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2015 killboard analysis of 37 (top) alliances, removing inflation

Author
Gevlon Goblin
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#1 - 2016-02-11 03:04:56 UTC
"Lol killboard" is the common opinion in the EVE playerbase, which is strange as in all other PvP games players live and die by stats. The reason is kill inflation. Anyone who is present on a kill report - even with an Ibis on a titan kill - gets full value on killboard. This caused the bizarre fact that there are 20x more kills than losses on zkillboard, making everyone 90%+.

To battle this, I analyzed large downloaded killboard databases and created de-inflated results by distributing kills. If 100 guys got on a kill they together get the kill value, not all of them. The distribution is done by damage parts. If you did 10% damage, you get 10% kill and not all of it. While it's unfair for tackle and logi pilots, as there are no tackle and logi alliances, such distribution reveals the true performance of alliances.

I did this analysis for 2014 and now for 2015. Both results are visible in this table and clicking leads you to detailed reports of these alliances. There are lots of surprises on this toplist, famous alliances got low kills and bad ISK ratio while barely unknown ones grew to top 10 with stupidly green results.

Go, have a look! Don't be fooled by propaganda, use numerical results instead!

Some surprising ones:
NC. is barely green
SMA has 31% ratio (OK, you are probably not surprised)
Most top 10 alliances are NOT null sov holders
RAZOR lost 2/3 of its PvP since 2014
And many more. Click!

My blog: greedygoblin.blogspot.com

Chopper Rollins
Republic Military School
Minmatar Republic
#2 - 2016-02-11 03:09:24 UTC
No i don't want to read your blog.


Goggles. Making me look good. Making you look good.

Yang Aurilen
State War Academy
Caldari State
#3 - 2016-02-11 03:41:38 UTC
grrrrr.... goooooooooooooooooooon?

Post with your NPC alt main and not your main main alt!

Ima Wreckyou
The Conference Elite
The Conference
#4 - 2016-02-11 06:50:14 UTC
Nice analysis Gevlon. Always good to see who the true elite PvPers are in this game.

Inb4 random tears from people with red killboards about why this is not important and flawed any why they are special and better anyway.

/popcorn
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#5 - 2016-02-11 11:49:07 UTC
Gevlon Goblin wrote:
"Lol killboard" is the common opinion in the EVE playerbase, which is strange as in all other PvP games players live and die by stats. The reason is kill inflation.
With or without inflation it doesn't matter, the opinion is still "lol killboard" because killboard don't have context. I'm sure an alt in a rookie ship flying in and landing a bunch of hits on a titan will have a significantly better killboard than someone who fights even fights in a cruiser, but it doesn't say a thing about their level of skill.

Gevlon Goblin wrote:
There are lots of surprises on this toplist, famous alliances got low kills and bad ISK ratio while barely unknown ones grew to top 10 with stupidly green results.
The only "surprises" are the conclusions you come to after looking at the data. To anyone that's been around longer than 5 minutes, it's not surprising that groups fielding expensive ships to fight strategic objectives have lower killboard ratios than groups fielding cheap ships and going after soft targets. Even my gank alts have shockingly high isk ratios, because it turn's out volleying frigates, shuttles and pods off of a gate in a 1m thrasher is shockingly easy, but I'd hardly consider myself a good PvPer.

Basically you've looked through some stats and said "what ones can I spin to make it appear like I haven't wasted the last couple of years of my life fighting a battle I can never win", then ignored everything that doesn't fit. Pretending that it's not propaganda because it's based on numbers is laughable.

Ima Wreckyou wrote:
Nice analysis Gevlon. Always good to see who the true elite PvPers are in this game.

Inb4 random tears from people with red killboards about why this is not important and flawed any why they are special and better anyway.
Coming from one of the "elite" I assume? lol. Effectively you agree with his analysis because it favours your playstyle.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Tippia
Sunshine and Lollipops
#6 - 2016-02-11 12:42:00 UTC  |  Edited by: Tippia
What inflation?

Also, you know you've screwed up when I have to like a Lucas post. Lol
Top Guac
Doomheim
#7 - 2016-02-11 12:49:32 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Even my gank alts...

Hahahaha.

If you are going to lie at least make it credible.

Dont try to be one of the cool kids. You fail miserably.
Sexy Cakes
Have A Seat
#8 - 2016-02-11 12:53:02 UTC
I wonder how you skewed the data to make it look like the cfc is failing... wait I just remembered I don't care.

Not today spaghetti.

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#9 - 2016-02-11 13:16:03 UTC
Top Guac wrote:
Hahahaha.

If you are going to lie at least make it credible.

Dont try to be one of the cool kids. You fail miserably.
Even my most obvious alt has a history that involves ganking, so not really sure why it lacks credibility. Ganking isn't an exclusive club, every player can do it and smash well above 90% efficiency. You realise that right? Or did you seriously think that it was something only top tier players can pull off?

