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The Great Ice Mining Interdiction: Not so Great

First post
Author
Georgina Parmala
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#361 - 2013-08-21 23:06:04 UTC  |  Edited by: Georgina Parmala
Captain Tardbar wrote:


Let me clarify it for you that you can't wezel word your way out of it...

15 Catas with T2 blasters have about 0% risk of not blowing up a Mack.

You heard it here first folks! It's risk-free to rat in an officer fit carrier, because you have a 100% chance to kill the rats.

Malcanis wrote:

What should should "15 Catas with T2 blasters" not have about a 0% risk of not blowing up. I can't think of many subcaps here.


[Ibis, Welp]
[empty low slot]
[empty low slot]

'Cetus' ECM Shockwave I
[empty med slot]

[empty high slot]
[empty high slot]



If 4 gankers can bring an extra 11(!) pilots and 150 million isk of hardware where 8 mil would do the job, I don't see why a 30+ man mining operation can't spend 450 thousand isk to put three alts in these. I'm sure at least a few of them have pew pew accounts with market/cyno/hauler alts to fit the bill. At the immense extra cost of 1 mil each, they can even fit a cloak and prop mod.

Murk Paradox wrote:

It is a constant. No variable, no "other". It's an absolute. It's either, to use your terms, a 0 or a 1.

0=false.
1=true.
When you shoot someone, Concord will blow you up. 0 or 1?

/facedesk

No. Concord will not blow you up resulting in a 1 or a 0.

Concord will turn your Catalyst into a Catalyst wreck containing anywhere from nothing, to half the value of a meta cat, up to 90% of a t2 cat if everything drops. You RISK the whole ship, but you will only LOSE ~75% of it if meta and ~55% if T2 fit on average. If the gank is executed properly, the loot fairy doesn't give you the middle finger, looter gets it all, gets out, and you get your pod out.

A 70 mil SP pilot is not risking a 2 mil meta cat in a gank. He's risking the ~500k expected loot drop from his own wreck and the 9 mil ISK it will cost him to upgrade the clone should he get podded.

Furthermore, you risk that should the 9 mil in mods actually drop from the cat it might be looted by the victim's friends. The T2 cat might drop better loot than the barge itself.

Even if you're a social reject with no alt account you can go to a quiet system. Bring the gank character in, log off. Bring the scanner, find a lone target in a belt, log off. Gank it, initiate pod warp to safe, close client, log scanner in, loot. You should be done and out before he can dock and reship to loot himself. Your pod may or may not get probed out and popped before you get it to safety. But the chance of you losing everything on your gank ship when you F1 is far from 100%.

P never really equals 1. It probably drifts around the 0.75 mark. With some hilarious welps that can turn an expected 5-6mil T2 cat loss into a couple guys needing to update clones and the "victim" coming out 20+ mil ahead in bonus loot. Bonus points if they had 5% small hybrid implants.


Every time you undock, you consent to people violencing your boat. This applies to the gankers every bit as much as it does to the miners. I've seen people sit on gate/station/probed safe in an interceptor with multiple points, catching outlaw cats before they even get so far as the warp-to-miner part. Faction police do the rest. Bonus tears if the rest of the cats still engage and welp on a barge with insufficient dps.

Science and Trade Institute [STI] is an NPC entity and as such my views do not represent those of the entity or any of its members

https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=276984&p=38

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#362 - 2013-08-21 23:08:47 UTC
You guys who think ganking high sec miners is risk free are just not thinking. At all.

Once they explode your ersatz ice cream truck, they have opened themselves up to a MONTH of possible ganking free and clear in High Sec by your little self.

That sounds pretty risky to me.

They run the risk of instant asplossion anytime they jump into high sec. Especially in returning to the area where the deed happened.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#363 - 2013-08-21 23:10:51 UTC
Rekon X wrote:


It is carebear pvp. PVP being it involves another player. Not that they can actually attack back.



You are just dead wrong there. See above.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

baltec1
Bat Country
Pandemic Horde
#364 - 2013-08-21 23:11:30 UTC
Rekon X wrote:


It's in comment to baltec's statement "These are all risks currently faced by suicide gankers in high sec."

Fact is there are no "risks", it is calculated loses. There is no skill, it is all procedure.

It is carebear pvp. PVP being it involves another player. Not that they can actually attack back.



How exactly is a 50% drop chance, the chance of the target having better than expected defences, the target getting unexpected help and going suspect while looting the wreck (and thus, open to attack from everyone) not classed as risks?
Rekon X
Doomheim
#365 - 2013-08-21 23:21:31 UTC
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:
You guys who think ganking high sec miners is risk free are just not thinking. At all.

Once they explode your ersatz ice cream truck, they have opened themselves up to a MONTH of possible ganking free and clear in High Sec by your little self.

That sounds pretty risky to me.


It is your choice to do the ganking. That does not make it a risk. It is a result.

