These forums have been archived and are now read-only.

The new forums are live and can be found at https://forums.eveonline.com/

Science & Industry

 
  • Topic is locked indefinitely.
 

Invention Results

Author
RaTTuS
BIG
#1 - 2011-09-06 11:54:59 UTC  |  Edited by: RaTTuS
Invention results are not what you think, - this is not a whine - it's a statement
Invention results tend towards the projected amounts with variance
I've had
1x11/11 success
1x 10/10 Success
2 x 9/9 fail
1x 10/10 fail


I have 3 character I use for invention one with
with a base rate for 40% and using no decryptors
5/5/5 one 5/5/4 and one 4/4/4

  • Char expect| Total | Since last patch
  • 4/4/4 48.26 | 49.70 | 36.36
  • 4/5/5 49.56 | 49.78 | 48.44
  • 5/5/5 50.40 | 47.95 | 52.83




  • Char expect| Total | Since last patch
  • 4/4/4 48.26 | 49.47 | 35.38
  • 4/5/5 49.56 | 49.71 | 47.95
  • 5/5/5 50.40 | 48.44 | 52.05

http://eveboard.com/ub/419190933-134.png http://i.imgur.com/kYLoKrM.png

Xearal
Dead's Prostitutes
The Initiative.
#2 - 2011-09-06 15:49:26 UTC
RaTTuS wrote:
Waaah invention has been nerfed since the last patch it's a conspiracy!


How big are your sample sizes? unless it's over 9000, a statistical analysis isn't all that usefull.

Does railgun ammunition come in Hollow Point?

Meleric
Verteidiger des wahren Bloedsinns
#3 - 2011-09-06 15:51:26 UTC
I've watched my invention results the last months with concern.

Mostly I get 3 to 4 Buzzards out of 10 runs, sometimes less. There were better times. Skills are 5/5/5. No use of decryptors. Are there other ways to get better results? Is there an implant?
RaTTuS
BIG
#4 - 2011-09-06 15:58:16 UTC
Xearal wrote:
How big are your sample sizes? unless it's over 9000, a statistical analysis isn't all that usefull.

since last patch size is small - 172 , total is >3000 [I've got to re-organise my spreadsheet a bit now so exact figures are meh]

http://eveboard.com/ub/419190933-134.png http://i.imgur.com/kYLoKrM.png

Levistus Junior
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#5 - 2011-09-06 17:54:44 UTC
I don't have any hard figures(don't keep track of how many BPCs I get per run) but I have the same feeling.

I invent modules with 3/3/3 skills, so the chance is 46.14%. That's 4-5 BPCs out of a 9 job run. Since the last patch my amount of BPCs has consistently been below average (never above than 5, but pretty often below 4) so I do feel the chance has decreased.
Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#6 - 2011-09-06 20:12:12 UTC
It is probably ship bonuses not being applied. Blink
Abdiel Kavash
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#7 - 2011-09-06 22:09:28 UTC
Confirming the new forums are nerfing invention rates (and officer spawns and faction loot drops).
Anya Ohaya
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#8 - 2011-09-06 23:36:15 UTC
Because of door.
Zifrian
The Frog Pond
Ribbit.
#9 - 2011-09-07 02:04:19 UTC
Xearal wrote:
RaTTuS wrote:
Waaah invention has been nerfed since the last patch it's a conspiracy!


How big are your sample sizes? unless it's over 9000, a statistical analysis isn't all that usefull.


9000 is overkill

1000 is sufficent

Maximze your Industry Potential! - Download EVE Isk per Hour!

Import CCP's SDE - EVE SDE Database Builder

Lutz Major
Austriae Est Imperare Orbi Universo
#10 - 2011-09-07 06:40:19 UTC
Zifrian wrote:
1000 is sufficent
yes ... just like 640KB should be enough for everyone.
Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#11 - 2011-09-07 17:31:15 UTC
Lutz Major
Austriae Est Imperare Orbi Universo
#12 - 2011-09-08 06:17:57 UTC
Tau Cabalander wrote:

