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Scale... The Battle of B-R5RB

Author
Saul Elsyn
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#1 - 2014-01-29 20:58:35 UTC
Using this the New Eden Crew Guidelines I decided to try and get an estimate to the actual human cost of the largest scale capsuleer battle to date. For the number of crewman aboard ships lost I did an average of the Minimum Crew (Capsuleer) and Max Capacity value for each ship, then multiplied them by the number of ships of that overall type destroyed.

The numbers that come out are truly astronomical.

75 Titans
Average Crew - 56,000
Average Survival Rate - ~50% (Widely varies between 20% to 80%)
Probable casualties - 2,100,000 crew

13 Supercarriers
Average Crew - 18,175
Average Survival Rate - 50%
Probable Casualties - 118,000 crew

370 Dreadnaughts
Average Crew - 9,025
Average Survival Rate - 22.5%
Probable Casualties - 2,588,000 crew

123 Carriers
Average Crew - 7,265
Average Survival Rate - 45%
Probable Casualties - 491,000 crew

3,139 Sub-capitals
Average Crew - 3,475 (assuming most were battleships)
Average Survival Rate - 37.5% (assuming most were battleships)
Probable Casualties - 6,935,000 crew

Total Probable Casualties - 12,222,000 crew KIA

I know that number is probably high as there were sub-capitals besides fleet battleships involved in the action, and no doubt there were ships that were under crewed involved, but even if that number is 10 times higher then the actual casualty figures... over 1.2 million capsuleer crewman died monday. Nothing on Earth's history even comes close to that scale of death and destruction in a single battle.
Tiberius V
#2 - 2014-01-30 13:21:23 UTC
Isnt each Eve ship just managed by one person? The capsuleer itself?

If not I have to start buying some food and on board entertainment :S
Kryptik Kai
Pandemic Horde Inc.
Pandemic Horde
#3 - 2014-01-30 13:26:30 UTC
Saul Elsyn wrote:
even if that number is 10 times higher then the actual casualty figures... over 1.2 million capsuleer crewman died monday. Nothing on Earth's history even comes close to that scale of death and destruction in a single battle.


Battle of Baghdad - Mongol Conquests: 2.1m+ dead
Siege of Leningrad - WW2: 1.1-4.5m dead
Battle of Berlin - WW2: 1.3m dead
Battle of Stalingrad - WW2: 1.2-1.8m dead



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_battles_by_casualties

"Shiny.  Lets be bad guys." -Jayne Cobb

Stitcher
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#4 - 2014-01-30 15:10:15 UTC
Tiberius V wrote:
Isnt each Eve ship just managed by one person? The capsuleer itself?

If not I have to start buying some food and on board entertainment :S


The capsule allows one person to be the captain, first officer, helmsman, gunnery officer, navigator, etc - basically the whole command staff - all by themselves.

This drastically reduces the crew requirement of the ship, but doesn't eliminate the need for engineers, technicians, and their support staff. You fly the ship - you don't kick the ammo-loader when it jams because you're stuck in that pod.

AKA Hambone

Author of The Deathworlders

Dys Novus
Adhocracy Incorporated
Adhocracy
#5 - 2014-01-30 16:16:16 UTC
"75 Titans
Average Crew - 56,000
Average Survival Rate - ~50% (Widely varies between 20% to 80%)
Probable casualties - 2,100,000 crew"

On this:

The variance in survival rates is directly linked to how the ship dies, with the lower (20%) survival rate being if a ship is alpha'd off the field via OpFor Titan doomsdays with no warning. As this was the main cause of death for many of the Titans lost, the casualty totals with the listed average crews would be closer to 3,000,000+.



Ralph King-Griffin
New Eden Tech Support
#6 - 2014-01-30 16:23:23 UTC
Saul Elsyn wrote:

75 Titans
Average Crew - 56,000
Average Survival Rate - ~50% (Widely varies between 20% to 80%)
Probable casualties - 2,100,000 crew

13 Supercarriers
Average Crew - 18,175
Average Survival Rate - 50%
Probable Casualties - 118,000 crew

370 Dreadnaughts
Average Crew - 9,025
Average Survival Rate - 22.5%
Probable Casualties - 2,588,000 crew

123 Carriers
Average Crew - 7,265
Average Survival Rate - 45%
Probable Casualties - 491,000 crew

.

20 – 80%*

"* Most often, a Titan is nuked by other Titans and their doomsdays, meaning they go down fast with little chance of survival. However, in virtually any other case, survival rates are very high"
id say you were being rather conservative with your survival rates there, given the ammount of doomsday devices that went off.
Stitcher
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#7 - 2014-01-30 16:53:20 UTC
Dys Novus wrote:
"75 Titans
Average Crew - 56,000
Average Survival Rate - ~50% (Widely varies between 20% to 80%)
Probable casualties - 2,100,000 crew"

On this:

The variance in survival rates is directly linked to how the ship dies, with the lower (20%) survival rate being if a ship is alpha'd off the field via OpFor Titan doomsdays with no warning. As this was the main cause of death for many of the Titans lost, the casualty totals with the listed average crews would be closer to 3,000,000+.



Incidentally, with the estimated total ISK value destroyed at B-R being 11 trillion ISK, that figure would mean that each crewman's life was worth about 3.5 million ISK.

AKA Hambone

Author of The Deathworlders

Ralph King-Griffin
New Eden Tech Support
#8 - 2014-01-30 17:22:35 UTC
Stitcher wrote:


crewman's life was worth .

HA!!!
Saul Elsyn
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#9 - 2014-01-30 19:32:21 UTC  |  Edited by: Saul Elsyn
3.5 million isk for a crewman? That's a laugh.

