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? Isogen ?

Author
Casius Omega
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#1 - 2012-04-13 13:45:31 UTC  |  Edited by: Casius Omega
Just wondering and looking for input. This seems to be one mineral that hasn't had any real change in price since the new changes. Im sitting here wondering why?

There are two factors contributing to this and are probably obvious at this point.
-Drone Region changes.
-Removal of t1 loot drops.


Isogen from mining comes from only two sources in high-sec Omber and kernit, both of these are among the lowest isk/per m3.
From the old blog from CCP telling us where are minerals are coming from it stated that 53% of isogen comes from loot and about 20% from drone regions. So with both of these effectively gone or nerfed to the ground isn't the supply coming in diminished dramatically? Also miners probably aren't going to be mining some of the 2 least isk making rocks. I realize there are vast stockpiles of this mineral but is it a wise long term investment?

I also noticed it spiked almost up to 170 iskp/u yesterday in jita before quickly going down.. as if someone bought ALOT of it.

Discuss
Tekota
The Freighter Factory
#2 - 2012-04-13 13:51:01 UTC
Casius Omega wrote:
it stated that 53% of isogen comes from loot


Remember this part is largely indistinguishable from mineral compression reprocessing.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#3 - 2012-04-13 14:21:09 UTC
It's funny that people still take that old blog's numbers as the gospel truth even though it's hideously out of date.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Casius Omega
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#4 - 2012-04-13 14:25:35 UTC
corestwo wrote:
It's funny that people still take that old blog's numbers as the gospel truth even though it's hideously out of date.



no but its something to go off of.
Casius Omega
Deep Core Mining Inc.
Caldari State
#5 - 2012-04-13 14:59:19 UTC
So does no one have any intelligent theories on future isogen prices?
fugazii
Slippery Penguin
#6 - 2012-04-13 15:11:15 UTC
Casius Omega wrote:
So does no one have any intelligent theories on future isogen prices?


Iso Nox and Mex

Zyd is fools gold

and Morphite you can't move.

Pirate
Kalli Brixzat
#7 - 2012-04-13 16:51:32 UTC
A lot of ship production does not require Isogen and/or Nocxium. This is especially true for smaller ships. Thus, because the demand for those mats is lesser than for the others, their prices remain steady.

This might change given that T1/M0 mods will no longer drop from mission rats. Since many mods DO require iso and or nocx, the price may jump. I've already started to hoard a good bit of the stuff speculating that the price will jump considerably with Inferno.

Just my opinion.
Wukulo
Brutor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#8 - 2012-04-13 17:11:27 UTC
Tekota wrote:
Casius Omega wrote:
it stated that 53% of isogen comes from loot


Remember this part is largely indistinguishable from mineral compression reprocessing.


Why would that be indistinguishable?

Posted on main because I'm not a coward like the rest of you.

Adunh Slavy
#9 - 2012-04-13 17:24:58 UTC
Casius Omega wrote:
So does no one have any intelligent theories on future isogen prices?



It's been as high as 120, long ago. Would not be surprised to see it reach that again. How soon, how long, if higher, who knows.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Tekota
The Freighter Factory
#10 - 2012-04-13 18:02:51 UTC
Wukulo wrote:
Tekota wrote:
Casius Omega wrote:
it stated that 53% of isogen comes from loot


Remember this part is largely indistinguishable from mineral compression reprocessing.


Why would that be indistinguishable?


Because there is nothing to distinguish between a 425m Railgun I that dropped from a rat last week from a 425m Railgun I that was manufactured by a player last week. Carrying around the means of a 425m Railgun I popping into existence for the duration of it's life in a database field would be a costly database design. Once in existence 425m Railgun I's simply *are*. Recording the destruction of a mod however is a one time cost.

So we've recorded that our 425m Railgun I was not destroyed in a ship explosion but was reprocessed. However, whilst knowing that our 425mm Railgun I was reprocessed rather than removed from the database by other means we still have no way of knowing if it was manufactured from existing trit and then reprocessed as part of a mineral compression job or represents fresh trit being injected into the game.
Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
#11 - 2012-04-13 18:14:52 UTC
Casius Omega wrote:
Just wondering and looking for input. This seems to be one mineral that hasn't had any real change in price since the new changes. Im sitting here wondering why?


There's simply not enough demand for Isogen compared to the supply.

This is *slowly* changing, as Omber finally climbed over 100 ISK/m3 this week (the other hi-sec ores are 160-220). But since a lot of folks have gone to Amarr regions to mine Pyrox, they snarf up the Kernite that is there at the same time and feed the Isogen glut.

