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Update regarding Multiboxing and input automation

First post First post First post
Author
Lee Sin Priest
Doomheim
#4281 - 2015-05-05 03:13:56 UTC
Eve-o?
ISD Ezwal
ISD Community Communications Liaisons
ISD Alliance
#4282 - 2015-05-05 16:27:20 UTC
I have removed a rule breaking post and those quoting it.

The Rules:
4. Personal attacks are prohibited.

Commonly known as flaming, personal attacks are posts that are designed to personally berate or insult another forum user. Posts of this nature are not beneficial to the community spirit that CCP promote and as such they will not be tolerated.

ISD Ezwal Community Communication Liaisons (CCLs)

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4283 - 2015-05-05 16:44:03 UTC
The only thing the serenity server is proof of is that ISBoxer is not even remotely botting. If it were, our economy would look much like theirs. As it stands though, our economy is moving in the same way it did before this announcement, which tells me that ISBoxers had little to no impact on the economy. Prove otherwise.

As for manual multiboxers getting banned, would you say CCP is infallible? If not, then we agree.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4284 - 2015-05-05 16:55:54 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Lucas Kell wrote:
The only thing the serenity server is proof of is that ISBoxer is not even remotely botting. If it were, our economy would look much like theirs.


There was a real danger of that happening, hence their timely realisation and subsequent enforcement.

We almost hit 40k PCU this Sunday - http://eve-offline.net/?server=tranquility Smile

The previous peak is at 46,688 on Earth-Oct 31st, 2014-YC116. Smile
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4285 - 2015-05-05 17:03:26 UTC
GankYou wrote:
Lucas Kell wrote:
The only thing the serenity server is proof of is that ISBoxer is not even remotely botting. If it were, our economy would look much like theirs.
There was a real danger of that happening, hence their timely realisation and subsequent enforcement.
There was never a danger of this. If you have evidence to the contrary, feel free to post it, but ISBoxer was being used for years and at no point did the economy get out of control. I think you overestimate the tiny blip of activity that ISBoxers add.

GankYou wrote:
We almost hit 40k PCU this Sunday - http://eve-offline.net/?server=tranquility Smile

The previous peak is at 46,688 on Earth-Oct 31st, 2014-YC116. Smile
I'm not sure what relevance there is in this. So you're saying that before this announcement they had more players online? 0.032% of Sunday's PCU was me btw.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4286 - 2015-05-05 17:32:18 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Lucas Kell wrote:
ISBoxer was being used for years and at no point did the economy get out of control. I think you overestimate the tiny blip of activity that ISBoxers add.


Because CCP have been throttling ISK faucets and sinks this whole time, and it would seem the limit has been reached, so instead of taxing us further, the real people, with sinks, they cut the head off the robots.

Thanks goes out to certain groups for Broker fee increases some time ago. Big smile

Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
We almost hit 40k PCU this Sunday - http://eve-offline.net/?server=tranquility Smile

The previous peak is at 46,688 on Earth-Oct 31st, 2014-YC116. Smile
I'm not sure what relevance there is in this. So you're saying that before this announcement they had more players online?


The botters accounted for 18% of the PCU, we if go by the late 2014-YC116 numbers, so real flesh & blood Capsuleers are covering up for them.

Don't worry, be happy. Blink
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4287 - 2015-05-05 18:05:54 UTC
GankYou wrote:
Because CCP have been throttling ISK faucets and sinks this whole time, and it would seem the limit has been reached, so instead of taxing us further, the real people, with sinks, they cut the head off the robots.
Proof? Of any of this claim?

GankYou wrote:
Thanks goes out to certain groups for Broker fee increases some time ago. Big smile
Broker fee needs to be at least doubled still.

GankYou wrote:
The botters accounted for 18% of the PCU, we if go by the late 2014-YC116 numbers, so real flesh & blood Capsuleers are covering up for them.
Again, proof? Correlation does not imply causation.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4288 - 2015-05-05 18:33:20 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
Because CCP have been throttling ISK faucets and sinks this whole time, and it would seem the limit has been reached, so instead of taxing us further, the real people, with sinks, they cut the head off the robots.
Proof? Of any of this claim?


I posted it earlier, but eager & overly zealous minds couldn't comprehend it. Smile

EVE Fanfest 2013: EVE Economy
Fanfest 2014 - Economy: Into the Second Decade

Lucas Kell wrote:
Correlation does not imply causation.


As you wish - view it your way.

