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Vulture bpo advice needed

Author
kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#1 - 2014-04-12 23:48:41 UTC
Hi forum,

I'm returning to the game after years of absence. As i left, i did get a vulture bpo from an agent. What would be the best way to utilize this in game now? Manufacture, or make copies and sell? I'm really not that interested in setting up a pos and haul stuff to get components to increase margins...

Very grateful for advice, hints, tips or tricks!
Cheers
mechtech
Ice Liberation Army
#2 - 2014-04-13 00:36:12 UTC  |  Edited by: mechtech
T2 BPOs now sell for an isk value of at least 10 years of profit, and commonly higher. In other words, T2 BPOs are massively overvalued in the market, almost to the point where they're collectors items rather than reasonable investments.'

I'd put up a WTS thread in the sell order section of the forums. Don't sell it to private offers, put up a proper auction with a long sniper rule (I'd say 24-48 hours), and a long auction duration. Bump it every day. Spam the thread in trade hubs, the BPO channel, and mailing lists if you feel like it. If anyone mails you private offers, mirror their bid in the sale thread so the bidding process stays public.

Expect 100B-200B for the BPO. If you get a totally amazing buyout offer, take it, but I stress that 95%+ of the time you're losing value by taking this route. There's a ton of isk in the game now, and countless people have trillions of isk in assets. Don't take a lowball offer. You're probably about to get a ton of bad advice from people wanting to woo you with low offers, watch out and ignore it. If you're not selling the BPO for an unreasonably and almost comically high price when compared to how much profit the BPO itself makes, you're getting a bad deal.
kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#3 - 2014-04-13 05:18:35 UTC
Many thanks mechtech, advice much appreciated!

Understand your concept on return if investment. At the same time, if there is so much isk in the game, it might be a good insurance against future inflation?

Cheers again
Kg
mechtech
Ice Liberation Army
#4 - 2014-04-13 07:40:10 UTC
kessiegirl wrote:
Many thanks mechtech, advice much appreciated!

Understand your concept on return if investment. At the same time, if there is so much isk in the game, it might be a good insurance against future inflation?

Cheers again
Kg


The future of T2 BPOs is uncertain Future patches could change market conditions or even the BPOs themselves. PLEX is a better hedge against inflation if that's all that you're looking for.
Anize Oramara
WarpTooZero
#5 - 2014-04-13 09:11:17 UTC
kessiegirl wrote:
Hi forum,

I'm returning to the game after years of absence. As i left, i did get a vulture bpo from an agent. What would be the best way to utilize this in game now? Manufacture, or make copies and sell? I'm really not that interested in setting up a pos and haul stuff to get components to increase margins...

Very grateful for advice, hints, tips or tricks!
Cheers

Just to clear up some confusion on my side, are you sure it's a BPO and not a BPC.

As in a Blue Print ORIGINAL (unlinited runs) or a Blue Print COPY (not unlimited runs)

A guide (Google Doc) to Hi-Sec blitzing and breaking the 200mill ISK/H barrier v1.2.3

kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#6 - 2014-04-13 09:13:36 UTC
Anize Oramara wrote:
kessiegirl wrote:
Hi forum,

I'm returning to the game after years of absence. As i left, i did get a vulture bpo from an agent. What would be the best way to utilize this in game now? Manufacture, or make copies and sell? I'm really not that interested in setting up a pos and haul stuff to get components to increase margins...

Very grateful for advice, hints, tips or tricks!
Cheers

Just to clear up some confusion on my side, are you sure it's a BPO and not a BPC.

As in a Blue Print ORIGINAL (unlinited runs) or a Blue Print COPY (not unlimited runs)


Yes, it's a bpo - unlimited runs
Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
#7 - 2014-04-13 09:53:54 UTC
By standard profit margin estimates the Vulture BPO would only be worth 40b or so. HOWEVER, ship BPOs go for much, much more (because of the potential for enormous future profit and capital gain if the metagame shifts to make Vultures desirable).

As such, I would not sell it for less than 150 billion, even though that is in excess of 30 years profits from production.

If you do not get a suitable offer, keep it securely locked down in highsec and produce from it, or make blueprint copies from it.

I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com

kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#8 - 2014-04-13 11:07:03 UTC
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:
By standard profit margin estimates the Vulture BPO would only be worth 40b or so. HOWEVER, ship BPOs go for much, much more (because of the potential for enormous future profit and capital gain if the metagame shifts to make Vultures desirable).

As such, I would not sell it for less than 150 billion, even though that is in excess of 30 years profits from production.

If you do not get a suitable offer, keep it securely locked down in highsec and produce from it, or make blueprint copies from it.


Thanks, that does make perfect sense - I've got an industry char that is skilled for producing them already, and i don't have that much expenses.

