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Does the stock market even exist?

Author
Robus Muvila
Caldari Provisions
Caldari State
#1 - 2013-05-07 03:22:23 UTC
I love the idea that shares exist and are tradable assets, but are there any corps that bothered to "go public"? I love the idea of a player driven stock market but I have seen no instances or for that matter discussion of it either.

What?

TMC Senior Developer http://themittani.com - Because EvE has needed a proper news site for ages

Varius Xeral
Doomheim
#2 - 2013-05-07 03:52:56 UTC
Yes, you need to send me a 2b isk security deposit, then you can open your trading account on New Eden's premiere stock exchange.

Official Representative of The Nullsec Zealot Cabal

mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#3 - 2013-05-07 04:31:01 UTC
Not really, no. And I'm not convinced you'd really see one form even if "better" tools to do so existed, either. It would be basically what it is now - a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase, the practical applications of which could be better achieved through a bond or loan or what have you.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Vera Algaert
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#4 - 2013-05-07 04:54:01 UTC  |  Edited by: Vera Algaert
No and even when it was done no CEO in his right mind handed out shares of his actual corp. Instead, alt corps were created for share distribution which left investors with no leverage at all.

inb4 Block

(general problem is that if you perform worse than a fixed-rate bond people will hate and if you perform better you will hate yourself. share offerings can be useful for rep grinding and can be legitimately justified if your business does not depend much on your personal effort.)

.

Zappity
New Eden Tank Testing Services
#5 - 2013-05-07 09:32:21 UTC
mynnna wrote:
Not really, no. And I'm not convinced you'd really see one form even if "better" tools to do so existed, either. It would be basically what it is now - a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase, the practical applications of which could be better achieved through a bond or loan or what have you.


Interesting perspective. The "right tools" would allow the creation of a market that mirrored the RL situation. You would have a large number of mostly passive investors who were in it simply for regular dividend payments from their alliance but a smaller proportion of active traders who provided the majority of the liquidity.

So, yes, "a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase". The flip side is that it would be entirely possible for those users to take down entire alliances overnight, especially if shorting were possible. I doubt it would remain a tiny, niche feature after that happened for the first time.

You could have truly great fun with these features. Honestly, the impressive scams and manipulations you guys have achieved would be utterly dwarfed. And it would certainly enhance EVE's credentials as a social simulation (in addition to spaceships). It would take a lot of work, though, and I doubt CCP has the right people to implement it.

Zappity's Adventures for a taste of lowsec and nullsec.

Samroski
Middle-Earth
#6 - 2013-05-07 11:32:03 UTC
There is also the issue of people becoming inactive. Imagine half your corp shares stuck in limbo. Any dividend paid out using shares will disappear into limbo as well.

Any colour you like.

Tinu Moorhsum
Random Events
#7 - 2013-05-07 11:43:12 UTC
Robus Muvila wrote:
I love the idea that shares exist and are tradable assets, but are there any corps that bothered to "go public"? I love the idea of a player driven stock market but I have seen no instances or for that matter discussion of it either.

What?


In theory, I could imagine CCP implementing a mechanic for a "bonds market" that would allow a corp to issue bonds and allow people to buy them from the market. I could imagine it being an item that could be "cashed in" after a certain amount of time at which time the buyer would recieve their investment back plus interest. When the item was sold the ISK would be transfered from teh buyer's wallet to the corp wallet and when it was redeemed the money, including interest, would be transfered from the corp wallet to the investor's wallet.

Moreover, I believe there is a real *need* for this. A reason a corp may want to issue a bond, for example, would be to buy an expensive ship like a Tttan. Or or "cash up" to fund a PVP reimbursement programme for a coming war, or to invest in the needed items to start a production line (like buying a BPO for a capital ship).

There are reasons enough why a corp might want to issue a bond if the mechanism existed and if investors were sure to receive their money back with interest at the end of the line then there are many people EVE who would be willing to invest.

The problem would become what do to if the corp couldn't pay back the bond at the end of the line.

Or if it never intended to pay back.

Who could protect investors?

You're in Goons so you know how these things work. People would start a corp using a low skill alt and issue a bond for ... whatever.... for buying some mining gear to get started... somethign that sounds reasonable. 2 bil isk bond, offer 3% interest... all sounds good. Some investor buys it thinking it's an easy 60mil isk investment.

