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Should I buy my nomad now, or wait?
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Ilovetomine
Doomheim
#1 - 2014-05-20 19:35:30 UTC
With all of the changes to industry in expansion, I am thinking the price for a nomad will skyrocket. At least 1-2b.

Do you think that is a fair hypothesis? Should I wait to buy it? Or buy it now? (~6.2 - ~6.5b)
Nedly Stark
ARAZ Engineering
#2 - 2014-05-20 22:33:27 UTC
Just curious what do you plan on using it for?
Adunh Slavy
#3 - 2014-05-20 22:45:02 UTC
Might want to wait and see what happens,

https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&m=4619842#post4619842

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt
Isaac Schwartz
Caldari State Venture Capital
#4 - 2014-05-21 12:03:29 UTC
If demand goes up so does the price. Stick up a buy order now and save yourself some ISK if you can wait for it to be filled. I don't have a crystal ball - so you may win or lose in the long run.
Bad Bobby
Bring Me Sunshine
In Tea We Trust
#5 - 2014-05-21 12:20:38 UTC
Ilovetomine wrote:
With all of the changes to industry in expansion, I am thinking the price for a nomad will skyrocket. At least 1-2b.

Do you think that is a fair hypothesis? Should I wait to buy it? Or buy it now? (~6.2 - ~6.5b)

I'm not so sure.

The proposed changes to invented T2 BPCs suggest that build costs could go down, but those proposals aren't really solid enough to base an investment on and there are a lot of other variables that could impact the market price.

If it were me, I'd just buy the Nomad and get on with doing whatever it is you want a Nomad for. I bought my first Nomad a few years back and it paid for itself in a matter of weeks. If you have a good reason to have one now, then waiting two months to buy one isn't going to bring forward the point that it pays for itself.
Joshua Foiritain
Coreli Corporation
Pandemic Legion
#6 - 2014-05-21 12:55:50 UTC
Bad Bobby wrote:
Ilovetomine wrote:
With all of the changes to industry in expansion, I am thinking the price for a nomad will skyrocket. At least 1-2b.

Do you think that is a fair hypothesis? Should I wait to buy it? Or buy it now? (~6.2 - ~6.5b)

I'm not so sure.

The proposed changes to invented T2 BPCs suggest that build costs could go down, but those proposals aren't really solid enough to base an investment on and there are a lot of other variables that could impact the market price.

Production cost is going up though isnt it? Since iirc the new factory taxes are based on the value of the product the increase for something as expensive as a JF could be quite large?

The Coreli Corporation is recruiting.
Bad Bobby
Bring Me Sunshine
In Tea We Trust
#7 - 2014-05-21 13:37:25 UTC
Joshua Foiritain wrote:
Bad Bobby wrote:
Ilovetomine wrote:
With all of the changes to industry in expansion, I am thinking the price for a nomad will skyrocket. At least 1-2b.

Do you think that is a fair hypothesis? Should I wait to buy it? Or buy it now? (~6.2 - ~6.5b)

I'm not so sure.

The proposed changes to invented T2 BPCs suggest that build costs could go down, but those proposals aren't really solid enough to base an investment on and there are a lot of other variables that could impact the market price.

Production cost is going up though isnt it? Since iirc the new factory taxes are based on the value of the product the increase for something as expensive as a JF could be quite large?

It's not as simple as that.

Installation fees will vary depending on a list of factors as long as your arm. You could be adding 10% on to the cost of a JF, or you could be adding only 2% on to that cost. That increase could be dwarfed by the other changes.

Teams can discount a JF by 5%, POS arrays can discount a JF by 2%, efficient 0.0 or low-sec production could have an impact.

Invention costs could go up or down, changes to invented T2 BPCs could push things either way.

Demand changes as a result of the industry changes, freighter changes, JF changes and fuel changes could push things either way.

The cost and availability of freighter BPOs and BPCs could go up or down, the cost of decryptors could go either way, the cost of capital component BPOs and BPCs could go up or down.

The cost of the basic materials are going to change, both for ore and moon goo.

None of these changes are finalised and we don't have solid numbers on many of the proposals, so I don't think we can have much confidence in any predictions right now.