It might finally catch up to the other ores in May/Jun/July - it depends on which ship hulls are "hot" and how much Isogen they require and how much existing Isogen came in from the drone regions or meta-zero drops.
Immortis Vexx
Onyx Moon Industries
#12 - 2012-04-13 21:18:41 UTC
I had thought that 90 would be a cap for it but that was obviously wrong. It had bounced off of the 90 mark a few times but never really crossed it. Typically when one sees this sort of behavior and it breaks out of trend it tends to go kind of wild right? I wonder if 100 will be the next resistance level? Eve marketeer is failing me right now but according to eve-central it looks like demand is still ramping up. Thoughts?

Vexx
Block Ukx
420 Enterprises.
#13 - 2012-04-13 21:42:15 UTC
Casius Omega wrote:
Just wondering and looking for input. This seems to be one mineral that hasn't had any real change in price since the new changes. Im sitting here wondering why?



ISOIF

Look at the 90 day intrinsic price; it has changed. I'm not sure how much change you are looking for. I would'nt be surprise if it hits 150 in the future.



Scrapyard Bob
EVE University
Ivy League
#14 - 2012-04-14 02:20:52 UTC
At 150, it pushes Omber up into the realm of "okay to mine, but not fabulous". Especially since Omber has trailed the other ores by a large amount for the past 2 years. My guess, assuming that hi-sec ore prices don't change much is somewhere in the 140 range, which makes Omber worth about 154 ISK/m3 while the other hi-sec ores hang in the 160-220 range.

The price of Omber vs Pyrox has run at around a 1.8 ratio for a pretty long time. So if Pyrox is 220 ISK/m3, Omber should be down around 120 ISK/m3 (which is about 105 ISK/u for Isogen).
Moto Akimoto
Tengu and Cash
#15 - 2012-04-14 03:09:29 UTC
Sometime around the Dominion expansion, I took about 200 blueprints originals and made calculations to figure out "fair prices" for minerals.

I arrived at two conclusions:

1. I could make a ton of ISK doing Insurance scams.
2. The mineral requirements for manufacturing versus the minerals in the ores where out of whack.

CCP smartened up and made insurance scams non-viable.
But I believe Tritanium and Pyerite still makes up about 80-95% of the material requirements for T1 manufacturing.
Adunh Slavy
#16 - 2012-04-14 03:13:27 UTC
Immortis Vexx wrote:
I had thought that 90 would be a cap for it but that was obviously wrong. It had bounced off of the 90 mark a few times but never really crossed it. Typically when one sees this sort of behavior and it breaks out of trend it tends to go kind of wild right? I wonder if 100 will be the next resistance level? Eve marketeer is failing me right now but according to eve-central it looks like demand is still ramping up. Thoughts?

Vexx



90ish, high 80s was the cap with the Pax being used.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#17 - 2012-04-14 03:46:21 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Immortis Vexx wrote:
I had thought that 90 would be a cap for it but that was obviously wrong. It had bounced off of the 90 mark a few times but never really crossed it. Typically when one sees this sort of behavior and it breaks out of trend it tends to go kind of wild right? I wonder if 100 will be the next resistance level? Eve marketeer is failing me right now but according to eve-central it looks like demand is still ramping up. Thoughts?

Vexx



90ish, high 80s was the cap with the Pax being used.


Pax didn't really "cap" isogen as well as it capped nocx. Only two units per book, into a much larger daily volume of use.

If you need further proof, nocx prices only really got to break-even on PA around mid-march and Isogen steadily rose throughout the entire time period, whereas nocx only took off once PA was removed.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Adunh Slavy
#18 - 2012-04-14 03:52:50 UTC
corestwo wrote:

Pax didn't really "cap" isogen as well as it capped nocx. Only two units per book, into a much larger daily volume of use.

If you need further proof, nocx prices only really got to break-even on PA around mid-march and Isogen steadily rose throughout the entire time period, whereas nocx only took off once PA was removed.



Fair enough, all depends on which side of the equation one stands. In the end they balanced one another at the PA price, the fulcrum, if you will.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Bunnehrawr Rawr
Doomheim
#19 - 2012-04-14 20:18:29 UTC
it looks like iso is steadily climbing now? ...

I'm going to guess that its going to break 100isk/u over the next week or so if it doesnt lose momentum :S

not sure if to buy now <,< or wait :D
Herping yourDerp
Tribal Liberation Force
Minmatar Republic
#20 - 2012-04-14 21:20:07 UTC
it was 80ea in amarr when almost 100 ea in jita... looks likeit can be profitable to buy in smaller hubs
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