...
exceptional knowledge for a grown up man about a childrens anime show
...
I hope, that you 'just stumbled' over this bit of information or have a young son/daughter, who watches that piece of ... uhm ... culture P
Rip Wash
FISKL GUARDS
#13 - 2011-09-08 17:54:41 UTC
DBZ came out in the 80's, maybe he just has a good memory.
Tau Cabalander
Retirement Retreat
Working Stiffs
#14 - 2011-09-08 18:11:49 UTC
Lutz Major wrote:
Tau Cabalander wrote:

...
exceptional knowledge for a grown up man about a childrens anime show
...
I hope, that you 'just stumbled' over this bit of information or have a young son/daughter, who watches that piece of ... uhm ... culture P
I am very good at searching via Google Big smile
Lutz Major
Austriae Est Imperare Orbi Universo
#15 - 2011-09-08 18:43:15 UTC
Tau Cabalander wrote:
I am very good at searching via Google Big smile

I tried google and just found this: http://pictureisunrelated.memebase.com/tag/overkill-9000/

Which by the way I found surprisingly funny Big smile
RaTTuS
BIG
#16 - 2011-09-13 14:59:54 UTC
Updated because of new patch
since last is very thin ;-p

  • Char expect| Total | Since last patch
  • 4/4/4 48.26 | 49.78 | 40.00
  • 4/5/5 49.56 | 49.56 | 44.44
  • 5/5/5 50.40 | 47.80 | 25.00

http://eveboard.com/ub/419190933-134.png http://i.imgur.com/kYLoKrM.png

beor oranes
Tranquility Tavern
Pandemic Horde
#17 - 2011-09-14 11:23:41 UTC
I haven't done invention in a couple of months but I did do it for about 2 years. After every patch I always used to pay more attention the my results to see if there had been any changes and if I was getting worse results. Ever time I got low results I would be like "they changed something and its screwing me over" and then I would forget about the good results. Then I would look back over the results before the patch and only see the good results and compare them to my failures after the patch. It wasn't until I averaged over the year to see that my results were always within 1% of the predicted result.

Honestly, I think its because we expect to see a deviation from the norm we forget that it is random chance and that you can just be very unlucky for awhile and get bad results. I remember after one patch was was getting around 10% above the predicted on average for about 2 weeks...I was well stoked!

On a separate note; I'm sure its me imagining it but it appeared to me that my guys with worse skills always did better than my maxed out guy. Though I could never be bothered to actually test that theory.
RaTTuS
BIG
#18 - 2011-09-14 11:33:32 UTC  |  Edited by: RaTTuS
beor oranes wrote:
... Ever time I got low results I would be like "they changed something and its screwing me over" and then I would forget about the good results. Then I would look back over the results before the patch and only see the good results and compare them to my failures after the patch. It wasn't until I averaged over the year to see that my results were always within 1% of the predicted result.

^ which is one reason I've made this thread as we always seem to get patch screwed my invention threads...

I am running fairly good results [I'm happy]
however the character with 5/5/5 skills does seem to have less than predicted results than with of the other 2 ,
now that character has less total inventions on the modules measured by this test [by quite a lot] so is within error [he gets to invent other stuff not covered by this test].


  • Char expect| Total | Since last patch
  • 4/4/4 48.26 | 49.95 | 52.63
  • 4/5/5 49.56 | 50.19 | 44.44
  • 5/5/5 50.40 | 47.55 | 25.00

http://eveboard.com/ub/419190933-134.png http://i.imgur.com/kYLoKrM.png

Zifrian
The Frog Pond
Ribbit.
#19 - 2011-09-14 14:19:14 UTC
Oh god....how did I miss the 'over 9000' reference?..../facepalm Oops

Maximze your Industry Potential! - Download EVE Isk per Hour!

Import CCP's SDE - EVE SDE Database Builder

beor oranes
Tranquility Tavern
Pandemic Horde
#20 - 2011-09-14 21:34:05 UTC
RaTTuS wrote:
however the character with 5/5/5 skills does seem to have less than predicted results than with of the other 2


I did actually stop training my other invention chars to have all 5/5/5 skills as I was convinced that it actually had a negative affect on the outcome of inventions.

I do remember inventing with one char that had 2/2/2 skills for awhile (I thought it had better skills and just didn't check) and I consistently came out with above average results for about a week.

The other thing I noticed (I cant back this up with facts and numbers however) about invention was that I always had one or 2 modules that ended up with less successes than others and a couple which always had more successes.