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Dodixie market decline

Author
TheSmokingHertog
Julia's Interstellar Trade Emperium
#21 - 2016-08-05 15:20:28 UTC  |  Edited by: TheSmokingHertog
As trader, I would suggest looking at the higher NPC taxes for people trading at the smaller hubs. People who had low margins and did trade on the smaller hubs or did seed local pockets of space. Have some stuff working against them atm.

First they loose from Citadel competition, because;
- They don't understand how it works
- Its new market ways and they simple did not take time to invest the mechanic
- They are afraid for asset safety
- They don't use citadels out of habit
- Contracts where not ending in Citadels

Secondly they loose income due to supply chain costs;
- More taxes on normal supply chain lines, will decrease profit on a lot of products, the masses will drop products that are no longer feasible in profit margin.

Third; Critical mass in turnover on local hubs
- With less turnover in market, due to local supply simply disappearing due to higher taxes in the supply chain, has a few consequences;
* Existing wholesalers will drop prices even further, in favor of turnover, to maintain critical mass in their portfolios, what is even encouraged by citadel strategies.
* People with small volumes can not afford the risk of selling at near margins at smaller hubs, they will ship to hubs with higher volume to have sales when the market peaks.
* When people with stocks in local market hubs, want to leave the market due to lower returns. They will dump in market, or move the stocks. The dumping of ISK that is hold up in their hangers creates a lower market price on local products. Inter regional traders will all avoid markets where dumping occurs by locals or competition, which leads to less turnover (again).
* Besides the above, stocks that need to make turnover will be moved by people who can afford logistics to place it in hubs that have the turnover to generate ISK. The bigger inter regional wholesalers, have no problem with lower margins, as long as the turnover on their product keeps the critical mass cq healthy profits EVE wide.

When Citadel trading was announced, I suggested on forums that the new tax scheme would consolidate tredevolumes even more. Since that is the most logical outcome, based on the described stuff above and in this thread. It seems its happening already.

"Dogma is kind of like quantum physics, observing the dogma state will change it." ~ CCP Prism X

"Schrödinger's Missile. I dig it." ~ Makari Aeron

-= "Brain in a Box on Singularity" - April 2015 =-

Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#22 - 2016-08-07 21:48:48 UTC
Oursalert: my first trades happened there, a long, long time ago. Seeing it mentioned above, brings me memories.
Rhivre
TarNec
Invisible Exchequer
#23 - 2016-08-07 22:48:49 UTC
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:
Oursalert: my first trades happened there, a long, long time ago. Seeing it mentioned above, brings me memories.



Oursalert was a very nice place way back in ye olde days
Hel O'Ween
Men On A Mission
#24 - 2016-08-08 16:49:00 UTC
Indeed. Ours was also my first foray into trading. Took me six month to sell a Claymore there, though ...

Kinda strange that Dodixie was "only" the main mission runner hub back then, and Ours the major Gallenet trade hub.

EVEWalletAware - an offline wallet manager.

Zenbor
Doomheim
#25 - 2016-08-09 18:37:34 UTC
The Fukuzawa wrote:

Opinions please

The game is just dying away.

Jin Kugu
Make Luv Not War
Goonswarm Federation
#26 - 2016-08-10 11:23:14 UTC
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:
Dodi activity is in freefall. This works really, really well for me. I've been able to do things there that would never work in a more competitive market like price manipulations on high volume items.

It's three factors.

First and most important - the rise of near-zero fee trade Fortizars. It's now possible to source anything near Jita without undergoing the gank risk of docking at 4-4. Now you can get the same stuff at Perimeter

Second - the sharp decline in Red Frog and similar services thanks to CODE activity over the last 2 years.

Third - A declining playerbase means that Dodi is losing some of its critical mass.

It's still possible to reliably source any item that players can mass produce that is under 5 billion in Dodi except officer mods. When/if this changes Dodi will go the way of Hek or even Oursalert.


Ganking has no serious effect on inter regional trade anymore. DSTs carry small valuable stuff, freighters haul bulk stuff. Only idiots die and Red Frog will haul anything safely 99.99% of the time.
Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
#27 - 2016-08-10 13:11:39 UTC
Jin Kugu wrote:
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:
Dodi activity is in freefall. This works really, really well for me. I've been able to do things there that would never work in a more competitive market like price manipulations on high volume items.

It's three factors.

