Market Discussions

So one of the big features of the coming expansion is the release of the new bc. Looking at things, it appears fairly obvious that the primary use of these ships will be for pvp dps with almost no application to pve. I have the personal feeling that these will be bigger than the noctis was, so there's likely going to be a huge pull on mins of all sorts. But I do have a bunch of questions which I thought would be best put forth in its own threads.

So where's the demand going to be for these ships? In other words, where are good spots to sell these ships? Second, what sort of mods go well with them? Obviously, bs-class weapons and some sort of buffer tank, but will there be a need for EW or RR?

Finally, will demand for these ships trigger (or perhaps create via blowing up) demand for any other ships?

Prices will be high just after the expansion...

How about the matter of location? Where would the industrialist get the best bang for the buck?

My wild guess:

I think you should look at the Noctis market as a model, but highly accelerated.
What I mean by that is the first few days ship prices will be insane, but crash much faster than the Noctis.

1. Noctis had a much higher barrier to entry, given the BPO's were only available at ORE stations in 0.0. These BPO's will be available in high sec, as far as I can see, so EVERYONE will have them day one. That means prices will approach to whatever the stable level will be much faster.

2. As stated by others, likely a surge in key minerals pre-release, as builders stock up so they can build from an unresearched BPO on day one, while researching duplicates at the same time. These minerals prices will move towards their new stable norm at roughly the same rate as the Tier 3 BC's find their stable price. Keep in mind, pilots still only fly one ship at a time, so if they do indeed replace BS's with these Tier 3 BC's, the minerals used in BS's won't be used reducing demand in those areas.

3. Demand will be heavy at first for the new shiny, but like with all new shinies, the novelty will wear off and demand will lessen. However, unlike the Noctis, many more of these will be blown up at the beginning, and as stated in point 2, many less will be used/blown up soon after day one, leading to reduced demand/stable prices quickly.

But who knows for sure. The Goons may declare war against all of high sec using these new suicide gank boats, and turn the whole economy on its head.

Really, I should just shut up, and gamble one way or another, and see what happens.