Sounds good up to that point.... but then what happens is you buy a bunch of stuff, trade it to one of your other characters, essentially white washing the transaction (ie. hiding it from CCP's logs so it can't be traced), then close down the corp, bio mass the character, rinse and repeat. The investor just got scammed.

So yeah. The basic idea is easy enough to implement. The need on the part of both issuers and investors is glaringly apparent.... but how does CCP implement a mechanic for accountability?

Zappity
New Eden Tank Testing Services
#8 - 2013-05-07 11:58:16 UTC
Why does there need to be a mechanic for accountability? Investors should do due diligence. Why would an investment be guaranteed a return?

Zappity's Adventures for a taste of lowsec and nullsec.

Adunh Slavy
#9 - 2013-05-07 13:22:54 UTC
Tinu Moorhsum wrote:

In theory, I could imagine CCP implementing a mechanic for a "bonds market" that would allow a corp to issue bonds and allow people to buy them from the market.



Did a long thread on this a year or two ago, can't remeber, anyways ... yes bonds, and if the alliance is in default, everyone in the alliance gets the suspect flag for 30 days.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Tinu Moorhsum
Random Events
#10 - 2013-05-07 14:17:33 UTC  |  Edited by: Tinu Moorhsum
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Tinu Moorhsum wrote:

In theory, I could imagine CCP implementing a mechanic for a "bonds market" that would allow a corp to issue bonds and allow people to buy them from the market.



Did a long thread on this a year or two ago, can't remeber, anyways ... yes bonds, and if the alliance is in default, everyone in the alliance gets the suspect flag for 30 days.


You think this would be a deterrent?

Zappity, due diligence is a term applied to double checking the accounting of a company that is being taken over. The objective is to make sure that what the company reported about it's finances is the truth (or close enough).

What I think you mean is that the responsibility for not being scammed should be put onto the buyer of the bond and conversely that if the buyer gets scammed that it is somehow their own fault and they should just suck it up.

I think in a game like EVE online where scamming is commonplace and completely free of consequences that if you DIDN'T implement some way to deter potential issuers of bonds from scamming investors that issuers of bonds would soon begin to see the bond market as a mechanism for taking proveribial isk flavoured candy from idiot investor babies.

I do believe that the idea of a bond market has a lot of potential and once again, I see a big need. When I was running my first corp in EVE I would have LOVED to have been able to to borrow 10 bil isk to get things like a corp rorqual, a freighter, some BPO's and a POS and then amortize that loan over a 12 month period while we jump started our industry arm.

There is a big need. There are a lot of people ready to invest .... but without a mechnism to put the pain for scamming on the scammer the conditions for making such an idea float simply aren't there. Investors would be crazy to invest if the attitude is that they have to eat the sour apple whenever someone decides that they don't want to pay back their loan.

As for putting the pain on.... You could imagine a scenario where the shareholders of a corp are held personally responsible. For example, if the corp wallet is empty when it's time for a payment a "CONCORD COLLECTIONS AGENCY" could be scripted to start deleting things out of corp hangars, then deleting assets in space and then emptying the wallets of shareholders and then deleting shareholder assets until the amount in arears has been met based on "base value" and the payment can be made.

The problem you encounter, however, is that scammers will simply transfer all assets to an alt and biomass. In real life, you can't do that (at least not without more severe and permanent consequences to your person).

Another possible scenario is to script a "CONCORD INVESTMENT INSURANCE AGENCY" that checks that bonds can only be issued by a corp in an alliance with SOV and sufficient funds in the holding to act as benefactors for the loan. This would requrie an alliance exectutive to underwrite the loan by clicking on something at which time the bond is created and the corp can get it's money from investors. In this case a default would go not to the corp but to the alliance that underwrote the loan. In that case, I would be comfortable with a certain degree of "caveat emptor" for investors because there would be consequences. If the alliance couldn't cover a defaulted loan then they will also fail to make their SOV payments, which would become hysterical enough that the investor probably wouldn't feel too bad about losing their money.

So while this would create a slightly safer climate for investors it wouldn't really open up the bond markets to the small fish, which is where the biggest need really is... but at least it would be a start.
Varius Xeral
Doomheim
#11 - 2013-05-07 14:33:48 UTC
Yurp, before stock markets, you need enforceable contracts. Enforceable contracts will never happen, so neither will a stock market.

