions become a viable income option. less people run missions, mission rewards rise to meet demand, and the circle is complete.
if mission rewards don't increase, mission running as a profession will become extinct(causing a price rise in all the higher meta prices, which will make mission running profitable again).

It's not magic, It's economics.

edit1:
typo
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#103 - 2012-02-24 01:08:37 UTC
Johnny Frecko wrote:
after reading on and off, most of the commentors and the OP have very bad understanding of market mechanics.
What you are seeing is "PLEX", just one item seperated from the market.

Now, let's play real economics:

in real life, currency is degraded by what you may know as inflation.
That means prices rise when demand exceeds supply, this happens to enable the market to heal itself.
A healed market means that the amount of items being put up for sale and the amount of items people want to buy are the same.

Ignoring the reason as to why prices have risen(Many factors at that), Here's a short price list

Prices are 1/10/11 and 1/02/12 essence market, averages.

Tritanium : 3.3 to 3.81 15% increase
Catalysts : 625K to 947K 51% increase
PLEX : 383.7M to 482.2M 25% increase
Veldspar : 9.38 to 11.02 17% increase
Hulk : 197.5M to 195.7M 1% decrease
Thorax : 5.9M to 6.83M 15% increase
Megathron : 77.7M to 93.8M 20% increase

I can go on, but there's no reason to.
For the average miner, plex is barely 10% less expensive.
For the new miner isk is easier to come by(due to ore/mineral prices), hulks are the same price; plexes are easier to get.
Basically, if you're a manufacturer, prices have increased with the production costs, same net profit. plex is 10% more expensive.

Mission runners : The eve algorithem changes mission prices as far as i know to comply with the demand for missions. a mission that isn't being done alot, or that people are constantly failing, will get more isk in it(Varify me on that).

We can safely assume that more people are mining now than they were 4 months ago due to the price rise, meaning that the actual mineral price rise should've been steeper, but more miners are trying to fill in the market gaps.

Where does that leave us?
plex prices have hiccuped 5-15% up depending on your profession.
The nominal price has gone up, but the real price is safe.
For example, let's pin the plex price to tritanium.

1 plex cost 116M tritanium in 1/10/11
1 plex cost 126M tritanium in 1/02/12

a rise of 8%. all this fuss for 8%, really?

Final note on missions, the more prices rise, the less missions become a viable income option. less people run missions, mission rewards rise to meet demand, and the circle is complete.
if mission rewards don't increase, mission running as a profession will become extinct(causing a price rise in all the higher meta prices, which will make mission running profitable again).

It's not magic, It's economics.




You're a moron.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Johnny Frecko
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#104 - 2012-02-24 01:16:18 UTC
you can call it market manupulation my dear goon,
but there is something basic;
prices are rising everywhere, Not just plexes.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#105 - 2012-02-24 02:03:40 UTC
I'm not calling it market manipulation. I'm just calling you a moron.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

OfBalance
Caldari State
#106 - 2012-02-24 02:35:15 UTC
Tell us more about the ~real economics~ at work Professor Frecko.

heh
Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#107 - 2012-02-24 02:48:15 UTC  |  Edited by: Dersk
Johnny Frecko wrote:
you can call it market manupulation my dear goon,
but there is something basic;
prices are rising everywhere, Not just plexes.


24 February 2011 vs. 23 February 2012 Jita average price via in-game market window

Megacyte: 2965 to 2582, a 13% decrease
Zydrine: 1022 to 743, a 27% decrease
Nocxium, 550 to 522, a 5% decrease
Scorpion Navy Issue, 368 million to 278 million, a 25% decrease

For every hour that I'm at my computer (edit: and awake) and you do not apologize for your ignorance I will post one more item. Any shorter period and I'd probably get a banhammer for spam.
Johnny Frecko
Federal Navy Academy
Gallente Federation
#108 - 2012-02-24 02:56:07 UTC
as i'm too lazy and far from in order to check the prices myself;
do me a favor and post your next items on the same dates i have, alot have happened during the year.
i'm intrested in only the mineral prices actually.
while you're at it, drop in all the T1 battleships aswell.
Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#109 - 2012-02-24 03:05:58 UTC  |  Edited by: Dersk
Quote:
i'm too lazy


Yes

Quote:
do me a favor and post your next items on the same dates i have


I will as soon as you show me how to access market data in-game, not through some 3rd party website, that shows market data older than one year. Also, this comment is like parrying a thrust with your sword by forcing the opponent to stab you in the face. Unless your argument is inflation only from 1/10 to 1/2, you become a coward and lazy.

