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Maybe Somer Blink is offering a valuable service

First post
Author
Joan Greywind
The Lazy Crabs
#1 - 2013-10-07 10:12:37 UTC  |  Edited by: Joan Greywind
If you are reading this, you probably are aware of the controversial issue that spawned numerous posts, blogs and articles.
https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=283855&find=unread

Now the main argument there is that Somer Blink as an entity doesn't deserve the rewards (was it the ships or the vetting from CCP) because they are a purely for profit organization. They donated a lot, but so did Coca Cola, it is called PR for the uninitiated. For instance no outcry was created when the same ships were donated to the guys that organized SCL, specifically because they offer their services without any expected profit, which is a point I agree with. With the facts we have at hand Somer Blink shouldn't qualify, because they do what they do for profit.

Now these facts seem obvious, and even with CCP's record of mucking up some things I still don't understand how they reached this decision. Why give Somer blink the traffic and all these gifts when so many more other third parties deserve it more. Why go out on a limb and put your trust in them completely? So i thought about a little more and maybe, just maybe Somer Blink is offering is a very valuable service for CCP, and by extension to the player base of EVE.

Disclaimer: This is just a theory, links and data will be provided, but at the end the theory is just that, a theory. It fits and is reasonable, but in no way I am saying that this is what happened. Now that I stressed that enough, I'll have to say that this is going to be long and math included, you have been warned. The numbers taken below are all based on sources, but could ultimately be wrong, so apologies in advance if they are and correct me so I can fix it.

Somer blink from mid 2012 to mid 2013 have given out more than half a quadrillion isk, that equals to 500 trillion isk (check dates on the links provided)

http://community.eveonline.com/news/dev-blogs/community-spotlight-somer-blink/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOA6wGHluuU

I won't go on the details of this one, but it can be calculated very easily by anyone with basic math skills, Somer Blink makes a 20% profit on all of its transactions, that means Somer's share from the ISK that went through them is a 100 trillion.

Now we know from various sources that Somer received 30 scorpions, that means it is safe to assume that they have no more than 30 employees. We also know that from the link provided above (the community one) that isk transfers requires 145 hours a week. If we factor in that each employee takes 125m an hour and plex for each account (30), we will get estimated costs of 1 trillion (give or take) per month. Donations are marginal at best and shouldn't affect our estimations to a material degree. That means that Somer as an entity (ultimately controlled by one person, or a handful at best) rakes in 7.3 trillion a month as pure profit. Let that sink in for the moment, 7.3 trillion a month in a single wallet.

Now that we are done with the numbers part let us start by talking Economics

First let us start with isk faucets and sinks in EVE:

http://twostep4csm.blogspot.ae/2012/03/its-econmony-stupid.html

In the link provided above you will have the list of isk sinks and faucets in EVE. If we take the assumption that most of the iskies that goes to somber stays in its wallet (which I don't see any scenario where in won't, it is literally so much isk that spending will take more time than raking it in, we will get to that in a moment) then it is equivalent to an ISK sink. It is simply taken from the economy and sits right there in a pixelated wallet. If you open the link you will notice that the highest sink is 13t a month then 6t and then the rest drop to less 2t. Somer's wallet is the second largest ISK sink in EVE. Somer is responsible for decreasing the money (isk supply) by more than 25% by itself. Without Somer the inflation could spiral out of CCP's control, and do very weird (read bad) things to the economy.

Even if this wasn't a consideration, Somer has so much isk that they could break every market in the game very easily. The whole trit market in EVE is worth about 3 trillion a month. That is the mineral that more than 90% of things in EVE are made from (at least partially). They could literally break the game, just let us look at some other numbers for comparison.

* PL + N3 super cap feet peaked at 200-300 supers (numbers from when they had an awoxer and had to reign in all their lost systems). That is the biggest super cap fleet in the whole game. With the iskies Somer made (theoretically), they could fund 4000 supers. That is 10 times more than the current largest super cap power in all of EVE

* N3's rental empire (which is the biggest rental empire in EVE) rakes in 700 bill a month, that is before costs and needed thousands of players to maintain it. Somer makes 10 times that amount as pure profit.

* The economic benefit of the whole fountain war (the biggest war this year) was 200 billion a month in moon minerals, that is about 3% of what Somer is making (after costs).

