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Summer expansion POS fuel prices

Author
Myassa
Chaktaren Industries
#21 - 2014-04-25 12:28:22 UTC
I believe fuel blocks, isotopes and small and medium towers will all rise in the short term after the summer expansion. After about 6 months or so I do see the market for these products starting a downward slide and continuing down for a long time.

New players and smaller corps will be thrilled to own a POS. Most likely they will start with a small or medium tower in a close to hub location. Given how easy it is to destroy a small or medium tower, new or tiny corps will get a wardec and their towers will be destroyed. We all know that some larger corps love to dish out grief or these corps will be allowed to stay if they pay a "fee". Either way some players are going to learn the hard way about owning a POS.

In about 3-6 months after players get sick of having their POS's blown up, paying fees to "stay safe" or realize it is not very profitable I think you will see the market start to get flooded with towers and fuel. In the end only larger corps who can defend themselves will be able to sustain research/manufacturing POS's. The biggest reason to own a POS, post expansion is the compressing array.

In the end tiny alt corps (1-5 members) will have to move to the far ends of EVE to have profitable research in a station or give up entirely. I have already taken down my research POS's and will try the station route. I know of other tiny corps doing the same thing.

I am not complaining, it is what it is. In EVE you either adjust or die. I believe this will not work as CCP predicts and will actually make the science industry much less appealing. The little 1 or 2 player alt corps that currently run a lot of POS's will slowly die as possibly having to defend them will be a huge issue. The question is will those POS's be replaced by larger research corps?

My prediction is in 6 months or so after the expansion, the prices of everything related to the POS will have suffered except large POS's and the new compressing array.

Felicity Love
Doomheim
#22 - 2014-04-27 04:23:14 UTC
... now if ONLY we could get POS's revamped, too... Fanfest coming soon... all eyes on the Keynotes. Blink

"EVE is dying." -- The Four Forum Trolls of the Apocalypse.   ( Pick four, any four. They all smell.  )

Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#23 - 2014-04-27 06:39:44 UTC
Whether isotopes change in price largely depends on those that are currently manipulating them.

I'm quite impressed at the job they've been doing too.
Adunh Slavy
#24 - 2014-04-27 12:24:43 UTC
Loraine Gess wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:
It will depend on how high these taxes/fees go. If pos operation costs more than paying the tax, then pay the tax. I think we can assume greater demands on the fuel supply, with the tax/fee acting as a soft ceiling.



If pos are also being hit by the tax, then I see very little reason to continue to own one.



Quite true. Hopefully CCP is not that short sighted.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Bob ran
Optimistic Wasteland Inc.
Fraternity.
#25 - 2014-04-27 12:41:07 UTC
I wouldn't be surprised i pos taxes end up like the other tax and fees we have so far. Like broker fees and the tax on reprocessing that are reduced as your standing increases with the faction or npc station holder
Felicity Love
Doomheim
#26 - 2014-04-29 23:59:45 UTC  |  Edited by: Felicity Love
Tau Cabalander wrote:
Whether isotopes change in price largely depends on those that are currently manipulating them.

I'm quite impressed at the job they've been doing too.


Indeed... the prices have taken quite a jump in JITA today...love those Dev Blogs... lovely, tall spikes on volume... Blink

"EVE is dying." -- The Four Forum Trolls of the Apocalypse.   ( Pick four, any four. They all smell.  )

Loraine Gess
Confedeferate Union of Tax Legalists
#27 - 2014-04-30 00:10:21 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Loraine Gess wrote:
Adunh Slavy wrote:
It will depend on how high these taxes/fees go. If pos operation costs more than paying the tax, then pay the tax. I think we can assume greater demands on the fuel supply, with the tax/fee acting as a soft ceiling.



If pos are also being hit by the tax, then I see very little reason to continue to own one.



Quite true. Hopefully CCP is not that short sighted.