First and most important - the rise of near-zero fee trade Fortizars. It's now possible to source anything near Jita without undergoing the gank risk of docking at 4-4. Now you can get the same stuff at Perimeter

Second - the sharp decline in Red Frog and similar services thanks to CODE activity over the last 2 years.

Third - A declining playerbase means that Dodi is losing some of its critical mass.

It's still possible to reliably source any item that players can mass produce that is under 5 billion in Dodi except officer mods. When/if this changes Dodi will go the way of Hek or even Oursalert.


Ganking has no serious effect on inter regional trade anymore. DSTs carry small valuable stuff, freighters haul bulk stuff. Only idiots die and Red Frog will haul anything safely 99.99% of the time.


Have another look at Red Frog's prices.

Let me remind you.

2013: Jita to Dodi, freighter parcel, 1b collateral: ~5.6 million ISK
2016: Jita to Dodi, freighter parcel, 1b collateral: ~26 million ISK.

You can pretend CODE. doesn't matter, but facts do not lie. And Red Frog, as the biggest hauling corp, understand the actual risks because they insure them.

I agree with you that only idiots get ganked. (A freighter pilot flying blind, without a scout, is by default an idiot).

Fact is, there are so many idiots that they warp the game economy. Ganking in Uedama alone is one of the largest mineral sinks in the game because a never-ending stream of idiots refuse to exercise the minimum due dilligence needed to avoid expensive lessons, and fail to learn those lessons until they are taught them several times.

I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com

orionbeta
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#28 - 2016-08-11 19:32:23 UTC
I do alot of hauling through the Haulers chat channel by Rita Jita and just want to point some things out as the cost of shipping as been mentioned more then a few times here.

1. Code and friends are making a very large difference on the costs of shipping. More and more people are moving to DST, however they are expecting the same reward per jump as they where getting with there freighter with a heck of alot less cargo space.

2. Three or four of the major builders that I haul for often have moved with-in the ring. The ring defined as a system I can get into with-out having to go through Nijara, Sipralla, ETC. (Spelling is wrong, sorry im at work).

3. With the new manufacturing arrays or whatever they will be called are going to have a huge impact on Jita I believe. If they work like Citidals there will really be no limit on how many a system can have. More and more builders move there operations with-in the ring and the risk will drop ALOT.

4. Rens trade has dropped so much I dont even know how to compare it. I buy alot of minerals there and haul them to seed in other hubs. It used to take me mere hours to fill a 100 mill trit buy order. Now, it can take 12 hours easy. And alot of traders have moved on, so alot less 0.01 wars.

Just my 2cents.

Fly Safe,
Orion
Toobo
Project Fruit House
#29 - 2016-08-11 23:56:40 UTC
orionbeta wrote:

4. Rens trade has dropped so much I dont even know how to compare it. I buy alot of minerals there and haul them to seed in other hubs. It used to take me mere hours to fill a 100 mill trit buy order. Now, it can take 12 hours easy. And alot of traders have moved on, so alot less 0.01 wars.


This... Yes Dodixie has declined, but Rens has declined to disastrously low level. I haven't looked at statistics or such, but I do log in regularly at Rens and the local count is horribly low these days.

Cheers Love! The cavalry's here!

Princess Adhara
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#30 - 2016-08-12 00:40:45 UTC
Toobo wrote:
orionbeta wrote:

4. Rens trade has dropped so much I dont even know how to compare it. I buy alot of minerals there and haul them to seed in other hubs. It used to take me mere hours to fill a 100 mill trit buy order. Now, it can take 12 hours easy. And alot of traders have moved on, so alot less 0.01 wars.


This... Yes Dodixie has declined, but Rens has declined to disastrously low level. I haven't looked at statistics or such, but I do log in regularly at Rens and the local count is horribly low these days.


To me it looks like the only thing left in Rens are trading alts. Orders are still being frequently updated but rarely fulfilled. Producers and consumers seem to have gone elsewhere to trade/look for goods.
Toobo
Project Fruit House
#31 - 2016-08-12 01:27:55 UTC
Princess Adhara wrote:


To me it looks like the only thing left in Rens are trading alts. Orders are still being frequently updated but rarely fulfilled. Producers and consumers seem to have gone elsewhere to trade/look for goods.



Yeah. I have traded there for years some relatively low volume/slow sales items. They were always slow-ish but things got bought and sold. Nowadays I could be on top of the buy/sell order for a few days and nothings gets bought or sold. I'm not even outbid or undercut by other traders there on some items. They just don't move anymore :p

Cheers Love! The cavalry's here!