Now if you were CCP you will keep a very close eye on anyone that has that much isk, and has the potential to seriously damage the game, but at the same time as a player driven game it is very sensitive and you can't outright control them. Also don't forget that they are providing an isk sink without the added cost of creating a new one by CCP, which will take at least one full development cycle, and won't have certain results (HIA faction warfare).

So maybe CCP decided to kill 2 birds with one stone, reign in a 3rd party by giving them extra business (traffic, vetting etc..) to make extra real life cash (at the end of the day isk can't be easily transferred to real life cash, at least not at these amounts and not when you are closely watched), and CCP getting a free of cost economic control over their fantasy universe.
Joan Greywind
The Lazy Crabs
#2 - 2013-10-07 10:12:53 UTC  |  Edited by: Joan Greywind
Even if CCP didn't intend it to be that way, there is no doubt that Somer has great economic significance on the game.

As I said, this is just a theory and could be wrong about it, I just want to get some feedback from the community on it, so discuss away.

EDIT after some posts:

And let me make something clear because I noticed a lot of posts about it, I am not saying Somer blink deserves what they got from CCP (I actually stated that in no way they should have received both the free traffic and ships) or that they are "good" or "bad" by nature. They are an entity that is driven by profit.

All I am saying if we look at it from CCP viewpoint, and if the numbers are remotely accurate, then CCP took a position to ensure that for the health of the game, to keep a 3rd party reigned in (maybe by a deal to never use their isk harmfully), and getting a free isk sink while they are it. The benefit to Somer Blink obviously is more traffic and more sales of GTCs and ads on their website.

And if we can leave the topic if they are scammers or not aside, since it is not the matter at hand.
Jint Hikaru
OffWorld Exploration Inc
#3 - 2013-10-07 10:20:18 UTC
Far too many posts on this subject.... Bored now!

Jint Hikaru - Miner / Salvager / Explorer / SpaceBum In the beginning the Universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move.

Chribba
Otherworld Enterprises
Otherworld Empire
#4 - 2013-10-07 10:20:32 UTC
Just a note when it comes to the numbers and how it's being displayed.

Most of the games is played with credit, that is not the same thing as ISK. Someone winning 50b and takes it as credit, will not result in them "giving out" 50b ISK. So them saying they given out 1200 trillion ISK is just a manipulation of numbers.

So, player A deposit 100m, spend that on one ticket, and wins a BS worth 100m, he decides to take the win as credit and then spends those 100m credit and lose. Somer will now display this as 200m - yet the original deposit is still and will only ever be 100m.

I'm sure there's still trillions in deposits, but claiming that this is how much ISK they handled or sink is not really accurate. And still is it really an ISK sink if the ISK just gets transferred into someones wallet? Sure they might sink 500b into an alliance tournament, but that's still not close to a 1200 trillion sink.

Damn numbers! Smile

/c

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Visit my in-game channel 'Holy Veldspar'

Twitter @ChribbaVeldspar

Cierra Royce
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#5 - 2013-10-07 10:31:24 UTC
Chribba wrote:
Just a note when it comes to the numbers and how it's being displayed.

Most of the games is played with credit, that is not the same thing as ISK. Someone winning 50b and takes it as credit, will not result in them "giving out" 50b ISK. So them saying they given out 1200 trillion ISK is just a manipulation of numbers.

So, player A deposit 100m, spend that on one ticket, and wins a BS worth 100m, he decides to take the win as credit and then spends those 100m credit and lose. Somer will now display this as 200m - yet the original deposit is still and will only ever be 100m.

I'm sure there's still trillions in deposits, but claiming that this is how much ISK they handled or sink is not really accurate. And still is it really an ISK sink if the ISK just gets transferred into someones wallet? Sure they might sink 500b into an alliance tournament, but that's still not close to a 1200 trillion sink.

Damn numbers! Smile

/c


Just to further add that it's irrelevant really, we have no way of knowing how accurate Somers figures actually are.

To address the op:
That they give some money out for sponsorship etc is a good thing, and maybe in need of recognition of some kind, but not by shady under the table deals and the spawning of trillions of free Isk.