Official Representative of The Nullsec Zealot Cabal

mynnna
State War Academy
Caldari State
#12 - 2013-05-07 14:36:19 UTC
Zappity wrote:
mynnna wrote:
Not really, no. And I'm not convinced you'd really see one form even if "better" tools to do so existed, either. It would be basically what it is now - a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase, the practical applications of which could be better achieved through a bond or loan or what have you.


Interesting perspective. The "right tools" would allow the creation of a market that mirrored the RL situation. You would have a large number of mostly passive investors who were in it simply for regular dividend payments from their alliance but a smaller proportion of active traders who provided the majority of the liquidity.

So, yes, "a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase". The flip side is that it would be entirely possible for those users to take down entire alliances overnight, especially if shorting were possible. I doubt it would remain a tiny, niche feature after that happened for the first time.

You could have truly great fun with these features. Honestly, the impressive scams and manipulations you guys have achieved would be utterly dwarfed. And it would certainly enhance EVE's credentials as a social simulation (in addition to spaceships). It would take a lot of work, though, and I doubt CCP has the right people to implement it.


You'd have to have people on the "supply" side who were just as interested, which is (I feel) probably just as much of a niche as people interested in investing in it and playing stock trader.

I also don't really see where you're coming from with the idea of "take down alliances overnight" and such. If someone crashes a company's stock IRL, well, they already have the money from their original offering. It might hurt their ability to do further offerings but that's about it. And if it were possible to do that it would remain a tiny niche feature because no one would want to use it.

Member of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal

Malcanis
Vanishing Point.
The Initiative.
#13 - 2013-05-07 15:14:16 UTC
mynnna wrote:
Zappity wrote:
mynnna wrote:
Not really, no. And I'm not convinced you'd really see one form even if "better" tools to do so existed, either. It would be basically what it is now - a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase, the practical applications of which could be better achieved through a bond or loan or what have you.


Interesting perspective. The "right tools" would allow the creation of a market that mirrored the RL situation. You would have a large number of mostly passive investors who were in it simply for regular dividend payments from their alliance but a smaller proportion of active traders who provided the majority of the liquidity.

So, yes, "a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase". The flip side is that it would be entirely possible for those users to take down entire alliances overnight, especially if shorting were possible. I doubt it would remain a tiny, niche feature after that happened for the first time.

You could have truly great fun with these features. Honestly, the impressive scams and manipulations you guys have achieved would be utterly dwarfed. And it would certainly enhance EVE's credentials as a social simulation (in addition to spaceships). It would take a lot of work, though, and I doubt CCP has the right people to implement it.


You'd have to have people on the "supply" side who were just as interested, which is (I feel) probably just as much of a niche as people interested in investing in it and playing stock trader.

I also don't really see where you're coming from with the idea of "take down alliances overnight" and such. If someone crashes a company's stock IRL, well, they already have the money from their original offering. It might hurt their ability to do further offerings but that's about it. And if it were possible to do that it would remain a tiny niche feature because no one would want to use it.


Assuming such a feature existed, I doubt it could be used to take down alliances, because any remotely well-run 0.0 alliance is managed via a holding corp even now.

"Just remember later that I warned against any change to jump ranges or fatigue. You earned whats coming."

Grath Telkin, 11.10.2016

Vaerah Vahrokha
Vahrokh Consulting
#14 - 2013-05-07 18:08:09 UTC
Functioning shares and stocks "as we know them in RL" are not going to happen because of EvE's philosophy.


EvE is made to keep "superior gods" / "big cops" / jail etc away from players (Concord being somewhat a tangential exception, as they still don't prevent crimes, just revenge them), in order to foster player interactions.

This has the effect to force players into having to trust into each other and we know it often does not end well...


Imagine CCP implemented *1* enforced contract. That'd be equivalent to injecting a virus, because once *1* enforceable something exists, they'd use it to control other players behaviors even for things not tied to it.

I.e. an enforced repayment bond would create all sorts of obligations because one party would impose the other the bond for everything and use it as big collateral and / or big gun at their head.

So no, it's not going to happen.
Alex Grison
Grison Universal
#15 - 2013-05-07 19:20:50 UTC
no

yes

Illest Insurrectionist
Sparta.
#16 - 2013-05-07 21:01:10 UTC
Vaerah Vahrokha wrote:
Functioning shares and stocks "as we know them in RL" are not going to happen because of EvE's philosophy.


