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How EVE Became Obsolete (And why CCP hasn’t noticed)

First post
Author
Khorian
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#141 - 2013-01-06 14:57:33 UTC
Basically, consoles couldn't kill the PC since the 80's, why should tablets, OP? Your observations may be correct, but your conclusions are not.
Alpheias
Tactical Farmers.
Pandemic Horde
#142 - 2013-01-06 15:05:00 UTC
Every post by the OP borders on being sensationalist. Well done! Ever thought of being a journalist for a tabloid, like The Sun?

Agent of Chaos, Sower of Discord.

Don't talk to me unless you are IQ verified and certified with three references from non-family members. Please have your certificate of authenticity on hand.

Wacktopia
Fleet-Up.com
Keep It Simple Software Group
#143 - 2013-01-06 15:07:54 UTC  |  Edited by: Wacktopia
I think you mislabeled the thread a little but there is something to it.

Over the past year I've been playing eve more and more on a laptop instead of a desktop. The reason being that I dont enjoy being locked away in my study for hours to pay eve. So I am in favour of a game that runs on older or less powerful hardware. On this front I think that CCP are doing things right.

That said I think that there is a fundamental difference between the type of game you can play on a touch device and one you play on a PC. Even console interfaces lend themselves a little to a different stile and level of gaming - look at the people who crowed about the lack of a keyboard and mouse version of Dust.

Touch and tablet devices have their purpose but this does not mean they cannot co-exist and that one will replace the other. I am a heavy tablet user, I have a bunch of touch screen devices that I love but I ask myself: Could I do my job on a touch screen? No. Could I play a complicated input game like eve on a tablet? No.

Sure, tablets and touch screen devices have massively impacted on the PC/desktop market but they are unlikely to destroy it until the speed and precision input of a keyboard and mouse can be seriously re-created and at present this is not the case.

Kitchen sink? Seriousy, get your ship together -  Fleet-Up.com

ISD TYPE40
Imperial Shipment
Amarr Empire
#144 - 2013-01-06 15:10:51 UTC  |  Edited by: ISD TYPE40
I've been reading this thread with some interest, being an avid PC enthusiast. I have noted some discrepancies with regard to sales figures for desktop PC's in that only pre-made, mass produced systems seem to have been accounted for. Looking at the trading and sales figures (including quarterly, annual and predicted) for various companies that manufacture components for custom built systems there has only been a slight dip in sales since the second quarter of 2011.

This dip has been attributed to the worldwide economic downturn that impacted virtually every business sector for which records are kept. To suggest that the desktop PC and its market share is in rapid decline is disingenuous and factually incorrect. More and more these days people are turning to custom built systems, either through the purchasing of individual components for a home build, or through smaller companies that offer such services.

Were these figures to be included in discussions relating to this topic, as they rightly should be, it would be very clear that the desktop PC market is neither in a steep decline nor dead. It may be closer to the truth to state that a plateau has been reached or is within reach as current technology begins to reach its peak, but that will change again once the sub 28nm manufacturing processes become thoroughly dispersed amongst hardware manufacturers.

While mobile computing in the form of Laptops, Tablets and even Mobile Phone technology is certainly becoming more widespread, these systems are not going to, and likely never will, replace the desktop machine. Each one has its place in the industry and moves at its own pace with only a minimum of overlap between the various market sectors.

As another poster stated earlier, and with great relevance, the bicycle has not faded in to obscurity with the invention of any other mode of transport, the same will apply to desktops.

[b]ISD Type40 Lt. Commander Community Communication Liaisons (CCLs) Interstellar Services Department[/b]

Jame Jarl Retief
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#145 - 2013-01-06 15:16:43 UTC  |  Edited by: Jame Jarl Retief
Ageck Kalenia wrote:
EVE is proving unexpected staying power, growing steadily while other MMOs such as WoW have struggled to retain monthly customers.


See, the thing that bothers me about this kind of of stuff is that it's all relative.