Imagine if they gave Chribba 250bn units of Veldspar as a reward, on the grounds that, hey he has so much Veldspar already it's just a drop in the ocean for him. It might be and the big guy might deserve a nice reward for everything he has done for us all, but I would have just as much a problem with that as I do with Somer right now.
Joan Greywind
The Lazy Crabs
#6 - 2013-10-07 10:31:47 UTC  |  Edited by: Joan Greywind
Chribba wrote:
Just a note when it comes to the numbers and how it's being displayed.

Most of the games is played with credit, that is not the same thing as ISK. Someone winning 50b and takes it as credit, will not result in them "giving out" 50b ISK. So them saying they given out 1200 trillion ISK is just a manipulation of numbers.

So, player A deposit 100m, spend that on one ticket, and wins a BS worth 100m, he decides to take the win as credit and then spends those 100m credit and lose. Somer will now display this as 200m - yet the original deposit is still and will only ever be 100m.

I'm sure there's still trillions in deposits, but claiming that this is how much ISK they handled or sink is not really accurate. And still is it really an ISK sink if the ISK just gets transferred into someones wallet? Sure they might sink 500b into an alliance tournament, but that's still not close to a 1200 trillion sink.

Damn numbers! Smile

/c


But they are still making 20% off every 100m reinvested. Every time you put in a bet their share of that bet is 20%, and that 20% is the number used to reach the end number which is 7.3 trillion a month. I hope that clarifies it, I can give a more clear picture if I see that point is not clear enough. And don't forget the numbers should be accurate, as CCP navigator himself audited the business :P.

And by way I am in no way advocating what CCP is doing, from my previous forum posts you can see that I was completely against all the fiasco. This is just another point to consider perhaps.
Lucas Kell
Solitude Trading
S.N.O.T.
#7 - 2013-10-07 10:38:10 UTC
Joan Greywind wrote:
Even if this wasn't a consideration, Somer has so much isk that they could break every market in the game very easily. The whole trit market in EVE is worth about 3 trillion a month. That is the mineral that more than 90% of things in EVE are made from (at least partially). They could literally break the game, just let us look at some other numbers for comparison.
They don't though. Because they RMT their isk, some of it through their website, seemingly supported by CCP, and some of it laundered through shill accounts and sold through illegal sites.
Somer make REAL cash through their site. They run their corp as a business (against the EULA) and yet they are supported. THIS is why they don't deserve to be supported by CCP..

And the main complaint isn't about the scorpions. It's that by CCP stating they are legit, even without any form of evidence, they are promoting Somer above all other groups, which pushes more traffic to Somer. Not to mention that you have to join Somer to take part in lotteries taht should be run by CCP directly.
Why should a group that runs what are essentially scams for profit be promoted over groups like Eve-Radio who run a non-profit community site that offers it's services for free to the community?

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Chribba
Otherworld Enterprises
Otherworld Empire
#8 - 2013-10-07 10:53:36 UTC
Cierra Royce wrote:
Imagine if they gave Chribba 250bn units of Veldspar as a reward, on the grounds that, hey he has so much Veldspar already it's just a drop in the ocean for him. It might be and the big guy might deserve a nice reward for everything he has done for us all, but I would have just as much a problem with that as I do with Somer right now.
I fully agree, and I think CCP rewards should keep being tied into for example media accounts and exposure through spotlights and similar. Not directly in-game items or similar.

/c

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Visit my in-game channel 'Holy Veldspar'

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Prince Kobol
#9 - 2013-10-07 11:02:27 UTC
Lucas Kell wrote:
Joan Greywind wrote:
Even if this wasn't a consideration, Somer has so much isk that they could break every market in the game very easily. The whole trit market in EVE is worth about 3 trillion a month. That is the mineral that more than 90% of things in EVE are made from (at least partially). They could literally break the game, just let us look at some other numbers for comparison.
They don't though. Because they RMT their isk, some of it through their website, seemingly supported by CCP, and some of it laundered through shill accounts and sold through illegal sites.
Somer make REAL cash through their site. They run their corp as a business (against the EULA) and yet they are supported. THIS is why they don't deserve to be supported by CCP..

And the main complaint isn't about the scorpions. It's that by CCP stating they are legit, even without any form of evidence, they are promoting Somer above all other groups, which pushes more traffic to Somer. Not to mention that you have to join Somer to take part in lotteries taht should be run by CCP directly.
Why should a group that runs what are essentially scams for profit be promoted over groups like Eve-Radio who run a non-profit community site that offers it's services for free to the community?