New info makes me happy, I predict POS usage will stay the same though, because of the dropping of lots of research towers. Will probably see a shift away from Caldari towards minmatar (beefier defense). It's no longer necessary to stack tons of CPU-intensive structures, after all.
Dachhan
Pnex Pwn Squad
#28 - 2014-04-30 13:26:16 UTC
Topes already climbing ~
Captain IQ
Innocent Traders Ltd
#29 - 2014-04-30 13:36:24 UTC
Dachhan wrote:
Topes already climbing ~


O RLY?

Gladly I bought the wrong racial type for the last Ice Interdiction, 20mil gone so far gonna hold out for 1100 mark but tbh I'm just glad to finally get rid of them.
Steve Ronuken
Fuzzwork Enterprises
Vote Steve Ronuken for CSM
#30 - 2014-04-30 15:07:46 UTC
Topes will be climbing, because there's been an announcement that jump fuel usage will be going up 50%

Woo! CSM XI!

Fuzzwork Enterprises

Twitter: @fuzzysteve on Twitter

Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#31 - 2014-04-30 21:20:05 UTC
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Topes will be climbing, because there's been an announcement that jump fuel usage will be going up 50%

Finally my Rorqual is worth something again (I have a stockpile of Oxygen Isotopes for it).
Adunh Slavy
#32 - 2014-04-30 21:41:47 UTC  |  Edited by: Adunh Slavy
Steve Ronuken wrote:
Topes will be climbing, because there's been an announcement that jump fuel usage will be going up 50%



Refrence?

Never mind, found it

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Zappity
New Eden Tank Testing Services
#33 - 2014-04-30 22:47:17 UTC
Here's the link: https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=340420

Zappity's Adventures for a taste of lowsec and nullsec.

Dracnys
#34 - 2014-05-02 22:57:46 UTC
Prices could go up because...
- lots of people who didn't have the standings will now put up POSes
- many new attractive moon location make it more attractive to have a POS
- many people will come into industry to check out the new expansion, some will put up POSes
- fuel requirements for jump drives increase

Prices could go down because...
- with unlimited slots there's no need to have a POS for ME research
- with fast copy times the blueprint market can become much more efficient, less blueprints are needed overall and therefore the value of research drops
- with many more manufacturers, researchers, inventors the profits will decrease, causing some of them to quit again
- using a POS may not be worth it in saved taxes and slight advantages in manufacturing and research compared to the fuel cost and investment+risk

Overall I think they will go up at first, then stabilize at a higher level than now. But it won't go sky high because at some point it becomes unprofitable to have a POS and demand for fuel will decrease again.
Aluka 7th
#35 - 2014-05-04 10:06:16 UTC  |  Edited by: Aluka 7th
Well CCP expects for prices to go down which does make sense considering that tax in npc station comes to 0.2-0.4% (its 1.1x) in end product price and all else is the same regarding installation costs thus removing the need for POS (unless you NEED faster production or something else POS specific) and with infinite lines at poses people can move from large pos to medium or small and still do the same thing thus almost halving the demand for POS fuel.

Increasing ice usage for jump drive thread
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=340420
This:
Stimulate the isotope (and therefore ice) market to help cushion any drop in demand from players using smaller starbases after the science and industry slot changes.
Felicity Love
Doomheim
#36 - 2014-05-06 04:32:56 UTC
... all of which is moot given how much manipulation is worth in terms of revenue to some entities.



"EVE is dying." -- The Four Forum Trolls of the Apocalypse.   ( Pick four, any four. They all smell.  )

Arronicus
State War Academy
Caldari State
#37 - 2014-05-06 11:27:55 UTC
Pos will provide not only significantly faster research, copying, and invention, but lower cost of taxes, AND a 2% reduction in material usage for manufacturing, on top of everything else. This means that working out of a pos will still not only be worthwhile, but essential for maximizing profits for large scale builders.

However, a lot of people who currently use large towers will likely downgrade to mediums or smalls. This will have a moderate effect on isotope prices, even with the increased jumpdrive consumption, but should have a drastic effect on the price of PI pos fuel.
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