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Detroit filling for bankrupsy

Author
Kirjava
Lothian Enterprises
#81 - 2013-07-26 18:43:41 UTC
Something I remembered watching a while ago, Peter Schiff from 2008 on the topic of Detroit going bankrupt.

I remember I followed this guy very closely after Lehmans collapsed, books are not something I agree with entirely but theres more than a few nuggets of truth and logic in there.

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Kirjava
Lothian Enterprises
#82 - 2013-07-27 11:17:38 UTC
I don't understand why the military wasn't deployed to Detroit years ago erasing through some of this, root out the gangs and near feral populations to try and restore law and order...

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Adunh Slavy
#83 - 2013-07-27 12:40:48 UTC
Kirjava wrote:
Something I remembered watching a while ago, Peter Schiff from 2008 on the topic of Detroit going bankrupt.

I remember I followed this guy very closely after Lehmans collapsed, books are not something I agree with entirely but theres more than a few nuggets of truth and logic in there.



Yeah, Schiff has been a pretty good predictor of events, this speach from 2006 is spot on,
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jj8rMwdQf6k


And then there is this guy who was spot on in 2003,
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KONpt9a6HrI

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Adunh Slavy
#84 - 2013-07-27 13:00:06 UTC
Grimpak wrote:

In many ways the 2008 crisis, from where all these issues started from, was a wake up call. It had many similarities with the 1929 Crash, where speculation ran aloof and nearly uncontrolled. And, if history is to repeat itself, the current good results one might see from both Europe and USA is that this is misleading and that the crash is not over. Basically, and if it comes to pass, the aftershocks will come in 1-2 years and if **** didn't hit the fan on 2008/2009 (bank and the Big Three bailouts were just to soften up the impact, it didn't really solved the underpinning issues of an ultraliberalized market and an extreme lack of regulation), it will in the following years. In my personal case, of which my country is living out of premium-paid oxygen balloons, it means that we won't be able to have a stable and growing economy in the following 20 to 40 years.



Both were the result of too much regulation and too much of an expansion of money and credit.

The expansion of money and credit allows the bubbles to form, the cost of money goes down, so a lot of over investment occurs, eventually leading to a bubble and the inevitable bust.

Add regulation on top of this and it gets even worse. Regulation forces more money and credit into specific areas than would have other wise occurred. Imagine the economy is like a balloon or a sausage. If you fill it more and more, it'll get bigger and eventually break. Now to imagine regulation, tie a bunch of strings around the balloon or squeeze it in your hand. The bubbles will be forced into other areas. Those areas are no more strong than any other area, but have to hold up against even more pressure.

Too much credit and too much regulation is the problem. The bust after the bubble is the fix. Instead we get short sighted politicians and technocrats that insist on starting up new bubbles and new regulations to get votes from the ignorant voters that are duped into believing that government, who created the problem in the first place, can some how solve anything.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Kirjava
Lothian Enterprises
#85 - 2013-07-27 14:20:45 UTC
No, we just want banks split consumer from investment and something like Canadas bank system.

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Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#86 - 2013-07-27 16:40:39 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Grimpak wrote:

In many ways the 2008 crisis, from where all these issues started from, was a wake up call. It had many similarities with the 1929 Crash, where speculation ran aloof and nearly uncontrolled. And, if history is to repeat itself, the current good results one might see from both Europe and USA is that this is misleading and that the crash is not over. Basically, and if it comes to pass, the aftershocks will come in 1-2 years and if **** didn't hit the fan on 2008/2009 (bank and the Big Three bailouts were just to soften up the impact, it didn't really solved the underpinning issues of an ultraliberalized market and an extreme lack of regulation), it will in the following years. In my personal case, of which my country is living out of premium-paid oxygen balloons, it means that we won't be able to have a stable and growing economy in the following 20 to 40 years.



Both were the result of too much regulation and too much of an expansion of money and credit.

The expansion of money and credit allows the bubbles to form, the cost of money goes down, so a lot of over investment occurs, eventually leading to a bubble and the inevitable bust.

Add regulation on top of this and it gets even worse. Regulation forces more money and credit into specific areas than would have other wise occurred. Imagine the economy is like a balloon or a sausage. If you fill it more and more, it'll get bigger and eventually break. Now to imagine regulation, tie a bunch of strings around the balloon or squeeze it in your hand. The bubbles will be forced into other areas. Those areas are no more strong than any other area, but have to hold up against even more pressure.