But then again, the chart looks like the last bastions of the botters were being exterminated, and as accounts began to lapse, after the sharp drop-off in Earth-December. Smile

It's an on-going battle, friend. Smile
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4289 - 2015-05-05 20:24:59 UTC
GankYou wrote:
I posted it earlier, but eager & overly zealous minds couldn't comprehend it. Smile

EVE Fanfest 2013: EVE Economy
Fanfest 2014 - Economy: Into the Second Decade
Lol? How is that proof? Where in there does it state that limits of sinks have been reached, or that sinks were being used to manage anything to do with ISBoxer. You're basically posting links to economic talks, both of which state that the economy is relatively stable and making up bogus claims which you can't possible know are true.

GankYou wrote:
As you wish - view it your way.

But then again, the chart looks like the last bastions of the botters were being exterminated, and as accounts began to lapse, after the sharp drop-off in Earth-December. Smile

It's an on-going battle, friend. Smile
For the thousandth time, botters were completely unaffected by this change. What they were doing was always against the EULA, so they won;t be affected by a EULA change. And there have been numerous changes which may have affected the population, and there have also been days above 40k since the changes came in. You've simply cherry picked 2 stats and claimed those are only affected by this change. There certainly hasn't been an 18% drop in PCU on average.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4290 - 2015-05-05 20:45:14 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
I posted it earlier, but eager & overly zealous minds couldn't comprehend it. Smile

EVE Fanfest 2013: EVE Economy
Fanfest 2014 - Economy: Into the Second Decade
Lol? How is that proof? Where in there does it state that limits of sinks have been reached, or that sinks were being used to manage anything to do with ISBoxer. You're basically posting links to economic talks, both of which state that the economy is relatively stable and making up bogus claims which you can't possible know are true.


Due to the fact is that it is being throttled, this is why it is stable.

You've taken my later hypothesis for Gospel Fact - it happens when one disregards proper syntax rules in a sentence. Smile

Lucas Kell wrote:
For the thousandth time, botters were completely unaffected by this change. What they were doing was always against the EULA, so they won;t be affected by a EULA change.


You're coming across as if you'd like a piece of their pie. Naughty, naughty. Big smile

I mean, of course, ISBotting. Here is a good article on the matter, released on Earth-Sept 2014-YC116 no less Smile - http://evenews24.com/2014/09/24/kirith-kodachi-isboxer-is-botting/

"In essence, ISBoxer is just a bot that doesn’t have a preset script to follow, but rather follows you."

Quote:
...and there have also been days above 40k since the changes came in. You've simply cherry picked 2 stats and claimed those are only affected by this change.


It has been on the downhill following Earth-Nov of the year 2014-YC116 - We bottomed around 38k just before the deployment of Mosaic on April 28th. Smile

Quote:
There certainly hasn't been an 18% drop in PCU on average.


(1 - 38,313 / 46,688) * 100 = 17.93% Smile

And yes, that is an average - because on some days PCUs plunged into high 29k territory.
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4291 - 2015-05-05 20:57:42 UTC
GankYou wrote:
The fact is that it is being throttled, this is why it is stable.
That is always going to be the case. The economy will always be kept in line by CCP. It has nothing to do with ISBoxer and it certainly doesn't prove your claim that " the limit has been reached". That's what you stated.

GankYou wrote:
It has been on the downhill following Nov, 2014 - we bottomed around 38k just before the deployment of Mosaic on April 28th. Smile
Other than the dip around crhistmas/new year, it's been relatively stable. It's only started really dipping since march. And again, you're just guessing that ISBoxer is the cause. It could be any number of things. Not to mention that every year the PCU drops before summer. Last year it was a significantly bigger drop.

GankYou wrote:
(1 - 38,313 / 46,688) * 100 = 17.93% Smile
But that's not the average. That's you taking the highest point you can find before the change and the lowest you can find after. It's cherry-picked data. It's pretty safe to say you are trolling as you can't honestly believe what you are spouting.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4292 - 2015-05-05 21:05:02 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
The fact is that it is being throttled, this is why it is stable.
That is always going to be the case. The economy will always be kept in line by CCP. It has nothing to do with ISBoxer and it certainly doesn't prove your claim that " the limit has been reached". That's what you stated.


It is a hypothesis. Reasonable one at that. Smile

Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
(1 - 38,313 / 46,688) * 100 = 17.93% Smile
But that's not the average. That's you taking the highest point you can find before the change and the lowest you can find after. It's cherry-picked data.


Yes it is an average for the set of days that is being presented on the 5 yr chart, which, presumably, calculates it across 6-day ranges.

Look at the 2-wk and monthly charts - it went as a low as 30k on some days. Smile
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4293 - 2015-05-05 21:26:14 UTC  |  Edited by: Lucas Kell
GankYou wrote:
It is a hypothesis. Reasonable one at that. Smile
You may think so, I strongly disagree. I think there's basically zero chance that ISBoxer which was used for several years suddenly stopped CCP being able to balance the economy. It's also a pretty strong sign because the economy didn't actually change following the ISBoxer ban.

