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It's The Economy Stupid!

Author
Bent Barrel
#21 - 2012-02-20 13:26:58 UTC
Retar Aveymone wrote:
Skye Aurorae wrote:
I'm surprised we've only seen one other candidate make a comment on this complex issue. Just like real world politicians who want to promise more money for services and less taxes they choose to skirt around any actual fiscal science.
Of course the CSM doesn't create the budget, but it is party to changes that may have far reaching consequences when they are still in the design stages. I guess it's no surprise that we have PLEX prices shooting up....

chairman for life the mittani has the goonwaffe finance team to explain any financial issue to him so he can bring it to ccp

this does mean he can't get us to analyze something ccp proposes since that'd be under nda but we can explain in excruciatingly boring detail exactly how various things affect and warp the eve economy


I LOLed.

Now I can imagine Mittani sitting on a throne in a large room and a long table with ministers and advisors before him :-)) All clad in fur and metal.
Skex Relbore
Center for Advanced Studies
Gallente Federation
#22 - 2012-02-20 20:25:48 UTC
Skye Aurorae wrote:
Inflation is rampant



You are an idiot who doesn't have the most rudimentary understanding of the terms you are tossing around.

Fluctuations in commodity prices related to supply/demand factors do not equal inflation.

Further inflation is not simply an increase in the money supply the money supply can increase and you can still have deflation.

What inflation is, is the increased amount of currency relative to the overall activity of an economy. If the money supply increases at a greater rate than goods and services are increased then you have inflation.

In the real world where we're dealing with limited resources this can create problems, those problems are mostly due to to the inelasticity of wages not the inflation itself. If wages were to adjust in step with the money supply then the amount of currency in the system would not be relevant. Since it doesn't you end up with a situation where the workers lose purchasing power as their money is devalued which can depress demand and reduce productivity.

The is not and frankly can not be a problem in EVE.

ISK is not like RL currency. In the real world currency is injected into an economy at the top, typically in the form of debt that is "loaned" to financial institutions then filtered down to the masses through a large number of filters each of which take their own cut of the pie.

In EVE ISK is injected at the bottom to the ratting grunts. In the form of bounties, mission rewards and insurance payouts. This means that ones pay is automatically adjusted for inflation.

In fact ISK isn't really a currency (debt instrument) at all, it's just another harvest-able resource that happens to be easily portable. You shoot rocks to harvest minerals you shoot red crosses to harvest isk no effective difference other than not having to haul isk to station.

Further production resources are effectively endless.More isk in the hands of the "ratters" drives up prices on other goods and services and as such will eventually unlock idle capacity as that price over comes producers opportunity costs for sitting idle. Since that idle capacity is effectively infinite it can easily absorb increased isk injection by ramping up production to supply materials to the newly "space rich".

Even if all the current idle capacity were to be chewed up by massive injections of isk it remains a self correcting "problem" since greater prices will encourage more people to move from isk creating into resource creation in order to maximize their "profits".

What boggles my mind is how so many supply-siders misunderstand an economy that actually behaves in the manner that their theories propose.


ONCE AGAIN AN INCREASE IN THE CURRENCY SUPPLY IS ONLY A PROBLEM IF THE RESOURCE SUPPLY CAN'T INCREASE TO MATCH IT.

Since isk is really just one more commodity that's "harvested" this can never be the case since eventually people will shift from harvesting ISK to harvesting and creating things isk is spent on.

Also, so what if Plex is increasing in price as a result of more isk in the market? The rate you earn isk is also increasing so it should even out. If it isn't then there are other factors involved.

Now I suppose it could be a problem if you've been hording isk all along and now you're watching your pile of gold diminish in value, well to bad !

Put your money to work, idle assets should lose value it encourages industry.
Skye Aurorae
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#23 - 2012-02-21 17:57:02 UTC  |  Edited by: Skye Aurorae
Inflation is defined by a general rise in prices over time, a non cyclical increase. If you want to define it as something else I suggest you go and call every professional economist an idiot for using 'inflation' in an overbroad manner.

Now I believe in your clumsy and roundabout way you are citing Keynsian economic theory which provides many mechanisms for disconnecting an increase in monetary supply from inflation, hence your comment that deflation is possible.

Possible!

However that is not observed, we are seeing across the board price rises for every reasonable commodity basket.

Furthermore, your argument that any increase in the price of PLEX is irrelevant because everyone is earning more money simply smacks of 'F*** you, got mine'. Those poor new players can only dream of farming Incursions, there's been no significant change to a new pilots abililty to make isk, and with their limited skill sets they can't exploit the myriad streams of income that a mature player can. With the prices of everything high getting that first battlecruiser is now a much bigger step than it once was.

Unlike you Skex I have not let my hundreds of billions of isk blind me to the plight of the newbie.

Skex 'eff the newbies' Relbore wrote:


You are an idiot who doesn't have the most rudimentary understanding of the terms you are tossing around.

...

Also, so what if Plex is increasing in price as a result of more isk in the market? The rate you earn isk is also increasing so it should even out. If it isn't then there are other factors involved.
....

Put your money to work, idle assets should lose value it encourages industry.