Too much credit and too much regulation is the problem. The bust after the bubble is the fix. Instead we get short sighted politicians and technocrats that insist on starting up new bubbles and new regulations to get votes from the ignorant voters that are duped into believing that government, who created the problem in the first place, can some how solve anything.

I can see where you're going, but in that case I don't think the problem is too much regulation. more like wrong regulation. 1929 was a an issue of a bubble bursting yes, but it's more akin to the post-war superproduction bubble and subsequently over-speculation, if we can call that, that happened up until the crash.
replace "post-war superproduction" for "toxic credit", and it's pretty much the same thing for 2008, with banks loaning too much money to people that would probably not be able to pay it if something went wrong. However, regulation here was not as much of a problem as it was the lack of overseeing. In both cases all one needed to watch was the real state of things (too much stockpiling in the 1929 case, and too slow economic growth on the 2008 case), to see that things wouldn't go well.
Still, people went all the way till the end because speculation yields the best profit in short-term.

but yeah, I'll correct myself here: it's not a problem of quantity of regulation, it's a problem of quality of regulation.Too much isn't good, but so it isn't the complete lack of regulation. Better have a safety net for harsher times, or at least a mechanism that stops things before crashing down, something that considering how volatile and unpredictable the finance world can be, is nigh on impossible.


As for somebody overseeing things, I can agree that this can go wrong too. Afterall, this is humans overseeing humans we're talking about.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Adunh Slavy
#87 - 2013-07-27 18:41:32 UTC
Grimpak wrote:

As for somebody overseeing things, I can agree that this can go wrong too. Afterall, this is humans overseeing humans we're talking about.



That's a key point and something to keep in mind. Regulation or overseeing, both suffer from the fact they are made by some humans in the attempt to direct the behavior of other humans.

For starters, that's just immoral. What gives some guy in a fancy the right to tell someone else what to do, because a bunch of other people elected him? The Franklin quote about wolves and lunch comes to mind. Government should have no rights above what an individual has.

This little vid does a good job of explaining things, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=muHg86Mys7I

Anyway, oversight and regulation are going to be flawed because they are created by humans, and attempting to predict and control the behavior or even more humans. It is destined to fail. Before it fails, power is expressed in the oversight and regulation, and thus attracts corruption.

There is no perfect regulation, there is no such thing as perfect overseers. Such efforts are doomed to fail from conception.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#88 - 2013-07-27 19:24:16 UTC
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Anyway, oversight and regulation are going to be flawed because they are created by humans, and attempting to predict and control the behavior or even more humans. It is destined to fail. Before it fails, power is expressed in the oversight and regulation, and thus attracts corruption.

There is no perfect regulation, there is no such thing as perfect overseers. Such efforts are doomed to fail from conception.

that, in itself, can also be a starting point: if it's going to be flawed then you take into consideration that it is not perfect and you prepare beforehand, because, in hindsight, you will always need a certain level of regulation and oversight in the end. the question is: how seamless or intrusive is such regulation and oversight.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Tumahub
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#89 - 2013-07-27 20:08:52 UTC  |  Edited by: Tumahub
Grimpak wrote:
you will always need a certain level of regulation and oversight in the end. the question is: how seamless or intrusive is such regulation and oversight.


I think this is the fundamental mistake of logic in your argument. If humanity is flawed such that they cannot regulate themselves, why is it that some of these same humans are fit not just to regulate themselves, but to regulate others, many others? If that is axiomatically true, then there's no point in trying to regulate at all.

The chief regulation in any market (regulated or not) is the relationship between producer and consumer. To the extent that people are allowed to choose which producer they deal with and what product they want, there is a huge amount of natural "regulation," in the form of people voting with their wallets and feet. To the extent that artificial regulations are foisted upon that relationship from the outside, hampering the ability of the people to freely associate and choose who they deal with, there is no effective regulation.

I don't really take issue with your assessment of human nature. Scarce resources require conflict resolution between people who want the same or similar things. But I think it's fair to say the best method of achieving this peacefully is through allowing voluntary systems to arise rather than trying to impose a one-size-fits-all solution from on high.
Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#90 - 2013-07-27 21:38:55 UTC
Tumahub wrote:
Grimpak wrote:
you will always need a certain level of regulation and oversight in the end. the question is: how seamless or intrusive is such regulation and oversight.