WoW is struggling to keep its *10-12 million* player base. Where most players have one single account. That is, conservatively, there's 7-9 million individuals playing it. By comparison, EVE reached 450k subs, when average player has 2-3 alt accounts, and some as high as 6-8. That suggests, very conservatively, that the game has only 150k individual players. So any "growth" in EVE is probably due to alt account propagation. The fact that concurrent user record set a long while ago is yet to be beat, despite total subs going up to 450k, suggests that it is indeed alt accounts, and not actual players, that are growing.

And why is that bad? Simple. When 1 WoW player quits, Blizz loses 1 account. One in ten million. When 1 EVE player quits, CCP loses 2-8 accounts on average, of 450k. Which is why events like Incarnageddon happen so easily in EVE. A small number of players quits, but a large number of accounts closes. Snowball effect. So, in conclusion, it seems to me that "growth" of EVE is an illusion. And lest we forget, EVE recently "grew" to have roughly 1/22nd of WoW's average subscription numbers. In light of this, nobody should be seeing EVE as rosy. Especially considering CCP isn't exactly an indie company, they had 600 employees (and have 400-ish now?), that's not small by any means.

Quote:
- The PC gaming industry has little appetite for Windows 8, as evidenced by leaders such as Valve Software. Valve is currently backing an aggressive transition to Steam for Linux, with a repository of 40 games and counting already available to open-source users. Valve is also throwing support behind Oculus Rift, a revolutionary developing virtual reality system.


I agree with you on tablet sales and all that stuff, but people will never ever play games like FPS or RTS with the touch screen. It's just not fast enough, not accurate enough. Unless the games are severely dumbed down, with some serious aim-assist, even worse than in console games. It's a distinct possibility, but I doubt that will happen. Thus, at least as far as control peripherals go, I think mouse and keyboard are still safe. As for laptops outshadowing desktops, also consider than screen real estate is becoming cheaper and cheaper. A 42" HDTV that can double perfectly well as a PC monitor costs $100 less today than it did a year ago. So while some things are getting smaller and mobile, some larger stationary things are becoming even more affordable.

And Win8? That's a typical Microsoft move. Everyone with more than half a brain is boycotting that one. Neither I, nor anyone in my family, nor anyone I know, is planning to update to Win8. We're all skipping it, just like we skipped WinME and Vista.

Quote:
All this points to something CCP isn't admitting: their flagship game title could soon become too damn inconvenient to play if it remains bound for all time to traditional PCs.
...
I predict a tipping point, perhaps one to two years in the future, where EVE fans, torn between a device that suits their needs and a device that runs EVE, will inevitably cancel their subscriptions and embrace a new era of personal computing. CCP will trumpet new expansions, drop all the tweaks and player content their little hearts desire, and even lower subscription prices, but the damage will be done.


Very, very unlikely. The "average" PC today will be able to run EVE on lowest settings probably even 8-10 years down the line quite easily. We still have tons of people running EVE on insanely old PCs under WinXP. These PCs won't disappear overnight. Also I feel your time frames, like "perhaps one to two years in the future" are WAY off. There's no way things will move so fast. Plus, realize that this year, and next year, we'll see the "next gen" games appear, based off the new XBox and PS consoles. This will finally result in outdated console hardware no longer holding back PC games (which lately for the most part are developed on consoles and quickly (and shoddily) ported to PC), as new console hardware will be more in line with modern high end PCs. This will push the mobile stuff out to the periphery once again, as typically such devices have significantly less oomph. It'll take a couple of years for developers to learn to squeeze every last ounce of performance from new consoles. And then the downward spin will begin again, by which time mobile devices will start to catch up.

Overall though, I don't think anything as drastic as you describe will happen in the next 6-8 years at least.

Quote:
CCP has time to pull it together, but it’s understandably harder and less interesting than designing new battlecruisers or tweaking mining yields. Bringing internet spaceships to a new generation of devices demands a complete interface overhaul, perhaps even a full-scale client rewrite. But in EVE’s greatest challenge lies also its greatest opportunity. Mobile and open-source gaming platforms are bringing accessibility and exposure to untouched masses. If CCP can’t get excited about retaining existing gamers, maybe the prospect of millions of potential new subscribers will whet their appetite for the job at hand.


Three words for you, mate: NOT GONNA HAPPEN!