Just out of curiosity, how did you reach the 40b?
Cheers
Naya Sky
Serra Industries
#9 - 2014-04-13 15:42:09 UTC
You can use site like this to estimate the yearly BPO profit. But it's a very rough estimate as the prices change all the time. People like to value T2 BPOs at ~10 years production (so in your case 40-60B easily) but as others have said high-end ship BPOs like Vulture can easily be sold for 3-4x times as much.

Also generally speaking you are better off producing from the BPO rather than making copies. It takes like 3 days+ to make one run copy while you can build almost 3 ships in that time straight from the BPO.


Alek Azam
Federal Defense Union
Gallente Federation
#10 - 2014-04-13 20:00:20 UTC
30 T2 BPOs for sale..

Alestix wrote:
WTS/WTT the following T2 BPOs:

Absolution - 200b
Astarte - 250b
Damnation - 250b
Nighthawk - 250b




Ive pulled the important bits. You should be looking at around those figures, regardless of meta or if the Vulture is in fashion.

Blog: http://sellyourmainbro.blogspot.co.uk/

Twitter: @_Alek_Azam_

Big Lynx
#11 - 2014-04-13 20:55:24 UTC
Alek Azam wrote:
30 T2 BPOs for sale..

Alestix wrote:
WTS/WTT the following T2 BPOs:

Absolution - 200b
Astarte - 250b
Damnation - 250b
Nighthawk - 250b




Ive pulled the important bits. You should be looking at around those figures, regardless of meta or if the Vulture is in fashion.


And so the already ridiculously inflated T2 bpo bubble blows up a bit more...
Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
#12 - 2014-04-13 23:44:11 UTC
kessiegirl wrote:
Sabriz Adoudel wrote:
By standard profit margin estimates the Vulture BPO would only be worth 40b or so. HOWEVER, ship BPOs go for much, much more (because of the potential for enormous future profit and capital gain if the metagame shifts to make Vultures desirable).

As such, I would not sell it for less than 150 billion, even though that is in excess of 30 years profits from production.

If you do not get a suitable offer, keep it securely locked down in highsec and produce from it, or make blueprint copies from it.


Thanks, that does make perfect sense - I've got an industry char that is skilled for producing them already, and i don't have that much expenses.

Just out of curiosity, how did you reach the 40b?
Cheers



40b = eight years production profits, under current market conditions. (I did the numbers largely in my head so they could be off by a factor of 1.5 or so).

But like I said, ship BPOs have huge potential to increase as any ship can become a new flavour of the month and if that happens, the per year profitability will soar. As an example, an Ishtar BPO (more of the flavour of this month) has a profitability of ~60m/day = ~25b/year. If future changes to either the game mechanics or the Vulture hull or the metagame make the Vulture good, suddenly that BPO is worth an enormous amount.

I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com

Sabriz Adoudel
Move along there is nothing here
#13 - 2014-04-13 23:44:56 UTC
Alek Azam wrote:
30 T2 BPOs for sale..

Alestix wrote:
WTS/WTT the following T2 BPOs:

Absolution - 200b
Astarte - 250b
Damnation - 250b
Nighthawk - 250b




Ive pulled the important bits. You should be looking at around those figures, regardless of meta or if the Vulture is in fashion.



It is worth stating that none of those have sold over a period of some months.

I support the New Order and CODE. alliance. www.minerbumping.com

Mr LaboratoryRat
Confederation of DuckTape Lovers
#14 - 2014-04-14 12:34:52 UTC  |  Edited by: Mr LaboratoryRat
You can not say like 'its worth more because of the chance it will become worth more depending on future iterations".

Thats totaly bs and a big gamble. Would you gamble with 100b, with the chance of losing all the excessive isk when those chances are not happening? (as you claim a uncertain future profit)

And totaly agreeing with Big Lynx, the T2 bpo market had a hugh bubble due to the fact that lots of free tech isk was spend by alliances on buying high-end T2 bpo's, no matter what their price was (free isk). Since ISK does matter again, purchages declined and the market is correcting itsselve (look at the amount of prints for sale (hint: price is too high)).

About the pricing for the vulture. Shield fleets are history and those endless drake & tengu fleets wont come back anytime soon. Missles are rebalanced and armour has gotten a buff. Future populairity has to be questioned. Also each day only about 10 vultures sell in jita, its a very tiny sell market.

It is not the question how much this print is worth, the question is what other things you can do with the same amount of isk. (or what other prints can be bought that are equal or more profitable).

@ the Op, i am not handing out pricings on this public forum, but if you wish to sell it send me a mail.