Quote:
i'm intrested in only the mineral prices actually.


What in the Jaysus ach chryst do you think megacyte, zydrine, and nocxium are?

Quote:
while you're at it, drop in all the T1 battleships aswell.


You cherry pick your market date, I cherry pick mine.
Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#110 - 2012-02-24 03:37:53 UTC
Experimental 10mn microwarpdrive, formerly y-t8 mwd.

55000 to 29017, 47% drop.
Hired Assasin
State Protectorate
Caldari State
#111 - 2012-02-24 04:06:43 UTC
incursions make too much isk, people in less then a day can pay for a month or two with ingame money. this is causing more people to switch from paying out of game to paying ingame because of easy source of income which is incursions, hope they are gone soon or nerfed so they arnt the end all isk fountain

Teamspeak 3 with API and Web Interface Hosting with Member Rewards!! : http://alturl.com/asde8 Catch me on EVE Gate, im allmost always on it!

OfBalance
Caldari State
#112 - 2012-02-24 04:15:02 UTC
And loose the coveted "ex-WoW-raider," market niche?

Heaven forbid!
Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#113 - 2012-02-24 04:35:26 UTC
Mechanical parts, 8500 to 6420, a 25% decrease
Ireland VonVicious
Vicious Trading Company
#114 - 2012-02-24 04:49:04 UTC
These random lower items don't prove the point.

You can do the same with a stack of other items to show huge increase.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#115 - 2012-02-24 05:18:56 UTC
Ireland VonVicious wrote:
These random lower items don't prove the point.

You can do the same with a stack of other items to show huge increase.


Yes that's the point he's making.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#116 - 2012-02-24 05:32:44 UTC  |  Edited by: Dersk
Ireland VonVicious wrote:
These random lower items don't prove the point.

You can do the same with a stack of other items to show huge increase.


Your second sentence is exactly the point. I easily spotted dozens of other items that have dropped in value... good to keep me entertained for a few days. The statement I was attacking, as our dear Frecko put it, is that "prices are rising everywhere." It is an ignorant blanket statement that so overly simplifies the market as to lead someone to inaccurate conclusions, such as the cause of that increase, and then to inaccurate solutions on how to fix the problem.

The thousands of tier 3 battlecruisers, the increase in demand for drakes, the war in the east and north, changes to anomolies, blahblahblahblahblah all that that is irrelevant. It's inflation. Just look at plex prices! Everything is going up!

Except for those hundreds of other items that have fallen in price. We don't talk about those. They're just outliers.

If the reason for rising costs is inflation, why are the prices and sales volumes of drakes climbing while malkuth missile launchers have dropped to 1/4 of their value a year ago? That's not a rhetorical question.

If the reason for rising costs in inflation, why are cynosural field generators, a t1 mineral-only product without a functional substitute, cheaper now than a year ago?

If the reason for rising costs is inflation, why are the three most expensive minerals all cheaper? (oops, maybe not all minerals are more expensive? what what?)

When tritanium and stuff built with tritanium both go up at the same time, that's not proof of inflation. Nor is 33%ish drop in the value of salvaged armor plates proof of deflation. JFC

If people have a hard on for nerfing incursions, blaming market trends that just happened to kick into gear when tier 3 battlecruisers were delivered on said incursions isn't the appropriate way to get them nerfed.
Dersk
Perkone
Caldari State
#117 - 2012-02-24 05:36:57 UTC
Oh yeah, my hourly post before I go to bed:

Malkuth Heavy Missile Launcher 742k to 197k, 73% drop.

IT'S ALL CAUSED BY INFLATION! WWWHAAWEHEAAA
Ireland VonVicious
Vicious Trading Company
#118 - 2012-02-24 05:57:59 UTC
The ore prices are the best area to show inflation/deflation although not perfect.

The main thing to keep in mind is they need to be weighed based on cost/volume before coming up with a hard number.

Over all trend in past year seems to be: Ore up, anything bought with empire lp down, things bought with pirate lp up, plex prices up.
Most of this seems to be due to incursions.
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#119 - 2012-02-24 06:20:09 UTC
Dersk wrote:


If the reason for rising costs is inflation, why are the three most expensive minerals all cheaper? (oops, maybe not all minerals are more expensive? what what?)



This sentence alone disqualifies any of your claims.
Specctor
Zealot's
Sigma Grindset
#120 - 2012-02-24 10:04:28 UTC
Would you say that with the power of two rearing it's ugly head at around a time when plex prices could start to come back down, means that perhaps ccp are trying to keep plex prices up as an isk sink untill theyfix incursions??