Lucas Kell wrote:
GankYou wrote:
(1 - 38,313 / 46,688) * 100 = 17.93% Smile
But that's not the average. That's you taking the highest point you can find before the change and the lowest you can find after. It's cherry-picked data.


GankYou wrote:
Yes it is an average for the set of days that is being presented on the 5 yr chart, which, presumably, calculates it across 6-day ranges.

Look at the 2-wk and monthly charts - it went as a low as 30k on some days. Smile
Lol, it's cherry-picked data. It says whatever you want it to say. You've just grabbed a high bit and a low bit and acted like that's the normal for then and now. In neither case is that true. On top of which you've ignored all other possible factors and assumed ISBoxer made that difference. In your mind, ISBoxer an dropped the PCU 18%, and unsurprisingly you don't go into detail as to why half of that change happened following march, since March peaks at 42,885. Look at it realistically and the minor drop this year is far less than last year. It's just normal PCU fluctuation.

quite honestly, I'm done talking amateur statistics with you. You want to present real proof, go right ahead. Until then your opinion is irrelevant. You have no knowledge of ISBoxer or any special knowledge of what CCP did or why, and you have an incredible bias blinding you all the way. What i really don;t get is what's got you so butthurt. Is it PLEX prices, is that why you're all mad? Those are going to go up, they always do. Get used to it.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#4294 - 2015-05-05 22:44:25 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
The only thing the serenity server is proof of is that ISBoxer is not even remotely botting. If it were, our economy would look much like theirs. As it stands though, our economy is moving in the same way it did before this announcement, which tells me that ISBoxers had little to no impact on the economy. Prove otherwise.

As for manual multiboxers getting banned, would you say CCP is infallible? If not, then we agree.


If ISBoxer improves a players efficiency in various aspects of the game, then it must have an impact. This should be obvious.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4295 - 2015-05-05 23:00:15 UTC  |  Edited by: Lucas Kell
Teckos Pech wrote:
If ISBoxer improves a players efficiency in various aspects of the game, then it must have an impact. This should be obvious.
ISBoxer replaces effort. It doesn't improve efficiency outside of the guys with like 100 accounts on the go, of which I only know of 2 existing, and the amount they spent on hardware is simply ludicrous. truly, if you were to use ISBoxer you'd understand how much still has to be done manually, meaning that using something like EVE-O Preview (which has been sanctioned by CCP) makes very little difference.

Even if it were to improve efficiency, the impact on the economy would still be negligible, as the number of ISBoxer users is so few. The vast majority of the flux in the economy is caused by traders and large mechanics changes. The introduction of the Bowhead, Thera, the null mineral rebalance and the sov changes are all good examples of economy impacting changes, some short term, others long standing. People tend to like to blame everything on ISBoxer to rationalise their hatred, but it simply doesn't hold any water. I'm not even claiming ISBoxer should be allowed, if it were up to me, large-scale multiboxing would be much harder though gameplay changes anyway, but that doesn't mean I won't call out nonsense when I see it.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

ISD Ezwal
ISD Community Communications Liaisons
ISD Alliance
#4296 - 2015-05-05 23:00:46 UTC
I have removed a rule breaking post and those quoting it.

The Rules:
4. Personal attacks are prohibited.

Commonly known as flaming, personal attacks are posts that are designed to personally berate or insult another forum user. Posts of this nature are not beneficial to the community spirit that CCP promote and as such they will not be tolerated.

ISD Ezwal Community Communication Liaisons (CCLs)

Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#4297 - 2015-05-05 23:02:54 UTC  |  Edited by: Teckos Pech
GankYou wrote:
[quote=Lucas Kell]

Quote:
Lol, it's cherry-picked data. It says whatever you want it to say. You've just grabbed a high bit and a low bit and acted like that's the normal for then and now.


Truth is often found in the synthesis of the extremes. Smile

Those are averages, however. You can also review it day-by-day, then you'd get 43k in Earth-Nov 2014-YC116, and 33k in Earth-April. Blink


LOL...that is hilarious.

Lucas, "Those are cherry picked his and los!"

GankYou, "They are averages."

Reminds me of a time in graduate school....

Prof., "But, how do you know its positive?"

Me, "Uhhh...its a variance."

Prov., "Oh yeah!"

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

Teckos Pech
Hogyoku
Goonswarm Federation
#4298 - 2015-05-05 23:07:30 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Teckos Pech wrote:
If ISBoxer improves a players efficiency in various aspects of the game, then it must have an impact. This should be obvious.
ISBoxer replaces effort. It doesn't improve efficiency outside of the guys with like 100 accounts on the go, of which I only know of 2 existing, and the amount they spent on hardware is simply ludicrous. truly, if you were to use ISBoxer you'd understand how much still has to be done manually, meaning that using something like EVE-O Preview (which has been sanctioned by CCP) makes very little difference.