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Cristl
#10 - 2016-02-11 15:35:59 UTC
Gevlon Goblin wrote:
Emporium alliances are marked with red background

...is a bloody lie, they barely sold anything, and tried to shoot me!

On a more serious note, no attempt to produce a killboard that wasn't flawed in some way is almost certainly impossible, like the maths behind voting or auctions - you can't perfectly balance everything simultaneously. Current killboards could, I feel, make a better effort, but whatever.
Avvy
Doomheim
#11 - 2016-02-11 15:47:47 UTC
KB's are crap, depending on your point of view.


Sure they give you stats, but they also encourage players to play differently to how they used to.

Like killing soft targets just for kill-mails.
Ibutho Inkosi
Doomheim
#12 - 2016-02-11 19:41:23 UTC  |  Edited by: Ibutho Inkosi
Padding the Killboard
(sung to the tune of Down In The Boondocks)

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People want me to, 'cause that's the kinda thing they worship to.

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People say it's cool, cause numbers make you drool you know it's true.

Every day I have to buy a Thrasher and some mods.
I'm in a little corp. that ganks a lot so they feel like digital gods.
But, one day I'm gonna get real smart. I'm gonna make some sense.
I won't fall for the cheap gameplay that shows I must be dense.

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People want me to, 'cause that's the kinda thing they worship to.

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People say it's cool, cause numbers make you drool you know it's true.

I pay a lot of money to sub this game, though I know I can always pay with PLEX.
But it's so hard to hit my pride paying my way by ganking wrecks.
Still, the egos I play with just won't let it slide, they won't let my pride go free.
So, it looks like I'll have to spend my days wallowing in idiocy

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People want me to, 'cause that's the kinda thing they worship to.

Padding the killboard. Padding the killboard.
People say it's cool, cause numbers make you drool you know it's true.

As long as the tale of the hunt is told by the hunter, and not the lion, it will favor the hunter.

Mr Epeen
It's All About Me
#13 - 2016-02-11 19:55:16 UTC
Gevlon Goblin wrote:
"Lol killboard" is the common opinion in the EVE playerbase, which is strange as in all other PvP games players live and die by stats.


I beg to differ.

"LOL killboard" is a pretty common theme in most of the popular online PVP game. Maybe you should actually check their forums instead of pulling 'facts' out of your ass.

Mr Epeen Cool
Barrett Fruitcake
Doomheim
#14 - 2016-02-11 19:57:13 UTC
I'd prefer a KB that showed the raw and adjusted stats based upon various massages.
Any one of them shows a certain piece of the puzzle, but each also have their weaknesses.

Barrett Fruitcake
Doomheim
#15 - 2016-02-11 20:00:53 UTC
Avvy wrote:
KB's are crap, depending on your point of view.




In hindsight, I'd say the game would have been better off without KMs and all the meta that surrounds them.

Higher level stats would be fine, but such specificity leads to such meta and free intel that its just, less interesting.
I'd prefer more mystery in that regard.


Neuntausend
Republic Military School
Minmatar Republic
#16 - 2016-02-11 21:10:53 UTC  |  Edited by: Neuntausend
Quote:
famous alliances got low kills and bad ISK ratio while barely unknown ones grew to top 10 with stupidly green results.

directly leads to

Gevlon Goblin wrote:
"Lol killboard"

I won't criticize your methods. Statistics can be spun any way you like. But if we decide to roll with your particular spin, there can only be one conclusion: KB Stats don't matter.
Cidanel Afuran
Grant Village
#17 - 2016-02-11 21:49:12 UTC
I've never read your previous year's analyses of this, so forgive me if this has been answered before (I assume it has).

How do you account for groups with players who don't PvP? A 3,000 member group with great killboard stats coming from 100 active PvP pilots is a lot less impressive than a 100 member corp with equal stats to group 'A' with substantially less pilots.

(I'm not intending this as a grrr anyone, just honestly curious how the numbers work out from people who have spent time looking through the data)
Lykouleon
Noble Sentiments
Second Empire.
#18 - 2016-02-11 21:52:08 UTC
Your analysis is heavily flawed and you're still a bad poster.

Lykouleon > CYNO ME CLOSER so I can hit them with my sword

412nv Yaken
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#19 - 2016-02-12 00:07:56 UTC
bronze isnt bad. Considering you know code sucks and all

A True Champion of High Security Space

Gevlon Goblin
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#20 - 2016-02-12 09:12:43 UTC
Neuntausend wrote:
I won't criticize your methods. Statistics can be spun any way you like. But if we decide to roll with your particular spin, there can only be one conclusion: KB Stats don't matter.

"Yours is bad" doesn't mean "they don't matter". It's just that you are bad.
By the way GSF isn't even that bad. If we compare to SMA or NC.

My blog: greedygoblin.blogspot.com

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