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Theory: The Drifters

Author
Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#1 - 2015-04-30 15:14:44 UTC  |  Edited by: Aria Jenneth
So ... to start off with, I should say that this is mostly going to be speculation, and I'm undoubtedly wrong in places and missing things in others. That said ... I don't know that I'm very wrong, and this seems like it could be important to say to a wider audience, so ... here goes.

Our position in this universe has never made the slightest sense.

Our natural place in history, our appropriate and predictable place, would be as subordinate tools of empire navies. We easily could have, should have, and ordinarily would have been kept on a very short leash by the nations that birthed us. Given our entirely predictable status as autonomous weapons of mass destruction, it's bizarre that it happened any other way. It's especially bizarre that we have essentially been given the status of small, autonomous nation states, beyond the reach of the law outside of retaliatory strikes and diplomatic consequences.

Our legal position is absurd, and we didn't create it for ourselves, which means that someone else did. We have had a benefactor somewhere, a powerful one.

Recent events have strongly suggested just who that might have been, even if our own prior history did not. The Jove have been watching the empires, listening to the empires, recording the empires, over the course of much of our history. They've been making predictions about our growth and development, our historical trajectories. While presumably not wholly accurate, this system has allowed them to pick some degree of order out of the chaos, providing sufficient data to predict patterns among our civilizations the way baseline meteorologists might predict planetary weather.

They've therefore had ample opportunity to meddle: encourage a trend here to encourage this, cause a little disaster there to discourage that, quietly fund a political movement to inspire that other thing.

What's more, they've had motive. The battle at Vak'Atioth was no anomally: the Jove were, and remained, something mysterious, dangerous, and desirable as a resource. Given time, each empire, as well as the pirate factions, would have had reason to turn their attention to the Jove. With the damage being done by the Jovian disease, the Jove were weakening as the empires grew stronger. The Jove had to provide some sort of long-term solution, or they would face conflict with the younger powers time and again.

Their solution can be found at the heart of every one of our ships: the gift the Jove bestowed on the Caldari, the hydrostatic pod, or capsule. Surely, they must have predicted its combination with cloning to create a class such as ours. Once that class emerged, the Jove had only to accomplish our legal independence (a diplomatic feat that was probably a lot easier when none of us were flying capital ships yet) to create what was sure to become a massive distraction for the empires.

Unwittingly, we have been agents of the Jove, chaotic elements running interference between the Directorate and the empires.

And then, things went wrong.

How our contact with Anoikis came to be, whether it was by someone's design or an odd cosmic accident, I don't know, but as soon as we traveled there it was inevitable that we would find the Sleepers and that we would do what capuleers do: find what we can turn to our own use, and exploit it.

Considering what has followed, I sort of doubt that Anoikis was a place the Jove ever intended us to find.

It's been looking more and more like the Sleepers are probably an upload civilization. This is especially so now that we've got the Drifters clawing for biomass, but it always seemed sort of likely. If this is so, while we may not have done much damage to their primary hardware, consider what we've been blowing up by the dozens: drones.

Drones bristling with tools.

We've been destroying the maintenance system, the infrastructure, that keeps the Sleeper civilization working. Even if we haven't been much threat to the Sleepers themselves, this sort of indirect attack would cause the loss of hardware, and, depending on how their system is set up ... they may be losing parts of their world, or themselves.

And the Sleepers didn't need to look any farther than what lay at the core of every capsuleer ship attacking them to see just whose catspaws we were.

They struck back, hard. Caroline's Star was a military strike by the Sleepers against the Jove. Our benefactors have been removed from the equation, at least temporarily.

Now the Drifters are here, working alongside flights of Circadian Seekers. They are breaking down the old Jovian observation apparatus, salvaging it for parts, and salvaging our biomass for their own use. What they intend, it's difficult to say, but the only route to peace I can think of would involve withdrawing capsuleer forces from Anoikis. If we were a military force obedient to some central power or other, that could be easy ... but we're not.

We're anarchic. We were designed, engineered technologically and legally (there was probably no need to do any tinkering socially), to be a chaotic element. That means ... we have no real control over even the part of the situation that is us, that is caused by ourselves and our own actions.

Whatever their intent, it seems probable that we are the Drifters' targets. It may be that we cannot give them what they want-- that we simply are not capable of that degree of control over the actions of our own.

So, though we likely brought this on ourselves and our benefactors, we may now have no real option but to prepare for war.
Tiberious Thessalonia
True Slave Foundations
#2 - 2015-04-30 15:40:51 UTC
Yeah, can't say I disagree with any of this as far as analysis goes.
Jade Blackwind
#3 - 2015-04-30 16:07:24 UTC
I almost agree.