Seriously dude, we've been over this.

You keep saying they RMT there isk but never back it up with any proof.

So here we go.

CFC RMT massive amounts isk and get away with it because they have friends in CCP.

Also I do not have to prove because like you say, you must be dumb not to believe they don't.
Vera Algaert
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#10 - 2013-10-07 11:17:11 UTC
Prince Kobol wrote:


Seriously dude, we've been over this.

You keep saying they RMT there isk but never back it up with any proof.

http://cogdev.net/blink/?act=gtc

this wasn't hard, was it?

.

March rabbit
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#11 - 2013-10-07 11:20:11 UTC
Vera Algaert wrote:
Prince Kobol wrote:


Seriously dude, we've been over this.

You keep saying they RMT there isk but never back it up with any proof.

http://cogdev.net/blink/?act=gtc

this wasn't hard, was it?

ok. now we need 2 more proofs:
- SOMER takes real money to themself
- SOMER gives out their own GTCs

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Kuni Oichi
Garoun Investment Bank
Gallente Federation
#12 - 2013-10-07 11:22:47 UTC
Joan Greywind wrote:


I won't go on the details of this one, but it can be calculated very easily by anyone with basic math skills, Somer Blink makes a 20% profit on all of its transactions, that means Somer's share from the ISK that went through them is a 100 trillion.


Your 'very easily' is missing at least two key points:

Firstly many people who win claim the ship rather than the isk payout
Secondly many people who win simply roll their winnings back into Somer Blink credit

Prince Kobol
#13 - 2013-10-07 11:23:49 UTC  |  Edited by: Prince Kobol
Vera Algaert wrote:
Prince Kobol wrote:


Seriously dude, we've been over this.

You keep saying they RMT there isk but never back it up with any proof.

http://cogdev.net/blink/?act=gtc

this wasn't hard, was it?


What about Battle Clinic.

https://www.deepspacesupply.com/60-day-eve-game-time-code.html

They also involved in RMT?

Here is a list of where you can buy GTC's

https://secure.eveonline.com/etc.aspx

Most of those sites offer a referral scheme.

So you could simply setup a website offering the best deals of GTC's with nothing but links to many of those sites. Somebody buys a plex via your site you make RL money.

That is how referral schemes work.
Joan Greywind
The Lazy Crabs
#14 - 2013-10-07 11:50:49 UTC  |  Edited by: Joan Greywind
Kuni Oichi wrote:
Joan Greywind wrote:


I won't go on the details of this one, but it can be calculated very easily by anyone with basic math skills, Somer Blink makes a 20% profit on all of its transactions, that means Somer's share from the ISK that went through them is a 100 trillion.


Your 'very easily' is missing at least two key points:

Firstly many people who win claim the ship rather than the isk payout
Secondly many people who win simply roll their winnings back into Somer Blink credit




Alright I guess it needs clarification. Let me give an example from somer blink.

At the time of this post there is a micro lottery on a plex. To participate in it you need to pay 43.5m isk, one of 16 spots mind you. Now if you buy all the spots to guarantee that you win you would have to pay 696m. So Somer if we take eve prices right now will take in 696m to give away a plex that costs 590m.

Now there are two option either the item is delivered where they gain 20%, or you get more credits to enter another draw which is has similar numbers to the values above.

So each time you place a bet on Somer you have 20% less expected value, and Somer makes 20% out of all their individual lotteries, whether the item is delivered or re inputted again for another round doesn't matter.

Just a note, usually the blink credits they give you is a tad bit more than market value to encourage you to play again so you can lose more iskies. But their margins are usually 20% nonetheless.
Amhra Rho
Accujac Elimination
#15 - 2013-10-07 11:56:24 UTC
The more S'BLink gives away, the more it proves how much they make. The more S'Blink makes, the less they need free CCP slag.

SOMER Blink would give to "charity" anyway - it makes them look ethical (left to be determined), not to mention rich (not much doubt). Run a lottery at the people's level instead - a plan that doesn't necessitate a SOMER Blink account to win.

There's real reasons why your Eve character doesn't do /dance.

