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EVE Commodities Trading Fund(s)?

Author
Marissia Trunball
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#1 - 2013-07-05 02:59:56 UTC  |  Edited by: Marissia Trunball
So, I was sitting here looking at my ISK and considering getting into trading a bit, but I don't really have the skills or time to play the market as much as others. Then it hit me - I have this problem in real life. And what I did was invest in a mutual fund. So why isn't there one in EVE (beyond the fact that 90% of you people are scammers).

Before you put it down, consider the model I spent a few days working on:

Generally, it would work by people giving a corporation money in exchange for a number of virtual "units" (not to be confused with corp shares which come with voting rights). Those units would be bought at a certain price.

The money would go into the corp and would be used by traders in that corp to make more money. Each corp would be dedicated (ideally) to a certain type of product - like minerals or ores. Traders would essentially make money by buying and selling products in the category with the aim of enriching the corporation. I think the corp permissions have enough rights to make sure nothing is stolen from the corp easily (essentially you would need to buy/sell things on behalf of the corporation but not remove them or ISK from the corps assets). This could be through playing the market and/or by offering futures to miners (or even just normal buys).

The value of the unit would be the total value of the assets of the corp (plus fund money on hand), divided by the number of units (with, of course, an initial starting cost per share). Each night, the profit of the day would be calculated and divided up: some money goes to the corporate wallet (because we need to turn a profit eh ;)), some goes to the traders to keep them honest and some goes to the various services the corp will require (hauling, security, etc) - the rest gets reinvested into the fund. The individual values would not be that hard to calculate - simply agree on some kind of metric (probably the regional median or weighted and IQR adjusted mean price) and use it consistently.

At any time, unit owners could pull money out at the current rate.

I'm some most traders would object to this, because they could make a lot more just by playing with their own money. To help with this, I thought of creating a "premium" unit which basically has additional value (which comes from the corporate profit - essentially, the corp gets lower or no profit, and the premium shares get additional value each night). Traders (or haulers, or related companies or special partners) who work with the corp could invest their money through premium unit. That way, they trade their own money at the same time and can benefit from shared hauling services, security, etc plus having more money to trade means you can probably turn a bigger profit.

Handling people who get out of line would be a problem - you'd need some kind of enforcement mechanism that ensures that they don't yank all the assets and run. A corp of low-sec pirate groups interested in hunting down and destroying these kinds of people for your corp would be useful - kindof a private police service.

So, it's decent for the traders involved, and it's decent for the investors (who would get a sizeable fraction of the profit because they're not doing very much except providing capital). The corp makes money and there's room, in an alliance of commodity fund corps for partnerships with haulers, industrial types and security.

The biggest downside is trust - it needs a management team so trustworthy that people will invest without much fear that they'll cut and run. That part, I haven't quite figured out yet, beyond just encouraging people to start small and build reputation.

A neutral 3rd-party clearinghouse that maintains the records of who owns what and provides some form of deposit insurance (perhaps at a small cost?). It could also provide the values from current market data so that corps that provide their units through it just have to maintain their current assets (in goods and ISK) and it handles the rest of the calculations. I've even toyed with setting up such a site, because it sounds like fun (though I don't have the backing to start the rest of it). If this clearinghouse provided a neutral corp for fund transfers as well (ie the investor wires 1M ISK to it to deposit to X and then files a request on the website noting where it should go, then the clearinghouse wires it to the investing corp, then the reverse process for withdrawals) it could really cut down on the number of "hey, why didn't you give me my money" complaints. Plus, it could force funds to leave a certain percentage of their assets in cash with the clearinghouse to make good any requests for money (plus if the fund crashes, that money can be used to give back to investors).

Anyone want to weigh in on the ideas?
Violet Resartus
Jaundiced Outlook
#2 - 2013-07-05 05:06:56 UTC
Technically this is a great idea. It works rather well in real life, but that's because we have various law enforcement systems for it to keep people honest. In game however it's a lot easier to set it up like a ponzi scheme and have someone run away with your hard earned ISK. To illustrate what I mean have a look at this: http://gamergaia.com/pc/1724-eve-online-space-heist-one-trillion-isk.html

[i]____________________________________________ The bomb lives only as it is falling[/i]

Grandma Squirel
#3 - 2013-07-05 05:21:26 UTC
There is no way you could give your traders the roles needed to buy and sell, without them also gaining the ability to empty the entire wallet division they are using. I'm not sure if its possible to block direct withdrawal, but even if it was, anyone smart enough to play the minerals market would easily find one of the many ways to get money out of a corp without a direct withdrawal.

Deposit insurance is also a non-starter, as the insurer isn't really going to be able to better assess the risk then an investor. At which point, all your doing is externalizing the risk, which an insurer is going to want a lot for. Suppose Firm A is paying 5% a month, why should I insure it for 2% a month, when if they bail with the money, I loose just as much as if I had just invested. Obviously no investor will be willing to pay more for insurance then they are making...

Finally, why not just start an investment corp that does this? Why not have everyone focus on vetting one person/group, rather then many? What does the creation of the larger market really accomplish?
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#4 - 2013-07-05 07:04:32 UTC  |  Edited by: Vaerah Vahrokha
Marissia Trunball wrote:


...