I'm not so sure that the capsuleers are the primary target of whatever Sleeper faction that constructed the Drifters, but otherwise, this.
Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#4 - 2015-04-30 16:12:37 UTC  |  Edited by: Aria Jenneth
Jade Blackwind wrote:
I almost agree.

I'm not so sure that the capsuleers are the primary target of whatever Sleeper faction that constructed the Drifters, but otherwise, this.

Well ... the alternative is the civilizations that support us. One of the few things we use that we don't manufacture ourselves is the pods. But that would mean going after conventional assets, and we haven't seen that so far.

... that I'm aware of, anyway.

Have they been?


Actually, thinking about it just a little more, the Drifters themselves might not know just yet what their ultimate targets will be. If they've been getting the old Jovian information network's contents and conducting some further analysis themselves, they might still be trying to figure out the right thing to hit, and the right way to hit it.
Evi Polevhia
Phoenix Naval Operations
Phoenix Naval Systems
#5 - 2015-04-30 16:22:17 UTC
Ugh. I just realized.

They aren't salvaging the Observatories for parts. They are doing it primarily for the logs. They are after the information. I think that bodes less well for us.

The Directorate was a quasi-benevolent manipulative group. Maybe not acting in our interests, but at least not actively working against us.

The Drifters, however, are at some point going to be actively against us. And now not only do they have a technological advantage over us, but they have centuries of observational logs on us. Older than any of our modern empires.
Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#6 - 2015-04-30 16:46:52 UTC  |  Edited by: Aria Jenneth
Evi Polevhia wrote:
Ugh. I just realized.

They aren't salvaging the Observatories for parts. They are doing it primarily for the logs. They are after the information. I think that bodes less well for us.

....

The Drifters, however, are at some point going to be actively against us. And now not only do they have a technological advantage over us, but they have centuries of observational logs on us. Older than any of our modern empires.

If they just wanted the logs, couldn't they have just salvaged a few antikythera elements from one and used those to get the logs from the others?

... of course, that's assuming that the way we use the antikythera elements is the way they're supposed to be used, as opposed to a sort of bug we tripped over and are exploiting.

Hm.

In any case, there seems to be a lot to each observatory. If any significant percentage of their 194 km (I think) structures is anything more than a glorified antenna, any given one of those is likely a technological treasure trove to put the Devil's Dig to shame.

Quote:
The Directorate was a quasi-benevolent manipulative group. Maybe not acting in our interests, but at least not actively working against us.

Well ... I did call them our benefactors, but ...

Respectfully, I'm not sure they get to make something like, well, us, and then be called even quasi-benevolent. It seems like the whole point of us is to ... well, maybe sort of cripple the younger civilizations.

It's self-defense, sort of, and international relations, which maybe sort of transcends conventional morality, but....
Claudia Osyn
Non-Hostile Target
Wild Geese.
#7 - 2015-04-30 16:50:21 UTC
Aria Jenneth wrote:
they might still be trying to figure out the right thing to hit, and the right way to hit it.

If the drifters have capital ships on the same scale as their battleships, I don't think the "how" is going to require much thought.

A little trust goes a long way. The less you use, the further you'll go.

Claudia Osyn
Non-Hostile Target
Wild Geese.
#8 - 2015-04-30 16:55:15 UTC
Aria Jenneth wrote:
Evi Polevhia wrote:
Ugh. I just realized.

They aren't salvaging the Observatories for parts. They are doing it primarily for the logs. They are after the information. I think that bodes less well for us.

The Directorate was a quasi-benevolent manipulative group. Maybe not acting in our interests, but at least not actively working against us.

The Drifters, however, are at some point going to be actively against us. And now not only do they have a technological advantage over us, but they have centuries of observational logs on us. Older than any of our modern empires.

If they just wanted the logs, couldn't they have just salvaged a few antikythera elements from one and used those to get the logs from the others?

... of course, that's assuming that the way we use the antikythera elements is the way they're supposed to be used, as opposed to a sort of bug we tripped over and are exploiting.

Hm.

In any case, there seems to be a lot to each observatory. If any significant percentage of their 194 km (I think) structures is anything more than a glorified antenna, any given one of those is likely a technological treasure trove to put the Devil's Dig to shame.

We have been getting partial logs out of the observatories, with their technology it would be reasonable to assume that they could pull out complete logs, and more of them.

A little trust goes a long way. The less you use, the further you'll go.

Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#9 - 2015-04-30 16:59:43 UTC
Claudia Osyn wrote:
Aria Jenneth wrote:
they might still be trying to figure out the right thing to hit, and the right way to hit it.

If the drifters have capital ships on the same scale as their battleships, I don't think the "how" is going to require much thought.