I'm sorry, but there's no way in holy hell CCP can rewrite this game's client. As patch after patch (err, excuse me, I meant expansion after expansion!) has shown, the game's client is a giant messy haystack. And re-doing it from scratch and getting it all to work smoothly is just out of the scope of their abilities. It's the same reason you won't see Blizzard re-write WoW. It's just easier to release a new game made right.
Forum Clone 77777
Doomheim
#146 - 2013-01-06 15:31:52 UTC
Yet another "EVE is dying" thread, its disguised abit, but not quite and you wont have me fooled!


EVE is dying
Sacred Klepton
Chaos Army
#147 - 2013-01-06 15:45:01 UTC
IF CCP wanted to they could port the game client to some other platform without too many problems. I'm not saying its trivial, but a company with the programming resources to deliver things like EVE would just plough through the work. Aside from the playerbase, the thing that makes EVE different is the single shard universe, the art assets and the IP. All those translate flawlessly to any platform CCP want to spend their effort supporting if they think the payerbase is shifting. The money is in the back-end and the brand. Everything else is just cheap front-end code by comparison

Given what they know about PS3 development, I reckon a few sprints by the Dust team would have a pretty well formed EVE client running on PS3 without issue. Hire a few decent 'droid programmers, grab some off the shelf 3D Library and they'd have a tablet based client up and running faster than you'd imagine. Of course the final polish and business processes that would need to be developed to support another platform would take time to build, but the code? Nah.

They've spent pretty much the last two years telling us that they have been systematically ripping out the old legacy (i.e. not under test) code and replacing it with something that is well formed, well behaved, properly architected, predictable, documented and re-usable. This code base is for the large part already primed for translation to some other platform - if they've done as good a job as they seem to think they have.

These things are not beyond CCP, when (if) they think that the market will support the development cost in any direction, they'll probably expend he effort to move the game there. Until then they won't (publicly) because a bunch of self-entitled whiners here would start moaning about their PC subs were being used to develop a non PC game etc...

tl:dr;
PCs are probably not dying, if they are CCP isn't so dumb as to let their flagship product disappear with them.

Sergeant Acht Scultz
School of Applied Knowledge
Caldari State
#148 - 2013-01-06 15:50:07 UTC
New Win8 64 user signing in.

Why did I changed from previous version? -hardware stuff yadaya, thing is from my personal perspective that I can not take in account what OS makes Eve run right or not, my professional needs go first, and I have to say I've never had so many trouble running Eve as I do now.
What does this means to me? -well I'm not going to change or adapt my OS for eve, it's not my business doing so but the other way around=CCP one to provide support for it and make sort their game runs fine with.
If they decide to adapt or not it's their business, but as much as I like this game I have no interest on keep paying 6months subs just to log in set my toons skill que and log off because I can't play any area of the game properly (freeze fest/lag fest/disconnects and more funky stuff), it's a little better than one month ago for whatever reason but still not playable for me.

As someone said above, 1 account leaving it's several leaving because of CCP alts outdated business model, they seem to have no problem with that then why should we care that much?

removed inappropriate ASCII art signature - CCP Eterne

Lexmana
#149 - 2013-01-06 16:00:35 UTC  |  Edited by: Lexmana
Jame Jarl Retief wrote:
The fact that concurrent user record set a long while ago is yet to be beat, despite total subs going up to 450k, suggests that it is indeed alt accounts, and not actual players, that are growing.

Actually, the reason CCP now claims 450k subs is that it include Serenity for the first time. TQ probably has 350k or so. And keep in mind that PCU has reached 55-56k now a couple of times since Retribution and EVEs strongest period of the year is usually later. It is not that unlikely that we can beat the old record of 63k+ online this year. Thus, the dip after the summer of rage seems to be mostly recovered.

EVE is going strong and the future is so bright that my alt has to wear shades.
DEFIER ORILIS
Defiance Eden Initiative
#150 - 2013-01-06 16:45:25 UTC
I use the 'SplashTop' app on my iPad to remote my PC and play EVE.
It works just fine and the iPad delivers as it is only use for visual. Mt Pc does the work.

Of course, it is not use for combat but monitoring my solar flights and other windows such as industry, wallet, Chat and others.

