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LOL Oxygen Isotopes

First post
Author
The Mittani
State War Academy
Caldari State
#121 - 2011-10-06 07:52:25 UTC
i bet most of you posting here smugly believe in homo economicus and rational actors which is why your theories are all so comically off base

guys guys guys everyone with a pos has months of fuel stockpiled because it's the rational thing to do, 'heh'

~hi~

Nomad I
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#122 - 2011-10-06 08:07:36 UTC  |  Edited by: Nomad I
The Mittani wrote:

guys guys guys everyone with a pos has months of fuel stockpiled because it's the rational thing to do, 'heh'


You are a good alliance leader, but not a capitalist. A serious capitalist don't try to stockpile because such an investment gives no profit. Read this book instead of using hilarious paintings from China on Kugu.
Alikchi
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#123 - 2011-10-06 08:13:57 UTC
Nomad I wrote:
The Mittani wrote:

guys guys guys everyone with a pos has months of fuel stockpiled because it's the rational thing to do, 'heh'


You are a good alliance leader, but not a capitalist. A serious capitalist don't try to stockpile because such an investment gives no profit. Read this book instead of using hilarious paintings from China on Kugu.


i believe the mittani was using an advanced eve-o skill called 'sarcasm'

hence the 'heh'

(heh by itself would have been a giveaway but mittens was trying to help with the quotation marks)
Nomad I
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#124 - 2011-10-06 08:40:49 UTC
Alikchi wrote:
Nomad I wrote:
The Mittani wrote:

guys guys guys everyone with a pos has months of fuel stockpiled because it's the rational thing to do, 'heh'


You are a good alliance leader, but not a capitalist. A serious capitalist don't try to stockpile because such an investment gives no profit. Read this book instead of using hilarious paintings from China on Kugu.


i believe the mittani was using an advanced eve-o skill called 'sarcasm'

hence the 'heh'

(heh by itself would have been a giveaway but mittens was trying to help with the quotation marks)


You mean each amateur is able to declare his stupidity as sarcasm?
DeliaPrescot
Balintol
#125 - 2011-10-06 08:48:39 UTC
Nomad has a valid point but there are two questions. How big are the stockpiles and how good can Goons control the 0.0 supply not getting to Jita ;). The stockpiles will run empty sooner or later, will Goons commit to a full 3month highsec lockdown? How close is Mittani with the DRF leadership? Is being a drinking buddy with UAxDeath enough to stop greedy DRF members to get rich on Oxytopes?
Goons can control their blue ice belts but are they able to control the DRF ones too? We will see.

As player i applaud Goons for this action, it's content, it's shaking up highsec, harvesting tears is always fun. As trader i'm pissed because i didn't get the note early enough.
Tasko Pal
Spallated Garniferous Schist
#126 - 2011-10-06 09:09:09 UTC  |  Edited by: Tasko Pal
Nomad I wrote:

Read this book instead of using hilarious paintings from China on Kugu.


For example, here is some of the "sarcasm" that this forum is famous for.
Alikchi
The Scope
Gallente Federation
#127 - 2011-10-06 09:17:03 UTC  |  Edited by: Alikchi
SARCASM, EVERYBODY

edit: IT'S COMPLICATED
Ispia Jaydrath
Reib Autonomous Industries
#128 - 2011-10-06 10:07:49 UTC  |  Edited by: Ispia Jaydrath
DeliaPrescot wrote:
Nomad has a valid point



He actually doesn't. A one-year stockpile of fuel runs about a billion isk, which is trivial except maybe to professional traders or :maket discussions: fags. To everybody else it's not even worth investing, because a 5% or 10% return on a billion isk is basically zero.


Seriousposting like a boss.

EDIT: Also, mining ice won't be worth more than mining ore in 0.0 until isotopes are worth at least 6-10 times what they were before.
Nomad I
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#129 - 2011-10-06 10:46:24 UTC  |  Edited by: Nomad I
The question here is: Is someone really stockpiling and why?

No trader with ambitions did that or he knew about the fantastic campaign . Neither empire mining corps do stockpile nor bots do. When I'm looking at the market, there is no shortage. Did the goons that to earn something? I doubt, because using OI as a commodity to trade gives for a raise of the price of 100ISK a maximum of 10billion profit per day in normal times.

Do we have really a shortage of OI? No we had not at least yesterday. So despite of the destruction of exhumers, there are more pilots delivering OI to Jita.
DeliaPrescot
Balintol
#130 - 2011-10-06 10:46:46 UTC
Maybe i read it wrong but Nomads point was the possible 0.0 supply from blue ice belts in the DRF region. If Goons not have deal with the DRF the effect on the market will be swarted by DRF miners getting rich. Price won't rise and dropping soon even lower then before because of the oversupply.
Nomad I
University of Caille
Gallente Federation
#131 - 2011-10-06 10:49:08 UTC
DeliaPrescot wrote:
Maybe i read it wrong but Nomads point was the possible 0.0 supply from blue ice belts in the DRF region. If Goons not have deal with the DRF the effect on the market will be swarted by DRF miners getting rich. Price won't rise and dropping soon even lower then before because of the oversupply.