Edit: To answere your question. The best way to utilize it is A keep it and produce or B sell it and buy better T2 bpo back or invest isk in somthing else thats more profitable.
350125GO
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#15 - 2014-04-14 13:17:11 UTC
Produce it for a while and see if it makes a desirable income for you. Don't sell it just for the sake of having the isk, unless you have a plan for the isk. The print won't lose significant value, so there's no hurry to sell it.

Nothing more dangerous than a fat wallet and no plans on how to use the money.

You're young, you'll adjust. I'm old, I'll get used to it.

joyous the
Slippery Penguin
#16 - 2014-04-14 21:29:02 UTC  |  Edited by: joyous the
It's not worth the price point alestix is asking, there's a reason the only action his bpos get is being relisted every 2weeks.

If you were to run an auction, I'd suggest a start of 100, reserve of 130 and a buyout of 150.

A damnation and claymore bpo has been on sell forums for nearly a month now. https://forums.eveonline.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=330557&find=unread

Get rid of this dead weight bpo and use that money to put towards something more profitable and easier profit.
kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#17 - 2014-04-15 18:00:04 UTC
Naya Sky wrote:
You can use site like this to estimate the yearly BPO profit. But it's a very rough estimate as the prices change all the time. People like to value T2 BPOs at ~10 years production (so in your case 40-60B easily) but as others have said high-end ship BPOs like Vulture can easily be sold for 3-4x times as much.

Also generally speaking you are better off producing from the BPO rather than making copies. It takes like 3 days+ to make one run copy while you can build almost 3 ships in that time straight from the BPO.




Thanks, that's amazing, a lot better than the spreadsheet I've set up!! :) Numbers came up very similar though!


kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#18 - 2014-04-15 18:10:35 UTC
Mr LaboratoryRat wrote:
You can not say like 'its worth more because of the chance it will become worth more depending on future iterations".

Thats totaly bs and a big gamble. Would you gamble with 100b, with the chance of losing all the excessive isk when those chances are not happening? (as you claim a uncertain future profit)

And totaly agreeing with Big Lynx, the T2 bpo market had a hugh bubble due to the fact that lots of free tech isk was spend by alliances on buying high-end T2 bpo's, no matter what their price was (free isk). Since ISK does matter again, purchages declined and the market is correcting itsselve (look at the amount of prints for sale (hint: price is too high)).

About the pricing for the vulture. Shield fleets are history and those endless drake & tengu fleets wont come back anytime soon. Missles are rebalanced and armour has gotten a buff. Future populairity has to be questioned. Also each day only about 10 vultures sell in jita, its a very tiny sell market.

It is not the question how much this print is worth, the question is what other things you can do with the same amount of isk. (or what other prints can be bought that are equal or more profitable).

@ the Op, i am not handing out pricings on this public forum, but if you wish to sell it send me a mail.

Edit: To answere your question. The best way to utilize it is A keep it and produce or B sell it and buy better T2 bpo back or invest isk in somthing else thats more profitable.


Cheers, i really appreciate some background and history! It really raises a bunch of follow up questions.. Sorry for bringing this a bit into Off topic territory, but as TS, i'll take liberties :)

1, Why did alliances invest in T2 BPO's? To secure supplies of different ship types?

2. How many T2 BPO's were originally released per item? Has anyone ever achieved monopoly of a popular item (i.e owning all/ a majority of the BPO's?

3. in case of selling it, say 150B, what kind of investment would be reasonable from that? I guess PLEX ( a new thing since i played) is smart for protecting against inflation, but what other reasonable ways are there in investing nowadays? I.e, what would you do?

4. I got it to ME5, so 1.7% wasteage if i remember correctly. Is it worth researching further before selling, if that would be the avenue to go down?

Thanks again to everyone for the great advice - it's really appreciated! I just realised how much i've missed the community! the good, the bad, and the scams - you wouldn't believe some of the mails I've received... *chuckle* Just because I've been out, doesn't mean I'm an easy target! :)
kessiegirl
Perkone
Caldari State
#19 - 2014-04-15 18:12:22 UTC
Thanks to all the other replies in this thread as well. If you have any good suggestions to the above questions, feel free to share!
Cheers
350125GO
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#20 - 2014-04-15 18:25:57 UTC
Researching it further won't change its value. The value lies in it being a t2 bpo. New buyer will deal with research.

I don't think ccp ever released numbers for the T2 BPOs or if they did it was in general terms and would be hard to track. They've never updated the numbers with BPOs destroyed or impounded by ccp.

Regardless. There aren't many for ships. I'm guessing less than 10 per ship type to begin with and who knows what might still be in game.

Alliances started boarding BPOs prior to invention because it controlled the market very effectively (expanded cargo hold IIs used to go for 50 mil ! ) since invention they allowed alliances to use their money and also get better margins as well as. Heap supply of goods for themselves.

You're young, you'll adjust. I'm old, I'll get used to it.

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