The Fukuzawa
New Eden Trade Group
#32 - 2016-08-12 20:36:02 UTC
The decline of hubs is good for how I earn isk in Eve, hopefully it does not have a negative impact on the game.

! ! ! New Eden Trade Group is paying monthly interest to investors, contact me if interested ! ! !

If you already assume we are scammers without looking at what we offer objectively, go ahead and F*** off.

Thank you, that is all.

Tam Arai
Mi Pen Rai
#33 - 2016-08-14 15:37:39 UTC
are there any updated numbers on hub trade volumes compared to a year ago?
Hel O'Ween
Men On A Mission
#34 - 2016-08-16 16:08:45 UTC
Tam Arai wrote:
are there any updated numbers on hub trade volumes compared to a year ago?


http://eve-marketdata.com/station.php?step=Rank

EVEWalletAware - an offline wallet manager.

TheSmokingHertog
Julia's Interstellar Trade Emperium
#35 - 2016-08-16 16:31:38 UTC  |  Edited by: TheSmokingHertog
Hel O'Ween wrote:
Tam Arai wrote:
are there any updated numbers on hub trade volumes compared to a year ago?


http://eve-marketdata.com/station.php?step=Rank


Whats up in the 8, 9 and 12 spot with huge numbers of Guidance Systems orders?

"Dogma is kind of like quantum physics, observing the dogma state will change it." ~ CCP Prism X

"Schrödinger's Missile. I dig it." ~ Makari Aeron

-= "Brain in a Box on Singularity" - April 2015 =-

Cooyaw
State War Academy
Caldari State
#36 - 2016-09-13 07:30:55 UTC
I have noticed turnarounds are slower in that area but that's certain modules have higher volume daily then other hubs
radkid10
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#37 - 2016-09-15 10:03:33 UTC
The Fukuzawa wrote:
Anyone else notice the decline of activity in the smaller hubs? I have nothing to back my opinion, I just feel like the smaller hubs are slowing down.

Opinions please


for Dodixie when it came to selling my planetary interaction stuff and my stuff from doing exploration they gave me less than 40% of the actual average so it's better for me to go elsewhere perimeter is the best place to go sell **** now
Elizabeth Norn
Nornir Research
Nornir Empire
#38 - 2016-09-15 10:52:06 UTC
radkid10 wrote:
The Fukuzawa wrote:
Anyone else notice the decline of activity in the smaller hubs? I have nothing to back my opinion, I just feel like the smaller hubs are slowing down.

Opinions please


for Dodixie when it came to selling my planetary interaction stuff and my stuff from doing exploration they gave me less than 40% of the actual average so it's better for me to go elsewhere perimeter is the best place to go sell **** now


Please don't sell stuff in Perimeter, most of the buy orders in citadels there will be ranged buy orders that reach Jita and the buyers will most likely want their goods in Jita too.
Coco Noceuse
Battle Pope Industries Ltd.
#39 - 2016-09-16 20:04:09 UTC
The Fukuzawa wrote:
Anyone else notice the decline of activity in the smaller hubs? I have nothing to back my opinion, I just feel like the smaller hubs are slowing down.

Opinions please


Yes. With respect to building materials (e.g. minerals, hyper synaptic fibers, moon goo, etc.), Amarr is dead. There's a lot of buy orders, to be sure, but little fulfillment of buy orders. I don't know how to describe it but I feel like Amarr is a less liquid market. Lots of stuff for sale but not necessarily moving.

So now I go to Jita so I don't have to wait as long for buy orders of minerals and the like to be filled.

Rens is worse in some respects, but still great for minerals only and not tech 2 stuff.

I could be wrong but this is my feeling with Amarr and Rens. Fuzz's data may say different, of course.
El Pacho Delaquira
Titan core reborn alliance united
#40 - 2016-09-16 22:59:08 UTC  |  Edited by: El Pacho Delaquira
I confirm this.This is total disaster, the rate at which one sells products/items in smaller hubs is at the least 10x slower than 3-4years ago(dod,hek,rens).Amarr is starting to feel more like dodixie and at this rate it will catch up to its fate after few years unless f2p save it.The outcome of all this is that jita will eventually become the place for everything that is not minerals i guess.Also Some items in jita are starting to sell much less slower than before.
I remember when oursulaert used to be slow but a good place to trade nonetheless.We all know how that ended.

If november doesn't change this game the future looks grim.