Even if it were to improve efficiency, the impact on the economy would still be negligible, as the number of ISBoxer users is so few. The vast majority of the flux in the economy is caused by traders and large mechanics changes. The introduction of the Bowhead, Thera, the null mineral rebalance and the sov changes are all good examples of economy impacting changes, some short term, others long standing. People tend to like to blame everything on ISBoxer to rationalise their hatred, but it simply doesn't hold any water. I'm not even claiming ISBoxer should be allowed, if it were up to me, large-scale multiboxing would be much harder though gameplay changes anyway, but that doesn't mean I would call out nonsense when I see it.


Sorry, not buying it Lucas. Improvements due to efficiency gains in ratting means more isk flowing into the Eve economy which would mean an acceleration of inflation.

Improvements in efficiency in terms of mining would mean more minerals flowing into the Eve economy and depressing prices.

Given that ISBoxer comes with a fee I find it hard to believe there is no efficiency gain to be had when using it. People use it...because they can? You can try to word-smith your way out of this with "replacing effort" as not being an efficiency gain, but you seem to be the only person left in this thread that believes that.

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."--Friedrich August von Hayek

8 Golden Rules for EVE Online

GankYou
9B30FF Labs
#4299 - 2015-05-05 23:08:03 UTC  |  Edited by: GankYou
Teckos Pech wrote:
Lucas Kell wrote:
The only thing the serenity server is proof of is that ISBoxer is not even remotely botting. If it were, our economy would look much like theirs. As it stands though, our economy is moving in the same way it did before this announcement, which tells me that ISBoxers had little to no impact on the economy. Prove otherwise.

As for manual multiboxers getting banned, would you say CCP is infallible? If not, then we agree.


If ISBoxer improves a players efficiency in various aspects of the game, then it must have an impact. This should be obvious.


Indeed. For someone who doesn't use it, he sure advocates it a lot. Blink

The article I linked earlier is a good summation,

http://evenews24.com/2014/09/24/kirith-kodachi-isboxer-is-botting/
Quote:
No, its not. Multi-boxing, i.e. having multiple clients open at the same time and doing things in each of them, is different because as a human you can only really pay full attention to one at a time. I cannot give an order at exactly the same time to both clients, I need to switch back and forth and while working on one, the other is unattended and essentially vulnerable to mistakes.

One could argue that an improperly setup interface for ISBoxer can lead to mistakes as well but that is more of a mechanical setup issue and not a human mental error issue. Once perfectly setup, multi-boxing can still allow for human error, ISBoxer cannot. The number of times I’ve heard someone on comms say “just wait, I need to move my other ship” or “dammit, I missed warp because I was on the other client” from multi boxing players is very high. Multi-boxing is human-intensive, ISBoxing is not.

In essence, ISBoxer is just a bot that doesn’t have a preset script to follow, but rather follows you.


You have to admit, playing at 1100% efficiency, getting those sweet, sweet megaticks per hour is lucrative, while playing for free all the while with complete disregard to the Universe at large, and retaining 80% of the income, after PLEX, in sweet, sweet liquid ISK.

A year on from now, people, and indeed CCP themselves, will remark on how the **** it was even allowed in the first place.Lol
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#4300 - 2015-05-05 23:16:09 UTC
Teckos Pech wrote:
GankYou wrote:
[quote=Lucas Kell]

Quote:
Lol, it's cherry-picked data. It says whatever you want it to say. You've just grabbed a high bit and a low bit and acted like that's the normal for then and now.


Truth is often found in the synthesis of the extremes. Smile

Those are averages, however. You can also review it day-by-day, then you'd get 43k in Earth-Nov 2014-YC116, and 33k in Earth-April. Blink


LOL...that is hilarious.

Lucase, "Those are cherry picked his and los!"

GankYou, "They are averages."

Reminds me of a time in graduate school....

Prof., "But, how do you know its positive?"

Me, "Uhhh...its a variance."
The difference being that those are actually highs and lows. He's picked 2 Sundays (not averages, but Sunday peaks), one prior to the changes which was as high as he could find and one recently as low as he could find. Quite simply, do you believe that on average EVE has lost 18% of it's PCU in the last 6 months?
An average would be something like taking this data for 6 Sundays:
26/10/2014 43935
19/10/2014 37507 (I guess loads of "botters" stopped on this day too?)
12/10/2014 42020

26/04/2014 40007
19/04/2015 38993
12/04/2015 39312

Averaging them out to:
October: 41154
April: 39437
Decrease: 4.17%

It's the normal yearly flux undoubtedly with the normal "EVE is dying" threads on the way.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.