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The real reason PLEX is so expensive

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Author
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#141 - 2014-04-22 12:20:28 UTC
Kaarous Aldurald wrote:
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
it is nonetheless clear that "something" has changed.
That much is clear.

Nope


The denial is strong in this one.

Its Ramona's Nope Day.


Inflation, bro. Nothing "changed", it's the same thing it always has been.

Its ok, he seems to think Im in denial, but he's the one arguing non-facts simply because others ascribe to facts.

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Mara Rinn
Cosmic Goo Convertor
#142 - 2014-04-22 12:37:31 UTC
Volar Kang wrote:
3. CCP would actually like to see the in-game cost of Plex lower so more people pay with Plex.


CCP's best interests are served when PLEX prices are high enough that people considering RMT through third parties will buy PLEX instead, but not so high that players won't fund their subscription with ISK.

There are two curves of interest: the demand curve for ISK-bought PLEX, where the X-axis is the ISK value of a PLEX and the vertical axis is the number of PLEX consumed per month at a given ISK value. The second is the supply curve for dollar-bought PLEX, where the X-axis is the ISK value of a PLEX and the vertical axis is the number of PLEX bought per month to obtain a certain ISK-value.

CCP will want to balance the PLEX value at approximately the intersection of the two curves, such that desire to supply is approximately the same as the desire to consume. If there is too much supply, the value goes down and fewer RMTers will use PLEX to gain their ISK, but that is self-correcting to some degree since as supply goes down, prices go up until the ISK-subscribers give up subscribing using PLEX, If the value goes up too high, the ISK-subscribers stop subscribing (or subscribe using other means), so there are fewer people consuming PLEX, so the price will come down.

If you plot the price of PLEX on a logarithmic scale such that a steady percentage growth in value will show up as a straight line, you'll see that the price of PLEX is roughly a straight line.

This is the free market at work, establishing a value for a consumable commodity. You'll also find wealth concentration at work, and you'll also find the "working poor" — those people whose entire play time within the game is consumed with making the ISK to pay for their game time.

If you are one of the "working poor", I have one piece of advice for you which comes in two options: option 1 is to stop subscribing using PLEX. Option 2 is to become better at making ISK, faster than PLEX becomes better at absorbing your ISK.

If you run missions in hi sec, learn how to optimise your ship for each mission. Learn which agents provide the best missions. Learn which NPC corporations provide the best rewards. Optimise your play in terms of ISK/hr. Once you have enough to buy more than one PLEX per month, you are now space-rich and can start working on the wealth concentration part of the game. After one month, you have two PLEX, one consumed to pay the subscription, the second used to seed your trading fund. Use your money to make more money.

This is how it works in real life too, and in real life you have the benefit of the tax system being written by rich people to support rich people. Once you have approximately one third of an average income stashed away in savings, you can start investing in property or capital. Then you can use negative gearing to pay for your loans, and you are effectively being paid by the State to be rich.

But I'm veering off on a tangent.

TL;DR: if PLEX prices are causing you concern, you need to adjust your handling of money within the game and learn to use your money to make money. A billion ISK invested in the market (and a decent hauling ship) will make you more money in the long run than a billion ISK invested in a mission-running ship.
Salvos Rhoska
#143 - 2014-04-22 12:40:07 UTC  |  Edited by: Salvos Rhoska
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Kaarous Aldurald wrote:
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
it is nonetheless clear that "something" has changed.
That much is clear.

Nope


The denial is strong in this one.

Its Ramona's Nope Day.


Inflation, bro. Nothing "changed", it's the same thing it always has been.

Its ok, he seems to think Im in denial, but he's the one arguing non-facts simply because others ascribe to facts.


Inflation is a sum total of other facts.
Something has changed, resulting in a rate of inflation above and beyond what was before.

Logically, it can be deduced it is the result of substantially less PLEX entering the market.
Meaning less people are buying PLEX from CCP, than are buying them ingame.
Meaning less people are prepared to fund their ingame experience, by means of buying PLEX.

The alternstive is more people subbing through PLEX, than before.
These peiple, howeverm are now ******, because they relied on a proportionate influx of PLEXinto the game
Their alternatives are to cut accounts, earn more effieicently, or to buy GTC.

Reasons for this inflation are unclear. But if less people are buying PLEX, it is, in all considerations, an indicator of decline in interest in the game.
Secondary effect is as PLEX cost rises ingame, less people will be able to sub their accounts througb ISK for PLEX, meaning less active accounts.

Its a negative economic indicator. Its not a good sign for the sustainability of the PLEX system for purposes of subbing, and unless the buyers of PLEX increase, as a result of its ISK value increasing, in poroportiin to the number of accounts that are lost due to being unabletoPLEX themselves from ingame activities, it translates directly into a reduced subbed account figure for EVE, which is equivakent also to reduced investor interest.