Generally, it would work by people giving a corporation money in exchange for a number of virtual "units" (not to be confused with corp shares which come with voting rights). Those units would be bought at a certain price.

...

The money would go into the corp and would be used by traders in that corp to make more money. Each corp would be dedicated (ideally) to a certain type of product - like minerals or ores. Traders would essentially make money by buying and selling products in the category with the aim of enriching the corporation. I think the corp permissions have enough rights to make sure nothing is stolen from the corp easily (essentially you would need to buy/sell things on behalf of the corporation but not remove them or ISK from the corps assets). This could be through playing the market and/or by offering futures to miners (or even just normal buys).

The value of the unit would be the total value of the assets of the corp (plus fund money on hand), divided by the number of units (with, of course, an initial starting cost per share). Each night, the profit of the day would be calculated and divided up: some money goes to the corporate wallet (because we need to turn a profit eh ;)), some goes to the traders to keep them honest and some goes to the various services the corp will require (hauling, security, etc) - the rest gets reinvested into the fund. The individual values would not be that hard to calculate - simply agree on some kind of metric (probably the regional median or weighted and IQR adjusted mean price) and use it consistently.

At any time, unit owners could pull money out at the current rate.

...

A neutral 3rd-party clearinghouse that maintains the records of who owns what and provides some form of deposit insurance (perhaps at a small cost?).

...

Anyone want to weigh in on the ideas?


You mean something like this?

Mutual fund ESYFND would be a close approximation to all you say included the "clearing house" and a dedicated exchange.

I loved that short and demanding venture, until I had to move country and could not upkeep all those structures.

What's challenging in that, is that EvE "no way to prevent scams" makes it extremely hard to setup a viable fund (viable = 100-300B+) because it has to be either a one man circus or it WILL eventually get in someone who will steal the coffers. One man wonders have a single point of failure, that's not good in the medium+ term.

Another challenge is to setup all that stuff for something that in the end provides a "I have done it!" victory more than true large gains. I mean, any lotto or gambling organization are going to require similar effort but tenfold+ profits.

Last - but absolutely not least - a fund is not a quick market manipulation, it's a long term effort. As such it can't destroy the markets it works with. When I was administering a paltry 100B, it was very hard to find a consistent performance. Whereas it's very easy to make some 4% a week from September to December, the lack of short selling makes it very hard to sustain the performance during the "slump months", which happen to be a lot of months a year.
I am not sure the EvE playerbase would stick and invest in something promising them to lose 2% a week for half a year and then gain 3-4% for the rest. Most would logically liquidate during the slump months and bring the fund down to its knees.
Adunh Slavy
#5 - 2013-07-05 12:33:28 UTC
There is an older thread, https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=82325, that does discuss clearing houses, among other things.

The thread kinda goes all over the place, but might be worth a read.

Still boils down to a few basic issues, trust, administrative overhead, lack of in-game support, means of retribution.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Porkita
Center for Advanced Studies
Gallente Federation
#6 - 2013-07-06 08:21:57 UTC
While it is a great idea I would support, game mechanics unfortunately really don't offer enough protection or micro-management of roles and abilities, to make this happen. Even with some more abilities, nothing would prevent someone in that corp that would have no direct access to wallet or assets, but being allowed to handle those, to put something worthless for an outrageous price on the market with an alt and buy it with the corp money and bypass any security roles this way to get at these funds.

And there are no law enforcements here to protect or stop people from doing such... some of us have moral and ethics, but there aren't many of those in EVE, when it comes to such things and ISK values. So, it could take you a really long time, before finding those people you can trust with any value.

There is no need to move stuff, because now you can push it!

joffre lannister
ARAZ Engineering
#7 - 2013-07-06 15:01:07 UTC
Biggest drawback would be trust issues unless there were ways to guarantee that a player couldn't just run off with ISK that isn't 'rightfully' theirs. Although I would like to experiment sometime, run a corp like a hedge fund. Have several players in charge of hedging different parts of the market. You could also have a loan department as well to build long-term isk reserves. Each player would be paid a salary based off of monthly/bi-weekly or weekly performance, although it would be damned difficult to keep track of the isk that goes in and out considering its literally coming out of the 'wallet' per player instead of a general corp wallet.
Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#8 - 2013-07-07 10:38:42 UTC
joffre lannister wrote:
Biggest drawback would be trust issues unless there were ways to guarantee that a player couldn't just run off with ISK that isn't 'rightfully' theirs. Although I would like to experiment sometime, run a corp like a hedge fund. Have several players in charge of hedging different parts of the market. You could also have a loan department as well to build long-term isk reserves. Each player would be paid a salary based off of monthly/bi-weekly or weekly performance, although it would be damned difficult to keep track of the isk that goes in and out considering its literally coming out of the 'wallet' per player instead of a general corp wallet.



No, the trust issue is harsh but can be overcome.

For me, the killer factors are 2:

1) Lack of playerbase interest on these things. They look like some "special Market Discussion voodoo".

2) Lack of automated (API?) ways to withdraw ISK. This makes every mutual initiative a pain, you have to be or find tellers to process withdrawals and then endure the unavoidable mistakes, the risk of one of them going rogue and so on.