I think this is the fundamental mistake of logic in your argument. If humanity is flawed such that they cannot regulate themselves, why is it that some of these same humans are fit not just to regulate themselves, but to regulate others, many others? If that is axiomatically true, then there's no point in trying to regulate at all.

The chief regulation in any market (regulated or not) is the relationship between producer and consumer. To the extent that people are allowed to choose which producer they deal with and what product they want, there is a huge amount of natural "regulation," in the form of people voting with their wallets and feet. To the extent that artificial regulations are foisted upon that relationship from the outside, hampering the ability of the people to freely associate and choose who they deal with, there is no effective regulation.

I don't really take issue with your assessment of human nature. Scarce resources require conflict resolution between people who want the same or similar things. But I think it's fair to say the best method of achieving this peacefully is through allowing voluntary systems to arise rather than trying to impose a one-size-fits-all solution from on high.

it's fair and I totally agree with you, but I still can't see said relationship to work both ways beyond small-ish environments and well-structured communities. Sociologically, there will always be deviants and, given time and with a little help of Murphy's law, said deviants will end up in positions able to change things.

Don't get me wrong, I'll always be pro-liberty, but mankind and it's story has shown to me that sometimes an iron fist is required, because sometimes people will confuse liberty with wilfulness and debauchery.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Adunh Slavy
#91 - 2013-07-27 22:15:07 UTC
Grimpak wrote:

it's fair and I totally agree with you, but I still can't see said relationship to work both ways beyond small-ish environments and well-structured communities.


Grimpak wrote:

Sociologically, there will always be deviants and, given time and with a little help of Murphy's law, said deviants will end up in positions able to change things.


I wanted to break these two statements apart, not for any other reason than to show the solution to third quote, below, lays within.

If governments are smaller with less power, and geographical area of countries is smaller, people in government can only do so much damage, and the people they harm are much closer at hand. When your direct subjects are so close, it makes it much easier for them to put a rope around your [the leaders] neck.

Grimpak wrote:

Don't get me wrong, I'll always be pro-liberty, but mankind and it's story has shown to me that sometimes an iron fist is required, because sometimes people will confuse liberty with wilfulness and debauchery.


Much of our history, certainly the last 150 years, has seen the growth of super states, not the smaller kingdoms and city states. More damage has been done by the iron fist of big governments than the iron fists of lots of small counties and leaders.

Imagine the Jeffersonian utopia (absolute distribution of power) of countries not much larger than counties and cities. If some crazy guy gets control of one of those, how much damage he can do is much more limited than the same crazy guy in control of a larger country.

The more power a government has, the more damage a crazy guy can do. Even a not so crazy guy but one with poor judgement, or is less than perfect, which they all are, the more damage they can do. The more power a government has, the more exaggerated (multiplied, magnified) are the decisions and choices of those in charge of it.

That iron first is a two edged sword. If a government has the power to impose an iron fist, then it also could be subjected to the crazy guy in control of the same fist.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt

Kirjava
Lothian Enterprises
#92 - 2013-07-27 22:20:01 UTC
Tumahub, methinks due to your being in Detroit, a corrupted state is leading you to judge the concept of a state with a wide brush. Like I've said before, the monopolisation of power is a natural course in many industries through one form or another, and that ultimately it is this lack of accountability that breaks it.

Academically speaking, it seems to me that lack of economic awareness back in the 50's/60's when voting lead towards this. It's a triad, State, business and electorate, lose one of them and one of the other two will soak up the excess influence and slowly kill the other. In Europe its generally been business instead of the state being more corrupt, leading to our perspective over Detroit's.

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Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#93 - 2013-07-28 06:36:10 UTC  |  Edited by: Grimpak
Adunh Slavy wrote:
Imagine the Jeffersonian utopia (absolute distribution of power) of countries not much larger than counties and cities. If some crazy guy gets control of one of those, how much damage he can do is much more limited than the same crazy guy in control of a larger country.



the return to the city-states of ancient Greece? I can see that working for the first years, but in the end they will fall prey to whoever manages to get the most influence by their side, and we'll be back to square one.

Adunh Slavy wrote:
That iron first is a two edged sword. If a government has the power to impose an iron fist, then it also could be subjected to the crazy guy in control of the same fist.


everybody has a bit of crazy, and I can safely assume that most of the dictators that rose to power had their best interest in improving their countries at first. but as the adage goes "power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely".
The trick is to impose the iron fist long enough so that things start to get on track, and in the shortest time you can do. I reckon that 15-25 years is enough to clean whatever dirt has been installed beforehand, but as I said before, people be damned during this time.