This is an indicator of imbalance.It is an indicator of those players who previously bought PLEX with money, withdrawing from that, and leaving that part of the community who relied on them to bring PLEX into the market, to take up the slack.

Will they?
Unlikely.Their customer behavior ahows a trend for preferring to sub their accounts through ingame PLEX.
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#144 - 2014-04-22 12:46:13 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
.

So.... your point is that its not inflation because its inflation.

Gotcha.

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

March rabbit
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#145 - 2014-04-22 12:50:28 UTC
Malcanis wrote:
Katran Luftschreck wrote:
Soshala Garemoko wrote:
do u think honesly the PLEAX prices are magic and that it comes from no where? poeple buy PLEX and sell it into the game so they pay more to CCCP for the PLEX than they do to subscribe. why does this make since to you that they would do this to make moere money?


1) If CCP wants to magically make a hundred PLEX poof into existence then yes, they can do exactly that.

2) Computers, how do they work? Must be witchcraft!

3) The word for the day is "school." Look it up, sometime.


Whilst they can, they don't.

Those PLEX are confiscated from RMTers and other EULA violaters.

one can believe

but:
- all what we know is: CCP can do this.
- all we have is: CCP's word that they don't

The Mittani: "the inappropriate drunked joke"

Salvos Rhoska
#146 - 2014-04-22 13:05:33 UTC  |  Edited by: Salvos Rhoska
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
.

So.... your point is that its not inflation because its inflation.

Gotcha.


Inflation is never a "good" thing.
Its, however, a necessary, commensurate and consequent evil.

By analogy, its not dissimilar to the human experience of growing old.
Yes, you have more value. You appreciate in terms of experience of the world etc.
But at the same time, in relation, your capacity to enact any of what you have gained, becomes smaller.
More value, less effect. Same thing with inflation. More value, but less purchasing power.

All economics are in a constant battle against inflation. Just as all people are in a battle against becoming redundant by age.

In economics, this is accounted for by a complex system of checks and balances.
It is how our systems evolve, adapt and improve to supersede the preceding models.

PLEX, in EVE, is in many ways similar to interest rates, IRL.
When there is high confidence in the system, people take many loans, and interest remains low as a function of demand.
However, when confidence drops, people stop taking loans, banks stop giving them, and interest rises to compensate for reduced demand.

If people are not buying PLEX from CCP anymore, that is a worrisome problem, with wide-ranging effects, the most immediate of which is the reduced capacity of other players reliant on them for those PLEXs for purchase with ISK, to have to reconsider whether they can maintain their accounts.

If PLEX price increased at a slow, gradual and predictable amount, it could be surmised that the economy is healthy.
But when it erratically jumps in either direction, it is an indicator that something has changed in the economic situation.

This is not a "good" thing for EVE.
Sure, some people with PLEX reserves, can benefit.
Sure, those people who buy PLEX, can now benefit more.
But it is inherently so. as evidenced by the fact that PLEX is rising in the first place, that people are NOT buyin PLEX from CCP, proportionately, at the rate that they used to, as compared to the populace consuming them with ISK.

Its bad. No if ands or buts about it.
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#147 - 2014-04-22 13:12:30 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:

If people are not buying PLEX from CCP anymore, that is a worrisome problem, with wide-ranging effects, the most immediate of which is the reduced capacity of other players reliant on them for those PLEXs for purchase with ISK, to have to reconsider whether they can maintain their accounts.

If PLEX price increased at a slow, gradual and predictable amount, it could be surmised that the economy is healthy.
But when it erratically jumps in either direction, it is an indicator that something has changed in the economic situation.

What an amazingly stupid reading of the situation

I would have dealt with this politely, but decided to return the favour of your emotional reaction earlier :)

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Nevyn Auscent
Broke Sauce
#148 - 2014-04-22 13:14:55 UTC
Ramona McCandless wrote:

So.... your point is that its not inflation because its inflation.

Gotcha.

More like it's not inflation because it's not caused by the pressures that cause inflation.
It's caused by market pressures on supply & demand.

Entirely different causes.
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#149 - 2014-04-22 13:30:07 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
If PLEX price increased at a slow, gradual and predictable amount, it could be surmised that the economy is healthy.
But when it erratically jumps in either direction, it is an indicator that something has changed in the economic situation.
It IS increasing "at a slow, gradual and predictable amount". Sure, there are things like fanfest causing the usual annual spike in the same way that real economies don't increase at exactly the same rate every single day of the year, but the overall trend is a steady upwards trend. Seriously, there's graphs for this stuff.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#150 - 2014-04-22 13:32:12 UTC
Nevyn Auscent wrote:
Ramona McCandless wrote:

So.... your point is that its not inflation because its inflation.