Well ... there are maybe some societal pressure points that would be best "hit" with a Drifter diplomat.

If they function as differently from us as their brain structure seems to suggest, though....

I'm ... trying to imagine such a thing as what the Drifters would dispatch in a diplomatic role. Really, they might be best off sending a featureless flying cube and avoid the risk of appearing too human and yet not human enough.
Kithrus
Brave Newbies Inc.
Brave Collective
#10 - 2015-04-30 17:06:42 UTC
I think we have been caught between the Sleepers and the Jove from the start.

A few years ago over drinks I was conversing with an old friend about why the Jove would offer the very technology they used to beat the Amarr (lest in part). The capsule.

The only logical conclusion is to attempt to make us like them.

The why can be debated till the end of time. The point now is where do we go from here?

Darkness is more then absence of light, it is ignorance and corruption. I will be the Bulwark from such things that you may live in the light. Pray so my arms do not grow weary and my footing remain sure.

If you are brave, join me in the dark.

Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#11 - 2015-04-30 17:19:43 UTC  |  Edited by: Aria Jenneth
Kithrus wrote:
The only logical conclusion is to attempt to make us like them.

Perhaps. The Jove have occasionally hinted, as when they presented us the Apotheosis, that they might think of us as ... well, apprentices, of a sort.

We're still quite a long way from what the Jove are, or were, though. A lot of the reason is summed up in the word, "fullerenes."

The Jove and Sleepers have both developed that technology to a very high degree, and seem to have had it for a very long time.

We didn't even have large-scale access to the materials until we found Anoikis. We can use it now, but.... If they're using battle rifles, we've just invented the arquebus-- albeit, to stretch the analogy to the breaking point, sort of made out of badly-repurposed battle rifle parts.

We're well-designed to complicate things for the empires. We're also well-designed to really upset the Sleepers ... but I'm not at all sure what purpose the Jove could achieve by having us do so. Which makes it seem less likely that the Jove meant it to happen.
Claudia Osyn
Non-Hostile Target
Wild Geese.
#12 - 2015-04-30 17:46:37 UTC
Aria Jenneth wrote:
Claudia Osyn wrote:
Aria Jenneth wrote:
they might still be trying to figure out the right thing to hit, and the right way to hit it.

If the drifters have capital ships on the same scale as their battleships, I don't think the "how" is going to require much thought.

Well ... there are maybe some societal pressure points that would be best "hit" with a Drifter diplomat.

If they function as differently from us as their brain structure seems to suggest, though....

I'm ... trying to imagine such a thing as what the Drifters would dispatch in a diplomatic role. Really, they might be best off sending a featureless flying cube and avoid the risk of appearing too human and yet not human enough.

I'm not convinced that they will attempt diplomacy.... I mean, they're reading our history as we speak.

A little trust goes a long way. The less you use, the further you'll go.

Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#13 - 2015-04-30 17:58:18 UTC
Claudia Osyn wrote:
I'm not convinced that they will attempt diplomacy.... I mean, they're reading our history as we speak.

I'm not convinced they'll attempt diplomacy, either.

It's probably the easiest way to eliminate us, though. If our support structure turned against us, we'd really be in trouble.
iyammarrok
Drunken Beaver Mining
#14 - 2015-04-30 18:23:01 UTC
I'm not sure how much trouble we'd really be in Aria.

if they do however, max would get his wish.
as for the capsule tech, we would find a way to either obtain it, or replace it.

highsec would be left to the drifters and empires, wars would be fought over lowsec, and null? that'd probably turn into a giant keg party.

Not indicative of corporate policy unless otherwise stated.

Claudia Osyn
Non-Hostile Target
Wild Geese.
#15 - 2015-04-30 18:44:06 UTC
Aria Jenneth wrote:
Claudia Osyn wrote:
I'm not convinced that they will attempt diplomacy.... I mean, they're reading our history as we speak.

I'm not convinced they'll attempt diplomacy, either.

It's probably the easiest way to eliminate us, though. If our support structure turned against us, we'd really be in trouble.

Actually, it's a lot harder than it sounds. All four empires have been dealing with such attempts at diplomatic warfare since their founding. As for the capsuleer empires, they are far to many, to fluid, and individually insignificant to be bothered with. As for driving a wedge between capsuleers and the empires, that would be a blow to both sides. We are far to useful to be sidelined and far to adaptable and vindictive to be written off if we were.

A little trust goes a long way. The less you use, the further you'll go.