Kirjava wrote:
In Europe its generally been business instead of the state being more corrupt, leading to our perspective over Detroit's.



indeed. over here it's more of "business corrupts state", thus the reason that there is too much regulation over here sometimes it's a way of the state to protect itself from corruptive influences of business sectors.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Tumahub
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#94 - 2013-07-28 18:58:30 UTC  |  Edited by: Tumahub
Kirjava wrote:
Tumahub, methinks due to your being in Detroit, a corrupted state is leading you to judge the concept of a state with a wide brush. Like I've said before, the monopolisation of power is a natural course in many industries through one form or another, and that ultimately it is this lack of accountability that breaks it.

As I mentioned before, monopolies are created by the state. There is no natural monopoly in any industry and state monopolies are necessarily not accountable to anyone. Hence the great danger of having such a monopoly of coercive power in the form of the state.

Kirjava wrote:

Academically speaking, it seems to me that lack of economic awareness back in the 50's/60's when voting lead towards this. It's a triad, State, business and electorate, lose one of them and one of the other two will soak up the excess influence and slowly kill the other. In Europe its generally been business instead of the state being more corrupt, leading to our perspective over Detroit's.

You'll have to go a bit further back to find the impetus for states monopolizing industries. During the 50s and 60s there was an explosion of socialist influence into the west. Look up Fabian Socialism and read bout the US and UK proponents of those ideas, they were highly influential academics and policitos of their era.

Despite the fact that many WANT there to be a check on the state in the form of the electorate, there is no such relationship. The state clearly operates to enrich its own interests at the expense of the electorate. This is precisely why I explained that the state necessarily grows a dependent population because people respond to the obvious incentive that working in private business means paying ever-increasing sums to subsidize those who are favored by the state (those who do not produce or who produce primarily for the state). You are right that one slowly kills the other, but this is only a one-way street. States kill business through regulation, taxation, and oppression. Businesses, having no coercive power of their own, cannot fight back against this.

In Europe, as in the US, the state is one with large business. I would strongly suggest you find out just who is in control over your corrupt businesses. By the numbers over 40% of the entire world economy is controlled by international banks based in the UK, EU, and US. These aren't private businesses, but subsidiaries of central STATE banking institutions. They are the problem, not because of their status as "businesses," but because they are granted state power and privilege. Their boards are chocked full of politicians. They donate heavily to political campaigns. They don't exist because of banking. They exist because of STATE banking and the unnatural economies of Keynesian money printing and influence peddling.

There's no bias on my part from the point of view of a businessman. I'm simply honest about the system. We, as supposedly enfranchised citizens have long lost the ability to control the machinery of power (if we ever had such influence in the first place). This isn't because we trade goods on a market, but because we excused the obscene excesses of power in the hands of our supposedly benevolent state leaders.
Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#95 - 2013-07-28 19:46:26 UTC
Tumahub wrote:
In Europe, as in the US, the state is one with large business. I would strongly suggest you find out just who is in control over your corrupt businesses. By the numbers over 40% of the entire world economy is controlled by international banks based in the UK, EU, and US. These aren't private businesses, but subsidiaries of central STATE banking institutions. They are the problem, not because of their status as "businesses," but because they are granted state power and privilege. Their boards are chocked full of politicians. They donate heavily to political campaigns. They don't exist because of banking. They exist because of STATE banking and the unnatural economies of Keynesian money printing and influence peddling.


well depending on who's seeing who, most of our (Portugal) politicians come from private banks or are in some way related by them. That's why only 2 or 3 guys were punished when one of the banks, BPN, that had quite the deep relationship with the 2 biggest political parties we have, somehow managed to "disappear" with over 9 billion euros back in the 2008 crisis. Some people that were in the board are now either state secretaries or ministers, and when it was nationalized to "avoid the collapse of the banking system", buy a prime-minister that was from one of those two parties, it went under the wing of the state bank, CGD, where somehow, the debt increased further.

