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Does FW Tier 4&5 ISK reductions significantly reduce the LP ISK sink?

Author
DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#1 - 2012-07-12 08:47:06 UTC  |  Edited by: DarthNefarius
Tier 4 FW the LP sotes get a 50% reduction in ISK & Tier 5 get a 75% ISK reduction. In the short term I think you may see a slight jump in the LP sink but after 2-3 months won't the ISK sink ( especially for+4 & +5 learning implants ) then start to reduce the ISK sink on a permentant basis from 6 trillion ISK a month to around 3-4 trillion a month? Dr E talked about neding to create more ISK sinks in Eve in his last State of the economy session but this DEV implementation seems to be doing the exact opposite.
If you keeped the LP reduction but killed the ISK reduction the ISK sink would be actually improveAttention

I've tried to tweet CCP Diagoras for info/stats about this subject and hope to get a reply some day but with summer vacations & all I think the numbers will be hard to come by from him.
An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
IHaveCandyGetInTheVan69
Crouching Woman Hidden Cucumber
#2 - 2012-07-14 23:28:16 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:
Tier 4 FW the LP sotes get a 50% reduction in ISK & Tier 5 get a 75% ISK reduction. In the short term I think you may see a slight jump in the LP sink but after 2-3 months won't the ISK sink ( especially for+4 & +5 learning implants ) then start to reduce the ISK sink on a permentant basis rom 6 trillion ISK a month to around 3-4 trillion a month? Dr E talked about neding to create more ISK sinks in Eve in his last State of the economy session but this DEV implementation seems to be doing the exact opposite.
If you keeped the LP reduction but killed the ISK reduction the ISK sink would be actually improveAttention

I've tried to tweet CCP Diagoras for info/stats about this subject and hope to get areply some day but with summer vacations & all I think the numbers will be hard to come by from him.



I think minmatar is the only faction to have reached Tier 4 or above and only for short periods of time, I think compared to the wider LP community the effect would be quite small. Also IIRC the LP store sink is a relatively small sink, the game needs more big ISK sinks in my opinion, little changes to existing ones do little in the grand scheme of things.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#3 - 2012-07-15 01:16:53 UTC
No. You still spend 1000 isk per LP that you spend regardless of whether you're getting a discount or not. All that changes is you can buy more **** for the same amount of LP.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#4 - 2012-07-15 23:58:02 UTC
corestwo wrote:
No. You still spend 1000 isk per LP that you spend regardless of whether you're getting a discount or not. All that changes is you can buy more **** for the same amount of LP.


You are incorrect both the ISK & LP are reduced example:

Tier 3
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 1,600,000 ISK
LP cost: 1600

Tier 4
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M : 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 800,000 ISK
LP cost: 800

Tier 5
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 400,000 ISK
LP cost: 400

So in this example at Tier 5 the ISK sink here is reduced 1.6-.4= 1.2 million ISK from Tier 3 for the same amount of ammo.

An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
Tanith YarnDemon
Hypernet Inc.
Umbrella Chemical Inc
#5 - 2012-07-16 02:23:05 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:
No. You still spend 1000 isk per LP that you spend regardless of whether you're getting a discount or not. All that changes is you can buy more **** for the same amount of LP.


You are incorrect both the ISK & LP are reduced example:

Tier 3
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 1,600,000 ISK
LP cost: 1600

Tier 4
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M : 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 800,000 ISK
LP cost: 800

Tier 5
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 400,000 ISK
LP cost: 400

So in this example at Tier 5 the ISK sink here is reduced 1.6-.4= 1.2 million ISK from Tier 3 for the same amount of ammo.



Might want to read what he said. You still pay the same amount of isk for each LP you spend, you just get more goods out.

You just proved him correct. That said, I'm not sure how said tie is relevant to the question at hand.
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#6 - 2012-07-16 02:46:39 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:
No. You still spend 1000 isk per LP that you spend regardless of whether you're getting a discount or not. All that changes is you can buy more **** for the same amount of LP.


You are incorrect both the ISK & LP are reduced example:

Tier 3
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 1,600,000 ISK
LP cost: 1600

Tier 4
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M : 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 800,000 ISK
LP cost: 800

Tier 5
Cost to buy 5000 units of EMP M: 380,000 ISK
LP Store ISK cost: 400,000 ISK
LP cost: 400

So in this example at Tier 5 the ISK sink here is reduced 1.6-.4= 1.2 million ISK from Tier 3 for the same amount of ammo.