Kryptik Kai wrote:
Battle of Baghdad - Mongol Conquests: 2.1m+ dead
Siege of Leningrad - WW2: 1.1-4.5m dead
Battle of Berlin - WW2: 1.3m dead
Battle of Stalingrad - WW2: 1.2-1.8m dead
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_battles_by_casualties


Keep in mind that casualty count includes civilian losses... If you remove that, nothing comes close. Especially if you just look at naval engagements where at most there are around 300,000 people participating.

And yes, I think the Titan survival rates I used were rather conservative, but then I used battleship values for all the sub-capitals so it evens out I think.
Kryptik Kai
Pandemic Horde Inc.
Pandemic Horde
#10 - 2014-01-30 21:10:19 UTC
just because they're civilians doesn't make them any less dead as a direct result of a battle

"Shiny.  Lets be bad guys." -Jayne Cobb

Atrol Nalelmir
Boomer Humor
Snuffed Out
#11 - 2014-02-11 10:47:56 UTC
Stitcher wrote:

each crewman's life was worth about 3.5 million ISK.


This is why the Amarr have slaves it cuts costs dramatically. don't need to pay them and if we need more crew just get some more off a Minmatar planat.
Esna Pitoojee
Societas Imperialis Sceptri Coronaeque
Khimi Harar
#12 - 2014-02-11 16:16:01 UTC
Kryptik Kai wrote:
Saul Elsyn wrote:
even if that number is 10 times higher then the actual casualty figures... over 1.2 million capsuleer crewman died monday. Nothing on Earth's history even comes close to that scale of death and destruction in a single battle.


Battle of Baghdad - Mongol Conquests: 2.1m+ dead
Siege of Leningrad - WW2: 1.1-4.5m dead
Battle of Berlin - WW2: 1.3m dead
Battle of Stalingrad - WW2: 1.2-1.8m dead



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_battles_by_casualties


These universally represent exended sieges, taking place over weeks if not months. B-R5RB took place in less than 24 hours.
Lucien Marbot
#13 - 2014-02-13 19:59:37 UTC
24 hour battle of this scale is amazing. It's one draw of EVE Online. Only wish I could have been a participant. It is the biggest most expensive battle to date, but it is a record that will be surpassed by capsuleers in the future. This game is growing!

Death is nothing more then the searing pain of rebirth.

Rowells
Blackwater USA Inc.
Pandemic Horde
#14 - 2014-02-24 06:39:54 UTC
Kryptik Kai wrote:
Saul Elsyn wrote:
even if that number is 10 times higher then the actual casualty figures... over 1.2 million capsuleer crewman died monday. Nothing on Earth's history even comes close to that scale of death and destruction in a single battle.


Battle of Baghdad - Mongol Conquests: 2.1m+ dead
Siege of Leningrad - WW2: 1.1-4.5m dead
Battle of Berlin - WW2: 1.3m dead
Battle of Stalingrad - WW2: 1.2-1.8m dead



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_battles_by_casualties

Also dont forget, most of those battles took days to weeks and even months in the case of leningrad. All these space deaths occurred in one day. And if you do the math with tidi it could turn out to have only been a couple hours or so.
Rowells
Blackwater USA Inc.
Pandemic Horde
#15 - 2014-02-24 06:41:38 UTC
Tiberius V wrote:
Isnt each Eve ship just managed by one person? The capsuleer itself?

If not I have to start buying some food and on board entertainment :S

Each ship is piloted by a capsuleer but there is still a crew. A much smaller crew but still a crew. Look up the ship descriptions in evelopedia and it gives some details (interceptors may be only ships without crew).
Ayallah
Brutor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#16 - 2014-02-25 16:01:40 UTC  |  Edited by: Ayallah
I would like to add that the vast majority of capital kills and Titan kills were to coordinated doomsdays, that the/both grids were being bombed nearly constantly and officer smart bombs were going off every fraction of a second. Your numbers are very conservative, especially considering the bling and pimp of the fittings and the subsequent rise in crew requirements.

Additionally, though I cannot speak for N3, PL 'crews' went down with their ships almost ubiquitously.

the only way out was when Waffles would find a Titan they could free from the bubbles, we would convo them and tell them we were going to bomb the bubbles off them and to prepare to jump. Far more chose to stay than to go. Many Titans were on field so long, they were actually running out of fuel.

"I sat up till an hour before downtime holding the hands of the 70 odd terminal patients until each one slipped off into the dark. Waffles were great in that they kept trying to do bomb runs to free as many as they could for as long as they could, a few got the cure for cancer, the rest we kept company with jokes and stories until the inevitable "Uh oh, yellowboxed", and then silence." -Grath

Your numbers are conservative.

B-R was far too real.

Goddess of the IGS

As strength goes.

Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
#17 - 2014-03-04 03:41:18 UTC
IIRC, the most common subcapital ship class lost was Interdictors, which presumably have crews of similar sizes to tech 1 destroyers.

I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com

MutnantRebel
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#18 - 2014-03-05 07:29:27 UTC  |  Edited by: MutnantRebel
That was a monster freakin fight. Too bad I missed it. I was on hiatus during that, not returning to eve until recently. With my old toon I've been in some sizable fights, but none even close to that.

I don't know how much the losses would have been, but even a conservative figure like the OP gave is unimaginable in a 24 hour period. Carpet Bomb Hong Kong with nukes and you might get such figures in human loss. Either way, when I saw the dollar cost of the fight, I was proud to show that off LOL. Only in Eve could that happen!

Anyone have first hand accounts of the fight itself? Might be fun to get blow by blow from those that fought it.

Trailer Trash and proud of it!