These forums have been archived and are now read-only.

The new forums are live and can be found at https://forums.eveonline.com/

Market Discussions

 
  • Topic is locked indefinitely.
12Next page
 

A working Stock Market

Author
Lady Katherine Devonshire
Royal Ammatar Engineering Corps
#1 - 2012-09-06 05:09:11 UTC
Since everything else in the game, including PLEX, are considered regular trade items to be juggled on the market, it surprises me that CCP has never bothered to make a working stock market model as well.

So this thread is for you to brainstorm & refine ideas on how such a working stock market model would operate. The structure, the mechanics, the rules, etc. Let's hear what people have to say and hopefully a CCP dev might come in and take a look after a while & copy down some of the better ideas. I know this may be hard for many but please keep the discussion civil, thanks!
Kermange Atruin
Pator Tech School
Minmatar Republic
#2 - 2012-09-06 05:18:20 UTC
Are you thinking assisted corporation stock market, so it has in game features for listing prices and setting sell/buy orders?

I haven't checked can you create contract from stocks. If one could do that it would be quite nice mechanic already for offering stocks for sale and also offer to buy stocks.

Having more wide stock markets though could put some pressure in changing how corporate stocks are created and handled. Currently it is easy to create those and as easy to abandon corp, making stocks to vanish. Could be that it'd need two tiers, publically listed corporations and limited corporations who can only sell stock directly.

But yeah, I'm in favor of getting stocks more in the play. Puts just quite much more stress to individual CEOs to understand what they are doing (not that all RL CEO's know :P ).
Theangryhobo
Royal Amarr Institute
Amarr Empire
#3 - 2012-09-06 05:20:12 UTC
The stock market feature would require people to trust complete strangers to succeed. Not likely. Also, since no one in game really, for lack of a better term, 'invents' new technology never before seen, it would be hard to say to potential investors 'Hey guys, I've got this terrific new idea no one has ever thought about before, now throw me a bunch of money so I can make it happen!'

.

Lady Katherine Devonshire
Royal Ammatar Engineering Corps
#4 - 2012-09-06 05:47:03 UTC  |  Edited by: Lady Katherine Devonshire
Well I think the first step would be allowing CEOs & Directors to convert company stock into actual in-game items (the same way you can with a PLEX). Of course, since we live in a computerized age, just like PLEX you should also be able to convert them back and forth between "phantom" items and "physical" items as well. Meaning that no one would have to physically transfer them from place to place unless they really wanted to (and were really insane).

The conversion ability would really be to simply give them a development doorway to make them items that can be traded on the same regular market as everything else (again, same as PLEX mechanics).

As for the trust issue: I agree, paranoia and scamming are a regular part of EvE's diet. However, they're both also a regular part of Wall Street's diet as well, so I don't see that as being a "problem" per se; just more realism if you ask me. Of course people will make up fake companies and try to scam people with junk shares, and of course people will find fifty new ways to rip each other off with it. That alone should be enough to motivate CCP to want to do it, hee hee.

But for those shrewd enough it could still be profitable and interesting, especially if mechanics are added for automatic dividend rates. To make it more interesting and EvE-centric they could add special dividend options for shareholders. For instance, one dividend type would be the classic "% of gross profit" type, wherein a certain (tiny) amount of every ISK that goes into the company accounts get siphoned off to shareholders automatically. Or there could be a "mining dividend" that siphons off from ore processing (just like the "we take" mechanic for stations) whenever that activity happens. Or a "bounty dividend" that siphons off rats or even a "mission" dividend from mission rewards. Why all the crazy types? Specialized companies, naturally, could then issue specialized stock to specialized investors.

For example: XYZ Mining Corp issues stocks with a mining dividend. In lieu of ISK payouts to shareholders, their "dividend rate" would actually be a percentage of refined minerals that is siphoned off and divvied out to their shareholders at the end of each payout period. For a venture capitalist who is running a dedicated Production company, this might be a good stock to look at it, because getting your payout in raw materials instead of ISK might actually be more useful to you (skips the middlemen, as it were).