EVE is a MAC/PC game. Maybe later, a tablet version of EVE will come out to allow us to still connect and play while away from the PC/MAC...in a limited environment, until then I recommended that app for sure.

Thx, DEFIER.
Buzzy Warstl
Quantum Flux Foundry
#151 - 2013-01-06 16:51:37 UTC
Some Rando wrote:
Remiel Pollard wrote:
Linux, the underdog. Still better than any other OS out there IMO.

Nah, Linux is ****, just like every other OS out there.

Yeah, but it's good crap.

The PC may be walking wounded, but it's not dead yet, and CCP will surely move EvE to other platforms when they provide for a compelling experience.

Personally, I can't see trying to play EvE on anything less than a full PC interface, but that might change.

http://www.mud.co.uk/richard/hcds.htm Richard Bartle: Players who suit MUDs

Arduemont
Rotten Legion
#152 - 2013-01-06 17:21:19 UTC
This thread is laughable tinfoil hattery at best.

"In the age of information, ignorance is a choice." www.stateofwar.co.nf

Unezka Turigahl
Det Som Engang Var
#153 - 2013-01-06 18:01:43 UTC
Tablets and smartphones are just replacing PCs of people who do nothing but search the web and check email. For photoshop, 3d modeling, and gaming, I will always want the more powerful hardware available in desktop form factor. I also enjoy being able to do everything on a single machine that I only have to rebuild every ~6 years. I could see buying a tablet to use as a portfolio when meeting with art directors. There is a real benefit, and it makes sense with that form factor and the nature of my work. It could possibly result in a more attractive portfolio earning me more money. So I could justify that. Though even if I had one I'd supplement it with printed materials. Having a smartphone would be nice for a GPS and easy access to email... if the fees weren't so friggen high. Replace my PC? They are inferior as gaming platforms as well as work stations, and I don't see that changing anytime soon.

Not only will PC remain important for getting work done, but for a tablet/phone to be viable as a serious gaming platform you need to hook it up to a tv/monitor and a keyboard&mouse/controller. Then you end up with an underpowered console/PC with a touch screen you aren't using.
Proletariat Tingtango
Viziam
Amarr Empire
#154 - 2013-01-06 18:07:17 UTC
Tablets are so incredibly ****** for anything but the most basic computing needs, you're a bloody fool to think they will replace niche gaming.

Someone once said if you can repeat a lie until it becomes seen as truth. Well, you idiots bought into and are perpetuating a lie.
Jennifer A
Shutter Island
#155 - 2013-01-06 18:11:27 UTC
I might consider using a tablet for EVE, but in that case I would have to hook it up to a bigger monitor, plug in external devices such as keyboard, headset and a mouse.

You can do a lot of things on a tablet or phone, but playing EVE is certainly not one that would bring much joy.
If anything they could develop a new EVE-Light version where you could play it more casual like angry birds.

If it goes as far that people stop playing because it's not working on their phone, so be it. The time for games like EVE is over.
Daisai
Daisai Investments.
#156 - 2013-01-06 18:18:40 UTC
Eve online has never really been a great succes in regards of subscriptions.
The only reason why the game is still alive is because of the lack of competition, because name 1 mmo like eve online where there are hardly any rules andis a sandbox that has both an option for free to play and subscription based etc.

If eve online will lose the few subscriptions it has it will not because some people who know nothing about gaming claim pc gaming is dead.

Right now there are 2 games that i can think of which probably might be in the same genre as eve online.
Star citizen and elite : dangerous, can be games that might end eve online its slow increase in subscriptions.

Opertone
State War Academy
Caldari State
#157 - 2013-01-06 18:18:46 UTC
AHHHHH, so simple

Once MS DirectX monopoly will be over...

New systems and platforms will emerge... Linux, apple, google (no matter what really). But new possibilities for open public developing will be available, interchangeable, modifiable.

Desktop computer can not die... It is far too advanced. OP is wrong, no Tetris handheld didn't conquer the world. No HP smart PDA didn't conquer the world. No, PSP Iphone, nothing conquered the world of Video Gaming, which belongs to PC.

This post sums up why the 'best' work with DCM inc.

