Market Discussions

My best guess is agents in player owned stations. Missions to find plexes and destroy commander and get loot of the specific faction. So prob pirate/faction modules will drop in price.

This does 2 things a lot of people want. Buff nullsec a little bit and nerf higsec a little bit.

If Ice Fields have to be scanned, then it must mean they deplete.

Is there anything in Eve you have to scan, but after you find it, it stays there forever and never deplete?

Ka-ching.

Many popular ratting setups will become unusable once elite frigates are added to forsaken hubs. This might be an interesting opportunity for speculation (at least a little more interesting than minerals, ice, ...).

R64s are now bottlenecked. Expect them to rise, as well as the products that they go into at the intermediate and advanced levels.

Ice now depletes, has to be scanned out (which is easy, to be fair) and according to CCP "only 80% of demand can be met by highsec". I'd expect the price to at least triple as a result.

Gravimetric sites in nullsec are now quite attractive, with a ton of new low ends available to them. This will probably cause low end prices to fall, high end prices remain to be seen - there are a couple of scenarios. However, that still makes BS tiericide a good investment if they bump what are now tier 1 and tier 2 ships up to tier 3 build costs - even in the "worst case" scenario, a Tier 3 BS still costs about 150 or so to build.

Check themittani.com this weekend for a more in-depth look, once I finish writing it.

On fanfest we heard that they could be depleted and would respawn with the same rate as the scanned down site now does. So icefield depletion would no longer have a refresh on DT only.

That's almost a guarantee, although in the short term you should see prices bolstered somewhat by Tiericide, depending on the changes. A Tier 3 BS still costs ~160m at the low end (maelstrom) and ~200m at the high end (abaddon) even if (for example) trit drops to 4, pyerite to 8, mex to 45 and isogen to 90, with nocx, zyd and mega staying the same as they are now, so if current tier 1 and tier 2 prices are adjusted up to around tier 3 there's a lot of room to move, and people will be building lots of BS.

e: Wrote my deeper analysis, look for it on themittani.com tomorrow.

While this is true, I believe there is a reasonable chance that CCP will make a case for Battleships similar to battlecruisers, and will only bump tier 1 bs up to the level of tier 2, with the possibility of (a precedent) moving tier 3 down to tier 2, or leaving it where it is. This would see a much more neglible increase in value of investment, with the possibility of isk being lost, with enough of a mineral drop.

There's not going to be enough ice. Most ice fields will deplete before the site respawns. This guarantees that ice will be expensive. I expect lots of ore miners will become part-time ice miners. And the more ice miners there are, the faster those sites will deplete. I expect a lot of miners will mine ice till the sites deplete and then log off, mine ores, run missions or whatever. People will set their alarmclocks for this.

Have you factored the halving of the cycle time into your calculation?