Sorry, fail again.

Definition of goon - a stupid person Those who can do, those who can't spew

Georgina Parmala
Science and Trade Institute
Caldari State
#366 - 2013-08-21 23:23:46 UTC
Rekon X wrote:
It is carebear pvp. PVP being it involves another player.

Well duh. They're shooting carebears so it's carebear PvP. Doesn't get more carebear than willingly getting into an untanked, unarmed ship and heading out into the void of space to collect rocks.

Rekon X wrote:
Not that they can actually attack back.

Last I checked an exhumer can field 5 hammerheads for 130 dps with decent skills and the sig res to lock a destroyer in under 2 seconds. 10 such barges focusing drones (herp derp assign to the one guy not afk) will alpha a catalyst every 4 seconds.

Science and Trade Institute [STI] is an NPC entity and as such my views do not represent those of the entity or any of its members

https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=276984&p=38

Jonah Gravenstein
Machiavellian Space Bastards
#367 - 2013-08-21 23:24:49 UTC  |  Edited by: Jonah Gravenstein
Rekon X wrote:

It's in comment to baltec's statement "These are all risks currently faced by suicide gankers in high sec."

Fact is there are no "risks", it is calculated loses. There is no skill, it is all procedure.

It is carebear pvp. PVP being it involves another player. Not that they can actually attack back.

Why can't they attack back? Most mining vessels are equipped with a drone bay, which is not restricted to mining drones. A flight of combat drones will aggress suicide gankers as soon as they open fire, you'll still die, but you get to shoot at them.

There's also the fact that most suicide gankers are shoot on sight due to their sec status, if you get a suicide ganker that has a low enough sec status, you can shoot at them first, without Concord instagibbing you.

What you actually meant was that most miners choose not to attack suicide gankers, even though they can.

Rekon X wrote:

It is your choice to do the ganking. That does not make it a risk. It is a result.

Sorry, fail again.


Not fitting a reasonable tank, not being at the keyboard, not packing combat drones, all of which are down to choices, often resulting in your ship exploding, it's still a risk though, one which can be mitigated by making the right choices

In the beginning there was nothing, which exploded.

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Rekon X
Doomheim
#368 - 2013-08-21 23:28:10 UTC
Leigh Akiga wrote:
I heard there are freighters dying in the ice belts and the carnage is ramping up


System?

Definition of goon - a stupid person Those who can do, those who can't spew

baltec1
Bat Country
Pandemic Horde
#369 - 2013-08-21 23:33:10 UTC  |  Edited by: baltec1
Rekon X wrote:
Leigh Akiga wrote:
I heard there are freighters dying in the ice belts and the carnage is ramping up


System?



Wuos, The Forge
Hurtoken, The Forge.

We have also taken out several bonus Tengu and many Orca.
Jonah Gravenstein
Machiavellian Space Bastards
#370 - 2013-08-21 23:35:24 UTC  |  Edited by: Jonah Gravenstein
baltec1 wrote:
Rekon X wrote:
Leigh Akiga wrote:
I heard there are freighters dying in the ice belts and the carnage is ramping up


System?


Wuos, The Forge.

We have also taken out several bonus Tengu and many Orca.

Kamio and Osmon to name a couple more.

*wonders how many of the orca gank ships were named Pequod, Ishmael and Ahab

In the beginning there was nothing, which exploded.

New Player FAQ

Feyd's Survival Pack

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#371 - 2013-08-21 23:37:38 UTC  |  Edited by: Krixtal Icefluxor
Rekon X wrote:
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:
You guys who think ganking high sec miners is risk free are just not thinking. At all.

Once they explode your ersatz ice cream truck, they have opened themselves up to a MONTH of possible ganking free and clear in High Sec by your little self.

That sounds pretty risky to me.


It is your choice to do the ganking. That does not make it a risk. It is a result.

Sorry, fail again.




So, being criminally flagged in High Sec for 30 days by multiple entities is not risky.

Got it.

Maybe you need War Dec to understand how risky that proposition indeed is.

Or maybe hire some Mercs so you can experience 'risk free' High Sec mining for a week.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

Jonah Gravenstein
Machiavellian Space Bastards
#372 - 2013-08-21 23:39:21 UTC
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:

So, being criminally flagged in High Sec for 30 days by multiple entities is not risky.

Got it.

Maybe you need War Dec to understand how risky that proposition indeed is.

Wouldn't affect him, he's too busy hiding behind an NPC corps skirts.

In the beginning there was nothing, which exploded.

New Player FAQ

Feyd's Survival Pack

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#373 - 2013-08-21 23:41:19 UTC  |  Edited by: Krixtal Icefluxor
Jonah Gravenstein wrote:
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:

So, being criminally flagged in High Sec for 30 days by multiple entities is not risky.

Got it.

Maybe you need War Dec to understand how risky that proposition indeed is.