Now as for the trust & paranoia issues, yes that would be massive at first. But as time goes on companies would build & lose reputation, and I believe that it is this reputation that would ultimately decide how their stocks are traded. A large company that has been around for a long time would be considered the "blue chips" of the game and subsequently their stocks would be stable, trusted, and the most traded. It would be the smaller, newer, and always-at-war companies that only the really speculative investors (or plain stupid) would be likely to bother with.

Avoiding dividend scamming: Simple mechanics here, really. A pay-period could be daily, weekly or monthly, as decided when the stock is issued. However the "siphon pool" for that payout would be constant. Meaning that a CEO could not simply empty out their Master Wallet one minute before the pay-out timer to avoid paying their shareholders. That payout would be a separate, invisible and inaccessible pool taken out of all transactions at all times: Just like SCC tax, for example. Actually, SCC would be the best way to look at it - the dividend pool would function exactly like a second SCC tax (at whatever that dividend rate is), with the only difference being that the ISK (or whatever) doesn't magically vaporize like actual SCC tax does. Instead it goes into the invisible dividend pool to be paid out to shareholders later.

Another feature for stock options that would be a must: Is this voting stock Y/N? Naturally people would be loathe to issue shares if they think they can be used to take over their company, so the option of creating non-voting stock would be needed. This would, naturally, make actual voting stock a premium - and that's a good thing.
Vera Algaert
Republic University
Minmatar Republic
#5 - 2012-09-06 06:34:20 UTC  |  Edited by: Vera Algaert
Lady Katherine Devonshire wrote:
Now as for the trust & paranoia issues, yes that would be massive at first. But as time goes on companies would build & lose reputation, and I believe that it is this reputation that would ultimately decide how their stocks are traded. A large company that has been around for a long time would be considered the "blue chips" of the game and subsequently their stocks would be stable, trusted, and the most traded. It would be the smaller, newer, and always-at-war companies that only the really speculative investors (or plain stupid) would be likely to bother with.

you would do good to actually research the history of public investments in EVE before posting anything on that topic

the investments you call "risky" which only the "plain stupid" would invest in are very hit and miss - but "blue chips" are an almost certain loss.

.

Lady Katherine Devonshire
Royal Ammatar Engineering Corps
#6 - 2012-09-06 08:08:28 UTC
Alright, explain why. This is interesting.
Bad Bobby
Bring Me Sunshine
In Tea We Trust
#7 - 2012-09-06 10:16:20 UTC
Vera Algaert wrote:
you would do good to actually research the history of public investments in EVE before posting anything on that topic

the investments you call "risky" which only the "plain stupid" would invest in are very hit and miss - but "blue chips" are an almost certain loss.
Lady Katherine Devonshire wrote:
Alright, explain why. This is interesting.

The theory goes pretty much like this...

The majority of people who come to MD seeking funds for the first time repay their loan, assuming they manage to raise the funds at all. Scams on first time loans are relatively uncommon.

The same person may then go on to take out further loans from MD for increasing values and at lower rates by leveraging the "trust" they have earned by repaying the first loan. Scams on subsequent loans are more common than on first time loans.

Long term business operations, in particular those that expand and refinance frequently, tend to end in scams. The small number of exceptions prove the rule.

So, from an investors point of view you are generally better off investing in the first time offerings of unknowns and benefiting from the higher interest rates those tend to offer. If you invest in "trusted" or "blue chip" offerings you will tend to get a poorer rate of interest and be subject to a very high risk of losing your investment.