WARP DRIVE makes eve boring

really - add warping align time 300% on gun aggression and eve becomes great again

Kalanaja
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#158 - 2013-01-06 18:29:39 UTC
Doctor Ungabungas wrote:
The biggest mistake people make when they buy a tablet is thinking that they are just buying another computer.

They keep the tablet for a few months and then either abandon or sell it because they aren't using it because it doesn't do things as well as their regular computer does and they don't do any computing in a place where their regular computer(s) aren't available.

Looking at the average schedule, people are:
1) At Home
2) Driving
3) At Work
4) Socialising

The only time (the average) people ever use a tablet is when waiting for one of the above things to happen where they don't have access to a regular PC. (And even then, only where their smart phone isn't sufficient.)

So yes, unless you have a specific reason to buy and use a tablet, they aren't going to revolutionise your life. People at home are going to use their more powerful desktop over their tablet. Microsoft and Apple certainly believe this is true which is why they are trying to integrate their desktop and mobile operating systems, so that the transition between mobile and desktop devices is seemless.

Where you will see more tablets is in the workforce, in places where computers have been infeasable before. Foremen on building sites, factory shift leaders and other 'in the field' supervisory roles go crazy for these things. I wonder how many of them are playing EVE.




So very, very true. OP, tablets and smart phones are all well and good for games. But, those are touch screen games. You're not going to find one for maybe another 30 years or more that is even capable of playing the games we have now. Yes, there was someone that was showing off he managed to get EVE to run on his little handheld tablet. But guess what?? He wasn't able to do much but warp from station to station and check buy/sell orders. You're not going to be able to really play much on it because it's touch screen. Also, screens that small are a pain. No one would want to see and squint their eyes on the dang thing to try to play. Even if they do bring 3D to most devices, it won't matter because most people will avoid it. The human eye gets strained when it has to focus on getting 3D to make sense for the brain to get it. People get headaches and sore faces in the eye area as it is from watching 3D movies with glasses.
Kalanaja
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#159 - 2013-01-06 18:31:15 UTC
Daisai wrote:
Eve online has never really been a great succes in regards of subscriptions.
The only reason why the game is still alive is because of the lack of competition, because name 1 mmo like eve online where there are hardly any rules andis a sandbox that has both an option for free to play and subscription based etc.

If eve online will lose the few subscriptions it has it will not because some people who know nothing about gaming claim pc gaming is dead.

Right now there are 2 games that i can think of which probably might be in the same genre as eve online.
Star citizen and elite : dangerous, can be games that might end eve online its slow increase in subscriptions.




Neither of those games has a chance of killing EVE. One is designed to pretty much be a mostly single person sim, and the other is going to end up instanced mostly. No meta gaming or big giant fleet combat. Especially on the first one.
oldbutfeelingyoung
Perkone
Caldari State
#160 - 2013-01-06 18:42:06 UTC  |  Edited by: oldbutfeelingyoung
Kalanaja wrote:
Daisai wrote:
Eve online has never really been a great succes in regards of subscriptions.
The only reason why the game is still alive is because of the lack of competition, because name 1 mmo like eve online where there are hardly any rules andis a sandbox that has both an option for free to play and subscription based etc.

If eve online will lose the few subscriptions it has it will not because some people who know nothing about gaming claim pc gaming is dead.

Right now there are 2 games that i can think of which probably might be in the same genre as eve online.
Star citizen and elite : dangerous, can be games that might end eve online its slow increase in subscriptions.




Neither of those games has a chance of killing EVE. One is designed to pretty much be a mostly single person sim, and the other is going to end up instanced mostly. No meta gaming or big giant fleet combat. Especially on the first one.




it is always funny ,when people react on a game that does not exist yet.
By the way ,any game developer who wants to make a game just the same as EvE is a stupid one.
What we know is that those game developers ,want to bring in immersion to their games and EvE has none to date.
If that makes them serious competition ,i don,t know.But i am eager to find out

2 things can happen :

1: those games are a succes ,but EvE will always be backed by the ones that can not buy systems capable of running dx11 games and the ones that love the spreadsheet game as is

2: The games fail ,nothing to see here ,pls walk on

R.S.I2014