The isk sink is the isk removed from the economy by spending the LP, you still spend 1000 isk per LP regardless of the level you're buying at, so whether you spend 1600 LP at tier 3 to buy one 5000 unit stack of ammo or 1600 LP to buy four stacks at tier 5, 1.6m isk is removed from the economy.

Unless you're saying that you're going to only buy one stack, in which case you're an idiot for not taking full advantage of the discount.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#7 - 2012-07-16 08:43:19 UTC  |  Edited by: DarthNefarius
corestwo wrote:

The isk sink is the isk removed from the economy by spending the LP, you still spend 1000 isk per LP regardless of the level you're buying at, so whether you spend 1600 LP at tier 3 to buy one 5000 unit stack of ammo or 1600 LP to buy four stacks at tier 5, 1.6m isk is removed from the economy.

Unless you're saying that you're going to only buy one stack, in which case you're an idiot for not taking full advantage of the discount.



What?!?!???
The demand for amount of ammo used is not going to be anywhere near linearly elastic because there is more supply & it may even be cheaper . You are sort of like assuming because you made 4 purchases there will be 4 more buyers Roll

Here this may be more simpler example:

If you buy a +5 learning implant from ANY LP store except the FW ones ( at Tier 3 that is ) you pay 65 million ISK.
That is the ISK sink
If you buy the same +5 implant at the FW store at Tier 5 you are paying 16.25 million ISK
The ISK sink for that item is reduced by 48.75 million ISK!
An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#8 - 2012-07-16 12:36:03 UTC  |  Edited by: corestwo
Except you can then buy four times as many +5 implants, preserving the isk sink. And don't try your silly little bull**** elasticity argument with implants, because I know better than you on that topic, from experience, just how much the market can absorb.

So, I reiterate - you're trying to argue that the isk sink is reduced because someone who has the opportunity to get 8000 isk/LP instead of 1000 isk/LP will still only buy a single unit of something, even though they could buy four of them.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

IHaveCandyGetInTheVan69
Crouching Woman Hidden Cucumber
#9 - 2012-07-16 14:18:53 UTC
Actually more ISK is destroyed per LP

Same ISK / LP ratio but more taxes on the transactions per LP.
Dirk Culliford
Zero G Universal Enterprises
#10 - 2012-07-16 19:09:49 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:

The isk sink is the isk removed from the economy by spending the LP, you still spend 1000 isk per LP regardless of the level you're buying at, so whether you spend 1600 LP at tier 3 to buy one 5000 unit stack of ammo or 1600 LP to buy four stacks at tier 5, 1.6m isk is removed from the economy.

Unless you're saying that you're going to only buy one stack, in which case you're an idiot for not taking full advantage of the discount.



What?!?!???
The demand for amount of ammo used is not going to be anywhere near linearly elastic because there is more supply & it may even be cheaper . You are sort of like assuming because you made 4 purchases there will be 4 more buyers Roll

Here this may be more simpler example:

If you buy a +5 learning implant from ANY LP store except the FW ones ( at Tier 3 that is ) you pay 65 million ISK.
That is the ISK sink
If you buy the same +5 implant at the FW store at Tier 5 you are paying 16.25 million ISK
The ISK sink for that item is reduced by 48.75 million ISK!


That argument only flies if it ever became unprofitable to convert LP to items and then isk. Undoubtedly profit margins may vary but there isn't going to be a time when, given x loyalty points, you wouldn't convert all of them to items.

You're attempting to argue that if I had 200k LP I would only convert 50k of them because I was only making 250 isk/LP rather than 2000. On the contrary, if the store was ever that bad you're more likely to use all of them to make the isk you need. There is no financial reason to stockpile LP.

The isk sink of 1000 isk/Lp is constant regardless of FW tier and is completely unaffected by market conditions, as long as the item does not sell for near to or less than its isk cost.
DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#11 - 2012-07-16 21:00:46 UTC  |  Edited by: DarthNefarius
corestwo wrote:
Except you can then buy four times as many +5 implants, preserving the isk sink.
(snip)
.