FYI, CGD also had people that were somehow related to that bank in high positions.


so it's a bit of a murky terrain we're talking about. In this small country that I call home, it's not that there isn't state banking. it's more like state and banking are two sides of the coin, be it private or state owned, every Portuguese bank has a stake on the government somehow. Hell it is of somewhat common knowledge that if we let the bank sink, our crisis wouldn't be as bad, and that it was only saved because the government's relationships.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Tumahub
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#96 - 2013-07-29 02:26:48 UTC  |  Edited by: Tumahub
I get the "murky," relationship between the big banks and the state, but you have to accept that fact that states have coercive power over the population and a guy with a sign outside his door that says "bank," who holds your money and returns you some interests does not have any coercive power over anyone.

So a person who comes into political power from a big bank is just using that big bank as a means to empower themselves through the state, not the apparatus of banking. Fractional reserves, central banking, fiat money printing, these are all creations of state power. A bank that tried to do it absent a state to support it would simply fail while a state could do the same things without using the word "bank," if it chose to do so.

I think this is an important point because what we're looking at is extreme totalitarian power. If people are so easily convinced that 'banking,' is to blame for the problems of autocratic regimes the world over, they're going to be suckered into supporting even more viscous political aggression against themselves just to spite the supposed enemy (banks).

Get rid of the big banks and you still have tyrants in the state. Get rid of the state and you have a bunch of completely defunct banks that nobody will want to do business with.
Felicity Love
Doomheim
#97 - 2013-07-29 04:43:04 UTC  |  Edited by: Felicity Love
... plain and simple, trade unions *screwed* Detroit. Autoworkers unions demanding obscenely huge amounts of money for many jobs that were little more than glorified factory work. PUH-lease. Ironically, it pretty much explains Greece and Spain, too.

Honest wages for honest work and a meaningful standard of living is one thing. But what the Autoworkers union (and the Steelworkers union, for that matter) did to Detroit over the years, with the result of pricing themselves out of the auto market for so many years -- that damage has never been repaired.

Not in jobs, not in infrastructure, not in anything meaningful to Detroit as a whole.

The "day" of the union is over. Schlitz-guzzling union-boys can scream "Brotherhood" all they want. Truth of the matter is most of them were just too greedy for their own good, and too easily bullied by their own union "leadership", too . Roll

"EVE is dying." -- The Four Forum Trolls of the Apocalypse.   ( Pick four, any four. They all smell.  )

Grimpak
Aliastra
Gallente Federation
#98 - 2013-07-29 07:21:15 UTC
Tumahub wrote:
I get the "murky," relationship between the big banks and the state, but you have to accept that fact that states have coercive power over the population and a guy with a sign outside his door that says "bank," who holds your money and returns you some interests does not have any coercive power over anyone.


actually, considering how banks are regulated by the state, they have coercing power over people, since the house renting market over here is quite small, and how large the pre-crisis house prices are vs average salary, means that a large sum of people atm are simply not eating at all just to have a ceiling over their heads. Sure yes, interest rates have been quite low in the last years, but once the interest rate drops, they raise spread rates, usually 2 to 3 times more. Also the state is a bit of a hostage from them too, since they control a large sum of the public debt, and at special, higher-than-average interest rates, because the ministers and secretaries of state who did that wanted to get in one of those bank boards, or they came from there and wanted to have a nice, fat paycheck once their stint in the state ended.

[img]http://eve-files.com/sig/grimpak[/img]

[quote]The more I know about humans, the more I love animals.[/quote] ain't that right

Tumahub
Sebiestor Tribe
Minmatar Republic
#99 - 2013-07-29 15:14:12 UTC
Grimpak wrote:
actually, considering how banks are regulated by the state, they have coercing power over people

Yes, that was my point. They derive their power from the state. The state is the origin of the problem.
Adunh Slavy
#100 - 2013-07-29 16:04:45 UTC
Felicity Love wrote:
... plain and simple, trade unions *screwed* Detroit. Autoworkers unions demanding obscenely huge amounts of money for many jobs that were little more than glorified factory work. PUH-lease. Ironically, it pretty much explains Greece and Spain, too.



Unions are certainly part of the problem, though I'd like to point back to the issue of State power. By means of corruption, the unions encourage the State to grant them extra privileges.

Unions, in some states, automatically get a portion of each workers pay, in many cases with out the worker's consent. They can only do this by utilization of State power. The list of abuses and poor economic polices is long, from minimum wage laws that were designed to protect unions, to forced dues.

I have no problem with people getting together to bargain with an employer. They have every right to organize. But they do not have the right to ask for and get special privilege from the State.

Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves.  - William Pitt