Skye Aurora is a 7 year old Girl Who Wants to be on the CSM! Unfortunately, the Lawyers say you have to be 21 - oh well.

Weaselior
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#24 - 2012-02-21 19:18:32 UTC
We are seeing across-the-board price increases in anything derived from minerals, due to the Drone Horde bugfix that severely cut the flow of minerals from the Drone Regions. This is not inflation driven by excess isk supply, this is ordinary price increases caused by a sudden decrease in resource supply.

Head of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal Pubbie Management and Exploitation Division.

Skex Relbore
Center for Advanced Studies
Gallente Federation
#25 - 2012-02-21 19:40:13 UTC
[
Skye Aurorae wrote:
Inflation is defined by a general rise in prices over time, a non cyclical increase. If you want to define it as something else I suggest you go and call every professional economist an idiot for using 'inflation' in an overbroad manner.


No the general rise in prices is an affect of an increase in the the volume of currency relative to productivity. Of course one can have inflation without an increase in the currency base if the overall economy shrinks without a corresponding reduction in currency.


Quote:

Now I believe in your clumsy and roundabout way you are citing Keynsian economic theory which provides many mechanisms for disconnecting an increase in monetary supply from inflation, hence your comment that deflation is possible.


No I'm trying to get you and others like you to understand that an increase in the money supply does not automatically equal inflation. To impress upon you that there are two factors involved in whether or not inflation exists, money supply and over all economic productivity. Changes in either affect prices. You and the other chicken little's clucking away about inflation are falling into the typical supply-sider trap of forgetting that there are more than one factor involved.

Supply of money is not the sole determiner of value, you also have work, materials, and technology that factor into the equation. You also have to consider the psychological aspects of consumption. Contrary to the supply side myth just because you build it doesn't mean there is a market for it.

Consider plex, people like yourself try to point to it's price increase as evidence for your claims of inflation, however to accept that fact you have to ignore the fact that there are external factors that affect the demand for plex. A large one would be the over all state of the external economy. High unemployment in the real world will natural translate into more demand for Plex in the game as more and more people faced with choice of paying for groceries or paying for their subscription with their cash go for the third option of paying with plex.

That increase in demand puts upward pressure on the price. Also thanks to those same external economic factors fewer players will have the real world cash to buy GTC's to convert and sell so you get a double whammy of increased demand and reduced supply that are not in any way related to the supply of isk in the overall EVE economy.



Quote:

*stuff*



No the I got mine attitude is coming from people who have already had the opportunity to milk the existing system and want to nerf the mechanism in order to protect their wealth by denying those who come after them the ability to use that mechanism.

Newbies do not remain newbies eventually those newbies who are today running L1s will be running incursions or clearing plexes in null and selling phat complex loot to incursion runners.

And while it's true that new players have a lower earning potential than older player they also have lower costs. Clones cost nothing to replace ships and fittings tend to be cheaper. The skill books they are buying are less expensive. The list goes on and on.

Also I question your contention that the overall increase in prices can be attributed to "inflation.

If you look at the over all market you'll see that things remained pretty flat up until Dec 20th hmm what happened around that time? Oh yeah Dekco invaded branch and Maelstroms and Drakes and other assorted shinnies have been steadily welping ever since.

Think about this a minute. How long have people been crying about inflation (hint pretty much since I started playing) for how long have incursions been spewing their supposedly prodigious amounts of isk into the economy? Yet the first time we see any actual manifestation of anything resembling inflation just happens to coincide with the start of a major null sec war.

Might make one think that the current state of prices might just be related to something other than the isk supply eh?

Oh if I had hundreds of billions socked away I'd probably be crowing about the threats of inflation too. As it stand I'm broke so inflate away my friend inflate away. More isk to incursion runners means they have more isk to buy my vindicator BPs.


Skex Relbore
Center for Advanced Studies
Gallente Federation
#26 - 2012-02-21 19:41:28 UTC
Weaselior wrote:
We are seeing across-the-board price increases in anything derived from minerals, due to the Drone Horde bugfix that severely cut the flow of minerals from the Drone Regions. This is not inflation driven by excess isk supply, this is ordinary price increases caused by a sudden decrease in resource supply.


Ah I missed this change, I'm going to guess that change happened around the 20th of December?
Skye Aurorae
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#27 - 2012-02-21 21:06:52 UTC
Weaselior wrote:
We are seeing across-the-board price increases in anything derived from minerals, due to the Drone Horde bugfix that severely cut the flow of minerals from the Drone Regions. This is not inflation driven by excess isk supply, this is ordinary price increases caused by a sudden decrease in resource supply.



Oh yes, I saw this coming, and it's been pretty lucrative for me.

Regardless, I at no point argued for the mechanism driving the inflation, indeed if you look I cited a number of claims that people make, none of which I believe are proven by any means. I concede that there's certainly a strong argument that inflation is not happening, indeed, there is a valid argument that the price increases are good for the health of the Eve economy.

Of all the candidates standing I believe only the goon candidates, supported by their economics experts, have demonstrated any ability to think about the Eve economy as a whole.

Skye Aurora is a 7 year old Girl Who Wants to be on the CSM! Unfortunately, the Lawyers say you have to be 21 - oh well.

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