Gotcha.

More like it's not inflation because it's not caused by the pressures that cause inflation.
It's caused by market pressures on supply & demand.

Entirely different causes.


Yes, I was saying that Salvos was wrong. Again.

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Salvos Rhoska
#151 - 2014-04-22 13:39:48 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Sure, there are things like fanfest causing the usual annual spike in the same way that real economies don't increase at exactly the same rate every single day of the year


Prove it.

Show me a +100mil increase in PLEX price in the months before every Fanfest for the last years.
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#152 - 2014-04-22 13:41:12 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Lucas Kell wrote:
Sure, there are things like fanfest causing the usual annual spike in the same way that real economies don't increase at exactly the same rate every single day of the year


Prove it.

Show me a +100mil increase in PLEX price in the months before every Fanfest for the last years.


Only if you show me figures showing the difference in the number of PLEX in the market now compared to it over the last few years

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Salvos Rhoska
#153 - 2014-04-22 13:42:40 UTC
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Only if you show me figures showing the difference in the number of PLEX in the market now compared to it over the last few years


I dont have those figures.

So, Ramona.

So what causes PLEX price to rise?
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#154 - 2014-04-22 13:45:59 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Only if you show me figures showing the difference in the number of PLEX in the market now compared to it over the last few years


I dont have those figures.

So, Ramona.

So what causes PLEX price to rise?


I already said, find it in a previous post

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Salvos Rhoska
#155 - 2014-04-22 13:48:03 UTC  |  Edited by: Salvos Rhoska
Ramona McCandless wrote:
I already said, find it in a previous post


Reduced supply?

So why are less people buying PLEX from CCP, even though the value in ISK is higher than EVER before?
Surely according to your logic, their should be MORE PLEX on the market now, than ever before?

PS: Can you feel already how you will lose this argument? How your position is silly? Does that enrage you further?
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#156 - 2014-04-22 13:55:21 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Lucas Kell wrote:
Sure, there are things like fanfest causing the usual annual spike in the same way that real economies don't increase at exactly the same rate every single day of the year
Prove it.

Show me a +100mil increase in PLEX price in the months before every Fanfest for the last years.
Fanfest is only ONE cause of spikes. Right now, alongside fanfest tickets you have ship skins which convert a lot of plex to aurum, and this is following directly after the "activate an account and get your alts name onto a monument" burst.

Salvos Rhoska wrote:
Ramona McCandless wrote:
I already said, find it in a previous post
Reduced supply?

So why are less people buying PLEX from CCP, even though the value in ISK is higher than EVER before?
Surely according to your logic, their should be MORE PLEX on the market now, than ever before?

PS: Can you feel already how you will lose this argument? How your position is silly? Does that enrage you further?
Or increased demand. You seem to think the only possible way that supply can be depleted is because nobody is buying PLEX for cash. I can;t see any reason why it's not the other way, that PLEX is simply being used more, depleting the supply at a rate above normal. Get used to it though, PLEX prices have increased pretty steadily and are likely to continue to do so.

The Indecisive Noob - EVE fan blog.

Wholesale Trading - The new bulk trading mailing list.

Salvos Rhoska
#157 - 2014-04-22 13:58:06 UTC  |  Edited by: Salvos Rhoska
Lucas Kell wrote:
PLEX prices have increased pretty steadily and are likely to continue to do so.


Thanks for contradicting your own point and faceplanting like a turd from a dog's buttocks.

PLEX price increase recently is nothing if NOT unsteady compared to previous gradient.

You completely destroyed your own point.
I love it how it takes no effort with you, whatsoever.
You self-destruct. Post after post.
Its like a windmill of /facepalms.
Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#158 - 2014-04-22 13:58:26 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:


Reduced supply?


Please quote where I said that, if thats what you think I said

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Ramona McCandless
Silent Vale
LinkNet
#159 - 2014-04-22 13:59:12 UTC
Salvos Rhoska wrote:


PLEX price increase recently is nothing if NOT unsteady compared to previous gradient.

.


Use of a double-negative
You completely destroyed your own point.

"Yea, some dude came in and was normal for first couple months, so I gave him director." - Sean Dunaway

"A singular character could be hired to penetrate another corps space... using gorilla like tactics..." - Chane Morgann

Salvos Rhoska
#160 - 2014-04-22 13:59:20 UTC  |  Edited by: Salvos Rhoska
Ramona McCandless wrote:
Please quote where I said that, if thats what you think I said


Are you saying there is not a reduced supply of PLEX?

Ramona McCandless wrote:
Use of a double-negative
You completely destroyed your own point.


It was in format and consistent with his own double-negative.