Wouldn't affect him, he's too busy hiding behind an NPC corps skirts.



Thus my merc statement, most indeed.

ed: he must think some of us don't have billions to carry on with it for 'quite a while' actually.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

baltec1
Bat Country
Pandemic Horde
#374 - 2013-08-21 23:44:41 UTC
Jonah Gravenstein wrote:
baltec1 wrote:
Rekon X wrote:
Leigh Akiga wrote:
I heard there are freighters dying in the ice belts and the carnage is ramping up


System?


Wuos, The Forge.

We have also taken out several bonus Tengu and many Orca.

Kamio and Osmon to name a couple more.

*wonders how many of the orca gank ships were named Pequod, Ishmael and Ahab

Not nearly enough.

Last count for ice freighters was six dead in 72 hours.
Rekon X
Doomheim
#375 - 2013-08-21 23:49:22 UTC
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:
Rekon X wrote:
Krixtal Icefluxor wrote:
You guys who think ganking high sec miners is risk free are just not thinking. At all.

Once they explode your ersatz ice cream truck, they have opened themselves up to a MONTH of possible ganking free and clear in High Sec by your little self.

That sounds pretty risky to me.


It is your choice to do the ganking. That does not make it a risk. It is a result.

Sorry, fail again.




So, being criminally flagged in High Sec for 30 days by multiple entities is not risky.

Got it.

Maybe you need War Dec to understand how risky that proposition indeed is.

Or maybe hire some Mercs so you can experience 'risk free' High Sec mining for a week.


It is not a risk. It is a result of your actions. You don't want the flag, don't do the ganking. It is your decision.

Yea, go wardec some more noobs, miners.

You are the carebears that scan down targets with alts, calculate their defenses, and then attack, but only if no one else is around that can attack back.

Definition of goon - a stupid person Those who can do, those who can't spew

baltec1
Bat Country
Pandemic Horde
#376 - 2013-08-21 23:53:27 UTC
Rekon X wrote:

but only if no one else is around that can attack back.


Yea about that.

Jonah Gravenstein
Machiavellian Space Bastards
#377 - 2013-08-21 23:58:29 UTC  |  Edited by: Jonah Gravenstein
Rekon X wrote:

It is not a risk. It is a result of your actions. You don't want the flag, don't do the ganking. It is your decision.
The result of a gankers actions and choices increases their risk of explosion at anothers hands, so there is a risk involved. Being an easy target is the result of a miners choices, and the risk of getting ganked while mining can be mitigated by changing those choices.

Quote:
Yea, go wardec some more noobs, miners

You are the carebears that scan down targets with alts, calculate their defenses, and then attack, but only if no one else is around that can attack back.

Did you somehow miss the part where Krixtal states that he is in fact a miner?

Miners can fight back, and do so successfully.

In the beginning there was nothing, which exploded.

New Player FAQ

Feyd's Survival Pack

Gizznitt Malikite
Agony Unleashed
Agony Empire
#378 - 2013-08-22 00:18:02 UTC
S Byerley wrote:
Tippia wrote:
S Byerley wrote:
P(B|A) is not dependent on P(A) because it assumes that A happened.
…so much like it being stolen (or not), assuming that it has dropped, you mean?


Yes? P(B|A) is literally said, "The probability of B given A"


But.... P ( B | A ) = P ( A and B ) / P (A)

The only time P(B|A) is not dependent on P(A) is if A and B are independent of each other.
Because then P (A and B ) = P (A) * P (B), so P(B|A) = P (B), and it doesn't matter if A happens or not.

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#379 - 2013-08-22 00:18:04 UTC
Rekon X wrote:


It is not a risk. It is a result of your actions. You don't want the flag, don't do the ganking. It is your decision.

Yea, go wardec some more noobs, miners.

You are the carebears that scan down targets with alts, calculate their defenses, and then attack, but only if no one else is around that can attack back.


If you don't want the risk of being asploded in a belt, then don't mine.

Personally, I'd quit the game as then mining would indeed be most boring. Intolerable in fact.

I've only really had reason to gank AFK botting miners twice. I got tired of the 23 hours a day non-stop warping back and forth making my overview jump like mad. It's irritating.

I calculated nothing and scanned down nothing.

I just hopped in a Naga and went to work.

They are wonderful ships.

Also, it matters not that nobody is around after the gank to 'fight back'. There is nothing left by CONCORD but a pod........and they will definitely be CONCORDed themselves if they fire upon it. It's a bit hard to do.

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882

Krixtal Icefluxor
INLAND EMPIRE Galactic
#380 - 2013-08-22 00:19:36 UTC
baltec1 wrote:
Rekon X wrote:

but only if no one else is around that can attack back.


Yea about that.


LolLolLol

"He has mounted his hind-legs, and blown crass vapidities through the bowel of his neck."  - Ambrose Bierce on Oscar Wilde's Lecture in San Francisco 1882