The market is not going to by 4X times more implants because you bought 4X more implants Roll
You will be able to undercut the other LP stores in price though leaving them with the bag Blink

IHaveCandyGetInTheVan69 wrote:
Actually more ISK is destroyed per LP

Same ISK / LP ratio but more taxes on the transactions per LP.


1/4 less ISK sink per item. Believe me the market won't just by your stuff at the forever at the same price because you make more of it... else I wouldnot be sitting on 4 million+ Concord LP & still selling Capitol mod BPCs & selling them for a proit of 9k per LP like when the Incursions irst started
Your math fails. Roll
An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
Noriko Mai
#12 - 2012-07-16 21:24:55 UTC  |  Edited by: Noriko Mai
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:
Except you can then buy four times as many +5 implants, preserving the isk sink.
(snip)
.


The market is not going to by 4X times more implants because you bought 4X more implants Roll
You will be able to undercut the other LP stores in price though leaving them with the bag Blink

IHaveCandyGetInTheVan69 wrote:
Actually more ISK is destroyed per LP

Same ISK / LP ratio but more taxes on the transactions per LP.


1/4 less ISK sink per item. Believe me the market won't just by your stuff at the forever at the same price because you make more of it... else I wouldnot be sitting on 4 million+ Concord LP & still selling Capitol mod BPCs & selling them for a proit of 9k per LP like when the Incursions irst started
Your math fails. Roll

Let's say I have 1000LP and buy one item for 1000Lp and 1M isk in the LP Store.
Let's say I have 1000LP and buy two items for 500LP and 500k isk each in the LP Store.
ISK sink is the same.
Isk sink per item is like cap per market transaction.
Certainly if I spend all my LPs. If I buy the same amount of items you're right, but why should I?

"Meh.." - Albert Einstein

corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#13 - 2012-07-16 21:40:15 UTC  |  Edited by: corestwo
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:
Except you can then buy four times as many +5 implants, preserving the isk sink.
(snip)
.


The market is not going to by 4X times more implants because you bought 4X more implants Roll
Your math fails.

When myself & my goon cohorts were up to no good in FW we dumped more LP worth of implants than gets produced in months into the market in the span of just a few days. The market has handily recovered. Believe me when I say that the small FW population buying at tier 4 or tier 5 every now and then won't even get noticed, and thus yes, there are and always will be buyers. No, players looking at an opportunity to buy in tier 4 or tier 5 won't go "Oh well I don't think there are buyers, so I'll only spend a portion of my LP."

Since you're no doubt not convinced yet, let me explain from a different perspective why you are still wrong.

At tier 3, a FW pilot (as well as normal mission runners) pay 65m isk and 65k LP for a +5 implant. Selling at 95m per, they realize a ~30m isk profit, approximately 462 isk/LP.

At tier 4, however, the FW pilot now has an advantage! He can, for that same 65m isk and 65k LP, buy two +5 implants. Selling at 95m per, he realizes 60m in profit, 1923 isk/LP. Obviously this effect is magnified at tier 5 - at the same 95m implants bought at tier 5 are worth a hilarious 4846 isk/LP, with each of the four implants the pilot can buy yielding 78.75m profit.

Now, lets pretend for a moment that you're right, and the market can't sustain the price. You may even be genuinely right instead of merely pretend right, but the FW population is small, so it's hard to say. I can say that implants have not really dropped in price at all in the past couple of weeks, despite minmatar hitting tier 5 for the third or fourth time just now. But I digress - we're pretending you're right, and so

Oops. All of the sudden, normal mission runners can't compete! They make zero isk selling +5s. But the people happily farming FW at Tier 4 don't care - they're still making 1000 isk/LP profit, 32.5m per implant. Each implant they sell gets them a little more profit than they were making at tier 3, and they get to buy two! Sounds like a sweet deal.

Of course, now all the normal mission runners can't sell implants, and so the supply drops through the floor. Maybe some of them take up FW farming themselves, but lets face it, most of them are highly risk averse. In the face of diminished supply, prices rise again, until they're high enough that mission runners come back and crush it back down, and so on. Meanwhile, the FW pilots still don't care, because they're still reaping a bonanza, and more importantly, the whole time, they're still spending all their LP and thus still making you wrong.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#14 - 2012-07-16 21:41:01 UTC  |  Edited by: DarthNefarius
Noriko Mai wrote:

Let's say I have 1000LP and buy one item for 1000Lp and 1M isk in the LP Store.
Let's say I have 1000LP and buy two items for 500LP and 500k isk each in the LP Store.
ISK sink is the same.
Isk sink per item is like cap per market transaction.
Certainly if I spend all my LPs. If I buy the same amount of items you're right, but why should I?