EvE is made to keep "superior gods" / "big cops" / jail etc away from players (Concord being somewhat a tangential exception, as they still don't prevent crimes, just revenge them), in order to foster player interactions.

This has the effect to force players into having to trust into each other and we know it often does not end well...


Imagine CCP implemented *1* enforced contract. That'd be equivalent to injecting a virus, because once *1* enforceable something exists, they'd use it to control other players behaviors even for things not tied to it.

I.e. an enforced repayment bond would create all sorts of obligations because one party would impose the other the bond for everything and use it as big collateral and / or big gun at their head.

So no, it's not going to happen.


Character sales are enforceable. Yet eve hasn't collapsed.
Pitrolo Orti
Doomheim
#17 - 2013-05-07 21:38:48 UTC
Yes

Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.

Adunh Slavy
#18 - 2013-05-07 22:08:20 UTC  |  Edited by: Adunh Slavy
Tinu Moorhsum wrote:

You think this would be a deterrent?

...

CONCORD INVESTMENT INSURANCE AGENCY



A deterrent for some, certainly not all. Making that judgement would be on you, the investor. Mega 0.0 alliance that already has 10 wars against it ... doubt they'd care one way or the other. Billy Bob Noob and his 10 buddies from the Tuna Cannery down the road, yeah, they'd probably not like their play time interrupted by being blown to bits every time they undocked.

As for Concord, no, keep NPCs out of it. They do too much as it is.


Edit:

I'll see if I can dig up that old thread for ya, some of these same arguments were made, and some of them by me. I was convinced, by others, that players need to be the ones that manage things as much as possible.



there it is -> http://eve-search.com/thread/1524146-0/page/1

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Caleb Ayrania
TarNec
Invisible Exchequer
#19 - 2013-05-07 23:24:23 UTC
mynnna wrote:
Not really, no. And I'm not convinced you'd really see one form even if "better" tools to do so existed, either. It would be basically what it is now - a tiny, niche feature that appeals to a very small slice of the userbase, the practical applications of which could be better achieved through a bond or loan or what have you.


I usually agree with you but here I strongly disagree.

The fact that there have been so much interest in the MD metamarket without any supporting features should speak volumes for the fact that such a thing WOULD kick off quite well.

The reason I might tend to agree with you is that in current mechanics (pre-Odyssey) way to much of EVE is easy mode. That includes null sec to a high degree where getting huge monopolized afk income is the economic equivalent to facerolling or spamming F1.

Now it looks as if some decent changes are rolling in, and the a viable public ownership might be just what the doctor ordered. Especially because controlling budgets will become if not more important than at least as important as manpower. Throwing hundreds of mediocre skilled pilots at problems might not work so well in future EVE economy. In peace or ceasefire situations at least, in wars ofc the situation is a bit different.

Regardless the "niche" players are the only counter-balance to the huge alliance entities, and the business that have been conducted in MD does compare fairly well to big groups budgets and assets considering the number of involved people.

A real stock market would also be a huge step towards almost fully removing npcs activity, since the mutual interdependencies and politics would become more transparent to some degree. Datamining ownerships would be interesting, just like in RL, which brings on the fact that we still dont have an actual PUBLIC setting of standing in pvp, which is a huge mistake in my personal opinion.

Caleb Ayrania
TarNec
Invisible Exchequer
#20 - 2013-05-07 23:30:21 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Tinu Moorhsum wrote:

In theory, I could imagine CCP implementing a mechanic for a "bonds market" that would allow a corp to issue bonds and allow people to buy them from the market.



Did a long thread on this a year or two ago, can't remeber, anyways ... yes bonds, and if the alliance is in default, everyone in the alliance gets the suspect flag for 30 days.


Plain NO..

We need player billings and public standings. Consequences in pvp should alway be pvp only. As mentioned above you risk your money at your own peril. npc/ccp should not protect your investments in any way at all.

If someone defaults or goes bankrupt its up to each investor to decide what consequences he wants to create.

This would go for unpaids bills (rentals etc) and for bonds or shares, and you would need to decide on allaince, corp or personal levels. The important feature we are missing is a public standing option, so we can see if someone is already in bad standing from someone else publically.

Funny how we got bounties that cant be cleared, regardless of how high our security status is, and ccp considers that working as intended, but we still have no public standing system that could actually be used as a vital metagame tool... /facepalm..

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