There is not only the DRF. In Goonspace living some others alliances....
Atima
Inevitable Outcome
E.C.H.O
#132 - 2011-10-06 11:01:01 UTC
The Mittani wrote:
i bet most of you posting here smugly believe in homo economicus and rational actors which is why your theories are all so comically off base

guys guys guys everyone with a pos has months of fuel stockpiled because it's the rational thing to do, 'heh'


Actually its highly irrational. The value of several months fuel/reactants is significant as opposed to the cost of setting up a new tower.

1 month of fuel/reactants can buy several new towers. Masively increasing your return on investment. You will tend to find them holding at most 1 month of fuel on hand, any more than that is highly inefficient for someone involved in this.

Would you care to elaborate your goals on this venture?

If it was targeted firstly for profit then I would agree oxygen isotopes were the best to hit as they compose as much smaller portion of the cost of the end product - buyers can easily eat up the increased price in oxy iso's, they won't be stopping production for this.

If it was targeted for 'lols' then sadly, you have gone about this in the wrong way. You should have targeted nitrogen isotopes as caldari towers are used much more frequently to produce carbides as you can fit two large reactors as opposed to one when running carbide reactions. Further to that nitrogen iso's make up a significant portion of the costs of carbides - which are used in the production of all t2 stuffs. As we have already seen significant rises in the price of carbides, coupled with this you could cripple t2 production within eve. Also, to make significant profits with carbides you have to cut your stockpiles much thinner than with other reactions. Also all the tears from research POS's in empire. The effects of hitting nitrogen isotopes would cause alot more word of mouth, compounding the effect.
Vashan Tar
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#133 - 2011-10-06 12:31:10 UTC  |  Edited by: Vashan Tar
Atima wrote:
Would you care to elaborate your goals on this venture?

If it was targeted firstly for profit then I would agree oxygen isotopes were the best to hit as they compose as much smaller portion of the cost of the end product - buyers can easily eat up the increased price in oxy iso's, they won't be stopping production for this.

If it was targeted for 'lols' then sadly, you have gone about this in the wrong way


Alas we have been rumbled. it is indeed for money, as you could confirm yourself by visiting our publicly available Finance Spreadsheet at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?authkey=CMng2u0B&key=0AlIIq5agK7rWdDRnaWwzMVRrYTFCTG1sZEJhTWN1Z1E&hl=en&authkey=CMng2u0B#gid=5

There is no way we can survive on just 173billion isk income a month.




















Oh wait, it's 353 billion isk income per month, the 173 billion per month is whats left over after everything's paid out.
I guess we're doing it for fun then. Our fun that is, it's the only type that counts....
Weaselior
GoonWaffe
Goonswarm Federation
#134 - 2011-10-06 12:43:29 UTC
Vashan Tar wrote:
Atima wrote:
Would you care to elaborate your goals on this venture?

If it was targeted firstly for profit then I would agree oxygen isotopes were the best to hit as they compose as much smaller portion of the cost of the end product - buyers can easily eat up the increased price in oxy iso's, they won't be stopping production for this.

If it was targeted for 'lols' then sadly, you have gone about this in the wrong way


Alas we have been rumbled. it is indeed for money, as you could confirm yourself by visiting our publicly available Finance Spreadsheet at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?authkey=CMng2u0B&key=0AlIIq5agK7rWdDRnaWwzMVRrYTFCTG1sZEJhTWN1Z1E&hl=en&authkey=CMng2u0B#gid=5

There is no way we can survive on just 173billion isk income a month.




Oh wait, it's 353 billion isk income per month, the 173 billion per month is whats left over after everything's paid out.
I guess we're doing it for fun then. Our fun that is, it's the only type that counts....


our ice miners actually supply all that isk though

Head of the Goonswarm Economic Warfare Cabal Pubbie Management and Exploitation Division.

Rakshasa Taisab
Sane Industries Inc.
#135 - 2011-10-06 13:01:49 UTC
Atima wrote:
Actually its highly irrational. The value of several months fuel/reactants is significant as opposed to the cost of setting up a new tower.

1 month of fuel/reactants can buy several new towers. Masively increasing your return on investment. You will tend to find them holding at most 1 month of fuel on hand, any more than that is highly inefficient for someone involved in this.

You make the assumption that people are trying to maximise the return on capital (at the cost of convenience / long-term stability) and that manpower per pilot is unlimited (so they are able to put up as many towers as they want).

Also a mitten trololol.