Saede Riordan
Alexylva Paradox
#16 - 2015-04-30 18:44:33 UTC
We need not be entirely chaotic, our actions are largely predictable in many ways. Ideas will ripple out into stand alone complexes, and enough people will simply work together to get it done. Look how fast the observatory logs were completed collated to a high degree of accuracy for little material incentive. I have a bit more faith in human goodness then you at this point I believe Aria, capsuleer or not.

Nonetheless, viewing this from the perspective of inside an upload civilisation, quite content to its virtual paradise, we are a contagion, an infection of their space. I agree that the Jove did not intend for us to gain access to Anoikis at our present rate of development.

The other thing I believe we need to factor in is the rise of powerful groups in New Eden outside of the direct control of the Jove/Concord, and thus out of control. Namely, Sansha's Nation, The SOE, The Angel Cartel, Mordus, The Serpentis, the Guristas, and the list goes on and on and on.

While its possible to assume the Jove had some element of control over some of these groups, I don't think we have sufficient evidence so far that they were manipulating everyone.

The SOE had a massive colony in a section of Anoikis that we couldn't access at all until another set of Seyllin-esque events occurred, opening up more systems to us. Then we have evidence of massive battlegrounds between the Sleepers and Sansha, and the Amarr were outright harvesting implants directly from the bodies of the sleepers.

If the Drifters move, I suspect it will be against all of New Eden.

Aria Jenneth
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#17 - 2015-04-30 18:49:29 UTC
iyammarrok wrote:
I'm not sure how much trouble we'd really be in Aria.

if they do however, max would get his wish.
as for the capsule tech, we would find a way to either obtain it, or replace it.

highsec would be left to the drifters and empires, wars would be fought over lowsec, and null? that'd probably turn into a giant keg party.

This ... feels like an old debate on well-worn ground. And it's ... well, the old me's territory, so, if it's okay, I'll just touch on the argument briefly and leave it be. I don't really want to walk that ground again.

If the empires wanted us dead, they wouldn't come at us directly. If CONCORD can't just basically switch us off, there's still another way: subvert our crews. Encourage sabotage, in the ship, the pod, and the clone bay.

If it were me, I'd reward any person or group that put one of us down for good by transferring that capsuleer's assets to their ownership.

It's why I used to be so afraid of "humanity." That is, baseliners. I thought they'd do us all in one day.

I'm not sure I was wrong, but I guess I'm not so bothered by it now.

Still, I'd be grateful if we could leave it at that.
Ashlar Vellum
Esquire Armaments
#18 - 2015-04-30 18:51:23 UTC
I wouldn't call puppet master - a benefactor, but other than that you are probably right.

Ou and one more thing why do you think Anoikis and everything that followed wasn't a part of the plan that in the end went off the rails, when Caroline's Star went supernova.
Farlas Ibana
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#19 - 2015-04-30 18:58:33 UTC  |  Edited by: Farlas Ibana
Aria Jenneth wrote:


They struck back, hard. Caroline's Star was a military strike by the Sleepers against the Jove. Our benefactors have been removed from the equation, at least temporarily.



This does not explain one key element in the 'Caroline's Star' mystery, if this was a military strike by the sleepers, what were the Servant Sisters of Eve doing in those ready built starbases revealed in Thera? Aiding the Sleepers? working with them? spying for the jove? How did they seemingly, independently gain the technology for their new 'exporation and rescue' ships?

They are one organisation that know a lot more than they are letting on, and I for one would like some public explanations from them.

is it possible that we have been used as pawns by both sides? I still do not think we are anyones primary enemy yet. though the more we kill, the more likely they are to declare war on us.

I have read other theories on drifters, that also have their place in the debate.

[url]=https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=421141[/url]

A debate that will continue until answers are given as to exactly what the 'benevolent Sisters' know, or until war brings more chaos to the cluster.
Pieter Tuulinen
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#20 - 2015-04-30 19:08:54 UTC
iyammarrok wrote:
I'm not sure how much trouble we'd really be in Aria.

if they do however, max would get his wish.
as for the capsule tech, we would find a way to either obtain it, or replace it.

highsec would be left to the drifters and empires, wars would be fought over lowsec, and null? that'd probably turn into a giant keg party.


Everything you do, you do with the permission of Concord - and whether Concord is the dog or holds the leash (A matter of endless debate) it has it's mandate through the Empires and high sec.

I suspect that on the day that Concord decided to simply stop our ships working and turn off our ability to survive being podded, there would be an orgy of Baseliner on Capsuleer violence out of revenge, spite, jealousy and fear of what we'd do if we regained control.

I'm always amused by the sense of independence that nullsec capsuleers think they have, when everything out there works only because Concord says it can.

For the first time since I started the conversation, he looks me dead in the eye. In his gaze are steel jackhammers, quiet vengeance, a hundred thousand orbital bombs frozen in still life.

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