The above only applies to uncollateralised offerings.
Lady Katherine Devonshire
Royal Ammatar Engineering Corps
#8 - 2012-09-06 10:31:05 UTC
Ah now that is interesting, and worth considering! Thanks!
Mohamad Transporte
Native Freshfood
Minmatar Republic
#9 - 2012-09-06 11:37:46 UTC
i think it would be a great idea if the stock trading is controlled by a Stock market and not thought normal contracts

Ofcourse ... that will make use of the LCD screen that u have in ur HQ Lounge that we all forget about... such screen should display financial statements/ assets/ growth/ devidents that will play a role in stock price movement (not to mention ability to buy stocks to gain control from the inside and flip CEO by the power of isk Twisted )
Jattila Vrek
Green Visstick High
#10 - 2012-09-06 14:55:40 UTC
Kermange Atruin wrote:
I haven't checked can you create contract from stocks. If one could do that it would be quite nice mechanic already for offering stocks for sale and also offer to buy stocks.

Sadly enough this is not possible yet. It would be an easy to implement first step that would take us a long way. Currently stock transfers are based on trust: you pay first and pray that the other guy gives you the stocks, or you give him the stocks and wait for him to pay you.
Kara Books
Deal with IT.
#11 - 2012-09-06 14:57:04 UTC
you mean like being able to dynamically sell corp stocks on the market?

that would require some coding and creativity.
Esan Vartesa
Samarkand Financial
#12 - 2012-09-06 15:17:46 UTC  |  Edited by: Esan Vartesa
Dead end.

I've said this before. All discussion of stock markets boils down to 1 single problem:

Stocks are pieces of corporations, and corporations have zero value because there is no mechanism to "lock" corporate assets to the corporation. The ability to lock BPOs was a first step that was obviously part of this line of thinking, but it never went further, and certainly not far enough to resolve the problem. Thus, stocks have no value.

You would have to completely rework Eve to allow for a corporate asset storage system. Currently, if a corporation buys an asset, that asset is controlled by anyone with permission to "deliver" the asset, thus making it a privately owned asset. If a corporation wants to sell an asset, it must first be "delivered", thus defeating the whole purpose of the delivery 'hangar'. There's also no mechanism to transport said undelivered assets from one location to the next without it passing through someone's private control.

Fix that, and then we're talking, kinda. You'd also have to work out some kind of incentive system that makes it more lucrative to corporate directors to NOT rob their corporations blind. Make it worth their while, since the traditional RL DISincentive of the law is, by design, lacking in Eve. But as mentioned above, that second problem just needs some creative thinking, not any changes to Eve.
Vincent Athena
Photosynth
#13 - 2012-09-06 16:01:11 UTC
I think a stock market would be a fine idea. A few notes.

I think stock should not be an object, but just a number in your wallet: "333 shares of XYZ".
The actual market should be eve wide. Wherever you are, you can see the buy and sell orders for this one market, and use it. This is quite different from the present system of one market per station.
(As an aside, Aurum could be put in the same market).
Companies can issue two types of stock: Common and Preferred. Preferred gives voting rights, Common does not. Dividend rates can be declared for both. Some sort of method for extracting dividend isk for operations, as described by a previous poster, can be used.
Players should be able to get information on any corporation that is publicly traded. Things like who is running it (CEO, those with roles of director, CFO, accountant, and so on), a summary of the corp income and expenditures broken down by type, the total corp assets, the history of these, and the dividend history. This information would be automatically generated by the game, with the reports being updated each downtime.

Can it still be a scam stock? Sure. The CEO just needs to use transactions with an alt to make it look like the corp is doing stuff that makes money, when its really a Ponzi scheme.

Know a Frozen fan? Check this out

Frozen fanfiction

GreenSeed
#14 - 2012-09-06 22:52:04 UTC  |  Edited by: GreenSeed
yeah, it would be nice. volatility would be astronomical initially, and the stock with actual value behind it would get too expensive too fast, and once it does i dont think any trading will take place...

but who cares, its a game.
Historical Research Advocate
Doomheim
#15 - 2012-09-06 23:28:43 UTC
shares are pointless outside of corp vote mechanics and they are a poor mechanic for doing that
Sun Win
#16 - 2012-09-06 23:47:52 UTC
Bad Bobby wrote:
The above only applies to uncollateralised offerings.


