EVE Alliance Tournament Discussion

Analysis:
Four of the eight groups are clinched already. Of the remaining four, Group G is a straight up do-or-die match for all four teams. Those should be some great fights.

Groups A, D, and H are where things get really interesting. With one team at 2-0, two at 1-1, and one at 0-2, it may seem like a simple fight between the two teams a 1-1 record. However, they're not fighting each other next round, and it's still possible that upsets can happen.

For instance, the teams with a 2-0 record could still get knocked out if they lose and both the 1-1 teams win. This would cause a 3-way tie in the group, with three teams with 2-1 records and one finishing 0-3. The tie would then be decided by points, so if both 1-1 teams outscore the 2-0 team, the 2-0 team could go home. Here's the teams I'm talking about, followed by how many points lead they have over the two 1-1 teams in their group.

HUN Reloaded (111, 137.5)
FEARLESS. (107, 125)
Red vs Blue (50.5, 89.5)

Note that for HUN Reloaded to get knocked out, not only would they have to get shut out by Black Legion., but Nulli Secunda would have to bring a handicapped team to get the 138 points they would need to beat HUN.

On the other end of the spectrum, it's possible that the three teams who are 0-2 could still make it to the finals. To do so, they would need both the 1-1 teams to lose, creating a three-way tie at 1-2. They would then also need enough points to beat both the 1-1 teams. Note that in this scenario, the teams who are 2-0 now would advance with a 3-0 record. The relevant 0-2 teams and their point deficiencies to the other 1-1 teams are as follows.

Choke Point (135, 108.5)
Goonswarm Federation (95, 77)
Kill It With Fire (155, 116)

Long odds on KIWF advancing, but it's still within the realm of possibility.

The 1-1 teams can advance with a win if the other 1-1 team in their group loses. But if both 1-1 teams in the same group win or both lose, then it will come down to points. This is a little crazy as it's possible that a 1-1 team that had beaten the other 1-1 team when they battled could still get knocked out by that team on points.

TL;DR - It ain't over til it's over.

Essentially you're fine as long as Snake isn't flying a vindicator next saturday.

Was sipping coffee. Now it's all over my screen.

For all intents and purposes a draw is like a loss for most of these teams.

Nice one that's some in depth stuff right there.

That is so crazy weird. I had no idea.

The name came from Logan's Run and Matthew Decker from ST.

Excellent run-down, thanks.