Prince Kobol
#16 - 2013-10-07 11:59:09 UTC
Amhra Rho wrote:
The more S'BLink gives away, the more it proves how much they make. The more S'Blink makes, the less they need free CCP slag.

SOMER Blink would give to "charity" anyway - it makes them look ethical (left to be determined), not to mention rich (not much doubt). Run a lottery at the people's level instead - a plan that doesn't necessitate a SOMER Blink account to win.


If you dislike Somer so much there is nothing stopping you running a "fair" lottery
Amhra Rho
Accujac Elimination
#17 - 2013-10-07 12:06:15 UTC
Prince Kobol wrote:
Amhra Rho wrote:
The more S'BLink gives away, the more it proves how much they make. The more S'Blink makes, the less they need free CCP slag.

SOMER Blink would give to "charity" anyway - it makes them look ethical (left to be determined), not to mention rich (not much doubt). Run a lottery at the people's level instead - a plan that doesn't necessitate a SOMER Blink account to win.


If you dislike Somer so much there is nothing stopping you running a "fair" lottery

Great. And CCP's ungodly valuable marketing and advertising clout automatically comes with it for free, just like it did for SOMER Blink?

It's pretty clear that it would have to be a CCP announced, sanctioned, and publicised event, the same way their tryst with S'Blink has been. Unless you're - for some reason - after an uneven playing field.

There's real reasons why your Eve character doesn't do /dance.

Prince Kobol
#18 - 2013-10-07 12:13:55 UTC
Amhra Rho wrote:
Prince Kobol wrote:
Amhra Rho wrote:
The more S'BLink gives away, the more it proves how much they make. The more S'Blink makes, the less they need free CCP slag.

SOMER Blink would give to "charity" anyway - it makes them look ethical (left to be determined), not to mention rich (not much doubt). Run a lottery at the people's level instead - a plan that doesn't necessitate a SOMER Blink account to win.


If you dislike Somer so much there is nothing stopping you running a "fair" lottery

Great. And CCP's ungodly valuable marketing and advertising clout automatically comes with it for free, just like it did for SOMER Blink?

It's pretty clear that it would have to be a CCP announced, sanctioned, and publicised event, the same way their tryst with S'Blink has been. Unless you're - for some reason - after an uneven playing field.


Sure about that?

Pretty sure the guys who develop EveMon, EveHQ, Eft, Aurora, Dotlan, Z Killboard, Battle Clinic etc have managed pretty good without having CCP announce, sanction and publicize them.

Also pretty sure Somer has been going for a fair few years without any help from CCP.


TigerXtrm
KarmaFleet
Goonswarm Federation
#19 - 2013-10-07 12:14:07 UTC
Quote:
Let that sink in for the moment, 7.3 trillion a month in a single wallet.


That's a guesstimate at best.

But they do take in massive amounts of money and that makes it a very smart business. The thing I'm wondering is if SOMER as an organisation is a very successful cover operation for one of the major alliances in the game. Goons come to mind first. CCP would have the ability to check this, since they can cross reference IP adresses and stuff.

Any alliance that has the income of SOMER at its disposal would quickly become a nearly unstoppable force in EVE. Wouldn't surprise me if a lot of SOMER's profits are funneled into someone's war effort.

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Amhra Rho
Accujac Elimination
#20 - 2013-10-07 12:26:10 UTC
Prince Kobol wrote:
[Sure about that?

Pretty sure the guys who develop EveMon, EveHQ, Eft, Aurora, Dotlan, Z Killboard, Battle Clinic etc have managed pretty good without having CCP announce, sanction and publicize them.

Also pretty sure Somer has been going for a fair few years without any help from CCP.

It's looking more and more like you really *do* want an uneven playing field. Even more surprisingly, you're practically making my case for me. Why not Dotlan, who obviously needs those billions more than SOMER Blink? - they've got a digital tip jar on their website, for gawd's sake. Now that's a party who's ethics seem never to be questioned, so why SOMER BLink instead of Dotlan? Or EveMon, or Aurora?

Or if you insist on tying the dubious casino into all this, then there's an alternative way to go about that as well. Go with the Lottery system with SOMER Blink as their main sponsor. The slag goes to the Lottery, however - not to SOMER Blink. Problem solved.

There's real reasons why your Eve character doesn't do /dance.

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