Whereas collateralized offerings, ideally with a board of trustees to lock down the assets are a sure-fire fool-proof totally safe investment. Big smile
Bad Bobby
Bring Me Sunshine
In Tea We Trust
#17 - 2012-09-07 16:36:36 UTC
Sun Win wrote:
Bad Bobby wrote:
The above only applies to uncollateralised offerings.


Whereas collateralized offerings, ideally with a board of trustees to lock down the assets are a sure-fire fool-proof totally safe investment. Big smile

Not in my experience, no.
Aina Sasaki
Garoun Investment Bank
Gallente Federation
#18 - 2012-09-08 01:18:29 UTC
Bad Bobby wrote:
The theory goes pretty much like this...

The majority of people who come to MD seeking funds for the first time repay their loan, assuming they manage to raise the funds at all. Scams on first time loans are relatively uncommon.

The same person may then go on to take out further loans from MD for increasing values and at lower rates by leveraging the "trust" they have earned by repaying the first loan. Scams on subsequent loans are more common than on first time loans.

Long term business operations, in particular those that expand and refinance frequently, tend to end in scams. The small number of exceptions prove the rule.

So, from an investors point of view you are generally better off investing in the first time offerings of unknowns and benefiting from the higher interest rates those tend to offer. If you invest in "trusted" or "blue chip" offerings you will tend to get a poorer rate of interest and be subject to a very high risk of losing your investment.

The above only applies to uncollateralised offerings.


That's depressing. I suppose i'll just have to be one of those few exceptions to the rule. Good thing that's what I was planning on anyway. :)

OT, stocks may seem like a kinda cool idea, but as others have said in practice it probably won't work out too well. Also it is almost certain to be just another way for scammers to do their work.

But... who knows? Maybe CCP will make a working stock system someday. :o

- Rei

Tom Hagen
Pandemic Horde Inc.
Pandemic Horde
#19 - 2012-09-08 03:21:36 UTC
I think that any system that tries to connect a corporation assets to its share will always be to complex and nearly impossible to handle.

First off my knowledge of how hard anything will be code wise is limited. For me I just pick a solution that I think should be relative easy.

I would want shares to be a trade commodity.
I would want to create a second market, or maybe a keep it in the original one. That would depend on how eve market loads, if it would be something that steals resources even before you click it, I rather have it on its own. But basically you should be able to copy the current one and have just new categories under it (like a alphabetic order ;-). Also it shouldn't be a regional market but span the entire universe. Maybe even just keep it as a separated station service in very few stations across eve, still connected thou to each other.
I would want the information tab to be able to tell you dividends payout over a longer period of time, like date, ISK\share, total sum of ISK and how many shares that exist. In addition (maybe that should belong under the corp info instead) I want to see who it is that owns shares in that corporation.
It should be some place to put up a small presentation on what your corp does and maybe an expected monthly dividend. That might be able to keep under the corp information.

Much as the loans that goes around these days it would be a question about trust, and a history on prior dividends payout that would set the value of the share.

Guys like Grendell or Rykker Bow would probably be able to sell shares for a higher price and lower return then the average Joe. But over time when people starting to feel more secure with Joe and have a steady income from the Shares the price on the share will go up.

The market function in EVE will set the price on shares on the corporation, but please no margin trading on this one. If you cant afford to play GTFO! Also I would think the length of the order that are being placed should be a lot longer then current orders due to (probably) a lower turnover.
You still would have to sell your corporation in order to get anyone to buy the share. But hopefully you would get a broader audience and you would remove a part of the meta gaming that goes on and put it in the Eve client instead.

Feels like there was more to the idea in my head when I started writing but my time is up P Maybe someone can get something out of it anyway Smile
Sun Win
#20 - 2012-09-08 03:41:37 UTC
Bad Bobby wrote:
Not in my experience, no.


As investments go, seems like it worked out for you.
12Next page