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PI Price Decline?
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Jas Dor
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#1 - 2012-01-05 03:15:20 UTC
It seems like there's been about a 10% or so decline in coolant prices in the past two weeks in hubs other than Jita. Are we seeing a general decline or is somebody manipulating the regional hub markets to create an arbitage opportunity?
Linda Shadowborn
Dark Steel Industries
#2 - 2012-01-05 03:25:55 UTC
Probably was a lot of hoarding before the POCOS came out to see if the prices would spike and that stock is now being sold off when people realise that the prices wont be all that much higher.

But that is just my guess
Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#3 - 2012-01-05 04:03:24 UTC
Check your calendar for something two weeks ago that would have caused supplies to drop and prices to rise.

I know I saw a spike in datacores over the holidays, and prices are starting to return to normal.
Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#4 - 2012-01-06 03:54:54 UTC
It's probably taken a while for people to re-build and re-arrange their PI after the last upheaval.
Derath Ellecon
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#5 - 2012-01-06 04:15:35 UTC
My speculative guess, in addition to the regular market stuff after a big change, is a lull in demand. Aside from hoarding, you likely had a lot of people buying up PI to make fuel blocks rapidly. Then ccp announces those blocks wouldn't be needed for another month. Factor in also that now people may not be stockpiling also due to the fuel switch in a few weeks and you have a dip.
Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
#6 - 2012-01-07 15:12:02 UTC
From my point of view, there were two things fueling the price spike in late-November.

- The announcement of POCOs and the immediate removal of all existing COs in low/null/w-space. So everyone was expecting to need to build/buy a bunch of POCOs on day 1, which would have bled all PI sell orders dry and caused huge shortages. People stocked up in anticipation and bid prices higher. Except that CCP left the COs in place, resulting in a much more gradual roll-out of POCOs.

- The announcement of fuel pellets and that the change would take effect roughly 2 weeks after Crucible. So people quickly stock up on POS fuel components in order to quickly build fuel pellets, drying up supply. Except that CCP changed the date to Jan 24th, giving the market a much longer period to adjust.

Things will probably even out here in another month or two. Over time, I expect P1s to sell for about 100 ISK more then they did last summer (to pay for 50 or 85 ISK/u export tariffs). The low priced P1s like Biofuels / Bacteria will stay low-priced and will just be an even poorer choice of harvest material.

http://www.evemarketeer.com/item/info/water
Water used to sell for about 130-150 last summer, so I would expect the new price floor to be around 230-250. But we're bouncing around at 300-350 range, which is a net gain for anyone who harvests Water and sells it on the market.

http://www.evemarketeer.com/item/info/biofuels
Biofuels are still garbage to harvest as the export tariff will eat you alive. If you're lucky, you get 100 ISK/u at the market and you will have paid 50 ISK/u to export that off of a hi-sec planet.

http://www.evemarketeer.com/item/info/precious_metals
Precious Metals are still a net gain over last summer's prices. Over the summer you were getting a net value of about 400-450 ISK/u, now the sell price is hovering around 600 ISK/u for a net value of about 515-550 ISK/u (depending on what export tariff you paid).