The demand for the item has not increased. You are not going to get more people buying the item for the same price.
If you price it alot less you may get some more demand but that will even our quickly as a glut of items stays on the market.
In the short term the 6 trillion ISK a month sink will increase but within a few months you'll see it decrease.

One of the snarter things CCP did was not stock the Concord lp store with learning implants ( I wonder if it was an accident?).


I am not rguing about the profitability of selling these implants or the price of them sold either: I am stating the FACT that the ISK sink is being reduced by 50% for Tier 4 & 75% per item for Tier 5 and the second largest ISK ISK in Eve will drop in the long term ( probably within 6 months ) permenantly because of it.
I'd like to see the stats on it but I bet the numbers are FUBAR & may reflect the erased GOON expoit items.
An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#15 - 2012-07-16 21:49:22 UTC
The isk sink will not change. Either implants will remain expensive enough for normal mission runners to continue buying them, and then FW pilots will also buy them (which would actually be a net increase), or FW pilots will drive the prices down far enough that normal mission runners can no longer profit on them, meaning that the FW pilots will have to supply all of market demand on their own. Either way, things remain the same, because you always spend 1000 isk per LP redeemed, no matter what.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Noriko Mai
#16 - 2012-07-16 21:54:07 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:

The demand for the item has not increased. You are not going to get more people buying the item for the same price.
If you price it alot less you may get some more demand but that will even our quickly as a glut of items stays on the market.

Now I understand what you want to say. Jeah, maybe. Let's find out Smile

"Meh.." - Albert Einstein

DarthNefarius
Minmatar Heavy Industries
#17 - 2012-07-16 22:14:38 UTC
corestwo wrote:

Either way, things remain the same, because you always spend 1000 isk per LP redeemed, no matter what.



Roll Carring your arguement out to the extreme if Tier 5 reducedboth ISK & LP by 1/1000th their would still be no affect on the ISK sink Attention

Wish Dr E would comment on this hope he's reading it.
An' then Chicken@little.com, he come scramblin outta the    Terminal room screaming "The system's crashing! The system's    crashing!" -Uncle RAMus, 'Tales for Cyberpsychotic Children'
corestwo
Goonfleet Investment Banking
#18 - 2012-07-16 22:40:03 UTC
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:

Either way, things remain the same, because you always spend 1000 isk per LP redeemed, no matter what.



Roll Carring your arguement out to the extreme if Tier 5 reducedboth ISK & LP by 1/1000th their would still be no affect on the ISK sink Attention

Wish Dr E would comment on this hope he's reading it.

Is being right important enough to you that you feel the need to carry things to extremes that don't actually exist just to create a scenario in which you would be right if it existed? Because, that's what you just did.

This post was crafted by a member of the GoonSwarm Federation Economic Cabal, the foremost authority on Eve: Online economics and gameplay.

fofofo

Darth Tickles
Doomheim
#19 - 2012-07-16 22:50:54 UTC
He's not the brightest bulb.
Dirk Culliford
Zero G Universal Enterprises
#20 - 2012-07-16 23:52:12 UTC  |  Edited by: Dirk Culliford
DarthNefarius wrote:
corestwo wrote:

Either way, things remain the same, because you always spend 1000 isk per LP redeemed, no matter what.



Roll Carring your arguement out to the extreme if Tier 5 reducedboth ISK & LP by 1/1000th their would still be no affect on the ISK sink Attention

Wish Dr E would comment on this hope he's reading it.


Yeah only that's not what tier 5 does. His argument works for actual eve, yours only for the hypothetical one that's in your head. That makes him right, sorry. I also hope Dr E has more important things to do than read threads like this. He probably cries a little inside when ideas like this appear.

I'm going to place this thread alongside your other classic thread about how wormholes should be nerfed because incursions were nerfed since they are both exactly the same from an economy perspective. Thanks for sharing your revolutionary insight with us.