Nyan

Atima
Inevitable Outcome
E.C.H.O
#136 - 2011-10-06 13:20:26 UTC
Rakshasa Taisab wrote:
Atima wrote:
Actually its highly irrational. The value of several months fuel/reactants is significant as opposed to the cost of setting up a new tower.

1 month of fuel/reactants can buy several new towers. Masively increasing your return on investment. You will tend to find them holding at most 1 month of fuel on hand, any more than that is highly inefficient for someone involved in this.

You make the assumption that people are trying to maximise the return on capital (at the cost of convenience / long-term stability) and that manpower per pilot is unlimited (so they are able to put up as many towers as they want).

Also a mitten trololol.



There is no long term gain in stability by holding huge stocks of fuel. The value of the end product is tied strongly to the current price of reactants/fuel. Technically holding large stocks exposes you to instability in the market as the cost of your reactants/fuel will not change but the value of them does. if the price of the end product rises, the inputs follow and if it lowers, the input lowers. If you buy in bulk you expose yourself to these changes in the market, however by running efficiently your exposure is much smaller.

As for convienience. It makes little difference each way. Running a worthwhile amount of reaction POS's requires several freighterloads of fuel/stuff each month, so you are not saving anything really in terms of hauling several runs together. And you would have to invest the time in hauling the initial stock you wish to hold. The upside of it is it gives you a little leeway in returning to jita, but really if you cant organise yourself a hauling run within 2 weeks you probably shouldn't be running reactions.

By holding many months of fuel you also reduce the returns to meager levels, better to just buy and copy capital bpos or anything equally as ******** like t2 bpos.
Atima
Inevitable Outcome
E.C.H.O
#137 - 2011-10-06 13:25:37 UTC
Vashan Tar wrote:
Atima wrote:
Would you care to elaborate your goals on this venture?

If it was targeted firstly for profit then I would agree oxygen isotopes were the best to hit as they compose as much smaller portion of the cost of the end product - buyers can easily eat up the increased price in oxy iso's, they won't be stopping production for this.

If it was targeted for 'lols' then sadly, you have gone about this in the wrong way


Alas we have been rumbled. it is indeed for money, as you could confirm yourself by visiting our publicly available Finance Spreadsheet at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?authkey=CMng2u0B&key=0AlIIq5agK7rWdDRnaWwzMVRrYTFCTG1sZEJhTWN1Z1E&hl=en&authkey=CMng2u0B#gid=5

There is no way we can survive on just 173billion isk income a month.




















Oh wait, it's 353 billion isk income per month, the 173 billion per month is whats left over after everything's paid out.
I guess we're doing it for fun then. Our fun that is, it's the only type that counts....


In no way did I bring your income into this. As for 173bn thats only 3 titans per month, Fairly pitiful IMO. Probably was the better option hitting oxygen isotopes.

But since you're doing it for fun, you could atleast attempt to maximise that fun with some beautiful forum tears by hitting nitrogen iso's. Oh and keep up the goodwork. Would be nice to see this more often. Even if you're not suiciding miners, just the announcement causes speculation. Speculation is good.
RAW23
#138 - 2011-10-06 13:27:29 UTC
173bil Shocked

I had no idea that major alliances had such low incomes (well, actually I had an inkling when I read the chatlogs surrounding the fall of Atlas and their squabbling over a few hundred bil). Presumably this is a peace-time figure and goes down considerably with major combat operations?

Is the low number due to any special features of the Goon setup, such as low or non-existent tax rates, perhaps? Or is this pretty standard?

There are two types of EVE player:

those who believe there are two types of EVE player and those who do not.

Elise DarkStar
Garoun Investment Bank
Gallente Federation
#139 - 2011-10-06 13:33:22 UTC  |  Edited by: Elise DarkStar
That's 173b profit, revenue was 350b; idk if that makes a difference to your point.

I think if nullsec alliances were dedicated to making money, they would make a lot more. I'm sure there are supercap producing indy renter corporations who top 200b a month profit, but that's because it's the purpose of their organization, whereas many spaceholding corps last precisely because they pour a lot of money right back into their members getting blown up in space.
Atima
Inevitable Outcome
E.C.H.O
#140 - 2011-10-06 13:39:30 UTC
Elise DarkStar wrote:
That's 173b profit, revenue was 350b; idk if that makes a difference to your point.

I think if nullsec alliances were dedicated to making money, they would make a lot more. I'm sure there are supercap producing indy renter corporations who top 200b a month profit, but that's because it's the purpose of their organization, whereas as many spaceholding corps last precisely because they poor a lot of money right back into their members getting blown up in space.


it only comes down to just over 10bill per day. That is not alot when all things are taken into consideration. Even going off turnover, think about how much there should be with the amount of space held ( r64's, renters etc ) then you have to consider corp taxes ( if they have included that ) and profits from capital ship sales to members etc etc.